Tags
6th Mass Extinction, Capitalism, Climate Change, Collapse of Industrial Civilization, Corporate State, Eco-Apocalypse, Extinction of Man, Mass Die Off, Social Unrest
Cold War antipathies between the “free world” and the Communist Block used to be conceptualized (in short) as “us and them” (sometimes “us vs. them”), which meant the U.S. and the U.S.S.R., the last two great superpowers. Additional facets to geopolitics were added by China, North Korea, the Middle East, India and Pakistan, and Brazil (mostly members of the nuclear club), but they didn’t figure as prominently in the rhetoric as what was clearly (even then) a false dualism. Binary thinking of this sort continues today in bogus phrases such as “either you’re with us or against us” or “if you’re not part of the solution then you’re part of the problem.” In American politics, the two-party system (Republicans and Democrats) appears to be intransigent and permanent despite political parties having risen and fallen over time both here and abroad. This herd team mentality keeps most political thinkers and observers from examining third-party alternatives with much seriousness the same way it forestalls bipartisanship. A little known fact is that the government-sounding agency called the Commission on Presidential debates is, in reality, a private corporation financed by Anheuser-Busch and other major companies and created by the Republican and Democratic parties to seize control of the presidential debates from The League of Women Voters in 1987.
Close identification with in-groups is learned early in life as cliques form in middle school (or before?) and is reinforced as each of us progresses through life’s phases. For instance, married/committed couples have a divergent set of understandings of personal relationships from unmarried individuals seeking/searching for a significant other. Childless couples have fundamentally differing social perspectives from those raising children (parents’ outlooks tracking with their children’s development). Working class folks have fewer opportunities and prerogatives than white-collar and professional workers. The rich enjoy considerable obeisance from everyone and benefit from undeserved favors and preferential treatment that the lower and middle classes can only look upon with envy and/or resentment. Examples go on and on.
We cling to these identities with surprising faithfulness, considering how they lump everyone rather imprecisely into categories, not altogether arbitrarily constructed but crude nonetheless. Blends of attitudes and truly creative, outlying thinking don’t figure in discussions dominated by rigid fidelity to narrow rhetoric, sound bites, and talking points. Interestingly, this same us-and-them effect is at work in discussions of collapse and NTE, the players divided unevenly between those who just don’t get it (for a variety of reasons) and those who believe all indications are beyond controversy, meaning, completely obvious: we’re on a hopelessly downward trajectory. Of course, this division omits the bulk of the population for whom the issue isn’t even broached, and even for those who acknowledge the issue, there are a surprising number of positions on the continuum, such as those who get it but haven’t extrapolated far enough, those who get it but lie or deny out of one motivation or another (e.g., self-enrichment or political gain, albeit short-term), and those who don’t get it yet are exceeding well-versed in the evidence (so that it can be argued and spun).
All these dividing lines, rather than being a celebration of diversity, make us a fractured society along multiple faults. Perhaps it’s just my perception, but there seems to be a widening gap between those who openly admit our future must lead ineluctably to doom and techno-utopians for whom future horizons loom bright. I’ve suggested elsewhere that newcomers to the issue of collapse have a lot of catching up to do, but that naïvely assumed a common, shared understanding of our reality upon which to base incontrovertible conclusions. Let me suggest something a bit more radical: the utter failure of the masses to grasp the immensity of the collapse story already unfolding around us while a few intrepid folks call bullshit on the substitute story offered by clever politicians, pundits, and marketeers — rhetoricians all — is equivalent to the divide between a poor, illiterate, itinerant farmer (or hunter or trapper) ca. 1780 and the Founders, a tiny group of landed gentry who were exceptionally well-educated men — Renaissance men, if you will, all having deep understanding of political and Enlightenment philosophy of the day. It must have been nearly impossible for the Founders to communicate effectively with the governed.
Today, the situation is reversed: mouth-breathing populists are now governing and have seized upon the means to manipulate the masses through disinformation and misdirection. Further, popular leaders and opinion-makers refuse to hear and simply cannot understand what a wizened few are telling them, namely, that unsustainable practices of industrial civilization have reached fever pitch and will soon become a hellscape of our own creation. Like a Revolutionary Era agriculturist or outdoorsman, today’s populists (and the large portion of the population they reflect — who elect them, in fact) may possess narrow expertise at their individual endeavors. Yet ironically, they remain over specialized and cut off from broad intellectual traditions and are thus functionally illiterate. Similarly, the masses to whom they proselytize have at best limited command of reading and almost no critical thinking skills whatsoever. (We never even approached universal literacy, which is a gateway to erudition.) A liberal arts education is to them hollow and meaningless, they are fundamentally immune to what science instructs, and their heads are full of entertainments (e.g., superhero geekery and professional sports) and other distractions that block real knowledge and understanding gained through careful, sustained consideration of an array of sources and perspectives. Contrast them with folks who read voluminously, study trends and scientific reports, and draw conclusions from a wealth of evidence: the two groups might as well be speaking Mandarin and English for all the communication passing between them.
My sense of the term populist should not be mistaken for leaders who embody the will of the people. That’s obviously not happening. The most basic function of government is to formulate policy and allocate funds to execute those policies. The graphic below shows top policy priorities over the past five years:
Well down the list is dealing with global warming (and I’m guessing the related complex of problems). Protecting the environment fares about 10–20 points better, as though it were a separate issue. What is most important to the public, however, are those things at which our leaders are failing the worst: the economy and jobs; terrorism; and education. Every administration and Congress initially pays ample lip service to priorities with wide public support but then diverts to a different agenda. This paragraph by Joel Hirschhorn captures the sort of populism now practiced.
With the Bush-corrosion of our Constitution and collapse of the economic system after it had been exploited by the rich and corrupt, what better time for revolution? Instead, we got a president with a glib tongue, a terrific smile and a deep commitment to the two-party plutocracy and corporate state. Obama is no populist, not even close. Nor is he a genuine reformer. At best, he is a master exploiter of populism.
It’s noteworthy that Hirschhorn saw through the B.S. five years ago.
A similar disconnect between public mandate and leadership is described in this Truthout article from 2011:
According to the latest poll conducted by CBS “60 Minutes” and the magazine Vanity Fair, 61 percent of Americans want to raise taxes on the wealthy as the primary way to cut the budget. The same poll finds that the second most popular first choice for cutting the nation’s budget deficit, at 20 percent, is cutting the military budget. That is, 81 percent of us — four out of five — would cut the deficit by taxing the rich and/or slashing military spending. Only four percent of those polled favored cutting Medicare … and only three percent favored cutting Social Security … A second poll, this time by CNN, reports that 63 percent of Americans oppose the US War in Afghanistan and want it ended. Only 35 percent say they support the war (now in its ninth year).
With such a disconnect stalling meaningful discussion before it begins, no wonder that controlling rhetoric is defined instead by funding (profit), celebrity (guru glorification, including green-washing types), and false solutionism. They are precisely the wrong kinds of issues, of course. The right kinds might involve the realization that…
- in an interconnected world, we all succeed and fail together in this life (there is no us and them anymore),
- the time has long passed for solutions and (an attempt at) mitigation is the next step, and
- moral choices about how we act in the time remaining us are of paramount importance once deteriorating conditions lead to widespread chaos.
Instead we get slick salesmanship to keep the economy humming (funneling capital to the top) and the masses calmed or blissed-out on gadgetry. We get not-so-behind-the-scenes preparations to cull and quarantine the population when the going gets rough. And we succumb to infighting among those who can’t achieve consensus about what’s to be done. Us and them to the bitter end.
Pingback: Us and Them | The Spiral Staircase
Agreed.
