Tags
Climate Change, Collapse of Industrial Civilization, Eco-Apocalypse, Environmental Collapse, Extinction of Man, Gross Inequality, Runaway Climate Change, Social Unrest
Newcomers to the subject of industrial collapse have a lot of catch-up to do behind those in the vanguard. If the abundant evidence, collected over several decades by this late date but foreseen long ago, is evaluated honestly and soberly, the realization might reasonably stun the collapse ingénue into silence. But in the era of instantaneous communications, emotional promiscuity, oversharing, and careerist news reports logged in real time (before events are fully known), who has the good sense to refrain from adding one’s idiotic voice to the din — especially to ask questions and subsequently provide answers that have already been gone over thoroughly and discarded by others? None too many, I venture to say.
Having struggled to understand industrial collapse now for six years or so myself, it has been curious and demoralizing to witness how even the most hopeful optimists and problem-solvers have yielded to the conclusion that what solutions may have existed some decades ago are now long behind us. Given the nature of our institutions and individual characters, we’re actually accelerating toward doom rather than braking. Thus, old-timers often descend into what might be called a Slough of Despond, but collapse newbies still desperate to cheat reality would rather name it a Gulf of Despond. To the old guard, the Slough looks like an abyss, a black hole, a bottomless pit that gobbles insatiably all energies dumped into it. To late-comers, the Gulf, by virtue of its spin-doctored name, must be somehow manageable, bridgeable, traversible, often with a glorious opportunity to establish a new, utopian social order (within a generation, of course, because that’s how history works) using all the wisdom we’ve accrued about imbalances and abuses of power. I have some empathy for those just now getting on board, but for those with a pulpit from which to preach, I suspect misdirecting our energies may be worse than just letting things unfold. Hard to know.
So what exactly produces the Slough/Gulf? The short course is that we’re already in the midst of an epoch-changing shift — a process advancing with alarming celerity compared to precedence found in the geological record — due to rising levels of atmospheric greenhouse gases (released from burnt fossil fuels) that have initiated climate change and the sixth great extinction event, to which we humans are most certain to fall prey. Without bothering to assess blame, the numbers indicate that it is not something about to happen; it’s already in the process of happening and will only get successively worse as delayed effects and feedback loops come fully into play. Let me repeat: this is already happening and there can be no pullback, pullout, stall, or reverse. The worst case scenario is, well, the worst, and we appear to be on track to spring that trap on ourselves. Three foreseeable planet-wide effects are (1) runaway global warming and climate chaos, (2) collapse of the biosphere (basically, anything that lives except for a few extremophiles), and (3) total irradiation from hundreds of nuclear sites that will melt down after being left unattended.
But because the future has not yet happened, though it is laid out before us with inevitability if one is honest, all the preferred hedges and escape hatches in language are utilized (might, could, perhaps, potential, possible, probable, likely, etc.) about what’s occurring all around us. No doubt this quells panic that would ensue if a credible voice began telling the truth, but it also prevents adoption of moral choices still available to us for taking our leave gracefully while demonstrating some concern for the rest of creation. That would be for me the most global moral choice, but there are others far more specific. For instance, we could stop the mad, greedy hustle for more — power, riches, resources, extravagance — and instead live modestly so that those who follow in our wake before the end of it all have something other than abject misery and desperation. We could stop inflicting utterly tortuous lives in cages, feedlots, and industrial barns on animals that eventually become our McNuggets, Whoppers, and bacon. We could share what we have with those truly in need rather than hoarding, doing so without self-serving expectations. We could ease suffering and mistreatment inflicted on others by the pursuit of ever-greater efficiency and profit. We could stop doubling down on all the schemes and antisocial values that have landed us, knowingly or not, in a death spiral. Lots of options out there.
However, again, given our nature, we seem intent on ending none of the stupidity, profligacy, and cruelty done by us, on our behalf, or with our complicity at least partly because Judeo-Christian values that inform industrial capitalism are still revered as sacred. (This is why the radical right has been attacking the center right — including St. Ronnie — for not being righteous doctrinaire enough. It knows its vision of salvation is broken but doubles down in desperation to validate itself.) The most important individual choice, considering our powerlessness to put a stop to the industrial juggernaut and those very real hatchetmen who perpetuate it, may be simply to do our best to understand the world that history has delivered us, represent the truth as well as possible, and go forward while we can with clear eyes and conscience. That means treating others, both villains and victims in this living nightmare, with compassion rather than universal condemnation.
This may be just about the darkest view out there, and it gives me pain to express it, just as all doomers out there struggle with what to do with their awful foreknowledge, but it’s not nihilistic. It’s not Charleton Heston at the end of one of the Planet of the Apes movies saying, essentially, “fuck it” and triggering the ΑΩ Bomb. Rather, honorable moral choices in the face of self-annihilation offers an opportunity to achieve one last, satisfying bit of grace that helps ease the pain of knowing what humans have done to the planet.
Brutus.
You wrote: ‘That means treating others, both villains and victims in this living nightmare, with compassion rather than universal condemnation.’
I don’t know who is ahead of who here. About 15 years ago I recognised that we would all be doomed (and used that word) if the madness of extracting fossil fuels to power a mindless consumer economy continued, and devoted much effort to confronting the lies delivered to us by politicians and propagandists. They just carried on lying. And lying. And lying. They just kept on misrepresenting, manipulating and misleading. They ensured there was no public debate of anything that mattered. They deliberately sabotaged anyone who stood up for truth, justice, egalitarianism or sustainability.
You say we should treat villains, i.e. mendacious, self-serving sociopaths, with compassion. I say, hang the bastards. On second thought, no: implement the punishment I proposed several years ago of hard labour depaving areas of concrete and asphalt using hand tools.
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Being very acquainted with what Kevin has been up to for 15 years, IMO he’s right…except we’ve been seeing more psychopaths in leadership of business and politics, rather than sociopaths…
“what humans have done to the planet.” Oh, you mean what industrial “civilised’ humans have done to the planet….yup…
All of that depaving and landbase restoration has to start happening sooner than later, might as well find ways to get it started now. My compassion goes to the oppressed, the remnant indigenous, and the 200+ species going to extinction day, as The 6th Mass Extinction bites hard…
“Thwart the ‘civilised’ and they will grin from ear to ear, as they rip you limb from limb.” Derrick Jensen
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You know, I puzzled a little when I wrote that. My sense of justice not just thwarted but actively betrayed by the psychopaths in charge is ferocious, but my grief still swamps everything. So I don’t want my last efforts to be suffused with anger. I’m disinclined to forgiveness, but compassion does not require letting villains off the hook. Your suggestion that they be set about depaving is fine with me. Like our other potential moral choices, I don’t see that happened anytime soon.
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I agree with your compassionate stance. Sociopathy and psychopathy are not “flaws of human nature” or “evil incarnate”; they are standard psychological responses to a given set of life circumstances – a little bit of genetics (and I really mean a very little bit), in-utero development, childhood development, adolescence – all this before the neocortex is fully formed. Society needs healing if we are to avoid re-inflicting our traumas on future generations (if there are to be any). It is irresponsible to perpetuate new traumas as punishment for someone’s acting out of their own past traumas. I think if folks could get their heads around this we’d be facing more “what can we do with this mess we’re in” than “hang the bastards” rhetoric.
