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"The Relive Box", 6th Mass Extinction, Capitalism, Collapse of Industrial Civilization, Corporate State, Corporatocracy, Dystopic Future, Environmental Collapse, Gross Inequality, Inverted Totalitarianism, Luis Suarez-Villa, Passenger Pigeon, Peak Oil, Richard Heinberg, Richard Wolff, T. C. Boyle, Tasmanian Aborigines, Techno-Optimists, Technocapitalism, Technocapitalism: A Critical Perspective on Technological Innovation and Corporatism, Technophelia
“Life is tragic and absurd and none of it has any purpose at all. Science has killed religion, there’s no hope for the future with seven billion of us on the planet, and the only thing you can do is to laugh in the face of it all.”
~ TC Boyle
This past Thursday night I went to a reading by author T.C. Boyle at Northern Arizona University’s Cline Library. Outside the entrance of the auditorium were a couple of tables lined with signed copies of his numerous novels and collections of short stories and manned by a few young people, perhaps college students, taking people’s money. I had already bought a copy of T.C. Boyle Stories at the local bookstore before coming and read a few of the short stories before the auditorium doors opened. I seldom go to such events, but what had first caught my eye were the titles of some of his books, one of which is A friend of the Earth whose premise is rather dystopic.
While waiting in line for the event, I opened up my book and read “The Extinction Tales” from the author’s first volume of short stories. The title of this particular short story states exactly what it’s about, taking the reader across continents and centuries from the massacre of the passenger pigeon to the genocide of the aboriginal Tasmanians. A couple of modern-day vignettes serve as the bookends to this vast sweep of history, at the beginning the hunting skills of a lighthouse caretaker’s pet cat snuff out the remaining population of the island’s unique bird species and at the end a man is haunted by the death of his father whose funeral he neglected to attend.
The doors opened and perhaps 100 to 200 people filled the seats. After a few fawning introductions by a couple of NAU faculty members, Tom Coraghessan Boyle took the lectern. Tall and lanky with a goatee, wearing red sneakers, and dressed in black with the glowing cat eyes of a printed t-shirt peaking through his opened sports jacket, he appeared more hipster than a sixty-something tenured English professor, but spoke as eloquently and articulately as one would expect.
He read two stories, but the second one resonated with me the most. “The Relive Box” is an allegorical tale of a middle-aged single father who becomes obsessed with the latest hi-tech escapism device which mentally transports people back to any specified time in their life by reading their memories. He’s stuck reliving various moments of his past while his present life falls apart. The ‘here and now’ simply becomes lifeless space and time to be filled by the ‘relive box’.
The parallels with today’s addiction to computers, video games, iPhones, and social media are obvious; our inseparable relationship with technology has made us virtual cyborgs. Our enslavement to technology extends to a societal level with the wide-held assumption that geoengineering and adaptive technologies will evolve in time to spare us from the worst of a collapsing environment, allowing business-as-usual to continue no matter how dire current scientific reports and future projections may be. Unarmed by a blind faith in technology, industrial civilization barrels headlong into a world growing more violent and unstable by the day. Technocapitalists live by the sword of technology and will die by it as well.
In the hands of corporate capitalists, our socio-economic system brings us terminator seeds from Monsanto, predatory banking instead of public banking, the military industrial complex’s war for profit instead of national defense, viagra instead of antibiotics, a government for the ultra wealthy and not the majority, corporate rule with Citizens United instead of representative democracy, and so on.
In the words of David Simon, “There are now two Americas. My country is a horror show.”
Technology is no different in capitalism’s overriding dependency on the successful accumulation of capital:
The system within which institutions, cultures, and people operate determines its policies, beliefs, and behaviors. Those operating within a capitalist system conform to the dictates of corporations. Capitalism cannot be reformed and its resiliency to stay afloat during environmental collapse is remarkable:
Nonetheless, in the final analysis, our entire way of life based on fossil fuels and infinite growth on a planet of finite resources is untenable…
“A small minority — people who are at the margins of the system and who are thus able to observe it as if from outside, who are not tied into any of the major influence groups, and who have learned to seek out alternative sources of information and think critically — will gradually come to the conclusion that the entire system of industrial civilization is inherently unsustainable.”
~ Richard Heinberg, Powerdown: Options and Actions for a Post-Carbon World
A “post-carbon world” may very well not include people, but building an alternative system demands that we believe a post-collapse world does include survivors.
Email from Kevin Moore…
If anyone can demonstrate where this analysis is incorrect I would be pleased to hear from them.
…
There has been considerable discussion on Collapse of Industrial Civilisation about the warming effect of the total greenhouse gas content of the atmosphere.
In 2013 I woke up to the fact that the ‘official’ methane multiplier was way too low: like many people I accepted the ‘official’ figure without thinking. And only very recently weeks have I woken up to the fact that the entire basis for most assessments is phony.
I have no access to a suitably equipped laboratory and can only present this case as scientifically as possible from a theoretical perspective.
1. If we take a tube containing methane and pass a ray of the right spectral wavelength through it the methane molecules will absorb energy and reradiate it randomly, resulting in a lower reading at a sensor at the end than would occur if the tube were a vacuum tube (cf. the work of Tyndall, 1859).
2. If we repeat the procedure one year later, the methane will absorb and reradiate exactly the same amount of radiation.
3. In the atmosphere methane molecules can be oxidised, primarily by hydroxide ions OH- or OH radicals OH. , which are generated by the splitting of water molecules by ionizing agents
4. The effect in the atmosphere is to progressively convert CH4 into CO2 via a ‘decay’ curve.
5. Since CH4 in the atmosphere has a very much higher greenhouse effect than CO2 (well over 100 times as great as CO2 in the short term), evaluation of an individual molecule’s overall warming potential poses a considerable problem; a complex integration of ‘area under the graph’ is necessary, and even that cannot be readily achieved because the rate of oxidation can vary hugely, depending on the availability of OH ions and radicals, which are themselves subject to variation y many other factors.
6. For a long time the relative warming effect of CH4 was described as ‘about twenty times that of CO2’, while an ‘official’ factor of 23 was assigned. In 2013 the ‘official’ factor was raised to 34. This was on the basis of a very high initial warming factor which eventually decline to a value of 1.
7. Methane is generated by natural systems in enormous quantities whenever organic matter is decomposed in situations which lack oxygen: since solids and liquids are around one-thousand times as dense as gases, running of oxygen tends to be a commonplace occurrence wherever dead organic matter accumulates. Methane is also generated in other biological situations, and as a result of ancient deposits of organic matter in sedimentary rocks being subject to extreme heat -the gas often associated with oil and coal.
8. For most of the time the prior to the Industrial Revolution the generation of methane and its oxidation were roughly in balance. There was always a relatively small amount of methane in the atmosphere: the generally accepted figure is around 750ppb immediately prior to industrialism. That methane was contributing to maintenance of the relatively stable temperatures of the Halocene.
9. Since practically every molecule of CH4 that was in the atmosphere that was oxidised to CO2 was replaced by another, the warming effect did not change and was always the product of the instantaneous absorption and reradiation rate, as measured in a tube in a laboratory. Although individual molecules were removed as per the ‘decay’ curve, the overall amount of CH4 did not decline as suggested by accepted climate modelling factors of 23 and 34.
10. In recent times atmospheric methane levels have been somewhat above twice the pre-industrial level, in the range 1500 to 1800ppb or 1.5 to 1.8ppm. Higher levels of the order of 2.3ppm have been reported in arctic regions, so a fair approximation of current atmospheric methane is 2ppm.
11. Since release of methane constantly replaces (or exceeds) methane oxidation, we must use the instantaneous warming factor of something in excess of 100. Doing so gives us a CO2 equivalence of 200ppm.
12. Adding the CO2 equivalence of CH4 of 200ppm to the 400ppm CO2 gives us a total CO2 equivalence of 600ppm for just carbon dioxide and methane.
13. If we apply the same logical argument to other ‘minor’ greenhouse gases we discover that we are at well over 700ppm CO2 equivalence.
14. If we consider the state of affairs prior to the Industrial Revolution we had approximately 0.75ppm CH4, which gives an equivalence of 0.75 x 100 = 75ppm CO2. That gives us a total equivalence of 355ppm for CO2 plus CH4. Other components of the atmosphere would have taken the total CO2 equivalence to something around 400ppm CO2, as compared to the current value in excess of 700ppm
15. That suggests we currently have about twice the greenhouse gas warming forcing compared to a little over 200 years ago. Clearly that level of forcing is having the disastrous effects on the natural world we have been witnessing over in recent times, and we cannot be surprised that we have triggered numerous positive feedbacks.
16 Since the prime purpose of government is to facilitate the looting-and-polluting of the commons by corporations and opportunists in order that Ponzi financial and economic arrangements can be maintained in the short term, and the gate-keepers of the commercial media require business-as-usual, of no discussion of the almost certain runaway nature of climate change is publicly allowable.
Kevin Moore 8th March 2014
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Social value and people over profits
http://www.dww.com/?p=2766
Canadian Inventions – Banting and Best Discover Insulin
Although diabetes is amongst the earliest documented diseases afflicting humans, an effective treatment was only available after 1921 when Sir Fredrick Banting and Charles Best successfully isolated and extracted insulin in laboratory tests. Their discovery provided respite from a disease that had a mortality rate in excess of 30% (with little hope for type 1-diabetes sufferers) and no substantiated treatment (the most successful therapy at the time was strict dieting that often resulted in starvation). While there is still no cure for diabetes and millions of people worldwide are diagnosed with the disease every year, the outlook became entirely different for diabetics after Banting and Best’s discovery.