Another form of ‘us and them’ is adults versus children, in which children become yet another ‘sacrifice zone’, Abused by adults in ways quite unimaginable 100 years ago, children are plonked in front of televisions, given gadgets that discourage them from engaging in normal physical development and exploration of the natural world, fed junk food which ruins their bodies, and are lied to constantly.
In the % rating lists I see the lowest figure is 28%. What percentage of the population recognises the reality of our predicament? 0.5%?
It gets harder by the week to go out into the ‘war zone’ that constitutes mainstream culture.
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Brutus: thanks for this post. Well written and informative (ie. I agree).
The artwork is exceptional (as usual) and fascinating too.
Kevin: yeah, it’s getting really hard to keep doing what we’re doing while noticing all the damaged and dying trees, the constant stream of dead animals on the road or beside it, the lack of bees, butterflies and bats (etc.), and how toxic the environment is becoming (from Fukushima, Chinese smog, and industrial civilization’s pollution of all kinds). The purposelessness has become so apparent as to be obvious to us (the few) while the gleaming carrot of tech continues to keep the masses mesmerized and compliant, dutifully going through the motions that result in our degraded environment.
Each day we become more impoverished yet don’t see it (either by choice or due to the incremental nature of the change). Food prices (not to mention availability) is the trigger for violence globally and we’re already seeing it worldwide. The few remaining “1st world” countries (with insolvent banks, but continuing the charade) haven’t been “as affected” yet, but it’s coming.
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http://www.resilience.org/stories/2014-03-13/nader-on-senate-s-climate-stance-insanity-of-u-s-nukes-why-obama-s-min-wage-hike-falls-short
Nader on Senate’s Climate Stance, “Insanity” of U.S. Nukes, & Why Obama’s Min. Wage Hike Falls Short
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http://robinwestenra.blogspot.co.nz/search?updated-max=2014-03-14T17:19:00%2B13:00
Friday, 14 March 2014
The oil market
US to sell strategic oil reserves for first time in 24 years
The Obama administration plans to sell 5 million barrels, or less than 1 percent of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, calling the move a test of the petrol distribution system. The last time this happened was in August 1990 before the first Gulf War.
“Due to the recent dramatic increase in domestic crude oil production, significant changes in the system have occurred — including pipeline expansion, construction of new infrastructure, reversed flow of existing pipelines and increased use of domestic crude oil terminals,” William Gibbons, the US Energy Department spokesman said in a statement.
The government rejected a connection with the turmoil in Ukraine or other geopolitical events.
On Thursday the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures for April delivery fell by 2.3 percent on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It’s the biggest drop in two months.
WTI crude has a high sulfur content, similar to oil exported from Russia. The large sale might be a test of the US system’s readiness for a hiccup in Russian supply, analysts suggest.
“The timing of this makes it seem like a warning shot across the bow towards the Russians,” the Financial Times quotes Michael Wittner, the head of global oil research at Société Générale in New York.
The US Secretary of State John Kerry has warned about tough sanctions if Moscow does not draw back from its position over Crimea, in particular support of the region’s status referendum on March 16.
However former US State Department employee David Goldvin thinks the opposite. He considers that test sale is more directed at fighting volatility of supply from larger oil producers like Venezuela and Nigeria, and the long running question over Iran, and its nuclear ambitions.
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http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2014/03/deeper-story-underneath-cia-senate-intelligence-committee-battle-911.html
The Big Secret Behind the CIA-Congressional Battle
[read this article; concludes with]
In other words, we’ve got a rogue government. That’s the big story behind the CIA-congressional battle.
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http://arctic-news.blogspot.co.nz/2014/03/has-the-descent-begun.html
Has the descent begun?
On March 9, 2014, Arctic sea ice area was at a record low for the time of the year, at only 12.88731 square kilometers.
Sea ice extent shows a similar descent, as illustrated by the NSIDC image below.
[see graphs]
The situation is dire, given that methane concentrations have risen strongly following an earthquake that hit the Gakkel Ridge on March 6, 2014, as illustrated by the image below.
Huge amounts of methane have been released from the seafloor of the Arctic Ocean over the past half year, and the resulting high methane concentrations over the Arctic will contribute to local temperature rises.
The image below shows that sea surface temperatures are anomalously high in the Arctic Ocean and off the east coast of North America, from where warm water is carried by the Gulf Stream into the Arctic Ocean.
The prospect of an El Niño event makes the situation even more dire. NOAA recently issued an El Niño Watch. This follows a conclusion by an international research team that found a 75% likelihood of an El Niño event in late 2014.
The consequences of sea ice collapse would be devastating, as all the heat that previously went into transforming ice into water will be absorbed by even darker water, from where less sunlight will be reflected back into space. The danger is that further warming of the Arctic Ocean will trigger massive methane releases is unacceptable and calls for comprehensive and effective action as discussed at the Climate Plan blog. [where they talk about economic plans like “feebates” and the fictional “sustainable economy”]
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Agreed! Great Illustrations. Same here over in Europe. Massmedia is daddeling the people with endless court stories about a soccer manager who didn’t pay taxes properly. Meanwhile we have 21 Celcius Degrees in the Shaddow! atmospheric temperatures goes through the roof but the show must go on! See also http://robertscribbler.wordpress.com/2014/03/13/global-warming-and-a-mangled-jet-stream-germany-breaks-all-time-record-highs-for-early-march-aswan-egypt-experiences-first-rainfall-since-2012/
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“You never change things by fighting the existing reality. To change something, build a new model that makes the existing model obsolete.” By Buckminster Fuller
http://thecommunalsolution.info/index.html
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Unfortunately, too many are are tethered to the current system and such crises as we currently face require global, wartime coordination and application. Additionally, most will never get past the denial stage of the unsustainability of industrial civilization. It’s also human nature to be overly optimistic in even the most bleak of situations. And don’t forget our keen ability for self-deception, as discussed many times before.
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Nonetheless, it seems valid to me to look at building a new model to make the existing one obsolete. It’s just that anyone deluding themselves into thinking you can migrate the bulk of the population over from the existing model has an unpleasant discovery in their future.
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I’m open to it. If you have any plans, I’d be happy to publish them.
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I do, but I should write them up properly/better – most of the (limited) CCG stuff online is mostly just fishing to try to locate interest. I can let you know when I do – regardless of whether or not you think it’s publishable your thoughts would be welcome.
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You’re pretty articulate so I’m sure it will be worthwhile.
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I am not going to write multiple grad level theses to please a pithy Fuller aphorism, assuage you or anyone else, or even with the hope of saving humanity and all life on earth. I will however recommend a good book: The Revolution of Everyday Life by Raoul Vaneigem: http://library.nothingness.org/articles/SI/en/pub_contents/5
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Ghost-written by Guy Debord. The books Debord put his own name on are all pithier. And short fun reads.
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Nice essay Brutus and the art is great too. Not even exceptional leadership and spot-on reasoning could have nudged us from our catastrophic course. President Carter made an effort at the appropriate time, but couldn’t even get us to put on our sweaters. The “can do” people of the world will buzz like flies trapped behind a pane of glass, doing all kinds of thermodynamically unwise things in an effort to escape the inherent limitations of existence. Billions of human flies have entered the technological house to transcend the limitations of their own lives, only to become trapped. Eventually hopes of escape will fade as the fossil fuel sun sets and those flies not eaten by the ubiquitous financial spiders will drop dead to the windowsill below.
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Reblogged this on Gaia will prevail.
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Russia Is Preparing to Invade East Ukraine, Estonia Says
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Russian President Vladimir Putin is preparing to “invade eastern Ukraine” after occupying the country’s Black Sea peninsula of Crimea, Estonia said.
Russia warned that Ukraine’s government has lost control of the country today, fueling concern the Kremlin may extend a military intervention as U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry called for it to halt a takeover of the disputed province.