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Thanks for your comment. There is a range of opinion on the question whether others deserve compassion despite their misdeeds. I’m of mixed opinion myself. Your description of adaptive behaviors arising out of biology tends to explain away bad character a little too much for my taste. We have responsibility for our own actions despite whatever lousy formative environments we came from. But at the same time, it’s instructive to observe that the culture and its imperatives today create an especially effective incubator for sociopaths and psychopaths. Further, I’m none too convinced that our criminal justice and prison systems do much to reform anyone.
But the really bad stuff — environment-destroying stuff — goes unpunished because it fits within a profit-oriented culture that assiduously denies physical and mathematical reality in favor or appearances and outright lies (Clean Coal!). Kevin Moore is quite clear (I think, correct me if I misstate your contention, Kevin) that this isn’t merely blindness or ignorance but knowing and active sabotage so that a few more shekels can be grasped in the short term, leading to long-term problems that are irrecoverable for all of us. Like Kevin, I want justice for those who decide to destroy people and the environment for profit, but I suspect he and I differ with respect to how that might be best expressed.
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Yeah, I didn’t mean to infer that we should give people a pass on the basis of their reasons for being sociopathic or psychopathic – we are, as you say, all responsible for our actions. However, I did want to clarify that we need to understand the root causes of these behavioural responses to our society’s structure and functioning. Seeking vengeance for what has been done will do nothing to alter the conditions that caused people to be so destructive, which is why I’m none too jazzed with the prison-industrial complex as a response to social ills. I would like to see both justice and healing, and I think we probably have more common ground than difference there with regard to how that ought to work in an ideal world. Of course an ideal world is not something we have, but this does not cause me to drop my ethical stance. One of the worst culprits in Australia – Clive Palmer – is now my local MP (how the fuck did that happen?!) since wining decisively as a newcomer from nowhere on the political scene. I plan to pay him a wee visit or few and find out what this character is really all about and whether he genuinely falls into the “lost cause” basket. I’ll suspend judgement until after I’ve had a few words with him. BTW – please don’t read into this that I’m naive enough to think political lobbying will change anything. I intend to just speak to him as a human.
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Well said, but I fear most humans cannot control their judgemental reactions because they have not done the work to deprogram from their own early life trauma.
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WASHINGTON — In an unprecedented turn in American history, retired Marine Gen. James Mattis, several years after being dismissed by the President and exiled to his estate in the countryside, marched on the national capitol early Tuesday morning with an army over one hundred thousand strong.
This number includes at least ten infantry legions, several aviation and artillery legions, and multiple cavalry cohorts.
“I come in peace, by myself, in order to hand-deliver a Memorandum of Concern to the Commander in Chief and the Senate,” said Mattis in a press conference. “I am moving on foot at a leisurely pace, with no ill will. If these American citizens choose to take a stroll with me, then who am I to turn down their companionship?”
http://www.duffelblog.com/2013/12/general-mattis-crosses-potomac-100000-troops-president-senate-flee-city/
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FYI – This blog is like The Onion. Would be nice to see though.
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If only…sigh
Mattis to his Marines in Iraq…”Be polite, be professional, but have a plan to kill everybody you meet.”
Mattis to Iraqi leaders…”I come in peace. I didn’t bring artillery. But I’m pleading with you, with tears in my eyes: If you fuck with me, I’ll kill you all.”
Oorah…I guess
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ulvfugl: Wow – that was NOT on the news! Thanks, as always.
Brutus: great essay, thanks for speakin’ your mind. There will come a time in each person’s life where they have to decide what they are willing to do to stay alive, though the “prize” is to suffer anyway from other onslaughts besides starvation. Once the dead bodies start piling up and there’s no energy to remove them, all manner of vermin and disease will be blowing around in the wind, washing into the streams and the gases of decay will become the new normal smell. We can’t even imagine how bad it will get, but a few days without electricity, exposed to the elements and at the mercy of an uncaring weather pattern gives us a clue to how hard it will be and to what depths the survival mechanism will drive folks.
Kevin, Ted: the system is set up to preserve itself unquestioningly and no amount of “fact” from the outside world (they do see themselves as “separate”) will influence their decisions to keep business as usual going as long as possible. With their distorted worldview, they’re incapable of making any other choices – indeed, they probably see us as the “mad rabble” when we’re simply trying to warn them of what’s unfolding every day.
xraymike: keep up the great work, and thank you for doing it!
All the best to everyone here at this holiday time – enjoy it while you can.
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@ Tom
I believe it is an example what they call satirical fiction 😉
….investigation into those accounts dealing with the man or woman who had to stay ‘home alone’ on Christmas night (or sometimes that night of New Year’s Eve) when a group of ‘hidden people’ or elves broke into the farm to hold their annual Christmas celebrations, involving dance, the consumption of alcohol and other forms of lively entertainment.
The motif seems to have ancient roots connected to the ancient beliefs of the first Icelandic settlers that the island was already populated by various forms of spirits, both positive and negative, which unofficially ‘permitted’ people to take up residence on their territory. It seems also that from the start people believed that once a year, at midwinter and sometimes around midsummer, these spirits would reassert their power over their territory by demanding offerings and/or literally moving in with their tenants for a few days…
http://www.medievalists.net/2012/12/21/the-coming-of-the-christmas-visitors-folk-legends-concerning-the-attacks-on-icelandic-farmhouses-made-by-spirits-at-christmas/
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Great vid. Thanks for posting another quirky masterpiece. You have thoroughly wormholed the entire internet.
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Where does my brain end and the internet start ? 🙂
Get the fucking NSA out of my skull ! 🙂
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Actually, I meant this one 🙂 Nevermind 🙂
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Aw, I give up….
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All part of being massive
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🙂
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You dirty little…
I decided last week to reconnect with music and trotted on down to the music store to buy some new strings for my dulcimer. But what do I do? I immediately drift over to the synthesizers. Back in the 60’s I constantly broke strings on my guitar attempting to get sounds out of it which it was not designed to give. After I built my dulcimer I naturally dropped a mic down the sound hole. Now this… Leave me alone.
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Hahaha, Buzz, I was trying to paste a Trentermoller track, just not THAT one…
I actually think that acoustic music made without any electronic effects is superior, but all that technical stuff is very tempting and seductive.
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We’ll get our chance for totally acoustic very soon won’t we”
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Yes. I’m ready. Acoustic guitar. Fingers and thumbs. Plenty. 🙂
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At NBL Guy McPherson has linked to ‘The clathrate gun has been fired’:.
The Non-Disclosed Extreme Arctic Methane Threat.
The 2013 Australian above – average temperatures set a record of 0.22oC higher than 12 month period prior to 2013 and confirm a mid-21st century atmospheric methane-induced global deglaciation and major extinction event.