Banting, Best and Collip applied for, and were granted, a patent for the pancreatic extract. They gifted the patent rights to the University of Toronto, with the intention of making the treatment widely available to diabetes sufferers. In 1923, Banting and Macleod were awarded the Nobel Prize in Medicine. Banting was furious that Best was not recognised, and elected to share his prize money with Best in recognition of his work. Macleod split his share of the prize with Collip.
………………………………………………………
What the article failed to mention was after they were granted the patent Banting was approached by all sorts of venture capitalists (mostly American) with promises of wealth beyond their dreams. They would have gotten it too if they wanted it. Banting was a very religious man who stood by the courage of his convictions. (Yes, they used to do that) I doubt we’ll ever see their like again.
…………………………………………………………..
http://www.scienceheroes.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=80&Itemid=115
When World War II broke out, Banting went to work with the Canadian Army Medical Corps. He wanted to serve on the frontlines, but Canadian officials denied his request, believing his skills were needed more on the research front. On a secret mission, while flying to England, he went down in a plane crash over Newfoundland. In a last act of service, he managed to wrap the wounds of the injured pilot before succumbing to his own injuries. His brilliant career as a lifesaving scientist ended all too soon at the age of 49.
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Perhaps if I find time to delve into this, some solid answers will surface, but in the mean time you can try to email professor Prinn at MIT to see if he’ll share his calculations.
rprinn@mit.edu
I emailed him and Scribbler told me he’d make a phone call, but no response from Prinn.
For me it’s not worth spending more time digging right now. And for the real climate scientists, we’re just clowns.
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Methane being a 100 times more warming potential (short-term / instant) is a big simplificaiton. Unfortunately, the real physics of the process are not so easy. Few facts worth consideration are (if my memory serves):
– methane – and any other greenhouse gas, – absorbs incoming solar radiation unevenly depending on wavelangth. There are large peaks and large ranges of wavelengths with no absorbtion at all. These peaks and no-absorbtion “zones” differ from gas to gas. The main problem about methane – is that it absorbs the most energy at wavelengths which are low-to-no-absorbtion zones of CO2. Therefore, methane and CO2 act significantly independantly from each other. I.e., 600 ppm CO2 vs 400 ppm CO2 + 2 ppm methane – is NOT the same. The latter, if i am not mistaken, is significantly higher greenhouse effect than the former;
– the figure itself – 100 – is very approximate. Due to the wavelength-dependant nature of energy absorbtion, presence of other greenhouse gases (mainly CO2 and H20 vapour), and substantial uncertainties about cumulative effects of clouds and other complex phenomena in the athmosphere, actual estimates of the figure vary significantly in the literature. I’ve seen figures as low as 70 and as high as 121 for methane short-term CO2-equivalent;
Additionally, it must be noted that methane longer-term warming potential – which is much lower than 100, – is not to be dismissed completely. Earth surface has a huge thermal inertia – mainly thanks to its oceans. Even if totally tremendous amounts of methane would be put into the athmosphere, – thermal inertia won’t allow surface temperatures to “jump” in a matter of mere months or few years. It’ll still take some 30+ years for Earth surface temperature to even approach the new equilibrium state. However, most of “once emitted” methane would likely be gone (turned into CO2) in less than a half of 30 years. This demonstrates why it’s indeed correct to neglect long-term dynamic of methane warming potential as long as methane concentration in the athmosphere is constant – but also it demonstrates equally well why it’s incorrect to neglect it, should any significant change in methane concentration in the athmosphere would happen.
Collapse of industrial civilization would likely decrease athmospheric methane content dramatically. Expected and huge increase of methane emissions in the Arctic would do the opposite. Net effect is difficult to predict – especially considering already-observed decline of the concentration of OH free radicals in the athmosphere. The latter may well contribute to massive increase of methane half-life in the athmosphere, – in fact, if memory serves, this is already observed and reported, i recall a paper saying that recent changed have led to substantial increase of methane half-life – from something like 6 years pre-industrial to about 11 years nowadays, if i remember numbers right.
Overall, though, yes, it’s one quite solid analisys. Stands OK as a fair 1st approximation of the matter at hand. Except its very last p.16 reasoning: no discussion of the almost certain runaway nature of climate change is publicly allowable – this is true; but the true reason for this – is, sadly, not even capitalists and rotten media; worse, it’s needs and desires of billions of people which actually make it not allowable. Indeed, imagine such a discussion was in fact made, and made widely spred. Do you expect ordinary – “normal” – people, which nowadays equals “consumers en mass”, – to arrive to any helpful solution? I do not. I rather expect a mix of panic, denial, aggression, depression and widespread disintegration of systems, as a result of such a discussion being held by _public_. No matter any capitalists.
Wouldn’t you?
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Thanks for your input.
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A few minor word errors slipped through as I reconstructed sentences. Sorry about that.
Three years ago I wrote:
‘There are two kinds of people in the world: those who seek the truth and those who run from it.
There are two kinds of organisation in the world: those that embrace the truth and those that try to conceal it.’
. .
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…According to ICIMOD estimates, black carbon is likely responsible for a large part – around 30% by some calculations – of glacial melt in the region. It says most of the black carbon deposited in the Himalayas and in the southern area of the Tibetan Plateau comes from the plains of India, while black carbon on the eastern and northern parts of the Plateau originates in central China.
Bigger harvests
ICIMOD says that while data is limited, studies suggest black carbon may not only be a factor in hastening the melt of mountain glaciers – it could also substantially alter rainfall patters and affect the behaviour of the monsoon.
While many well-organised environmental NGOs and other groups have formed in India in recent years, the environment – and climate change – does not come high on the political agenda…
http://www.climatenewsnetwork.net/2014/03/indias-diesel-fumes-fuel-glacier-melt/
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35 countries where the U.S. has supported fascists, drug lords and terrorists
http://www.salon.com/2014/03/08/35_countries_the_u_s_has_backed_international_crime_partner/
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From ‘Surviving Capitalism’ today:
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Pingback:
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A technophiliac orgasming over modern technology…
http://www.frequency.com/video/future-of-us-technological-sublime/137981334/-/5-757
Way too over the top. I can tell you he spends no time on the things we speak of here.
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Just had a Mr. Creosote moment.
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‘post-biology’: what an idiot.
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I suppose everyone is aware of these boneyards, but another clip, interesting in it’s way:
http://money.cnn.com/video/technology/2014/03/03/t-airplane-boneyard-air-force.cnnmoney/index.html?iid=GM
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Mother Nature to this guy babbling about how great our effing technology is as the lights go out for good:
“Yeah? Show me what you got now.”
What a loon. Did he forget about Fukushima? We can’t even handle what we have!
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http://utopiathecollapse.com/2014/03/09/china-is-crashing-as-predicted/
China is crashing … as predicted
March 2014 – CHINA – A dangerous build-up of debt and an explosion of risky and poorly regulated shadow banking have raised serious concerns about the health of China’s economy. That’s why the Chaori default — the first ever in China’s domestic corporate bond market — has sparked fears that the country could be headed for a full-blown economic crisis like the one that slammed Wall Street in 2008. “We believe that the market will have reached the Bear Stearns stage,” warned strategist David Cui and his team at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch in a report to investors. The concern of Cui and others is that the Chaori default will be the tip-off point for an unraveling of China’s financial system. The default could wake investors and bankers to the realization that companies they thought were safe bets are potentially not, and they could begin to reassess other loans and investments to other corporations. In other words, they might start redefining what is and is not risky. That could then lead to a credit crunch, when nervous bankers become wary of lending money, or lending at affordable interest rates.
More bankruptcies could result. That eventually causes the financial markets to lock up — and we end up transitioning from a Bear Stearns moment to a Lehman Brothers moment, when the financial sector melts down. “We think the chain reaction will probably start,” Cui wrote. “In the U.S., it took about a year to reach the Lehman stage when the market panicked… We assess that it may take less time in China.” The U.S. and Europe learned the hard way about the dangers of shadow banks in the financial crisis but, five years later, China appears set to get its own painful lesson about what can happen when large capital flows get diverted to unregulated corners of the financial system. “We estimate that 88% of the revenues of Chinese trust companies are at risk in the long term,” said McKinsey and Ping An. Billionaire investor George Soros recently wrote on a popular news website that the impending default and the growing fear reflected in Chinese markets has “eerie resemblances” to the global crisis of 2008.
It could be a “Lehman Brothers moment” for Asia. And since the global financial system is more interconnected today than ever before, that would be very bad news for the United States as well. Since Lehman Brothers collapsed in 2008, the level of private domestic credit in China has risen from $9 trillion to an astounding $23 trillion. That is an increase of $14 trillion in just a little bit more than 5 years. Much of that “hot money” has flowed into stocks, bonds and real estate in the United States. So what do you think is going to happen when that bubble collapses? The bubble of private debt that we have seen inflate in China since the Lehman crisis is unlike anything that the world has ever seen. Never before has so much private debt been accumulated in such a short period of time. Private debt is much more dangerous than public debt. All of this debt has helped fuel tremendous economic growth in China, but now a whole bunch of Chinese companies are realizing that they have gotten in way, way over their heads. In fact, it is being projected that Chinese companies will pay out the equivalent of approximately a trillion dollars in interest payments this year alone. That is more than twice the amount that the U.S. government will pay in interest in 2014. -Zero Hedge
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Also a big drop in exports leading to a huge trade deficit.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-03-07/chinese-exports-collapse-leading-2nd-largest-trade-deficit-record
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Yep. Even financial shenanigans (printing money out of thin air) can’t stop the meltdown of civilization’s economics.