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Yet another saga of incompetence, corruption, cowardice and lies.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/here-is-a-warning-to-all-parisians-breathing-can-damage-your-health-9193089.html
Here is a warning to all Parisians: breathing can damage your health
A mixture of good weather and stubbornly bad public policy leaves French capital in grip of worst atmospheric pollution for seven years – with public transport running for free
John Lichfield
Paris
Friday 14 March 2014
Avoid going outdoors in the early morning if you’re in Paris. Avoid going out in the late afternoon. If you are over 65, or under five, you should stay indoors.
Do not drive. If you have to drive, drive slowly. Cancel, or reduce, all “intensive sporting activity”. (Question: does that include Saturday evening’s France-Ireland rugby international?)
An invisible but potentially lethal enemy assailed Paris and most of northern France on Friday – the air.
Paris is in the grip of its worst atmospheric pollution for seven years, caused by a mixture of good weather and stubbornly bad public policy.
A run of unseasonably warm, windless days and cold clear nights has clamped a lid of warm air over northern France. Under that lid, minuscule particles of pollution – partly generated by France’s long love-affair with the diesel-powered car – have accumulated to dangerous levels.
The Eiffel tower and Paris roofs glimpsed through a haze of pollution The Eiffel tower and Paris roofs glimpsed through a haze of pollution (Getty) The level of official “pollution alert” – 80 microgrammes of tiny particles for every cubic metre of air – has been exceeded each day since Wednesday in 30 départements (counties) across northern France.
In an attempt to keep traffic to a minimum, all public transport has been declared free until Sunday in Paris, Rouen and Caen Even the Velib’, the Parisian help-yourself, short-term-hire bikes which fathered the Boris Bikes in London, have been declared free.
Is that sensible? In the midst of one of the most intense and prolonged pollution scares northern France has ever seen, is cycling still good for your health?
With the naked eye, it was difficult yesterday to see what all the fuss was about. Paris was basking for the send week in a row in bright, near-summer weather. The daffodils were gleaming in the Tuileries gardens. Women were wearing summer dresses.
If you looked just above the roofs of the buildings, however, there was a fat, smudgy, grey layer before the sky shaded into pale blue. The Eiffel Tower, and the skyscrapers in the La Défense office ghetto west of the city, were cloaked in a faint, grey-yellow haze.
France is especially vulnerable to this kind of pollution because it is 60 per cent dependent on diesel cars. In the 1960s, French government and industry made a strategic decision that diesel engines were less polluting and would gradually supersede petrol.
Exhaust gases are partly blamed for the fine particle pollution affecting Paris and several French cities Exhaust gases are partly blamed for the fine particle pollution affecting Paris and several French cities (Getty) The French car giants, Renault and Peugeot-Citroen invested heavily in diesel engines. Diesel fuel was taxed less heavily than petrol – and still is.
For nearly two decades France has been aware that this was a terrible mistake. Diesel engines are more polluting, not less. Fumes from diesel cars, as well as industrial emissions and agricultural fertilisers, are blamed for increasing the micro-particles in the French atmosphere to potentially dangerous levels.
Successive governments have lacked the courage to steer the French car-makers away from diesel engines or to increase taxes on the diesel fuel which is used by two out of three motorists (and voters).
According to on study, there are 40,000 premature or unnecessary deaths in France each year because of the high level of atmospheric pollution. The European Commission has brought a legal action against France in the European Court of Justice for its failure to respect EU anti-pollution laws.
Corinne Lepage, environment minister from 1995 to 1997, now an independent ecological activist, said: “There has never been the political will to attack the problem. I tried to set the ball rolling with a clean air law in December 1996, which put into effect European clean air directives.”
“That law has never been applied. Governments of both Left and Right have been scared of the car industry and motorists’ lobbies.”
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Waiting for this to hit.
http://news.msn.co.nz/nationalnews/8814599/cyclone-lusi-hits-new-zealand
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Sums it up nicely.
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LMFAO.
Sounds better when the lady says it though.
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Us and Them
Our resources are running out,
So surviving much longer’s in doubt;
Jungle law explains why,
And who will deny
That’s what’s the fighting’s about?
H/T: Pink Floyd
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Great job Benjamin – right to the point!
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Haha thanks Tom! 🙂
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Another dire warning for people to ignore.
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/earth-insight/2014/mar/14/nasa-civilisation-irreversible-collapse-study-scientists?utm_content=buffer8f54d&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
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We spotted Apneaman.
Golly gosh, ‘the answer’ is to implement policies which are the very opposite of those officially in place throughout most of the world.
Who’d have thought that?
. .
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Terrorist!
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Liked the illustration Raw Story used for this story:
Looks like my guy in…
Extinction is Profitable, in the Short Term
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Mike Whitney’s commentary:
“Ten years after U.S. airstrikes on Baghdad punctuated the start of the Iraq war, nearly six in 10 Americans say the war was not worth fighting – a judgment shared by majorities steadily since initial success gave way to years of continued conflict.
Nearly as many in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll say the same about the war in Afghanistan. And while criticisms of both wars are down from their peaks, the intensity of sentiment remains high, with strong critics far outweighing strong supporters.” (A Decade on, Most are Critical of the U.S.-Led War in Iraq, ABC News)
And that brings us to today and the looming prospect of a war with Russia over developments in the Crimea. Here’s what people are thinking according to a survey in the Washington Post:
“A new poll suggests Americans have very little appetite for any real involvement in the crisis in Ukraine. Only 29 percent of Americans would like for the Obama administration to take a ‘firm stand’ against Russia’s incursion into its neighbor, according to the Pew Research Center poll, while nearly twice as many — 56 percent — prefer the United States not to get too involved in Ukraine.
The poll reflects a war-weary American public that is still very reticent to get involved in international conflicts. The American people were similarly opposed to military intervention in Syria last year, despite President Obama calling for the use of force and seeking congressional approval for action.” (Few Americans want ‘firm stand’ against Russia in Ukraine, Washington Post)
Of course, Obama doesn’t care the American people want. He’s going to do what he signed-on to do; crack down on civil liberties, strangle the economy, and spread war across the planet. As far as the warmongering goes–he’s doing an even better job than Bush. Don’t believe me? Just check out this clip from the International Business Times:
“In their annual End of Year poll, researchers for WIN and Gallup International surveyed more than 66,000 people across 65 nations and found that 24 percent of all respondents answered that the United States “is the greatest threat to peace in the world today.” Pakistan and China fell significantly behind the United States on the poll, with 8 and 6 percent, respectively.” (In Gallup Poll, The Biggest Threat To World Peace Is… America?, IBT)
There you have it, the Obama presidency in a nutshell: “The United States is the greatest threat to peace in the world today.” Keep in mind, this survey wasn’t taken during the Bush years. Oh no. This is all Obama’s doing, every bit of it.
Let’s summarize: The majority of Americans think Obama is doing a lousy job. They think the economy stinks, and they think their financial situation is getting worse. They also think the country is on the wrong track, that America is a threat to world peace, and that they don’t want anymore goddamned wars.
Check, check, check, check and check.
So, what do you think the Obama administration’s reaction to this public outpouring has been?
I’ll tell you what it’s been. They’re happy. That’s right, they’re happy. Despite the plunging poll numbers and dwindling public support, the Obama team feels vindicated by the fact that they’re not as widely reviled as the Bush administration. That’s their benchmark: Bush. And they could be on to something too, after all, who would have thought that a president could repeal habeas corpus, destroy the economy, launch wars and coups like they’re going out of style, vaporize hundreds of innocent people in drone attacks, intensify surveillance on every man, woman and child in the United States, and claim the right to assassinate US citizens without due process, without inciting millions of enraged Americans to grab their pitchforks and head to Washington?