By Malcolm P.R. Light
22nd December, 2013
{which I have been unable to relink here}
The Arctic Sea ice cover has taken an interesting turn in the past two weeks. . Hmmmm? I guess we will know by February.
.http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/
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Much as I hate to say it, this isn’t really up to rigorous scientific standards for a serious paper, imho. It’s a highly contentious proposition. Light wants various action to be taken. But that’s just not going to happen on this basis. Rightly or wrongly, the rest of the scientific community will heap scorn on this proposal.
Conclusions
The Earth is a giant convecting planet, the underlying molten magma being heated by deep seated radioactivity and the oceans and atmosphere are its cooling radiator which allows the Earth the facility to vent this heat into open space (Windley, 1984; Allen and Allen, 1990). Mother Earth has carefully held the atmospheric temperature within a stable range necessary for oceans to exist for at least 4 billion years and nurtured the earliest bacteria to evolve into today’s space faring humans (Calder, 1983).
https://sites.google.com/site/runawayglobalwarming/the-non-disclosed-extreme-arctic-methane-threat
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Re Light: The particular conclusion highlighted makes perfect sense to me in light of Lovelock’s Gaia theory: Just substitute Gaia for “Mother Earth” which is the total biosphere acting to facilitate ideal climate conditions to support existing life. Heat escaping from within the Planet would be adapted to in addition to heat received from the Sun.
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The so called peer reviewed Science community have underestimated the seriousness of climate change so much that their credibility is open to question as pawns of a political process.
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I agree with you, the scientific community are open to criticism on a whole range of fronts. The IPCC is deeply flawed. We’ve been lied to by everybody for the last twenty years. This makes it very difficult to discover what’s really going on and very difficult to know who can be relied upon for honest assessments.
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That’s not quite my point though, John. Doesn’t matter what you or I think of Light, does it. What matters is what mainstream scientists and the people with power and influence think, and of course, global public opinion, with regard to his proposal.
If he comes across as a total nutter, then he’ll be ridiculed and he’ll damage McPherson and Wadhams and Carana and Shakhova and Semiletov by association, because the critics will seize on that weakness.
Much of mainstream science doesn’t accept Lovelock. They don’t even accept Peter Ward’s Medea Hypothesis which Ward claims refutes Lovelock’s Gaia. I’m almost certain they won’t accept this woolly ‘Mother Earth’ stuff, (quoting Calder, I think) it’s just not professional.
Personally, I have an open-ish mind, but I don’t think that the contribution of heat from the Earth’s core is all that significant, or that the system as a whole functions in the way the Light is portraying it.
However, we do have a massive problem. We only have the one example, Earth, so we can’t make much sense of what ‘it’ is that we are dealing with.
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What the Professionals and mainstream science think or the public no longer matters. Reality is what Light talks of and if they want to nutter him then so be it they will find out: Deal with reality or reality will deal with you. The latter is now happening all the pseudo BS of respectability and acceptance is no longer relevant. The truth does not require the approval of these persons. The physical reality of climate change will render these sycophants to the mote level they truly are at.
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Well, as Christy pointed out on NBL, save me getting Light’s paper back
“Nuclear power stations must continue to be used and should be converted to the safe thorium energy system until the transition is complete.
The U.S. has to put itself on a war footing, recall its entire military forces and set them to work on the massive change over to renewable energy that the country needs to undertake, if it wishes to survive the fast approaching catastrophe. The enemy now is Mother Nature who has infinite power at her disposal and intends to take no prisoners in this very short, absolutely brutal, 30 to 40 year war she has begun.”
I’ll nutter him myself 🙂 Thorium isn’t ‘safe’. This remedy itself isn’t any sort answer, and fighting a war against Mother Nature is insane, because she WILL WIN.
That whole way of thinking is what got us into this mess.
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Re Thorium
Click to access thorium_briefing_2012.pdf
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Hi ulffugl
I was referring specifically to the highlighted conclusion of your comment which had the term “Mother Earth” in it. 🙂
Lovelock responds to criticisms of Gaia thus: “Lovelock himself ascribes most of the criticism to a lack of understanding of non-linear mathematics by his critics, and a linearizing form of greedy reductionism in which all events have to be immediately ascribed to specific causes before the fact. He also states that most of his critics are biologists but that his theory includes experiments in fields outside biology, and that some self-regulating phenomena may not be mathematically explainable.” It seems Gaia is in fact becoming a very valuable tool to explain much of Earth’s phenomena. http://www.theguardian.com/science/2008/apr/28/scienceofclimatechange.biodiversity
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Ok, fair enough, John. It’s not easy to discuss here. We could discuss on the new NBL Forum if you really want to. Have you read/listened to Peter Ward’s criticism of Lovelock in his Medea Theory ? it’s linked to the left here. Lovelock was a genius but he does say some really crazy things, and is now a big fan of fracking, he’s just as bad as Light, in some ways 🙂
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ulvfugl.
Yes, Light is pushing tenuous connections to the limit. But I think he is doing so in order to get a response.
The heating effect at the surface of heat generated within the Earth is, indeed relatively small on average, being greater where the crust is thin, and obviously greater where there are sub-crustal hot spots.
Wiki: Heat flows constantly from its sources within the Earth to the surface. Total heat loss from the Earth is estimated at 44.2 TW (4.42 × 1013 watts).[13] Mean heat flow is 65 mW/m2 over continental crust and 101 mW/m2 over oceanic crust.[13] This is 0.087 watt/square meter on average (0.03 percent of solar power absorbed by the Earth[14] ), but is much more concentrated in areas where thermal energy is transported toward the crust by convection such as along mid-ocean ridges and mantle plumes.[15] The Earth’s crust effectively acts as a thick insulating blanket which must be pierced by fluid conduits (of magma, water or other) in order to release the heat underneath. More of the heat in the Earth is lost through plate tectonics, by mantle upwelling associated with mid-ocean ridges. The final major mode of heat loss is by conduction through the lithosphere, the majority of which occurs in the oceans due to the crust there being much thinner and younger than under the continents.[13][16]
Of course, like all averages, heat transfer averages are misleading. For instance, in the far north in winter ‘solar power absorbed by the Earth’ would be extremely close to zero, so the core heating effect would be much more significant,
What is very interesting is that the thermal gradients in permafrost have reversed over recent decades. Whereas in the 1960s it was colder near the surface, it is now warmer near the surface.
John.
Yes, it does not matter whether the theoretical analysis is exact or not. Really is all that matters. And that is unfolding at realty’s pace.
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Thanks, kevin.
Hmm, I don’t know if Light is consciously pushing for a response by making extreme statements, or if Guy is endorsing his remarks to attract attention to the methane issue, I don’t have access to the inner thinking of either of them, I can only speak for myself. I spend a lot of time out on the fringe reading crazy stuff trying to sort the wheat from the chaff, so to speak. You know what I mean. There’s a way to build power and a following by pandering to the lowest common denominator, which is what Rupert Murdoch did, which is what David Icke does, and perhaps that’s justifiable.