As the wealth is sucked out of the system and sequestered (into the bank accounts of the few), there isn’t enough cash flow for infrastructure maintenance, buying of junk (or even necessities after while), and causing the money stream to slow down like the thermohaline circulation – and these people (economists, bankers) are supposed to be “the smartest people in the room.”
The other part is that the global banking system is completely interconnected so that trouble in one sector migrates and infects other sectors. That is, the collapse of exports in China could lead to currency wars, devalued dollars (if it can get any lower without being worthless), and have all kinds of knock-on effects to the global supply chains.
Click to access Trade-Off1.pdf
Meanwhile food prices are reacting to climate change, crops are suffering and people are becoming desperate. This is going to be an “interesting” year – especially as summer kicks in (in the northern hemisphere). [Keep your eyes on the Arctic.]
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There are still plenty of countries left to pillage, loot and plunder, and the MSM will always lie and provide a cover story to fool the useful idiots that it’s all in a good cause.
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2014/03/where-is-obamas-off-ramp-in-this-escalation-spiral.html#c6a00d8341c640e53ef01a3fccf1fcd970b
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Uh yes summer will kick us hard in the northern hemisphere. I recently warned in a small austrian mainstream newspaper with a link to Chris from adbusters, that we are all psychos to risk such a huge temperature jump (no reactions to my article) Sam from arctic news is expecting a major shift away from the trend that the surplus heat is going into the oceans. So we will feel the heat this year. I personally think distopia is so deep here in europe, that most human robots will wait for their paychecks coming out of the ATM until their last minute. They did not recognized that the forests burned the whole last summer all over europe. They did not recognize that many farmers had to slaughter their live stocks in the mountains cause of the drought in the alps. even the wet parts of the Swiss Alps had problems with the grassland. The coming Summers will change the whole agriculture here in Central Europe…
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Great talk here by Steven Novella(The Skeptical Neurologist) on why our brain sucks…
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“Tiny Tim it seems had a precursing, whacky, falsetto-trademark song about melting polar ice caps and the devastating effects upon our lives.”
Never knew the “Tiptoe Through the Tulips” crooner was a seer.
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Everyone of those kids was institutionalized or ended up in therapy.
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@ apneaman…
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Thank you Tiny Tim and God Bless the Cancer Everyone.
The growth must be fed, the complexity and consumption of the society and the tools of war and defense must be maintained and improved upon – at all cost. There is only one body from which to derive nutrition and we can never get an adequate amount – because we are a CANCER, a death machine. The United States is the greatest tumor on earth and we will spread and subsume ALL with debt, dollars and drones even as the body writhes and shudders with fever, the circulation shuts down and the syrupy black glucose only dribbles from welded steel veins. Look at your Rolexes frat boys, time’s about up, you failed. You’re balance sheet is deep in the bloody red and next quarter’s not lookin too good.
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How’s your essay coming along?
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Going well, but in the words of the esteemed Orson Welles “………no wine before its time.”
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Reblogged this on Gaia will prevail.
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Great post, love the blog. I linked to your blog from my own (prayforcalamity.com) If you give me a read, and like what I’m about, I’d love if you linked me back. Keep up the good work.
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Like your stuff. Will make a permanent link to the left when I get some time.
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Woman is the Nigger of the World
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xraymike: yes, and we (incl. men) are expendable. “What’s not to like,” eh?
ulvfugl: yeah, that’s capitalism and “progress” esp. in U.S. – that whole paradigm is a death sentence! Why don’t economists see it? Oh, I get it (now that it’s painfully obvious) – that’s what economics IS!
http://climateandcapitalism.com/2014/03/09/capitalism-fouls-things/
Again and again, capitalism fouls things up
Barry Sheppard: Toxic spills in two West Virginia rivers show that the capitalist system itself is an enemy of the natural environment humanity depends on
Follow the energy.
http://www.321energy.com/
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From Top 10 Most Shared Articles of 2013
http://www.skeptic.com
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An oil price surge and a collapse of demand for iron ore would be useful right now because I suspect that more transnational looting is about to be consented to. Corporations do not have to prove that what they intend to do is not harmful, just that the risk of immediately catastrophic consequences is low
‘We strongly believe that the local and national benefits of our project significantly outweigh any perceived negative environmental effects.’
With business-as-usual being a prime concern for the ‘Ecocide Promotion Agency’, approval is virtually certain to given. And presumably the NZ government has given an undertaking to allow a bit more looting in order to get continued flow of international credit.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/taranaki-daily-news/news/9808486/Seabed-battle-begins
A “precedent-setting” hearing beginning today will decide the fate of a plan to mine ironsand off the coast of Taranaki.
The gloves will be off at the marine consent hearing into Trans-Tasman Resources’ (TTR) application for the project, before the Environmental Protection Authority. The hearing is expected to continue until early May.
Those fighting to stop the project have cited the effects on marine and coastal ecology, erosion, and consequential effects on local communities.
TTR wants to extract up to 50 million tonnes of sediment per year, processing it aboard a vessel.
About 5 million tonnes of iron ore concentrate would be exported. The mining would cover an area of 65.76 square kilometres in the South Taranaki Bight.
The environmental body received 4848 submissions, including 140 late submissions.
An authority spokesperson said TTR’s application was the first for a marine consent to be heard by a decision-making committee, appointed by the authority’s board, under the new exclusive economic zone (EEZ) legislation.
So while it cannot measure the 4848 submissions against similar applications, it represents the highest number of public submissions received by the authority since it was established nearly three years ago.
The next highest was 1271 for the New Zealand King Salmon farming project in the Marlborough Sounds. A large number of submitters opposed to TTR’s plan used a form set up by Kiwis Against Seabed Mining (KASM).
KASM chairman Phil McCabe said the EEZ legislation imposed “incredibly tight time frames”.
“We’re grossly underfunded.
“We weren’t eligible for any environmental legal aid . . . so we have had to fund ourselves.
“But, given the circumstances, I think we have laid out a good challenge for a small community-based group.” Mr McCabe said the EEZ legislation was a “rebranding exercise” which asked the public to view oceans as money-making zones.
“It’s a perspective they are asking people to take and what I am seeing is people are reluctant to accept that.”
He warned that the TTR seabed mining proposal would be the first of many.
“So this is a precedent-setting case and the whole coast is very concerned about the outcome of this first application.”
TTR chief executive Tim Crossley was determined to secure the necessary approvals to allow it to establish the country’s first offshore ironsand mining operation.
“We look forward to participating in a rigorous public hearing process . . . We strongly believe that the local and national benefits of our project significantly outweigh any perceived negative environmental effects.
“We are confident that TTR has put forward the best available information, and we believe the EEZ act and the Environmental Protection Authority processes provide a robust framework for assessing the effects and merits of our project,” he said.
– © Fairfax NZ News
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…Scientists have identified four new man-made gases that are contributing to the depletion of the ozone layer.
Two of the gases are accumulating at a rate that is causing concern among researchers.
Worries over the growing ozone hole have seen the production of chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) gases restricted since the mid 1980s.
But the precise origin of these new, similar substances remains a mystery, say scientists…
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Or this version.
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/mar/09/ozone-hole-antarctica-chemicals
New ozone-destroying chemicals found in atmosphere
Mysterious compounds undermining recovery of giant ozone hole over Antarctica, scientists warn
Damian Carrington
theguardian.com, Sunday 9 March 2014 18.00 GMT
Jump to comments (97)
The ozone hole reached its biggest extent for the year
The ozone hole reached its biggest extent for the year on 26 September, 2013. Photograph: NOAA
Dozens of mysterious ozone-destroying chemicals may be undermining the recovery of the giant ozone hole over Antarctica, researchers have revealed.
The chemicals, which are also extremely potent greenhouse gases, may be leaking from industrial plants or being used illegally, contravening the Montreal protocol which began banning the ozone destroyers in 1987. Scientists said the finding of the chemicals circulating in the atmosphere showed “ozone depletion is not yesterday’s story.”
Until now, a total of 13 CFCs and HCFCs were known to destroy ozone and are controlled by the Montreal protocol, widely regarded as the world’s most successful environmental law. But scientists have now identified and measured four previously unknown compounds and warned of the existence of many more.
“There are definitely more out there,” said Dr Johannes Laube, at the University of East Anglia. “We have already picked up dozens more. They might well add up to dangerous levels, especially if we keep finding more.” Laube and his colleagues are in the process of fully analysing the dozens of new compounds, but the work completed on the four new chemicals shows them to be very powerful destroyers of ozone.
Laube is particularly concerned that the atmospheric concentrations of two of the new compounds, while low now, are actually accelerating. “They are completely unimpressed by the Montreal protocol,” Laube told the Guardian. “There are quite a few loopholes in the protocol and we hope some of these are tightened. But the good news is that we have picked up these [four] early.” The chemicals take decades to break down in the atmosphere, meaning their impact on ozone and climate change is long-lived.
“This research highlights that ozone depletion is not yesterday’s story,” said Prof Piers Forster, at the University of Leeds, who was not involved in the study. “The Montreal protocol – the most successful international environmental legislation in history – phased out ozone-depleting substances from 1987 and the ozone layer should recover by 2050. Nevertheless this paper reminds us we need to be vigilant and continually monitor the atmosphere for even small amounts of these gases creeping up.”