That’s what would have happened if Bush was still in office, right? But Obama gets a “pass”. Why? Because he’s an articulate, charismatic black man who the vast majority of Dems still admire. Can you believe it?
Obama represents everything these people profess to hate–war, drone attacks, Gitmo, austerity, Wall Street (no prosecutions), indefinite detention, executive privilege (to assassinate) etc–and yet they still put the man on a pedestal. Which is why we think that Obama is the greatest public relations invention of all-time; a beaming, exuberant, galvanic paragon who embodies all the laudatory characteristics of leadership and who–at the same time– is able to carry out the most despicable, inhuman acts without the slightest hesitation or remorse. He is man who feels nothing towards his fellow human beings, neither empathy, compassion, or mercy. What matters to Obama is that he faithfully follow the script that’s been written for him by his miscreant handlers, that odious amalgam of cutthroat corporatists, bank mandarins and loafing ivy league silver-spooners who make up America’s iniquitous Kleptocracy. The best description of Obama I’ve ever read was in the comments section of a foreign policy blogsite called Moon of Alabama by a blogger named “bevin”. Here’s what he said:
“I think that Obama is completely empty of scruples…just a willing executioner. From the ruling class’s point of view he is the perfect figurehead because his mere appearance confuses and disarms so many. He seems to have spent his whole life trying to get chosen to play Judas. And that is all there is in his resume…
They present him as negligent, never responsible, never intentionally connected to an evil act, never drawn into the acts of duplicity by a conscious intent. This is the false image, the disinformation projected about who he is…
It strikes me that Obama is all those things. And that this is the core of the evil in him- that he is without conscience or principle, just an ordinary butcher going about his business, fulfilling the terms of his employment, doing what he was asked to do…
You see him as focused and intentional.
I see him as someone who will sign a stack of death warrants without reading them, or thinking about them again. Remember just after November 2008, waiting to take office, how the Israelis attacked Gaza, obviously to show him who is boss? Didn’t you sense that even they were surprised at the insouciance with which he watched those extraordinary massacres pass before his eyes?
He didn’t care. And he was, at last, relieved of the chore of pretending that he did care about such things.
That’s really what he likes about being President: he can relax while the killing goes on, he doesn’t need to pretend it bothers him, he doesn’t need to pass any kind of moral judgment.
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/
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What about Eco-Apocalypse?
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“Let me suggest something a bit more radical: the utter failure of the masses to grasp the immensity of the collapse story already unfolding around us while a few intrepid folks call bullshit on the substitute story offered by clever politicians, pundits, and marketeers — rhetoricians all — is equivalent to the divide between a poor, illiterate, itinerant farmer (or hunter or trapper) ca. 1780 and the Founders, a tiny group of landed gentry who were exceptionally well-educated men — Renaissance men, if you will, all having deep understanding of political and Enlightenment philosophy of the day.”
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U- Every time I listen to one of these I wonder where I’ve been since 1973.
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There are at least a billion families on this planet competing for consumption tickets ( also known as fiat.) Since human desires and imaginations are infinite, the competition for consumption tickets will continue until an increasing-sum game becomes a zero-sum game becomes a decreasing-sum game and every consumption ticket acquired is one taken out of the hands of someone else. The total number of consumption tickets may skyrocket to soothe the troubled masses, but their relative value will shrink accordingly. Eventually the poor will rebel (for lack of food, heat, etc.) and this disruption will reverberate through the delicate structures of energy, food and medical care production and distribution. A positive feedback will become established in which various strikes, sabotage and non-compliance further retard the flow of finished goods to consumers. Wars with other national tribes will be started to maintain “unity”. If this fails, Homeland Security may recategorize most of the agitating poor as “terrorists” and deal with them as such.
The increasing-sum period is a period of growth and capitalism works well, everyone’s bread gets buttered. The zero-sum period is one where wealth flows towards those that have stacked the cards in their own favor and wages and employment are stagnant or decreasing. The decreasing-sum period will be marked by a rapid drop in employment and drop in compensation for labor and a steady increase in resource cost that will price many out of the necessities of life. The commons will be further decimated as desperate people scour the environment for “free” goods like firewood or risk-on goods like the neighbor’s poorly guarded stash. Nations and the wealthy will be predatory upon each other but this will only result in further degradation in the ability to produce and distribute goods.
I was just looking at an old silver certificate that could be traded one-for-one for a silver dollar as late as 1968. Now I would have to produce 21 of the paper certificates for a similar coin. Perhaps in the near future silver and gold mining will be outlawed as every modicum of energy will be needed to meet the metabolic needs of a human population coming to terms with OVERSHOOT.
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Sadly, as things deteriorate the poor are spending more of their dwindling consumption tickets on lottery tickets.
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Is there support to be found for your statement? It wouldn’t surprise me, but I’d prefer you supply it rather than make unsupported statements.
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Visit a convenience store in my neighborhood.
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It’s anecdotal, but I take my elderly mother to the mall once or twice a week to shop and I sit on a bench, 15 feet from a lottery kiosk, cause I hate shopping. All sorts of people stop there. I have observed that seemingly lower income folks and seniors prefer scratch tickets. Also there is an electronic Keno game every 4 minutes and many anxiously huddle around the screen with tickets in hand. I remember when the government did not run the gambling dens they used to call it vice and it was a crime. Now it’s pure and wholesome entertainment called “Gaming” that happens to be worth billions. I can upload a video just for you Brutus in case your not not convinced that gambling has been increasing in lock step with alcohol, street drugs, antidepressants, homelessness, suicide, and many other indicators of a dieing society. If you prefer.
http://www.businessinsider.com/households-earning-less-than-13000-a-year-spend-9-of-their-income-on-lottery-tickets-2012-3
https://www.cmu.edu/news/archive/2008/July/july24_lottery.shtml
http://thinkprogress.org/economy/2013/05/20/2035751/lottery-powerball-poverty-state-budgets/
http://www.ncjustice.org/?q=media-release-report-most-impoverished-north-carolina-counties-top-lottery-sales-list
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@ Brutus and Apneaman,
See below here:
https://collapseofindustrialcivilization.com/2014/03/13/us-and-them/comment-page-1/#comment-20376
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James said: “The increasing-sum period is a period of growth and capitalism works well, everyone’s bread gets buttered.”
American multinationals and other first world corporations continually “exploit” low wage workers in other countries in order to extract HUGE profits for the CEOs. Wage slavery can be offshored, out of sight and out of mind of the consumers in the first world. The elites of foreign governments are bribed so that multinationals can do as they please, polluting their land and abusing the local population. As energy sources dry up, we have seen this strategy come home to roost with the clawing back of environmental and financial regulation so that now the American masses are to be treated more like the Third Worlders they trampled on for so long.



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Email from Nate Hagens:
I was just going to write this to Jay [Hanson], but figured I’d share w/list, but leave out names.
This past week I went to a major university to work on an energy project. I spent over an hour with a well-known environmental figure, who told me he would push any button possible to collapse civilization but there are no buttons to press, because the train is speeding with no one person or group at the controls. He also said the status ceiling (my term) was incredibly constraining and he was deeply disappointed by his senior (e.g 60 y/o or older) colleagues who didn’t speak the truth or become active on climate etc for fear of being ostracized or losing status. He called his (very famous) university ‘little more than a well painted whore’, given how the professors focus on what they get funding for only, and funding comes from govt or corporations for the most part which is all growth/business-as-usual based. And yet he hopes blogging and telling people about the intersection of environment and human behavior is our best hope.