I have some doubts and misgivings about that, because it’s a slippery slope. The percentage of people who care and understand re empirical science and truth based on real data is a tiny minority compared with the mob who will believe any crazy rumour that presses their buttons. Once you unleash that mob, it’ll take on a life of it’s own, as we know from history, ever since Rome, the French Revolution, etc. It doesn’t necessarily get you what you thought it would get you.
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Reblogged this on Gaia will prevail.
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Brutus,
I agree with you that we should have compassion in our hearts for everyone.
It is hard to do sometimes, but there is a very reason to try:
Because we are ALL to blame. Every single one of us reading this blog is to blame.
We all are part of the civilization destroying every ecosystem on earth.
Each of
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Continued….something screwy just happened to my computer…..
Each of us consumes a lot of products that damage these ecosystems, either when being made, or used, or disposed of. We all use, in some way, energy from fossil fuels. And this will continue, I’m sure, until the day we die. Even those living simply live in ways that ruin the chances of a healthy world for the next generation of humans and other living things.
There are millions that are so deep in poverty that they really contribute little to the ecocide, but given the chance they would gladly join us.
There are only a few souls on earth who cannot be blamed, and they are the authentic hunter-gatherers scattered in the least desirable areas of the world. In some ways they have been the lucky ones, but my heart goes out to them especially as their world will succumb to the same horror as the rest of the world, through no fault of their own.
Those monstrous people at the helm of our ecocidal civilation who do all they can to continue the mayhem are as caught up in the insanity as we are, probably less happy, than us, more anxious, scared……they deal with it by working to get more and more power by any devious and brutal means possible, but in the final analysis they are just like us, living organisms caught in a downward spiral of diminishing resources and increasing poisons.
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Sorry, I have to entirely disagree with you, Paul.
Some people living in industrial societies consume fossil fuels because they are forced to by the system, and rarely buy anything they don’t actually need. They point out the lies churned out by politicians and CEOs etc. and indicate measures that would reduce the present level of suffering and very much reduce the level of suffering to come. Their efforts are continuously sabotaged by selfish, greedy, opportunists and sociopaths, who promote increased levels of suffering in the present and even greater suffering in the future.
I cannot show compassion to those who have deliberately lied and cheated in order to obtain short-term benefits for themselves, nor can I show compassion for those who are proud of their genocidal and anti-ecological activities. After the failure of the Rio conference, didn’t George H Bush speed around the bay in a massive speed boat, as a ‘fuck you’ display of I will do this because I can, because I have the military might to steal resources from you and there’s nothing you can do to stop me’.
Would you say we should show compassion to Vlad the Impaler because he got enjoyment out of watching thousands of people die slowly? He did it because he could. Oh, he had a bad upbringing.
Right now, in a nearby community, desperate people are being driven to suicide by the actions of maniacs in government and local government who have no compassion for other humans, and are paid enormous salaries to show no compassion.
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I disagree with my OWN thoughts some days. Maybe it is because it is Christmas, but I just feel we are ALL in this together. Blaming others just doesn’t seem o be the right thing. That is how I feel today, anyway.
There may be a few people here and there that really try to sacrifice for nature and sustainability, but they are rare. Most people I come in contact with really don’t care. They are uninformed and content to be that way. They live their lifestyles and have no time to worry about where it is all going. The masses of humans on earth simply are never going to seriously change their lifestyles, voluntarily. Which means that all of them are responsible for the ecocide going on, and we cannot just point fingers at a few nasty elites somewhere.
We beg for the products we consume. And, in fact, a lot of what we consume is truly necessary for keeping 7 billion people alive and healthy. We can’t stop this train without killing millions and even billions.
And, mostly though, the vast majority of people couldn’t care where we are headed. And so we are all, to varying degrees, responsible for the biocides going on. All of us.
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The one comforting thought in all this, Brutus, is that the worst that can happen to any of us is death. That is something that would happen to all of us, regardless of the shape of the biosphere. And for me, at 64, it would not be all that far off in any case.
Even in the best of times people meet their death in often terrible conditions and agony. Modern medicine has not made it so much better, and in many ways worse, prolonging pain and helplessness and fear, and often separating the sick and dying from their homes and loved ones.
I’m sure that the deaths that await us as our civilization collapses will be terrible for many, and especially too early in life for the young, but it will still be what death has always been.
And before we die, and while we die, we will be seeing so many other loved ones die around us, in storms, disease, hunger, violence in the streets. At some point we will probably just look forward to death, as so many of the oppressed during the age of imperial civilization have.
The really sad thing is that we will not die as others always have…..with the idea that life will go on and on as always, because this time all that we love will be going with us. That is a sadness with depths hard to understand or predict. We will only know what that feels like when we get there, and maybe some mind preparation can help. Maybe it will help to know that no matter how badly,we leave the planet, life will arise again abundantly and beautifully, and will probably continue to do so on many planets and universes to come.
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From an external POV, a bullet shot in the head seems pretty painless to me. Fire arms have changed the face of death.
as for: The really sad thing is that we will not die as others always have…..with the idea that life will go on and on as always
personally, I do not find this sad. I do not and will never really com-prehend it (extinction). I only see bits and pieces. I am mesmerized. it is too complex for me to grasp intellectually.
I had a 24h power interruption. as far as I am concerned, no power, no life. a failure cannot last long before life desintegrates, in part because the system is already very very weakened.
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The Cascading Collapse Crisis and the Super Exponential Non-Linearity Event.
The onrushing 6th Mass Extinction Event will become unstoppable and irreversible when one of any number of keystone species goes virtually extinct. Total extinction is not what counts because population quantity is what counts. One such lynchpin species is phytoplankton. We lost 50% in 50 years. 95% of humanity’s diet depends on 5 main crops Our farms are mono-cultures of bio-diversity deserts where even bees cannot survive because of the lack of food for them. We consume 50% of earth’s annual green stuff every year. We are willing to kill millions for their oil. We won’t mind killing everything for it. We are hard-wired for hope and optimism as part of our hunter-gatherer heritage. Our ability to deny mortality is a survival function of our heightened intellects. This allowed our brains to develop without us going crazy. We are unable to plan 50 years ahead because our background environment has always been relatively stable during our evolution as a species, meaning we never needed to plan that far ahead during our development. But, this is changing now. Historically, there have been 5 big mass extinction events. The Permian mass extinction event was the largest, with close to 95% of life on earth vanishing as a result of ocean acidification. We are acidifiying the oceans 10 times faster than that event. The fastest mass extinction was the dinosaur-asteroid event. That asteroid hit earth with the force of a million atomic bombs, but it still took as long as 33,000 years for the dinosaurs to go extinct over the whole planet. We are on track to extinguish most life on earth in as little as a few hundred years. Thus, we are entering a mass extinction event that is the LARGEST and FASTEST mass extinction event in all of earth’s 4 billion year history. We will have to go on a war footing that will make 911 and WWII look like funtime. We cannot make 7 billion people do what we want. We can barely control ourselves. Few will survive, if we are lucky. The loss of basic planetary services, like food and air will be profound. The transition from the apex of civilization to total planetary destruction will not be uneventful. The confluence of crises will overwhelm civilization, leaving chaos and violence in its wake, not to mention 400 more Fukushimas. Also, the earth’s gravity is weakening at a rate that suggests planetary magnetic pole flip. Which normally takes about a thousand years. During this time, earth will have as many as 8 roaming magnetic poles exposing plant and animal life to massive radiation burns for up ten years in any geographical area.
http://www.cultureunplugged.com/documentary/watch-online/play/7350/Call-of-Life–Facing-the-Mass-Extinction
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http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2013/12/american-public-turns-strongly-anti-war-d-c-politicians-crank-war-spending.html
Passage of Budget Bill Is NOT a Victory for the American People … Only for the Military-Industrial Complex
Preface: D.C. and the mainstream media are trumpeting the passage of a budget bill as a victory for bipartisanship and the American people. But the truth is very different.