The new research, published the journal Nature Geoscience, analysed air samples captured since the mid-1970s in several ways. Air bubbles trapped in snowpack in Greenland, samples taken by scientists in Tasmania and others collected by aircraft flying 13 miles above Europe were all analysed. The team found three new CFCs and one HCFC, none of which had been identified before. “I was surprised no-one had picked these up before,” said Laube. At least 74,000 tonnes of the four newly discovered chemicals have been emitted, the scientists estimate, although in the 1980s one million tonnes of other CFCs were pumped into the atmosphere every year.
Despite the production of all CFCs having been banned since 2010, the concentration of one – CFC113a – is rising at an accelerating rate. The source of the chemicals is a mystery but Laube suggests that CFC113a may be being used as a feedstock chemical in the production of agricultural pesticides. “But we can’t rule out illegal sources,” he said.
CFCs and HCFCs were used mainly in refrigeration and aerosol sprays but, in 1985, scientists discovered the Antarctic ozone hole. It grew in size from almost nothing in 1979 to a peak of 26.6m sqkm in 2006. As the Montreal protocol has taken effect, it has recovered slowly, shrinking to 21.0m sqkm in 2013. Ozone screens out harmful ultraviolet rays from sunlight that can cause cancer in humans, as well as damaging marine life, crops and animals.
“Although these new emissions [of the four chemicals] are small, for the Montreal protocol to continue to be successful it is necessary to understand whether it is being strictly complied with,” said Prof William Collins, at the University of Reading, and not part of the research team. “This study provides useful new information on policing the protocol, tracing sources of new CFCs that are possibly arising as the by-products of manufacturing other chemicals.”
In December, Nasa researchers revealed the discovery of a new greenhouse gas that is 7,000 times more powerful than carbon dioxide at warming the Earth and which has been in use by the electrical industry since the mid-20th century. The four newly identified compounds are also expected to trap heat thousands of times more powerfully than CO2.
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Conservative and Libertarian “every man for himself” and “just world” philosophies never apply when their property takes a hit. Nothing wrong with a little bail out then. Just like Exxon Rex and the NIMBY fracking farce.
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Good intro film about ocean acidification.
http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5cqCvcX7buo
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Well, the film was going great until the 19 min. mark, where, as usual, it jumped on the hopium bandwagon and started promoting incentives that would keep us doing what we’re doing with less carbon dioxide pollution and be, you know, good for the economy. Fail.
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What direction, as far as CO2 pollution, would you like to see us head towards?
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Following on from the ‘bad’ numbers out of China, Zerohedge says:
‘Japan just printed its worst current account deficit on record and its worst GDP growth since Abenomics was unveiled – both missing by the proverbial garden mile and both confirming that all is not well in Asia. As for the perpetual hope of a J-curve (or miracle hockey-stick reversal)? There won’ be one! As Patrick Barron noted, “monetary debasement does not result in an economic recovery, because no nation can force another to pay for its recovery.”
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-03-09/abenomics-crucified-lowest-gdp-abe-worst-current-account-deficit-record
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“In fact, if we are impeccably honest with ourselves, we will be forced to acknowledge that there is a Dick Cheney and a pair of Koch brothers within us. This is called the human shadow, and it’s the curse/blessing of being human. The shadow is the part of us that we say is “not me.” The human ego says, “Oh I would never be a trophy hunter or work for the fracking industry.” Yet the unconscious mind knows otherwise. It knows that despite the cacophony of our arguments to the contrary, any one of us could be the poacher, the fracker, the drone operator, or the NSA snoop. When we are forced to face this reality, we are also humbled by the territory of the human condition in which we abide. As long as we project the image of “human scum” on our fellow homo sapiens, we get to feel better about ourselves because we don’t have to confront the shadow. A moment ago I said that the shadow is a curse/blessing. The curse is very clear, but what is the blessing?”
Carolyn Baker
Mad Hominem: Why Hatred Of The Human Species Is Not Helpful
http://www.carolynbaker.net
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So is she saying there are no psychopaths in society who rise to the top of the heap or that our socio-economic system rewards such behavior? Sounds like poppycock to me.
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One in a hundred regular people is a psychopath…That figure rises to 4% of CEO’s and business leaders…The reason why is because capitalism, at its most ruthless, rewards psychopathic behavior –the lack of empathy, the glibness, cunning and manipulative behavior… Capitalism at its most remorseless is a physical manifestation of psychopathy, a form of psychopathy that has come down to affect us all.
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Yes, I think it is Jungian claptrap designed to make work for therapists, just as the Christian doctrine of Original sin makes work for priests.
I prefer Bankei’s Zen. He said you were born pure and perfect, all you need to do is to return to the immaculate state you were in before you were born. That’s all there is to it.
The problem is, we can’t do that. We have to repress that because we have to fit into a corrupt and brutal system designed by psychopaths to suit the interests of psychopaths.
I’ve searched in vain to find my ‘inner Dick Cheney’. Sure, I’m not a ‘nice’ person, but it’s all out in the open, I’m not into ruling the world, or anything other than what I am. I’m not hiding anything or pretending to be anything, or scheming or plotting. What the hell is the point ? Vanity of vanities, all is vanity…
What worse fate could there possibly be than to have to be a Koch or a Cheney or a Bush ? It must be the most horrible experience I can imagine, and yet people lust for the power and prestige and envy the wealth and status and kill others to get it.
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I definitely believe the “born pure and perfect” concept. Society conforms to capitalism and is subservient to its needs.
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“It’s like when people talk about all their so-called solutions to global warming that are put forward in the mainstream media – what they’re attempting to do is take industrial capitalism as a given and the natural world as that which must conform to capitalism. And that’s literally insane in terms of being out of touch with physical reality. Without a planet, you don’t have any social system whatsoever. My point is that any solution to global warming – any solution to any part of sustainability – has to take the real, physical world as primary and industrial capitalism, or any social system, as secondary. A social system must conform to a land-base. That’s why the Tolowa were able to live here for twelve-thousand-five-hundred-years – because their social systems
emerged from and were a part of the land-base.” ~ Derrick Jensen
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Ulvfugl sez: What worse fate could there possibly be than to have to be a Koch or a Cheney or a Bush? It must be the most horrible experience I can imagine, and yet people lust for the power and prestige and envy the wealth and status and kill others to get it.
I’ve wondered that same thing. These are people who have no idea (I suspect) how to be happy despite all the riches and advantages they possess. Others whose lust for acquisition of power betrays an unsettled psyche include Hillary Clinton and the two Pauls (Ron and Ran). It also explains how Romney could be so bewildered and crestfallen when he didn’t win the presidency. Very unhappy people grasping at things that will never soothe them.
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She never said there are no psychopaths in our society.
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I got nothing of worth out of the essay. Surely there should be some analysis of the system under which we toil. Surely there are alternatives besides accepting technocapitalism as a given.
She suggests we roll over and accept the destruction and oppression dished out to us by our corporate overlords:
“So as my student asked: Are we to love and care for humans who have destroyed the planet? I answer with an unequivocal yes.”
Empty and gutless advice.
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I don’t know a single person who is not in some ways destroying the earth….living absolutely sustainably, in a way that all others could also live.
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Does it have to be an all-or-nothing scenario? Of course not, but we’ll never get close to anything sustainable with our current trajectory.
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Idiotic ideological purity. There is no sainthood on this earth.
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Hey, my good man, I’m not well, but I’m trying to explain my idea for you
http://guymcpherson.com/forum/index.php?topic=591.msg43670#msg43670
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I think some people who live in the mountains in rural Laos fit your description. Maybe some areas of rural Cambodia and small parts of Thailand. Those are people who I have observed with my own eyes who might fit your criteria. These people do in fact exist, even if they and their being strike terror into the psychology of anyone invested in the murderous clown show. I pointed this out at NBL last year only to be met with the argument “given 1/2 a chance they would have invaded and conquered the world exactly like Ghengis Khan.” Yep – and I am a pink turtle posting to your site from an extra dimensional base on the moons of Mars.
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Nenets ! 🙂
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Anyone who takes “industrial capitalism as a given” is either completely unaware of our predicament, has given up or fears the change. Carolyn Baker has been involved and knows more than enough. She might feel comfortable being the Mother/Priestess of collapse hospice. What if it takes 50 years to get to lawlessness and/or complete environmental collapse? Shall we raise a generation or two in hospice?
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‘What if it takes 50 years to get to lawlessness and/or complete environmental collapse?’
I’m being a bit pedantic but lawlessness already applies in most ‘developed’ nations insofar as most developed nations are police states in which the law is not applied at all or is applied selectively to protect the interests of the top 1%. We all know about Wall St and the corporations writing the laws and being immune to prosecution but lawlessness now institutionalised. For instance, my local council is a law unto itself and does not comply with central government laws, and certainly does not comply with any natural laws, yet nothing can be done because the legal system is geared to protecting and promoting lawlessness at the top. it’s hardly surprising that lawlessness prevails. On the international scene, did not the US and UK (along with several of the ‘willing’) invade Iraq illegally? I put it to you that lawlessness is the norm these days. However, what we do have at the moment is the majority of ordinary folk still complying with sets of arbitrary rules. It will be interesting to see how long that continues; certainly not another 50 years.