The energy experts I met with had a lot of interesting things to say. They think tar sands are much cheaper (higher EROI) than most people think and we have many decades of 6-8 million barrels per day minimum coming out of there. (CO2 another issue). They do not remotely understand the urgency of the debt problem –“We just print more money and extract more energy. What’s the problem?”
I then went to a political fundraiser, a small party with 18 people. I was the poorest person in the room by 3 orders of magnitude. The next poorest person had about 30 million and the richest several hundred million. The president of a top 5 environmental organization was there and spoke on behalf of climate urgency. He said we have the technology and ability to entirely cease coal-fired electricity and oil production within 5-10 years and replace with renewables at 1-2 percent higher cost. One plan floated was for billionaires to get together and raise 50 billion (current market cap of US coal companies) and buy the stocks and shut the plants down. It was lunacy. The politician in the room came up to me and said he read my bio on the PCI website and didn’t understand a word of it. Said it was in a foreign language. Point taken.
I met another very wealthy fellow yesterday who is very concerned about peak oil and climate and social equity etc. He said at 3% oil decline a year we will eventually not have any oil and oil shortages are what we need to worry about. I told him US oil consumption peaked in 2006 but production has been growing every year since then and is on track to surpass the 1970 peak by 2017 or so (I think it will be close, but not happen). He was very surprised to hear these facts (worried about peak oil but hasn’t noticed US production spike of last 5 years, etc.)
My conclusions after pow-wowing with the rich and famous were the following, which should be no surprise to long-term readers here:
1) EVERYONE believes in their own world view. The more power/influence one has, the less likely one’s views will meaningfully change. Ever.
2a) Very few people can think in systems terms. They become experts in their one area and implicitly assume that other areas are held constant.
2b) The way the human brain is organized is a bigger risk to the planet than peak oil or climate change.
3) We cannot have a functioning democracy if people don’t understand basic first principles (energy, evolution, environment, etc).
4) The status ceiling of deferring to most respected, influential person in the room is a natural ape instinct and is a main reason nothing will happen on these core issues.
5) Education is necessary but insufficient for the problems we face. Education (a) grows the tribe, (b) increases the odds of higher number of people in future understanding of things and (c) plants seed of an ethic but (d) doesn’t change behavior.
6) I much prefer hanging out with my dogs and chickens on my farm.
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I’ve known more than my share of the very wealthy. Mostly in my capacity as a service person. They are very unhappy and very stuck in their rut.
One of the more interesting characters had been an investment banker with Morgan Stanley. After a stroke and waiting to die of brain cancer he had a personality transplant. Even gave away most of his money. One day I asked him what an investment banker did all day. His reply: “It’s a drinking club.” Asked how they picked investments: “We don’t. We never put money on the table until the fix is in.” Asked about the broader role of banking in the cosmos: “It’s a club. Do anything you like but never go against the club. Personal bad behavior is always forgiven. Doing anything with money but making more of it makes you an outcast. These guys are not capable at any level of going it alone.”
I like cats and chickens.
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Ten years ago a lot of people were saying that Mexico was on a slippery slope and that it would cease to be an exporter of oil by around 2010. Meanwhile domestic consumption was rising, leading to the high probability that Mexico would become a net importer of oil. Additionally, it was said that Mexico would go broke because a large portion of government revenues came from oil.
Extraction did fall rapidly for several years, from 3.5 to 2.6 mbpd, but then started to fall relatively slowly; presumably this was due to a lot of extra drilling and fracking, Presumably the government’s financial problems were ‘remedied’ by additional money-printing.
http://www.indexmundi.com/energy.aspx?country=mx
The obvious question is this: will the higher-than-anticipated extraction that has occurred since 2008 result in an even steeper cliff a few years from now?
One thing is certain: the greater-than-anticipated oil supply has permitted Mexico to dig a bigger hole for itself and has exacerbated the environmental predicament we regularly discuss.
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Universities are centers of mutagenic activity, evolution on the fast track. Their focus upon advancements in technology has allowed us to overcome many of the harsh limitations that fostered our adaptation to the natural environment. Now that this technological cancer has eaten most everything that can be metabolized for growth, human longevity and comfort, these brilliant geniuses still fail to understand the lethal impact of their activities or have subconsciously decided that temporary personal gain is a fair trade-off against a ninety-five percent guarantee of future annihilation. Technology cannot bring back a concentrated resource deposit like soil, phosphates and fossil fuels that have been dispersed and converted so completely that no amount of energy can get them back. The links in the technological evolutionary chain have been successful so far, but all it takes is a single broken link that will drop us into the waste heap of failed evolution. The next link of the chain always exists in the imaginations of men, technological wonders to carry us forward, but malignant growth, the kind sponsored by corporate, banking and Wall St. entities, will guarantee the current technological link is our last one.
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quoting Nate Hagens: The way the human brain is organized is a bigger risk to the planet than peak oil or climate change.
This remark could use deeper exploration, some of which comes in the second quote from the same author. I’ve done a fair bit of reading on brain structure, perception, memory, cognition, and related subjects. I’m not nearly expert enough to synthesize even a sliver of what’s available in neuroscience and neuropsychology, but I have a couple things to observe.
Like arguments that boil down the profundity of interactions in dynamic systems to a single metaphor (e.g., energy gradients, cancer, parasites, reproductive imperatives, cycles of deep history), the brain has become a central metaphor for what drives us. Yet the brain itself is highly plastic, meaning, adaptive to cultural conditions and continuously rewiring itself. I suspect Hagens recognizes that when he remarks that we are “ultrasocial.” So whether it’s the brain (biology) or society (mind or group mind) that has the larger role to play (shades of the nature/nurture question) is perhaps focusing too tightly on one cause/effect. It’s a question of seeing the forest through the trees (to toss out yet another metaphor).
Also, threat seems to me an odd word. Hagens appears to be a realist in recognizing that who we are accounts for why we act as we do. Moreover, understanding that fact through one metaphor or another (or one meme complex or another) does little to enable us act differently. We cannot be other than according to our own nature. The word threat also invites us to conceptualize in terms of yet another external enemy, when it’s obvious we’re our own worst enemies. Further, the way we typically fight enemies is to kill them, or in biology, to excise them. Clearly, our self-preservation instinct won’t allow us to destroy ourselves in any straightforward fashion, even though we’re ironically destroying ourselves indirectly through other mechanisms.
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Not surprisingly, the development of agriculture was the evolutionary point in time when humans made the jump to ultrasociality:
“…Over millennia group selection favored those societies characterized by extensive division of labor, intensive and extensive resource exploitation, territorial expansion, and a type of social organization favoring the flourishing of the group itself over the well-being of individuals within the group. This type of social organization is rare in nature but wildly successful when it occurs. The social insects—ants, bees, termites, and wasps—made a similar leap in social organization and the broad characteristics of their societies are remarkably similar to human societies. We argue that this is a case of parallel evolution and that similar evolutionary forces are at work. Ultrasocaility can help explain the dramatic changes in the human condition after agriculture—the population explosion, the contradiction between declining individual well-being and the evolutionary success of our species, the human domination of local ecosystems, and our relentless exploitation of local resources…”
Click to access K116_Gowdy_Krall.pdf
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I wonder if people suffered from depression before this period. Somehow I think not.
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Follow up comment by Nate:
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“Those in poverty or near poverty not only are more likely to play the lottery than those with greater means, they also spend a larger percent of their money on average on these games of chance…
… we find there are big jumps in lottery purchases when the poverty rate increases, when unemployment increases, or when people enroll on welfare.
Lottery playing among the poor is a Hail Mary investment strategy — a small ray of hope among the hopeless.”
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The nothingness of Obama…
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A very large number ( arguably the vast majority ) of US presidents over the past 100 years or so have been utterly contemptible, so why would Obama be any different? Why would anyone believe anything Obama says? Oh, I forgot, it’s the game that has to be played.