Military Spending Is Destroying Our Economy
Moreover, we’ve shown that the military wastes and “loses” (cough) trillions of dollars. See this, this, this, this, this, this, this, this, this, this, this and this.
Reuters notes:
$8.5 trillion in taxpayer money doled out by Congress to the Pentagon since 1996, the first year it was supposed to be audited, has never been accounted for. That sum exceeds the value of China’s economic output last year.
The People Want Peace, But D.C. Wants War
For the first time, a majority of Americans think that we should never have started the war in Afghanistan. As the Washington Post reports:
Americans express near-record discontent and regret over the 13-year war in Afghanistan, during which 2,289 U.S. troops have died and more than 19,000 have been wounded, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. Fully 66 percent of Americans say the battle, which began with nearly unanimous support, has not been worth fighting
***
In a separate Associated Press-GfK poll released Wednesday, 57 percent of Americans said the United States did “the wrong thing” in going to war with Afghanistan, with mixed feelings toward keeping troops in the country past 2014.
The same is true in Iraq.
And the American people don’t want to go to war against Syria, Iran or anywhere else.
But D.C. politicians do a lot of fundraising from defense contractors and make a lot of money from inside trading related to military spending.
And war helps distract people from the economic mess that the politicians are largely responsible for (the old distraction trick.)
And so – as the L.A. Times, Mother Jones and Counterpunch report – Washington has just passed a budget which will strip away the so-called “sequester defense cuts”, and gear up for a new series of wars.
As usual, government policy will make the rich richer and everyone else poorer.
It will keep the bloated defense industry fat and happy … while making everyone else poorer, and gutting the civilian economy.
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http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2013/dec/26/fury-mps-not-voting-poll
‘Nearly half of Britons say they are angry with politics and politicians, according to a Guardian/ICM poll analysing the disconnect between British people and their democracy.
The research, which explores the reasons behind the precipitous drop in voter turnout – particularly among under-30s – finds that it is anger with the political class and broken promises made by high-profile figures that most rile voters, rather than boredom with Westminster.’
2014 will be worse, as the mendacious sociopaths do their best to loot the till before the system collapses.
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http://libertyblitzkrieg.com/2013/12/26/how-debtors-prisons-are-making-a-comeback-in-america/
How Debtors’ Prisons are Making a Comeback in America
Apparently having 5% of the world’s population, but 25% of its prisoners simply isn’t good enough for neo-feudal America. No, we need to find more creative and archaic ways to wastefully, immorally and seemingly unconstitutionally incarcerate poor people. Welcome to the latest trend in the penal colony formerly known as America. Debtors’ prisons. A practice I thought had long since been deemed outdated (indeed it has been largely eradicated in the Western world with the exception of about 1/3 of U.S. states as well as Greece).
As if out of a Charles Dickens novel, people struggling to pay overdue fines and fees associated with court costs for even the simplest traffic infractions are being thrown in jail across the United States.
Critics are calling the practice the new “debtors’ prison” — referring to the jails that flourished in the U.S. and Western Europe over 150 years ago. Before the time of bankruptcy laws and social safety nets, poor folks and ruined business owners were locked up until their debts were paid off.
[the article shows that this practice doesn’t make financial sense since it costs more to house and care for these people in prison than the debt they owe]
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In the on-going collapse of civilization, we’ll see all the pillars begin to fall as relentless climate change creates conditions for which they are unprepared. One of the “biggies” is the insurance industry.
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/after-bad-year-insurers-face-potential-ice-storm-hit/article16094796/
After bad year, insurers face potential ice-storm hit
Canadian insurers are grappling with the prospect of financial damage from yet another severe storm, capping off a brutal year that raised serious questions about how the industry will deal with the costs of climate change.
After suffering a $3-billion hit from natural disasters such as the summer floods in Alberta and the Greater Toronto Area, property and casualty insurers are now racking up claims from the ice storm that hit Ontario, Quebec and Atlantic Canada. It is still too early to determine the costs, but insurers are bracing for a bruising.
“The ice storm that hit Central Canada this weekend has caused significant physical damage and emotional trauma for many households, and will likely be a significant insured event for the industry,” André-Philippe Hardy, a financial services analyst at RBC Dominion Securities, wrote in a note to clients. Insurer RSA Canada said the storm was “one of the worst we’ve seen in Toronto in quite some time.”
Insurers aren’t the only ones on the hook – they share the burden with reinsurance companies that take on a portion of the risk – but the latest storm reopens a deep wound. The property insurance industry is coming to grips with evidence that severe weather events are becoming more frequent. That has potentially significant implications for consumers and businesses, who may be forced to pay higher premiums as insurers try to recover from the losses.
“As severe weather events become more extreme and frequent, we will continue to pursue our efforts to ensure that the protection we offer reflects our country’s new climate reality and that governments, consumers, businesses and all stakeholders pursue their efforts to better adapt to climate change,” Charles Brindamour, chief executive officer of insurer Intact Financial Corp., said in November after the company reported its first underwriting loss in a decade.
The natural disasters worsen what is already a tough period for insurers. Interest rates and bond yields are low, making it hard for them to earn decent returns off the claims they collect and invest. Benchmark five-year Canadian government bonds pay just 1.87 per cent, despite a modest rise in yields this year.
The weather havoc of 2013 came after four straight years with insured damages from natural disasters worth near or above $1-billion, according to the Insurance Bureau of Canada. To put that figure in context, Quebec’s historic ice storm in 1998 caused $1.6-billion worth of insured damage, or roughly $2.1-billion after adjusting in today’s dollars.
Insurers are quickly learning the compounding problems cannot be ignored. In September, Julie Dickson, who heads the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions, dubbed 2013 an annus horribilis for the industry and proposed that insurers consider new ways to transfer their risks to more stakeholders.
[the article goes on with various ‘schemes’ the industry can use to accommodate – which will prove to be insufficient if you think it through]
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http://robinwestenra.blogspot.co.nz/2013/12/us-department-of-defense-responds-to.html
US Department of Defense responds to climate change
The US military is not sleeping on the job
DOD Wraps Climate Change Response into Master Plans
WASHINGTON, Nov. 26, 2013 – The effects of climate change are already evident at Defense Department installations in the United States and overseas, and DOD expects climate change to challenge its ability to fulfill its mission in the future, according to the first DOD Climate Change Adaptation Roadmap.