As for 50 years to get to complete environmental collapse, I have fallen into the trap of using the word complete before now, but not with respect to the environment. the global environment will continue to become more inhospitable for humans until it becomes impossible to breathe the air or maintain body temperature, but starvation will bring an end to human existence before then. As for the geochemical changes triggered by humanity, they will reach completion long after all humans have perished.
Looking at the drought conditions, the climate instability, the awful numbers coming out of major economies ect., I think we will be ‘lucky’ if the system last another ten years. I’m still thinking in terms of 2016 to 2018 (2020 at the latest) for some kind of meltdown.
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The so called saviour of the day, namely shale oil and fracking is projected to last around 2 years. Very much a one hit wonder and that is from oil industry web sites At the moment that production is helping maintain stability in the US oil market. I’ve seen estimates that put SHTF time ito oil prices around late 2016.
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http://enenews.com/fukushima-plant-hanging-by-its-fingernails-about-to-fall-off-japans-nuclear-disaster-a-warning-to-all-of-civilization-govt-tepco-announce-dates-for-completion-but-no-one-really-bel
Fukushima plant hanging by its fingernails, about to fall off — Disaster is “warning to all of civilization” — “Gov’t & Tepco announce dates for completion, but no one really believes them… this is new territory” (VIDEO)
[check it out]
Here’s one for the books (from JJF Hyp. blog):
http://abclocal.go.com/ktrk/story?section=news/national_world&id=9459089
Family: Walmart steaks were laced with LSD
ORLANDO, FL (KTRK) — A family of four is recovering in Florida after they say they ate Walmart steak laced with LSD. It was enough to push the pregnant mother into forced labor.
Tampa police say the family bought the meat from Walmart, but a company spokesperson says it is still unclear if the meat was tampered with before or after purchase.
Investigators are testing the meat and the family’s oven.
The woman, her boyfriend and two kids say they knew something was wrong, when they began hallucinating.
“There was no indication that we know of right now that the meat tasted funny, it was the physical symptoms that they had which included hallucinations dizziness, rapid heart rate and difficulty breathing,” Tampa Police Chief Jane Castor said.
A Walmart spokeswoman says its supplier had no reports of similar incidents.
(also from the same source, Jonny Mnemonic’s comment below)
Category: Fires And Explosions
2014-03-07 – Meiyu River ignites in coastal Wenzhou (China):
http://www.theepochtimes.com/n3/549834-polluted-river-catches-fire-in-china/
Note: Blamed on some factory’s discharge, but the factory says the chemical wasn’t flammable. This could be hydrogen sulfide and/or methane dissolved into the water (they’re both water-soluble gases), making the WATER ITSELF flammable, like the various people who’ve demonstrated having flammable tapwater around the United States in the last coupla years. I mentioned a week or two back that the OCEANS may eventually catch fire, at least here and there, like where those 2.5 gigatons of methane clathrates are melting away off the US East Coast, or in the area of those ‘gas springs’ that Israeli scientists detected off the coast of Israel. Plenty of bogs and swamps and marshes and peat areas have burned, so burning waterways was the next logical step. Now the question is, which river/lake/pond will ignite next?
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Interesting trend:
4 Ways Young Americans Are Saying No to Car Ownership
America’s love affair with cars is ending as a new generation turns to more attractive options.
http://www.alternet.org/4-ways-young-americans-are-saying-no-car-ownership
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And interview with the author about his short story “The Relive Box” that I mentioned in this blog post:
http://www.newyorker.com/online/blogs/books/2014/03/this-week-in-fiction-tc-boyle.html
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In response to this article: 100% Renewables Viable And Affordable For US, Finds Stanford Research
Alice Friedemann says:
Jacobson may be trying to prevent panic and social disorder by giving people hope:
Why do political and economic leaders deny Peak Oil and Climate Change?
http://energyskeptic.com/2014/climate-change-deniers/
The reason it’s so hard to rebut Mark Jacobson is the same reason it’s hard to rebut any techno-optimist — you need to read an encyclopedia of books and peer-reviewed scientific articles that encompass not only alternative energy, but carrying capacity, infrastructure, exponential growth, the intersection of energy resources with the financial system, supply chains, softer sciences about war and social unrest…
If I had to pick shorter articles to rebut Jacobson, I’d choose:
1) My review of Hoffert is at Science : No single or combination of alternative energy resources can replace fossil fuels
Martin Hoffert, et al 2002 Advanced Technology Paths to Global Climate Stability: Energy for a Greenhouse Planet, Science. Vol 298).
2) David Fridley, LBNL scientist, on why alternative energy won’t save us
http://energyskeptic.com/2014/fridley-alternative-energy-wont-save-us/
3) Wind & Solar need thousands of tons of steel, aluminum, cement, concrete, copper but produce little energy. A Summary of Sergio Pacca and Darpa Horvath 2002 Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Building and Operating Electric Power Plants in the Upper Colorado River Basin. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY / VOL. 36, NO. 14 pp. 3194-3200
http://energyskeptic.com/2014/alt-energy-too-much-steel-cement-aluminum-but-little-power/
4) High-Tech can’t last: Limited minerals & metals essential for wind, solar, microchips, cars, & other high-tech gadgets
http://energyskeptic.com/2014/high-tech-cannot-last-rare-earth-metals/
5) Energy Overview. Oil is butter-fried-steak wrapped in bacon, alternative energy is iceberg lettuce.
http://energyskeptic.com/2014/an-overview/
And then you’d want Jacobson and other techno-optimists to read the material in these reading lists — fat chance!:
6) Alternative energy reading list
http://energyskeptic.com/2013/alternative-energy-reading-list/
7) Fossil fuel reading list
http://energyskeptic.com/2013/fossil-fuel-reading-list/
8) and finally, the book list with other topics that are intertwined with energy that will affect the outcomes ahead:
violence, collapse of civilizations, carrying capacity, ecology, evolution, extinction, war, natural resources, infrastructure, agriculture, politics and more
http://energyskeptic.com/2011/booklist/
…………..
Nate Hagens says:
……………..
With Wit’s End contributing an interesting article as well as a link from James Hansen on the subject:
Click to access 20140310_Sleepless.pdf
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I didn’t read past the first sentence because the first sentence highlighted the underlying problem: : :
‘a Stanford University research team led by civil engineer Mark Jacobson’
I have not met a well-educated civil engineer yet, and never will. Civil engineering is about building stuff and never thinking about the consequences.
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I believe Mark Jacobson and others like him believe what they are espousing is possible. Seems reasonable that engineer’s would see much of life as a collection of engineering challenges. Given what I know of history and psychology, I’ll take past behavior as my predictor to what will be the most likely response to energy decline.
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Michael T. Klare – The Race for What’s Left – 2012
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Speaking of bills, it looks like the whole thing is going up in smoke:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-09/global-debt-exceeds-100-trillion-as-governments-binge-bis-says.html
Global Debt Exceeds $100 Trillion as Governments Binge, BIS Says
The amount of debt globally has soared more than 40 percent to $100 trillion since the first signs of the financial crisis as governments borrowed to pull their economies out of recession and companies took advantage of record low interest rates, according to the Bank for International Settlements.
The $30 trillion increase from $70 trillion between mid-2007 and mid-2013 compares with a $3.86 trillion decline in the value of equities to $53.8 trillion in the same period, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The jump in debt as measured by the Basel, Switzerland-based BIS in its quarterly review is almost twice the U.S.’s gross domestic product.
Borrowing has soared as central banks suppress benchmark interest rates to spur growth after the U.S. subprime mortgage market collapsed and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.’s bankruptcy sent the world into its worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. Yields on all types of bonds, from governments to corporates and mortgages, average about 2 percent, down from more than 4.8 percent in 2007, according to the Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Broad Market Index.
“Given the significant expansion in government spending in recent years, governments (including central, state and local governments) have been the largest debt issuers,” according to Branimir Gruic, an analyst, and Andreas Schrimpf, an economist at the BIS. The organization is owned by 60 central banks and hosts the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, a group of regulators and central bankers that sets global capital standards. [Well, no wonder it’s all fucked up! Read the rest]
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The first “warm day” of the year never came so early!
http://www.deredactie.be/cm/vrtnieuws.english/News/140309_weather_records
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Germany had their warmest ever March day on the 9th – 23.7°C. The weather has been balmy here in England, too. The thermometer has hardly dipped below freezing all winter…
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Pulled out of a review Darbikrash sent me of True Detective…
Selected as one of the Best Books of 2012
Petrochemical America
This photo-journalism book offers an in-depth analysis of the causes of sustained environmental abuse along the largest river system in North America. It combines Richard Misrach’s haunting photographs of Louisiana’s “Chemical Corridor” with landscape architect Kate Orff’s “Ecological Atlas”-a series of speculative drawings developed through intensive research and mapping of data from the region. Misrach and Orff’s joint effort depicts and unpacks the complex cultural, physical and economic ecologies of a particular region along 150 miles of the Mississippi River, from Baton Rouge to New Orleans-an area of intense chemical production that became known as “Cancer Alley” when unusually high occurrences of the disease were discovered in the region. This revelatory collaboration has resulted in a complex document and an extensively researched guidebook to the ways in which the petrochemical industry has permeated every facet of contemporary life. However complicated by the region’s own histories and particularities, “Cancer Alley” may well be an apt metaphor for the global impact of petrochemicals on the human landscape as a whole.