(The same applies to British, Australian, NZ, Canadian etc. prime ministers, of course: liars, manipulators, opportunists, hand-waving and flag-waving puppets of international money-lenders and corporations, or members of their ‘club’, )
I am reminded of Jaque Fresco in his Zeitgeist diatribe featuring ‘This shit’s go to stop’.
But it doesn’t. The ‘shit’ just carries on, getting shittier by the day.
I can see why Carlin ‘gave up on his species;.
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Oil mars Ala. swamp 4 months after crude train crash; critics raise questions about oil trains
http://www.edmontonjournal.com/news/mars+swamp+months+after+crude+train+crash+critics+raise/9622544/story.html
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A Millennial Asks: Are We Screwed?
Recession, climate change… imminent collapse? New Tyee series probes the big question of my generation.
http://thetyee.ca/News/2014/03/13/Are-We-Screwed/
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We’ll know for sure by the end of this year.
Any species capable of the following was pretty much screwed over a century ago but it needed the opportunity to demonstrate the fact.
‘Well done’ Fritz Haber and the chemical corporations. Of course all wars since gunpowder featured prominently have been chemical wars, but WWI took it all to new heights.
And since Mike is fond using gasmasks as a symbols of the toxicity of industrialism, let’s get the basics established.
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Haber’s wife killed herself in disgust and despair when her husband persisted in poison gas experiments. He subsequently was awarded a Nobel Prize (though not for instigating mass murder).
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This vividly demonstrates how new technology impacted in 1914. The first engagement in Belgium involved horsemen using swords and lances! Eight weeks later it was very different story.
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http://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/forests-around-chernobyl-arent-decaying-properly-180950075/?no-ist
Forests Around Chernobyl Aren’t Decaying Properly
It wasn’t just people, animals and trees that were affected by radiation exposure at Chernobyl, but also the decomposers: insects, microbes, and fungi
Nearly 30 years have passed since the Chernobyl plant exploded and caused an unprecedented nuclear disaster. The effects of that catastrophe, however, are still felt today. Although no people live in the extensive exclusion zones around the epicenter, animals and plants still show signs of radiation poisoning.
Birds around Chernobyl have significantly smaller brains that those living in non-radiation poisoned areas; trees there grow slower; and fewer spiders and insects—including bees, butterflies and grasshoppers—live there. Additionally, game animals such as wild boar caught outside of the exclusion zone—including some bagged as far away as Germany—continue to show abnormal and dangerous levels of radiation.
However, there are even more fundamental issues going on in the environment. According to a new study published in Oecologia, decomposers—organisms such as microbes, fungi and some types of insects that drive the process of decay—have also suffered from the contamination. These creatures are responsible for an essential component of any ecosystem: recycling organic matter back into the soil. Issues with such a basic-level process, the authors of the study think, could have compounding effects for the entire ecosystem.
[read about the experiment and conclusions; article ends with]
Unfortunately, there’s no obvious solution for the problem at hand, besides the need to keep a stringent eye on the exclusion zone to try to quickly snuff out potential fires that breaks out. The researchers are also collaborating with teams in Japan, to determine whether or not Fukushima is suffering from a similar microbial dead zone.
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Fascinating. So will it drown in its own waste?
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This piece in the Smithsonian was fascinating. Last year PBS ran an episode of Nature that focused on Chernobyl. Oddly enough the focus was on how Nature was coming back so rapidly. Yet, the piece seemed to side step the issues which were raised in this short article. Not really surprising to me about PBS. As 1 year later it was revealed that the anti-pension documentary PBS was going to air was funded by anti-pensioner John Arnold, talk about vested interests.
The reason I bring this up is I work with a farmer on Long Island. The farmer is a woman and rapid liberal democrate, Obama loving, Republican hating, green, environmentalist with a PhD in ornithology. All through the season she kept bringing up this episode of Nature as to why Chernobyl wasn’t as bad as we though, so, we didn’t need to worry about Fuk. Oddly enough she was rabidly against Shorehem coming on line so NIMBY.
She was also convinced nuclear could be safe as a review in Newsday about a new pro-nuclear documentary stated that future power plants would reuse the waste generated. And there’s always the promise of fusion. That documentary was done by a former anti-nuclear person who “evolved” into pro-nuc activist.
http://www.newsday.com/opinion/columnists/anne-michaud/michaud-a-persuasive-case-to-rethink-nuclear-power-1.5469139
Despite repeated attempts to get her to read the reports produced by Russian physicians the farmer insisted that only a few thousand died because of Chernobyl. So this is only one experience why I have no expectation that humans will do anything other than drive themselves and everything else to extinction. The conclusions reached by Nate Hagen came as no surprise to me.
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Word from our wealthy over-lords:
http://www.businessinsider.com.au/bill-gates-bots-are-taking-away-jobs-2014-3
Bill Gates: People Don’t Realise How Many Jobs Will Soon Be Replaced By Software Bots
Big changes are coming to the labour market that people and governments aren’t prepared for, Bill Gates believes.
Speaking at Washington, D.C., economic think tank The American Enterprise Institute on Thursday, Gates said than within 20 years, a lot of jobs will go away, replaced by software automation (“bots” in tech slang, though Gates used the term “software substitution”).
This what he said:
“Software substitution, whether it’s for drivers or waiters or nurses … it’s progressing. … Technology over time will reduce demand for jobs, particularly at the lower end of skill set. … 20 years from now, labour demand for lots of skill sets will be substantially lower. I don’t think people have that in their mental model.”
[read the rest]
___________
Good thing we don’t have 20 more years!
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Just read an interview with the tech guru Gates in Rolling Stone. He of course believes in geoengineering, has recently discussed climate change with one of the Koch brothers, and believes mankind’s appetite for unending amounts of energy into the future is a given:
Excerpt:
…
Are you hopeful that global climate talks will lead to a solution?
Many climate-change discussions are off-target because they’ve focused on things like the $100 billion per year that some people believe should be spent by the rich world to help the developing world, which is not really addressing the problem. At the same time, discussion about how to increase funding of research-and-development budgets to accelerate innovation is surprisingly missing. We haven’t increased R&D spending, we haven’t put a price signal [like a carbon tax] in, and this is certainly very disappointing. I think it’s a real test of the boundary of science and politics – and an acid test of people’s time horizons. Before the economic downturn, attitudes in the U.S. about climate change had become quite enlightened, and then there was a big reversal, which I believe was a result of people’s worries about their immediate economic situation. Talking about problems that will have a significant effect 30 or 40 years out just gets off the agenda, and there’s this shrill political debate that is distracting people. So we’ve made some progress, but you can’t take the progress we’ve made and linearize it – if you do, you really are going to find out how bad climate change can be.
Let’s say climate change was delayed 100 years. If that were the case, science would take care of this one. We wouldn’t have to double the Department of Energy budget, because there’s five or six different paths to go down. And 100 years, at the current rate and speed of science, is a long time.
We’re heading for big trouble, right?
Absolutely. That’s why I happen to think we should explore geo-engineering. But one of the complaints people have against that is that if it looks like an easy out, it’ll reduce the political will to cut emissions. If that’s the case, then, hey, we should take away heart surgery so that people know not to overeat. I happened to be having dinner with Charles Koch last Saturday, and we talked a little bit about climate change.
And what was the conversation like?
He’s a very nice person, and he has this incredible business track record. He was pointing out that the U.S. alone can’t solve the problem, and that’s factually correct. But you have to view the U.S. doing something as a catalyst for getting China and others to do things. The atmosphere is the ultimate commons. We all benefit from it, and we’re all polluting it. It’s amazing how few problems there are in terms of the atmosphere. . . . There’s just this one crazy thing that CO2 hangs around for a long, long time, and the oceans absorb it, which acidifies them, which is itself a huge problem we should do something about.