(a quick read, full of assumptions they’ll find impossible to contend with as climate change ramps up; ends with this nonsense)
DOD has been looking at mitigation, or the energy problem, for a long time, the deputy undersecretary added.
Energy and climate are tied together, Conger said, because energy and emissions are tied together.
“We are working very hard and diligently to reduce our energy usage, to reduce our energy intensity and to increase the use of renewable energy, which doesn’t have emissions,” he said. “And we have done each of these things not because it is good for the climate or because it reduces emissions but because they provide mission and monetary benefits.”
Conger says the department’s $4 billion annual utility bill drives the search for energy-efficiency, renewable-energy development projects and more. All have benefits from a mission perspective first, he said, and also turn out to be good for the environment.
[yeah, right eel man – as if your entire establishment isn’t engaged in ecocide]
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Good rundown of future catastrophes and NTE:
DECEMBER 26, 2013
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55
Inevitable Surprises
Looming Danger of Abrupt Climate Change
by ROBERT HUNZIKER
The National Research Council of the National Academies (NRCNA) has pre-published (available to the public as of Dec. 2013), an extensive 200-pg study: “Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change, Anticipating Surprises.”
More: http://www.counterpunch.org/2013/12/26/looming-danger-of-abrupt-climate-change/
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Excerpt of above article:
Furthermore, according to the NRCNA report, climate change alone could cause a “crash of coral reefs” as early as 2060. As it goes, coral reefs support nine million marine species. As such, this part of the NRCNA analysis dovetails with a massive loss of species by 2100.
Indeed, as for supporting evidence outside of the NRCNA report, several published scientific peer-review papers have already reported early stage destructive signs of ocean acidification (caused by too much CO2) deteriorating marine life, e.g., “… nearly all marine life forms that build calcium carbonate shells and skeletons studied by scientists thus far have shown deterioration due to increasing carbon dioxide levels in seawater,” Dr. Richard Feely and Dr. Christopher Sabine, Oceanographers, Carbon Dioxide and Our Ocean Legacy, Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, April 2006.
Once again, in the ocean, as well as on the land, excessive carbon dioxide (CO2) is the problem.
Reiteratively, there is no worldwide plan on how to move forward to avoid an extinction event.
As a consequence, except for a few scientists, the world community will be shocked by the carnage because nobody anticipates it really happening. Otherwise, the governments of the world would be furiously working on solutions, but they are not.
Scientists have been publishing ominous reports for years in vain because they have not been taken seriously enough to prompt corrective action, as for example, a wholesale switching from fossil fuels to renewables, like wind, solar, geothermal, biomass, wave, and hydro.
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It is good that abrupt climate change is getting more coverage. Pity about the promotion of non-solutions to the predicament. I suppose humanity has to go further down the path of failure to establish that it is a path of failure.
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“I suppose humanity has to go further down the path of failure to establish that it is a path of failure.”
i think you will have a long time waiting as there are still profits to be made, even as the ship is sinking.
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And more:
However, there is a wide range of scientific opinion about the Arctic methane issue, and another more portentous position is described in the following article: Saving the Global Climate from Runaway Arctic Methane Release and Sea Ice Loss, John B. Davies, Arctic News, Dec. 19, 2013, as follows: “The warming of the Arctic seems likely to lead to the total melting of the Arctic Sea Ice in late summer no later than the summer of 2018 and to massive release of Methane from the melting of Methane Hydrates beneath the ESAS [Eastern Siberian Arctic Shelf] by the same date leading to runaway Global Warming and the end of most life of earth.”
That stark forecast by John B. Davies is supported by some of the world’s most recognized minds in the field of Artic sea ice, such as, Peter Wadhams, PhD (Head of the Polar Ocean Physics Group, University of Cambridge), who has, since 1976, accurately measured Arctic ice thickness by way of submarines (Submarine-based Science in the Arctic {Peter Wadhams}, Oceans 2025 Science Meeting, May 11-13, 2010.)
Obviously, Davies’ call for “the end of most life of earth” is a very rambunctious, gutsy forecast. As well, it is very difficult to accept the idea of the possibility of the end of most life. Situations like that simply do not happen… or do they?
Yes, they do.
As explained in the film: The Day the Earth Nearly Died, BBC / Horizon, December 2002, it did happen 250 million years ago. Almost every living thing suddenly died. Geological studies show that 95% of life forms perished. Scientists call it the Permian Mass Extinction, which was far more terrible than the later extinction that wiped out the dinosaurs 65 million years ago, killing off 60% of all species on the planet. It took 100,000 years for the earth to recover.
Extinctions certainly do happen.
A new film examines how close we may be: Last Hours (Sept. 2013) presented by Thom Hartmann; producers – George DiCaprio, Earl Katz and Mathew Schmid; director – Leila Conners. The film byline says: “Underground, underwater and below the ice, a time bomb is ticking. Scientists are seeing the evidence. Runaway climate change could be closer than we think.”
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Great, long lecture about the extinction of ocean life, given to, of all things, the Navy at the US Naval War College:
http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=2zMN3dTvrwY&desktop_uri=%2Fwatch%3Fv%3D2zMN3dTvrwY
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http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2013/12/131226-statue-liberty-ellis-island-climate-change-science-photos/
Will Climate Change Swamp the Statue of Liberty and Ellis Island?
Climate change puts Lady Liberty at risk.
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I think 2014 will be the year when the idea of COLLAPSE will move from just a few blogs and a few people like us, but to millions of people and many articles in well read magazines, newspapers, and TV shows.
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I doubt this will happen as doom is only creeping up on us in fits and starts. Just as few people understand that we are living in a condition of overshoot, few will recognise the crises unfolding as interrelated events – the byproducts of overshoot. Defining cataclysmic events are the province of Hollywood.
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Here’s one reason we will not seriously change our ways and decrease fossil fuel use:
http://www.ibtimes.com/more-half-americans-believe-global-warming-exaggerated-study-finds-infographic-1520950
More Than Half Of Americans Believe Global Warming Is Exaggerated, Study Finds [Infographic]
By David Kashi
on December 26 2013 4:48 PM
Most Americans acknowledge the existence of global warming and support legislation to reduce carbon emissions, but they do not believe climate change will seriously affect them during their lifetime, according to a study released Thursday.
While most Americans believe global warming is real, the infographic below shows that almost half question the severity of it and believe the effects are generally exaggerated, as reported by newsilike.in.
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Hardly surprising when Americans are lied to continuously by the corporate media..
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More so than other areas. Really bad here in the South….in NC.
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sure hope this isn’t true (but wouldn’t be surprised):
http://www.redflagnews.com/headlines/#sthash.sdp2DSUF.dpbs
BREAKING: Federal Judge Rules NSA Surveillance Legal
U.S. District Judge William Paley ruled today that the NSA’s rampant violations of the Fourth Amendment are legal. He cited al-Qaeda and 9/11 when he dismissed a lawsuit brought by the American Civil Liberties Union challenging the NSA’s surveillance program.