Trouble in Mind:
Leon Litwack’s magisterial history of the lives of Black Southerners under Jim Crow. And although I shouldn’t have been, I was shocked by his account of lynching — at how common it was, how popular, and how public. The audiences that gathered for lynchings were huge, and their appetite for suffering — burning and other tortures — as spectacle couldn’t be satisfied by mere killing. Children even played their own games of hanging and being hung.
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“Paul Kingsnorth wrote recently of the floods that have hit the UK, arguing that they represent the beginning of “a gradual, messy, winding-down of everything we once believed we were entitled to”. It’s 2 years since he announced “I withdraw from the campaigning and the marching. I withdraw from the arguing and the talked-up necessity, and all the false assumptions. I withdraw from the words. I’m leaving, I’m going out walking”. What has he been doing since then, and what does “living with climate change” mean to him?”
http://www.transitionnetwork.org/blogs/rob-hopkins/2014-03/paul-kingsnorth-living-climate-change
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This UN statement posted on RT today is so stupid it’s laughable. I think they have defined the expression “detached from reality.
http://rt.com/news/world-food-security-2050-846/
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Whoever wrote the Georgia Guide stones knows exactly what is going on. A new world order. Sustainable global population of around 500 Million etc. When you boil it all down the only solution, assuming you want to maintain some semblance of civilization, is the rapid demise of around 6 Billion people. Sounds horrendous but when you cut through all the chafe it really does come down to this simple fact. If you just let it unravel then the result will be far far worse. Simply assuming the survivors will build a better world is naive optimism at it’s worst. Man is intrinsically flawed. Scorpions on the proverbial frogs back.
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The Guide Stones failed to account for climate change, irreversible self-reinforcing feedbacks, Fukushima (as well as all the other nuclear waste we continue to produce with no safe place to put it), and many other factors that clearly indicate we’re in an unparalleled extinction event which may take out all life on Earth, but will definitely destroy the habitat that supported humanity. The new world order is toast like the rest of us.
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CPAC Panelist: ‘Human Racism’ Drives Climate Change Concern
SUBMITTED BY Miranda Blue on Saturday, 3/8/2014 5:42 pm
As in yesterday’s CPAC panel on climate change, another panel called “Can American Survive Obama’s War on Fossil Fuel?” featured an hour of climate change skeptics berating environmentalist straw men.
In a memorable moment, Alex Epstein of the Ayn-Rand worshipping Center For Industrial Progress – who was sporting an “I ❤ Fossil Fuels” t-shirt – said that it was silly to ask if humans are behind climate change, because that assumes that “if man did change climate, it would be a bad thing.”
Epstein added that if you are worried about man-made climate change, you are displaying “a prejudice against the man-made” or as he likes to put it, “human racism.”
He went on to present the straw-man argument that people who are concerned about climate change are against development and ignore the benefits of industrial advances. While greenhouse gasses might warm the planet “a little bit, and warm is generally nice,” he said, the “most important effect of fossil fuels” is to ensure that people like him can move to “the best climate we can,” in his case Southern California.
Last year, Epstein claimed in a Fox News interview that “fracking is actually incredibly good for our environment.”
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Was that a Monty Python script or a Blackadder script?
Meanwhile in the real world:
http://robinwestenra.blogspot.co.nz/2014/03/climate-change_11.html
A September paper by the world’s leading body of scientists studying the effects of human activity on the world’s climate suggested there was a slim chance that greenhouse gas emissions would force global warming to a smaller degree than previously suspected. But a new study yanks the rug out from under that slight bit of optimism.
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http://robinwestenra.blogspot.co.nz/2014/03/radcast-report-march-11-2011.html
Tuesday, 11 March 2014
March 11, 2014 (311)
SPECIAL EDITION OF RADCAST REPORT – THIRD ANNIVERSARY OF
FUKUSHIMA-DAIICHI
[conclusions]
UNITED STATES: ALL RADIATION LEVELS EXCEED “SAFE” LEVELS
NORTHERN HEMISPHERE: ALL RADIATION LEVELS EXCEED “SAFE” LEVELS
SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE: ALL RADIATION LEVELS EXCEED “SAFE” LEVELS
ALL MAN-MADE RADIATION EXCEEDS “SAFE” LEVELS OF RADIATION.
ALL MAN-MADE RADIATION IS HAZARDOUS TO YOUR HEALTH AND TO THE HEALTH OF FUTURE GENERATIONS!
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!!!! HOW COME EVERY TIME THERE IS A STORY ON RADIATION IT’S ALWAYS IN CAPS? WHY? WHY? WHY? !!!!
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Apneaman: they’re from the article; i copied and pasted it. In answer to your question though – it could be because it’s so scarry that the person is screaming the message.
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I knew it wasn’t you, Tom. It’s ENE or whatever and it does remind me of screaming, which is hard to take serious.
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http://robinwestenra.blogspot.co.nz/2014/03/collapse-of-north-pole-ice-cap.html
Tuesday, 11 March 2014
Collapse of North Pole ice cap
ARCTIC SEA ICE BREAKS A NEW RECORD LOW ONCE AGAIN
North Pole’s ice cap collapsed on 9th March 2014 to a new all-time record low for this time of season with only 12,957,000 km2 sea ice remaining.
At present the sea ice is 1,156,000 km2 smaller what one would normally expect for this time of year. (The normal sea ice cover at this time of year should be over 14 million square kilometres.)
The yellow line is sea ice area in 2014 (the dark red line is the last year’s sea ice area)
[take a look]
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http://phys.org/news/2014-03-methane-producing-microbe-blooms-permafrost.html#jCp
Methane-producing microbe blooms in permafrost thaw
In time with the climate warming up, parts of the permafrost in northern Sweden and elsewhere in the world are thawing. An international study published in Nature Communications describes a newly discovered microbe found in the thawing permafrost of a mire in northernmost Sweden. There it flourishes and produces large amounts of greenhouse gases.
Several billion years ago, before cyanobacteria oxygenised Earth’s atmosphere, there was a group of microbes called archaea which flourished in the warm, shallow oceans, letting out the greenhouse gas methane into the atmosphere. Today, most of the archaea’s descendants hide in places where oxygen cannot reach them. Many still produce methane. The methane-producing (methanogen) archaea in permafrost have led still lives in the frozen soil. The small amounts of methane they produced have stayed below the ice or have been consumed by methane-eating neighbours.
The heating-up of the arctic regions has changed this status quo. The methanogens now have access to carbon dioxide and hydrogen which they convert into methane. The methane is let out into the atmosphere and contributes to further global warming.
[read the rest]
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No response from most people I have emailed with regard to the relative warming factor I am trying to get to the bottom of. One correspondent (not in the system) agreed with me.
I raised the matter with someone with a brain yesterday, and he came back to me with something which indirectly verifies what I have postulated, i.e. that we should be using a figure of the order of well over 100 for the 1.8ppm of methane that is a semi-permanent feature of the atmosphere (and likely to rise significantly).
. .
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http://rt.com/news/world-food-security-2050-846/
UN warns world must produce 60% more food by 2050 to avoid mass unrest
Political turmoil, social unrest, civil war and terrorism could all be on the table unless the world boosts its food production by 60 percent come mid-century, the UN’s main hunger fighting agency has warned.
The world’s population is expected to hit 9 billion people by 2050, which, coupled with the higher caloric intake of increasingly wealthy people, is likely to drastically increase food demand over the coming decades said Hiroyuki Konuma, the assistant director-general of the UN Food and Agriculture Organization Asia-Pacific.
Increased food demand comes at a time when the world is investing less in agricultural research, prompting fear among scientists that global food security could be imperiled.
“If we fail to meet our goal and a food shortage occurs, there will be a high risk of social and political unrest, civil wars and terrorism, and world security as a whole might be affected,” Reuters cites Konuma as saying at a one-week regional food security conference in Ulan Bator, Mongolia.
Several factors could exacerbate the potential for apocalyptic famines. In November, a leaked draft of an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report warned that climate change could cause a 2 percent drop each decade of this century. In the past three years for example, Australia, Canada, China, Russia and the United States have all suffered big flood and drought induced harvest losses.
Exacerbating this problem is a convergence in diets worldwide, with reliance on an ever smaller group of crops leaving global food supplies increasingly vulnerable to inflationary pressure, insects and disease.
“As the global population rises and the pressure increases on our global food system, so does our dependence on the global crops and production system that feeds us,” Luigi Guarino, from the Global Crop Diversity Trust, told the BBC earlier this month.
“The price of failure of any of these crops will become very high.” [read the rest]
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and finally,
http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2014/03/harvard-fluoride-can-increase-attention-deficit-disorder.html
Harvard: Fluoride Can Increase Autism and Attention Deficit Disorder
Government and Top University Studies: Fluoride Lowers IQ and Causes Other Health Problems
We reported last month that a Harvard study found that fluoride can lower children’s IQ by 7 points, and that numerous government reports have shown that fluoride can injure the brain and neurological system.
Now, one of the world’s most prestigious medical journals – Lancet – has published a Harvard study showing that fluoride is one of the chemicals which can increase autism and attention deficit disorder:
Neurodevelopmental disabilities, including autism, attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder, dyslexia, and other cognitive impairments, affect millions of children worldwide, and some diagnoses seem to be increasing in frequency. Industrial chemicals that injure the developing brain are among the known causes for this rise in prevalence. In 2006, we did a systematic review and identified five industrial chemicals as developmental neurotoxicants: lead, methylmercury, polychlorinated biphenyls, arsenic, and toluene. Since 2006, epidemiological studies have documented six additional developmental neurotoxicants—manganese, fluoride, chlorpyrifos, dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane, tetrachloroethylene, and the polybrominated diphenyl ethers. We postulate that even more neurotoxicants remain undiscovered. To control the pandemic of developmental neurotoxicity, we propose a global prevention strategy. Untested chemicals should not be presumed to be safe to brain development, and chemicals in existing use and all new chemicals must therefore be tested for developmental neurotoxicity.