Like cut carbon emissions fast.
Yes, but people need energy. It’s a gigantic business. The main thing that’s missing in energy is an incentive to create things that are zero-CO2-emitting and that have the right scale and reliability characteristics.
It leads to your interest in nuclear power, right?
If you could make nuclear really, really safe, and deal with the economics, deal with waste, then it becomes the nirvana you want: a cheaper solution with very little CO2 emissions. If we don’t get that, you’ve got a problem. Because you are not going to reduce the amount of energy used. For each year between now and 2100, the globe will use more energy. So that means more CO2 emissions every year. TerraPower, which is the nuclear-energy company that I’m backing, required a very long time to get the right people together, it required computer modeling to get the right technology together, and even now it’s going to require the U.S. government to work with whatever country decides to build a pilot project – China, maybe. In a normal sort of private market, that project probably wouldn’t have emerged. It took a fascination with science, concern about climate change and a very long-term view. Now, I’m not saying it’s guaranteed to be successful, although it’s going super, super well, but it’s an example of an innovation that might not happen without the proper support.
Nuclear power has failed to fulfill its promises for a variety of economic and technical reasons for 40 years. Why continue investing in nuclear power instead of, say, cheap solar and energy storage?
Well, we have a real problem, and so we should pursue many solutions to the problem. Even the Manhattan Project pursued both the plutonium bomb and the uranium bomb – and both worked! Intermittent energy sources [like wind and solar] . . . yeah, you can crank those up, depending on the quality of the grid and the nature of your demand. You can scale that up 20 percent, 30 percent and, in some cases, even 40 percent. But when it comes to climate change, that’s not interesting. You’re talking about needing factors of, like, 90 percent.
…
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He mentions 100 years from now a few times as if it’s a given that the system will still be in place.
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Robot killing machine, Yes. Robot caring machine, No. DARPA don’t do dat.
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A new study involved the common belief that collapse theory is fringe or controversial.
History points out, the study concludes, that collapse theory should be mainstream because it is supported by history:
“A new study sponsored by Nasa’s Goddard Space Flight Center has highlighted the prospect that global industrial civilisation could collapse in coming decades due to unsustainable resource exploitation and increasingly unequal wealth distribution.
Noting that warnings of ‘collapse’ are often seen to be fringe or controversial, the study attempts to make sense of compelling historical data showing that “the process of rise-and-collapse is actually a recurrent cycle found throughout history.” Cases of severe civilisational disruption due to “precipitous collapse – often lasting centuries – have been quite common.” ”
(Exploded Planet Hypothesis – 3). Congratulations on being mainstream. 😉
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Excellent. I was just working on an essay that mentioned the social stigma surrounding the subject of societal collapse.
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A bit more from Nate Hagens
While reviewing the performances, reviews and commentary from this year’s CeeraWeek 2014 Festival, I found a two month old post on Platts questioning ongoing faith in the “flawed vision” that has attended this event for so long. Nate Hagens left the final comment…
“Humans are part of nature. In nature organisms and ecosystems self-organize so as to better access available energy gradients. Since around the dawn of agriculture, individual human wants and needs have been suppressed for growing surplus for the ‘hive’ that is greater society, and now civilization. The cost of high quality energy is our true cost of capital. As aggregate EROI declines, ‘the hive’ can still maintain/slightly increase gross energy production by adding more credit to the system, which has a catabolic effect on existing infrastructure – in effect we are living on marginal energy return as opposed to fixed/total. Money doesn’t create energy, but it does allow us access to more of the remaining cost-tiers, faster/sooner, and in the process disguised the limits by hiding the effects.
From this (anthropological) perspective, those in this thread and in the broader Peak Oil community are operating on a flawed assumption. The system isn’t broken. It’s working perfectly. Who is this crazy fringe group that is trying to move the hive away from rich feeding grounds of un-oxidized fossil carbon. That an organization like CERA would emerge and remain as a spokesperson for rationalizing continued access to our (declining) energy gradient is exactly what one would expect under the Maximum Power Principle. Because to listen to us (in aggregate) it means we make decisions to move our policies and infrastructure away from fossil magic before the magic goes away on its own accord. This is possible but extremely unlikely given our genetic leashes and ultrasocial cultural makeup. CERAs pronouncements rationalize what the majority of people with status and accomplishments want to hear. Cognitive dissonance too, has been adaptive.”
http://blogs.platts.com/2014/02/19/cera-criticism/
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Something else to ignore:
399.49ppm carbon dioxide, up 2.84ppm from a year ago, and on track for 402 to 403ppm in May.
http://co2now.org/Current-CO2/CO2-Now/weekly-data-atmospheric-co2.html
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It’s well expected, yes. Continuing the multi-decadal trend or accelerating CO2 accumulation in the athmosphere.
There is something else, though. Something not (very much) expected, – tripled sea level rise during last 2 years time, the rise being nearly 3 times faster than ever before – now being at roughly 10mm/year (in other words, 4 inches per decade).
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yes, and it can rise suddenly if conditions are “right” to several feet in a shorter timespan
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Here is a peak oil talk from a purely business consulting perspective. It is quite accurate IMO.
Global Oil Market Forecasting: Main Approaches & Key Drivers
Steven Kopits, Managing Director, Douglas-Westwood
Tuesday, February 11, 2014
http://energypolicy.columbia.edu/events-calendar/global-oil-market-forecasting-main-approaches-key-drivers
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A lot of useful information there. Pity there is no discussion of EROEI or net energy decline.
Overall it supports the contention that ‘we’ will be in deep trouble 2016-2018.
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By the way, another form of ‘us and them’; how the US exploited the opportunity to thoroughly screw Britain;
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Couldn’t have happened to a nicer Empire.
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If there is any doubt in your mind, whatsoever, why we are well and truly fucked:
The Wolf of Wall Street:
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0993846/
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the repression/censorship continues (from Fuk reporting to the real deal on the missing airline – which now looks like a political protest by the pilot, and which may have gone awry):
http://enenews.com/nytimes-govt-scientist-allowed-publish-findings-fukushima-cesium-137-could-be-10000-times-higher-pacific-surface-waters-after-chernobyl-japan-researchers-pressure-downplay-disasters-impact-profe
NYTimes: Gov’t scientist not allowed to publish findings that Fukushima cesium-137 levels could be 10,000 times higher than after Chernobyl in Pacific surface waters — Japan researchers pressured to downplay disaster’s impact — Professors obstructed when data might cause public concern
New York Times, Mar. 16, 2014: […] As a senior scientist at the Japanese government’s Meteorological Research Institute, [Michio Aoyama] said levels of radioactive cesium 137 in the surface water of the Pacific Ocean could be 10,000 times as high as contamination after Chernobyl […] as Mr. Aoyama prepared to publish his findings […] the director general of the institute called with an unusual demand — that Mr. Aoyama remove his own name from the paper. […] Aoyama asked for his name to be removed, he said, and the article was not published. […] Off the record, university researchers in Japan say that even now, three years after the triple meltdown at the Fukushima Daiichi plant, they feel under pressure to play down the impact of the disaster […] In several cases, the professors say, they have been obstructed or told to steer clear of data that might cause public “concern.” […] stories of problems with Fukushima-related research are common, [Aoyama] said, including accounts of several professors’ being told not to measure radiation in the surrounding prefectures.
http://robinwestenra.blogspot.co.nz/2014/03/fukushima-foia-documents.html
U.S. Nuclear Agency Hid Concerns, Hailed Safety Record as Fukushima Melted
[begins]
In the tense days after a powerful earthquake and tsunami crippled the Fukushima Daiichi power plant in Japan on March 11, 2011, staff at the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission made a concerted effort to play down the risk of earthquakes and tsunamis to America’s aging nuclear plants, according to thousands of internal emails reviewed by NBC News.