Paley said the NSA program “represents the government’s counter-punch” to al-Qaeda. Despite recent evidence to the contrary, Paley also said violating the rights of millions of Americans prevents terror attacks.
Geoffrey Stone, a University of Chicago law professor who is a member of a White House panel established to investigate NSA violations unearthed by the whistleblower Edward Snowden, said last week evidence that massive surveillance stops terrorist attacks is “very thin.”
Obama insists that lives have been saved by violating the Fourth Amendment and the conclusions of the panel handpicked by his administration reveal deep skepticism of the NSA program’s efficacy.
Paley said the government “adapted to confront a new enemy: a terror network capable of orchestrating attacks across the world.”
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Yes, well it is all surreal and Orwellian, so how can anybody with a brain that still functions be surprised at anything ‘the system’ comes up with?.
‘He cited al-Qaeda and 9/11 when he dismissed a lawsuit brought by the American Civil Liberties Union challenging the NSA’s surveillance program.’
Beyond a joke! He might as well have cited Mickey Mouse or Donald Duck as evidence that animals have conversations. .
Guy McPherson: “Obedience at home and oppression abroad.”
Upton Sinclair: “It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends on his not understanding it.”
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The human mind can deny both the terminal nature of ecosystem and bodily cancer, hoping for a reversal of deteriorating conditions through some “magical” elixer of medicines and treatments, behavioral amendments and geoengineering. In the end it fails because of the nature of aggressive metastatic, neoplastic disease. You have to catch it early if you’ll have any chance of curing it, and even then it may not be possible. Unfortunately we probably would have had to take decisive action sometime when Homo erectus was prevalent. Isn’t it irony that we had to become an invasive, growing cancer, able to tap into a mother-load of fossil fuels in order to recognize the pattern of our own growth and existence. If we had a time machine, we could go back and tell the mutant hominid SOB to put down the club and put out the fire or resect them from the ecosystem completely. From where we stand now in the course of this terminal pathology we can only bide our time as any attempt to kill the tumors would unleash a toxic flood of waste so as to destroy any remaining healthy ecosystem tissue. Tumors attacked directly or indirectly, imbued with human emotional illogic, would react swiftly against any agent acting to retard their growth or longevity of their component humans, thereby further disrupting ecosystem homeostasis.
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This is an amazing film about mass extinction:
http://www.cultureunplugged.com/documentary/watch-online/play/7350/Call-of-Life–Facing-the-Mass-Extinction
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new Hedges:
http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/food_behind_bars_isnt_fit_for_your_dog_20131222
Food Behind Bars Isn’t Fit for Your Dog
The bodies of the poor, when they are not captive, are worth little to corporations. But bodies behind bars can each generate $40,000 to $50,000 a year for corporate coffers. More than 2.2 million men and women are in prisons and jails in the U.S.
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http://robinwestenra.blogspot.co.nz/2013/12/radiation-in-atlantic-fish.html
This is part of a continuing effort to communicate the findings of researchers investigating the fate of Fukushima derived radiation in the marine environment. A recently published study by Kanisch and Aust of the Thünen Institute of Fisheries Ecology in Hamburg reports that Fukushima sourced cesium (Cs) has been detected in fish collected in the north Atlantic Ocean. Like fish sampled thus far in the north Pacific the contribution of Cs to overall exposure of human consumers to radiation by consuming these fish is very small. In the Atlantic given that only modest atmospheric deposition of Cs has occurred radiation from Cs isotopes to human fish consumers is 26000-fold lower than the naturally occurring isotope polonium-210. The authors conclude that the typical consumption of 10kg of affected fish per year:
“…is not expected to cause concern according to present guidelines for radiation protection.”
The study is available online in the open-access, peer reviewed journal Biogeosciences of the European Geophysical Union. As more of these studies become available to the public we can learn the extent to which Fukushima sourced radionuclides have impacted the marine food supply and the objective risk they pose to human consumers.
It is not necessarily surprising to note that only low levels of Cs from Fukushima are present in North Atlantic species of cod, redfish and whiting. The Cs from Fukushima present in the study area was delivered by atmospheric fallout following the initial atmospheric release in mid-March 2011 which was estimated to be ~12-15 PBq (10^15 Bq) for each of Cs-134 and Cs-137. Deposition of these isotopes were measured in the north Atlantic and estimates range between 0.1 to 100 Bq per square meter were deposited to the ocean surface.
It is, however, interesting to compare the levels of Cs-137 measured in fish harvested from the Baltic Sea to the Cs-137 measured in tuna harvested from the North Pacific where the absolute contribution of Fukushima derived radionuclides is greater. This is because north Pacific tuna have been exposed to radionuclides delivered from atmospheric fallout and those released to the ocean directly given efforts to cool the damaged reactors with coastal seawater.
In Table 1 of Fisher et al. (2013) PNAS the investigators report that Cs-137 levels in tuna harvested in 2011 off Japan and off California were found to range between 1.5 to 23 Bq per kilogram of wet weight. Fish analyzed by Kanisch and Aust (2013) Biogeosciences (see Table 2), contained 0.2 to 8.2 Bq per kilogram wet weight from the presence of Cs-137. In the case of the highest Cs-137 fish collected in the Baltic Sea in the North Atlantic 2% of the Cs-137 is the result of release from Fukushima while the rest reflects release from atmospheric nuclear tests and the Chernobyl disaster.
More and ongoing monitoring of the presence and levels of radionculides from Fukushima in the marine food web is necessary to determine risks to human consumers of seafood. At present the risk attributable to Fukushima sourced radionuclides is very small to those on the west coast of North America but could change if conditions at the disaster site deteriorate and radionuclide release rates and, therefore, marine concentrations were to increase to levels seen in March and April of 2011.
{remember, there’s NO safe dose of radiation of any kind and the US has RAISED the “safe” limit since the disaster}
[there’s a LOT of information on Fukushima today over at seemorerocks]
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I’ve read a lot of blogs and comments that go along these lines. We have looming global collapse. The elite and a substantial portion of the population are doing nothing or exacerbating the problem. Then a range of reactions about what to do about the situation and the people causing the problem. From here a range of emotional reactions, to partially rationalized emotional reactions to complete rationalization of something related to the issue. Finally there is an acceptance emotionally for some that some form of compassion and inner growth is where we need to go. Love of each other and the planet is held in a more mature psychological way.
What I find missing here is a view of all of this as essential for us to have a paradigm shift as some writers call it. If we don’t recognize that human culture has been continually evolving psychologically then we get mired in the story of Separation – humans and nature. Much of what I read is stuck in the old story way of analyzing and reacting to global destruction.
We need this threat to change. Human beings simply won’t change unless there is a massive enough threat to our future. Why? Well I believe it is because we are not mature enough psychologically to do it otherwise. We deny death massively. So what do we get or unconsciously create massive death which includes other living beings because we need to learn that we are not separate but embedded in nature.