Indeed – as we pointed out last year – our understanding of the effects of fluoride is similar to our understanding of lead in the 1970s.
A number of studies show that improved hygiene – and not fluoride – is responsible for the decline in cavities.
No wonder most of the world has banned water fluoridation, and polls show that people want a vote on the issue.
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http://time.com/19130/senate-democrats-overnight-climate-change/
30 Senate Democrats are planning a marathon speaking session on the chamber floor to bring attention to the issue of climate change, but despite their efforts, there’s little chance of any major new environmental legislation being passed this year
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By way of an old friend…from facebook:
“It was the ultimate betrayal, an epic matricide. Instead of “paying it forward”, caring for the earth and her peoples to the 7th generation, capitalism and its sad excuse for a civilization “deduct it forward”, socializing the costs to the ultimate in economic externalities: the future. The human race and much of the planet were done for because industrial homo sapiens (I refuse to call them human beings anymore) adopted the narcissistic myths of the elite class, the psychopaths of the homo sapiens.
Treating the earth and her peoples, the cosmos, like they were simply composed of building block matter devoid of their own intelligence and spirit, mindless machines to be manipulated and controlled through man’s science and technology, this inevitable offshoot of authoritarian Christianity which denies the sacredness of matter and Gaia, they turned themselves into a machine people serving a Machine God, and a war-driven culture where beauty, harmony, truth, and community are devalued and destroyed for ugliness, chaos, lies and self-deception, and the illusion of separation. Ecocide was ultimately suicidal, the death wish of an entire species.”
Source w photo…
Disclaimer…I’m not a facey, spacey, tweety guy, but I did sign up. No friends, no photos, no about…just access.
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This depressing animated map shows Walmart taking over America
by hrichmond
Here’s an unsettling look at the Walmart-ification of the U.S., starting in Arkansas in 1962 and ending with total domination more than 3,000 stores across the country. First the chain spreads throughout the state, then the Southeast. Then Walmart crawls north and west, looking for all the world like an invasive species:
If you can believe it, there are even more Walmarts today. That map, by Excel guru Daniel Ferry, only goes through 2006; for a similar map that shows Walmart’s growth through 2010, when it hit 4,393 stores in the U.S., check out Dr. Nathan Yau’s version.
Read more of this post
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Those aren’t Wal-Marts, they’re growing and metastasizing technological cells spreading out where the roads of angiogenesis will take them. Do you know how many human cells can fit into a small 250 x 250 x 20 technological cell equivalent factory (metal building)? 4.42 x 10^23. In comparison, there are approximately 37 trillion cells in an adult human. That the same systemic processes can exist at such vastly different scales is worthwhile pondering, amongst other things. Our scale of evolutionary endeavor will be rather short I’m afraid.
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A metazoan tumor will never achieve any degree of realization, it will simply grow and evolve until it ends. The organization of the human growth and its processing of massive amounts of energy will allow some of us, instead of just participating in the lethal metabolic activity like your typical MBA, plumber, teacher, etc., to actually watch and understand through very expensive and time consuming learning, the disease process that terminates the ecosystem. The participants, the “specialists”, have no understanding and given the opportunity to edify themselves, would rather be engaged with entertainment that compensates them for the banality of their jobs and regimentation of their lives. Tomorrow’s another day when coal will be shoveled into furnaces, oil will be piped to refineries and natural gas will flow underground. The citizens will awake and do their jobs and we will be one day closer to the end.
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Are you saying that’s why, you and me never got to be free?
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Australia:
http://www.smh.com.au/environment/weather/angry-summers-will-just-get-madder-scientists-warn-20140309-34fhr.html
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Extreme weather the NORM during incredibly ‘turbulent’ 2014, very underreported is not only Australian exceptional drought but its other equivalent in Argentina where January also broke all records and helped damage corn crop. Now this:
http://en.itar-tass.com/russia/722762
Weather in Moscow about to set new temperature record
Russia March 09, 10:53 UTC+4
The weather may repeat the record for March 10 that was set in 1997 10.2 degrees Celsius
MOSCOW, March 09 /ITAR-TASS/. Weather in Moscow is about to break one more temperature record, as the air my warm up to 9 degrees Celsius Sunday afternoon, thus outdoing the previous record of 7.2 degrees set in 1995.
Russia’s Center for Hydrometeorology and Environment Monitoring says the skies in the city and the region are expected to be partly cloudy and no atmospheric precipitations are expected.
Forecasts also speak of a mild northwest wind of 3 m/sec to 8 m/sec.
This type of weather is also due to prevail Monday, with the temperatures varying from minus 4 in the rural areas before dawn to one degree. In the afternoon, the temperature gauges are likely to show 8 to 10 degrees and even 11 degrees in some parts of the region.
The weather may repeat the record for March 10 that was set in 1997 10.2 degrees Celsius.
March 8, gauges at Moscow’s main meteorological station at the All-Russia Exhibition Center showed 8.1 degrees Celsius, which was also a record reading.
Is this 2014 will be truly destructive in global melt & temp records if El Niño materializes as has been recentrely predicted by RobertScribbler.
Thanks to this whole community for keeping informed the few aware/awaken people to the coming DOOM Hell on Earth very literally unleashed by The Great Climate Disruption!
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Depressing new study says you’re right to freak out about climate change
3-11-2014 by hrichmond
Bad news, buffalos: The carbon dioxide we’re belching into the atmosphere will warm the planet even more than previously thought. A study the IPCC published in September taunted us with the possibility that the Earth might not heat as quickly as expected, but a new one from this weekend set the record straight. Here are the deets:
Smog seems like KIND OF A MAJOR THING to account for, right? Maybe the IPCC was distracted by the government shutdown or the crowning of the first Indian-American Miss America or whatever else was going on in September.
It sounds like the IPCC assumed smog and other aerosols were spread evenly around the globe like a spherical beer cozy. Turns out aerosols are concentrated over cities in the Northern Hemisphere.
Read more of this post
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The person I discussed the methane factor with yesterday initially responded that surely someone in the IPCC would have checked carefully.
I suggested that the incompetence of local council officers and bureaucrats in central government was well established, and that much of the IPCC was composed of such people. Besides, the IPCC is primarily concerned with financial aspects and scams …… how much to pay for a forest to not be cut down, the value of carbon credits in financial markets etc. And. as many commentators have noted, IPCC is way behind the science simply because it is such a lumbering organisation..
Yesterday I cited the above as yet one more example of IPCC getting it wrong.
We have to wonder whether all this getting it wrong is the result of plain incompetence or whether it is deliberate -corporations and governments playing for time, to continue destruction of the future.
15 years ago I deduced that the Kyoto Protocol would be ineffective, even if it were to be universally adopted, which it wasn’t , of course)..
Nobody listens because I am a ‘nobody’.
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I’m “nobody” too Kevin.
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Scary Facts Of How Food Will Be Scarce Because Of Climate Change
by Staff Writer on March 11, 2014
Have you ever asked yourself, what am I doing to help the world’s food problem? If not, you should!
Because something is terribly wrong when close to 1 billion people in the world are undernourished and more than 1.4 billion adults are overweight! All the while, 40% of all of our food is wasted.
Furthermore, the most insane part is how climate change will effect the rapidly increasing world’s need for food, as the world’s population will be around 9 billion in 2050.
Check out these graphs for some startling facts about food production and what that means for us globally.
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My nieces attend this school. It’s a wonderful idea, but at least 30 years too late I fear. I lack the courage to tell my brother. I don’t think he would believe me. Breaks my heart every time I see the girls and think about what we have done.
http://es.sd42.ca/
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Don’t feel too bad Kevin, it’s not personal, just bidniz
http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2014/03/nrc-covered-fukushima-crisis-cia-suggested-bogus-explanation-fukushima-explosions.html
Nuclear Regulatory Commission Blatantly Covered Up Significance of Fukushima
NBC News Reports On Outrageous Cover Up
The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) is owned, captured and controlled by the nuclear industry.
It uses faulty models which put us all at risk, and pushes propaganda for the nuclear industry.
While the NRC was extremely worried about the U.S. West Coast getting hit by Fukushima radiation, it publicly said that everything was safe and under control.
NBC News reports:
In the tense days after a powerful earthquake and tsunami crippled the Fukushima Daiichi power plant in Japan on March 11, 2011, staff at the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission made a concerted effort to play down the risk of earthquakes and tsunamis to America’s aging nuclear plants ….
The emails, obtained via the Freedom of Information Act, show that the campaign to reassure the public about America’s nuclear industry came as the agency’s own experts were questioning U.S. safety standards and scrambling to determine whether new rules were needed to ensure that the meltdown occurring at the Japanese plant could not occur here.
At the end of that long first weekend of the crisis three years ago, NRC Public Affairs Director Eliot Brenner thanked his staff for sticking to the talking points that the team had been distributing to senior officials and the public.
“While we know more than these say,” Brenner wrote, “we’re sticking to this story for now.”