The emails, obtained via the Freedom of Information Act, show that the campaign to reassure the public about America’s nuclear industry came as the agency’s own experts were questioning U.S. safety standards and scrambling to determine whether new rules were needed to ensure that the meltdown occurring at the Japanese plant could not occur here.
At the end of that long first weekend of the crisis three years ago, NRC Public Affairs Director Eliot Brenner thanked his staff for sticking to the talking points that the team had been distributing to senior officials and the public.
“While we know more than these say,” Brenner wrote, “we’re sticking to this story for now.” [read the rest]
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While there is indeed much not at all needed “us and them” in the world, and all sorts of not-needed divide of the sort, too – it is in the same time true that in many other cases, such a “us and them” view is totally proper.
I speak about cases when making such a “binary” distinction – is nesessary in order to explain some process, problem, or solution in a most readily understandable way. In such cases, this “us and them” distinction is merely a simplification, but often – very important simplification which allows to achieve meaningful and useful conclusions where otherwise (without such a simplification) it would be difficult, or sometimes impossible, to achieve those.
The price for the (easier, or even only-this-way-possible) understanding – is incompleteness and/or impreciseness of those conclusions. However, by further thinking and research, a capable individual can refine those initial (“rude”) conclusions. It is a gradual process of getting “approximate” understanding 1st, then using it together with other knowledge – getting more precise conclusion of the same sort.
That’s how “us and them” method is actually hugely useful device.
For example, on this site as well as on thousands others, we routinely see “us and them” distinction applied to financial status of men: it’s about “rich” people and “normal” people, the latter understood as “people who are not rich”. So it’s clearly a sort of “us and them” thing. In the same time, i bet that everybody knows that there is no set-in-stone “border”, no “precise amount” being “enough” for one to be “rich”. In reality, if we define a particular person being a rich man, than we can safely bet there are many other folks who are “half-rich”, “quarter-rich”, “tenth-rich” and so on and so forth, and all sorts in-between.
Still, “rich and poor” is used massively and often; exactly because it’s easier to say “rich and poor” than to bring in a couple of detailed graphs presenting detailed and real distribution of how-wealthy-people-are.
The whole concept of “black and white” – which in essence is the same thing, – can indeed be dangerous if used as a method to find final (practical) answers and solutions. It should not. Yet, if “black and white” is merely used to demonstrate some concept, to put a reader to grasp some not-so-easy-to-get dependancy in order for him to develop a better understanding of it once he gets “the basic idea”, – then, i say, there is nothing wrong about “black and white”. It just serves as one of many steps of analysis, – not being the last step and not ultimately defining the analysis’ outcome.
And so, both mighty good and also mighty bad things are possible as a result of creating/using such binary distinctions; all dependant on how people approach it in their mind, you see.
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Babbling
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To you, – it is. For now. There are others though. For some of those others, it ain’t babbling (i hope). Also, perhaps you will see it for more than just babbling in the future. Unless you are a kind of person who knows his own future in complete detail (which would be what, a “god” or alike?) – or a kind of person who never changes (which would be what, a person in coma? People in coma can’t type though… 😀 ).
Cheers. 😛
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Let me be charitable and agree that us-and-them distinctions have utility depending on what level of organization one considers. However, this blog is called The Collapse of Industrial Civilization. At that broadest of levels, binary thinking becomes meaningless, or worse, part of the problem. In the moment of crisis, when morality and good character beg us to rise above petty distinctions, I cynically expect that the powerful will behave absolutely miserably, just as they now do. So, too, will many (but not all) of the powerless. Still, everyone arrives at the roughtly same destination. The point I was making is that while we continue to jockey against each other for position and gain, we will accomplish nothing. You appear to be arguing that there’s a lot of gain still to be made. What exactly do you seek to accomplish?
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I was merely discussing how and when binary thinking has its utility, what is its utility, and why it has its place in most people’s thought process. Nothing else. I was not arguing for using binary thinking unappropriatly – which indeed is a widespread intellectual disease, if you’d ask me. And i definitely am jnot proposing to increase (or, maintain) present levels of competition for positions and short-term gains.
I seek to accomplish one very simple (to define), yet very difficult (to accomplish) thing: to ensure that sapience on this planet – survives through (and for long after) the Earth’s thermal maximum (which will happen, most likely, either during 2nd half of this century, or some time during 22nd century).
Note, i do not actually care whether sapience will be human sapience, or machine sapience. However, the latter is, so far, not any likely to be created before the collapse of _global_ industrial civilization, and even less likely – to be created after such a collapse. The only reason i mention machine sapience at all – is because this kind of sapience can potentially exist in a world where we humans can not, and there are possibilities that Earth will become such a world.
Therefore, the primary form of sapience which i seek to provide survival for – is human sapience. In order for it to survive through highly unhospitable times of thermal maximum, more than just “few people” is to be, because any significant sapience require more than just that (see Lykov family story to see how fast sapience goes away if it’s “just a few people surviving” case). On top of ensuring (in some or other way) that some people are able to live on physically, the following is also required:
1. sufficiently human-life-supporting environment (at least regionally);
2. the number of people has to be substantially high. At the very minimum, it must be about “units” of few thousands people, with substantial number of them being specialists (smiths, doctors, teachers, and so on);
3. the people themselves must be sapient and capable enough. Capable physically and/or intellectually according to the role every person plays in the society, that is;
4. such societies must have substantially high, and also helping enough to keep a stable society, culture – including laws, education systems, economic systems, language, armed forces and many other things;
5. means to maintain and further develop their culture. Such as things to write with, things to write on, and things with which it is possible to keep written things for a sufficiently long (at least centuries) time.
You see, without any SINGLE part of those 5, sapience will not be possible long-term. This planet lived for more than 4 billions years without sapience, and some say, it’s better for Earth to return to such a state. However, i disagree, because i am an optimist: i keep hoping that sapience can (and does) allow to create awesome things, – many of those awesome things completely impossible to be created by non-sapient forces of nature.
You now know what i am trying to accomplish in general, Brutus. May be, you now wonder what my previous comment has to do with it. If you do, – then the answer is: my previous comment is a tool with which some people may be able to increase their intellectual ability a little bit, and thus, my previous coment here – is a work towards increasing chances that some place, some time, p.3 (see two paragraphs above) – will be fulfilled. In serving one of required parts, my previous comment also serves the whole intent (of ensuring sapience survives on Earth).
P.S. Oh and please don’t think i am any “big mouth” about all this. I don’t have any napoleon’s complex, it’s not that i enjoy imagining myself anyhow able to affect big things. Quite the opposite, i am scared and feeling helpless (lots of time) in face of the exceedingly challenging task i have set for myself. However, it’s not really my choice: the shape Earth is in, and the shape it’ll be in in 30, 50 and 100 years (progressively unhabitable in most places around the globe) – this reality leaves no choice: the primary task – is to ensure sapience will remain on the face of Earth through the thermal maximum; everything else can wait. If this task is not done, then “everything was for nothing” in terms of human species, you know. And this “everything” would include every little thing, task, goal and achievement i could possibly do during my own life. So i don’t “talk big” because i like to; i “talk big” because i have to (aspecially when asked like that, you know).
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Asset selling by Exxon. More proof of peak oil without mentioning peak oil. I would expect nothing less from the Calgary media.
http://www.calgaryherald.com/business/Whitecap+buys+Imperial+legacy+assets/9627190/story.html
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