So when I read these blogs and comments now I try to take it all like the rise of Christianity in the Roman Empire thousands of years ago. We are like the early Christians seeing the barbarity of Rome an going through a process of sorting out the threads of the old Roman story of the world and gradually building a new story of love using the work of Jesus as the archetype to draw out our own connection to loving the other as ourselves. So we are at work sorting the threads that wove the old story of separation. Looking at them and discarding what does not work. New threads or stories are appearing now. Charles Eisenstein, Wendell Berry, Thomas Berry, Dereck Jensen and so on. The faster the old order collapses the better for the planet and us as long as we humans have gone through enough suffering to really shed the old story of separation sufficiently to create something new. Otherwise yes we may be done as a species. And in a way isn’t that how Gaian change arises?
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Terrific comment; I agree with most of it. However, the paradigm shift you are calling for is not something that can be directed to engineered. Rather, it’s responsive to changing conditions and requires attrition of the existing paradigm as older people die off. Those of us “born into captivity,” to use that reconfigured phrase, cannot make the shift. If it happens, it will only be after conditions have changed drastically; otherwise, there is no spur. Or the change occurs so gradually that it’s just drift, not response.
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“Human beings simply won’t change unless there is a massive enough threat to our future.”
And even then, maybe not. Maybe we’ll just… get by.
http://www.npr.org/blogs/krulwich/2013/12/09/249728994/what-happened-on-easter-island-a-new-even-scarier-scenario
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1) In retrospect, if we were to demarcate a “high point of the human species”, it might be the Apollo landings on the Moon. Twelve individual members of our kind left this planet and landed on another celestial body. Sure, there have been many other important societal improvements since then, but to say that we’ve been going downhill ever since would not be much of a stretch.
2) Fermi’s Paradox:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fermi_paradox
From the link:
The Fermi paradox (or Fermi’s paradox) is the apparent contradiction between high estimates of the probability of the existence of extraterrestrial civilization and humanity’s lack of contact with, or evidence for, such civilizations. The basic points of the argument, made by physicists Enrico Fermi and Michael H. Hart, are:
— The Sun is a young star. There are billions of stars in the galaxy that are billions of years older;
— Some of these stars probably have Earth-like planets which, if the Earth is typical, may develop intelligent life;
— Presumably, some of these civilizations will develop interstellar travel, a technology Earth is investigating even now;
— At any practical pace of interstellar travel, the galaxy can be completely colonized in a few tens of millions of years.
According to this line of thinking, the Earth should already have been colonized, or at least visited. But no convincing evidence of this exists. Furthermore, no confirmed signs of intelligence elsewhere have been spotted, either in our galaxy or in the more than 80 billion other galaxies of the observable universe. Hence Fermi’s question, “Where is everybody?”
3) Stephan Wolfram and others have suggested that the entire universe might be reduced down to a simple equation or a few lines of code; using principles of cellular automata and concepts such as fractal geometry, it may even be possible to create a virtual universe, were a supercomputer built that was powerful enough to sustain the operation.
4) Fractals.
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If evolution is a universal theory that extends out to exobiology — and assuming DNA is the vehicle by which all life in the universe must emerge from, we must — then we can also assume that, as life takes the next step and evolves into intelligent life, it must do so by acquiring the control of fire. Once intelligent life begins to burn things, it immediately begins planting the seeds of its own destruction. In order to build advanced tools, this life form must learn how to harness fire and then learn metallurgy and a host of other technologies that require him to burn even more things. To put it bluntly: does the code of the universe have a variable that ensures that life kills itself before it can leave the planet?
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The rapidly accelerated pace of technological change and its impact on the economy (AKA, “The Singularity”) is an issue that is very similar to that of the rapidly accelerated pace of global climate change and its impact on the ecology. One could even imagine that they are fractal echoes of each other.
In both cases, the previous, “natural” rate of change was far slower, with greater amounts of time in between ‘events’ (such as major climate shifts or economic depressions) that resulted in significant disruptions (such as major extinctions or job losses) and easier for life — or wage labor — to adapt to within a given timeframe. Thus, while it occasionally gets dicey, there were never any serious threats to the existence of the overall system. Until now.
Now, instead of a “natural”, slower rate of change, we have one that is hyper accelerated. In the ecology, changes that should take thousands or even millions of years for life to evolve and adapt to are occurring within a few decades. Likewise, in the economy, changes that should take a few decades for labor to evolve and adapt to are occurring every few years or so.
As a result, the ecological environment will change many times in rapid succession within the span of a few decades; from, say, a boreal forest to a temperate forest and then to a desert. Life simply doesn’t have the time to adapt. [Life can migrate, often with the aid of technology; so-called invasive species can travel in the ballast of ships, as one example.]
Likewise, the economic environment is also changing many times in rapid succession within the span of a few years; from desktop computer to Internet-driven technologies to wireless/handheld to the rapidly approaching age of robotics. Wage labor simply doesn’t have time to adapt. [Jobs can migrate, often with the aid of technology, using the Internet-driven globalization to make homes in distant developing countries.]
Then there is the issue of destruction itself. Humans deliberately kill massive amounts of life (using technology), which in turn changes the ecology. They do this, initially to survive, but later, in order to maintain the systems that allow them to grow. Similarly, corporations deliberately kill jobs (using technology) which in turn changes the economy. They do this, initially to cut costs, but later, to drive up the stock price.
Political responses to these problems are similar. The Conservative-Republican response to the issue of climate change destroying the environment runs from outright denial that the problem exists in the first place to acceptance that it exists, but denial that it is bad enough to cause a mass extinction. The Liberal-Democratic response to the issue of technological change destroying jobs runs from outright denial that the problem exists in the first place to acceptance that it exists, but believe that it will actually create jobs. Conservatives vigorously deny that evolution and natural selection are valid theories of the biological sciences, but have no problems embracing the very same principals when it comes to free market economics. And vice verse for the Liberals.
One does not need to be a scientist to see that the world will soon be an ecological disaster zone; toxic and devoid of all life.
One does not need to be economist to see that the world will soon be an economic disaster zone as well; automated and devoid of all jobs.
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We have all seen 2D fractals, and there are even 3D fractals available online to view (they look quite biological in construction).
But what about 4D fractals? Is it possible that they exist in one form or another? Can time be displayed in the form of a fractal as well?
“History doesn’t repeat itself, but it rhymes,” famously said Mark Twain. He didn’t realize at the time that he was describing a 4D fractal. As Kurzweil states, the time between “salient events” gets increasingly shorter and shorter. This “telescoping of history” (as Eemonn Healy stated so perfectly in the animated movie “Waking Life”) is almost the model of how a fractal behaves:
Imagine that time is seemingly accelerating into tighter and tighter spirals, heading inevitably towards the end of our particular fractal “branch” in this part of the universe. What’s at the end of that branch? Will we even see it as it whizzes by? Or is it more like the bottom of a black hole? If so, what’s beyond the event horizon where that Singularity — the combined technological and climatological versions — waits for us; for our species? Will it result in a cosmic awakening, or will it be more like a galactic bug zapper, and we disappear — ZZZZT! — in the blink of the geological eye?
And finally, has this same process unfolded across the universe in different ways millions and millions of times before?
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