***
The NRC staff recognized immediately the public-relations nightmare that Fukushima presented for nuclear power in the United States. More than 30 of America’s 100 nuclear power reactors have the same brand of General Electric reactors or containment system used in Fukushima.
In fact, NRC whistleblowers say that the risk of a meltdown in the U.S. is even higher than it was at Fukushima.
Yet the NRC has not implemented any of the emergency measures which its staff urgently recommended, and has actually weakened safety standards for U.S. nuclear reactors after the Fukushima disaster.
NBC continues:
There are numerous examples in the emails of apparent misdirection or concealment in the initial weeks after the Japanese plant was devastated … :
◾Trying to distance the U.S. agency from the Japanese crisis, an NRC manager told staff to hide from reporters the presence of Japanese engineers in the NRC’s operations center in Maryland.
◾If asked whether the Diablo Canyon Power Plant on the California coast could withstand the same size tsunami that had hit Japan, spokespeople were told not to reveal that NRC scientists were still studying that question. As for whether Diablo could survive an earthquake of the same magnitude, “We’re not so sure about, but again we are not talking about that,” said one email.
◾When skeptical news articles appeared, the NRC dissuaded news organizations from using the NRC’s own data on earthquake risks at U.S. nuclear plants, including the Indian Point Energy Center near New York City.
◾And when asked to help reporters explain what would happen during the worst-case scenario — a nuclear meltdown — the agency declined to address the questions.
Some of the nuclear industry bias can bee seen in the following quotes from NBC:
When Steven Dolley, former research director of the NCI and a reporter for McGraw Hill Financial’s newsletter Inside NRC, asked McIntyre for a nuclear containment expert to speak to a reporter, the spokesman asked if the reporter had contacted the industry’s lobbying group, the Nuclear Energy Institute.
Dolley asked, “So, should I say NRC is deferring inquiries to NEI?” suggesting that the NRC was deferring to the industry it is supposed to regulate.
McIntyre shared this exchange with his bosses, adding the comment, “F—ing a-hole.”
And some of the rampant hypocrisy is seen in the difference between public and private NRC talking points:
“Q. What happens when/if a plant ‘melts down’?
“Public Answer: In short, nuclear power plants in the United States are designed to be safe. To prevent the release of radioactive material, there are multiple barriers between the radioactive material and the environment, including the fuel cladding, the heavy steel reactor vessel itself and the containment building, usually a heavily reinforced structure of concrete and steel several feet thick.
“Additional, non-technical, non-public information: The melted core may melt through the bottom of the vessel and flow onto the concrete containment floor. The core may melt through the containment liner and release radioactive material to the environment.”
***
When reporters asked if the Japanese emergency could affect licensing of new reactors in the U.S., the public answer was “It is not appropriate to hypothesize on such a future scenario at this point.”
The non-public information was more direct: This event could potentially call into question the NRC’s seismic requirements, which could require the staff to re-evaluate the staff’s approval of the AP1000 and ESBWR (the newest reactor designs from Westinghouse and General Electric) design and certifications.”
Moreover, the U.S. has long controlled Japanese nuclear policy. And yet, NBC reports that the U.S. covered up U.S. involvement in the Fukushima crisis:
Brenner, the public affairs director, sent a “great work so far” memo to his staff at HQ and around the U.S. His third bullet point highlighted he NRC’s role in helping Japanese engineers deal with the problems at Fukushima — a fact not mentioned in the NRC’s press releases that day. The emails indicate that the Obama administration and the NRC were keen to keep up the appearance that they were merely observing the Japanese nuclear crisis and had no responsibility for helping resolve it.
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This time last year much of NZ was in severe drought. The remains of a tropical cyclone may bring an abrupt end to this year’s drought, or cause flooding and washouts as the baked soil fails to absorb the [expected] deluge.
http://robinwestenra.blogspot.co.nz/2014/03/new-zealand-drought.html
There has been no rain there since Christmas and Northland Rural Support Trust co-ordinator Julie Jonker said at least 100mm is needed over a period of days to make a difference.
MetService is warning of strong winds and heavy rain as a cyclone blows in from the north-east.
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The human race is on the brink of momentous and dire change. It is a change that potentially smashes our institutions and warps our society beyond recognition. It is also a change to which almost no one is paying attention.
http://qz.com/185945/drones-are-about-to-upheave-society-in-a-way-we-havent-seen-in-700-years/
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Kevin: you may be making some headway down there (somebody’s listening)
http://robinwestenra.blogspot.co.nz/2014/03/new-zealand-climate-science.html
Wednesday, 12 March 2014
New Zealand climate science
A very conservative prediction, one which fails to take into account positive feedbacks
Scientists fear 4degC rise possible
New Zealand scientists preparing a major climate change report say it will look at the damage global warming will do if it exceeds internationally agreed targets.
Nearly 200 countries agreed in 2010 the planet should not get 2degC hotter than pre-industrial levels.
When the last Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report was released six years ago, the idea it could reach 4degC by the end of the century was considered unlikely.
But Andy Reisinger, a lead author of a new report due at the end of this month, said it was no longer discounting 4degC as a possibility.
“You certainly can’t rule it out based on current emission trends and policy actions,” he said.
The report would discuss how 4degC of warming could make extreme events, such as recent flooding in Christchurch and heatwaves in Australia, even worse.
[listen to the audio clip]
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Human “intelligence” on full display:
http://robinwestenra.blogspot.co.nz/2014/03/answer-to-polar-vortex-more-coal-more.html
Wednesday, 12 March 2014
Answer to polar vortex – more coal, more nuclear
I’ll leave it to you to find the appropriate words to respond to this.
Polar Vortex Emboldens Industry to Push Old Coal Plants
The polar vortex may give new life to aging coal and nuclear power plants in the U.S.
Masses of arctic air rolling down from the North Pole have driven electricity prices to more than 10 times last year’s average in many parts of the country and have threatened some cities with winter blackouts. They’ve also emboldened energy companies to call for extending the lives of older and dirtier coal plants, as well as aging nuclear reactors.
Despite a concerted campaign by environmentalists and public health experts to stanch its use, coal, the most plentiful and cheapest fuel in the world, is proving globally resilient. In the U.S., rising natural gas prices are prodding utilities to switch back to coal at levels not seen since 2011.
Now, Edison Electric Institute, the Washington-based trade group of U.S. investor-owned utilities, is turning to the latest series of cold snaps to bolster their lobbying of the Obama administration and state regulators to keep coal and nuclear generators alive.
“I’ve been advocating fuel diversity so you don’t get overly dependent on any one particular fuel source,” the group’s president, Thomas Kuhn, said during a Feb. 11 interview at Bloomberg News headquarters in New York. “On a regional basis we still want to keep that in mind.”
The recent cold spell exposed the vulnerability of the power sector as more coal plants are retired, said Roshan Bains, director of the utilities, power and gas group at Fitch Ratings Ltd.
Grid operators and regulators may try to change market incentives to keep older power plants online, said Paul Patterson, a New York-based analyst for Glenrock Associates LLC. New England states may extend contracts and payments to nuclear operators to prevent them from closing, investment bank UBS AG said in a Feb. 20 research note.
Keeping Coal
The polar vortex has underscored the power industry’s arguments about the need to keep some older coal and nuclear units running instead of replacing them with gas, said Julien Dumoulin-Smith, a New York-based analyst for UBS. “It is not a question of if, but what these power markets will do to address” the issue of fuel diversity, he said.
U.S. Senator Joe Manchin, a West Virginia Democrat, introduced a proposal last March to block funding for new regulations that set higher carbon-dioxide emissions for new coal-fired power plants. U.S. Senator Rob Portman, an Ohio Republican, in September issued a statement on his website that criticized the regulations, saying they would cost jobs and harm power consumers.
Rallying Cry
Now the industry and even some regulators are turning the polar vortex into their latest rallying cry. Twice during the week of Feb. 6, the Northeast was swept by snowstorms that knocked out power to almost 800,000 homes and businesses from Ohio to New York, with the most blackouts occurring around Philadelphia, utility company websites showed. Heavy snow often causes power line and equipment damage.
The harsh winter reinforced the advantages of having traditional forms of generations still available, Duke Energy (DUK) Corp. Chief Executive Officer Lynn Good said at the IHS CeraWeek conference in Houston on March 6.
“That’s what we really counted on during this period,” she said. “As I look at the portfolio we operate, which is a combination of coal and gas and nuclear and pump storage and hydro, we needed every bit of it.”
The polar vortex highlighted the value of round-the-clock nuclear generators, where all but 3 of the nation’s 100 reactors were operating at 90 percent of efficiency during that time, said former Environmental Protection Agency administrator Christine Todd Whitman, who serves as co-chairman of the Clean and Safe Energy Coalition, a nuclear industry funded advocacy group in Washington.
‘Tested’ Grid
Acting Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Chairman Cheryl LaFleur said the agency will hold a meeting in Washington on April 1 to discuss the weather’s impact on gas and electric markets and lessons to be learned from the recent cold spells.
“The cold weather this winter has tested both the electric grid and our markets,” LaFleur said at the commission’s monthly public meeting on Feb. 20.
In December, the agency warned Congress that there could be rolling blackouts by 2016 in the U.S. Midwest, where the grid operator has projected a shortfall in its power reserves because of coal generator retirements.
About 60 gigawatts of coal plants, or 6 percent of the nation’s total capacity, are expected to be forced out of business by the end of the decade because of new environmental rules, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. The plan is to replace those with gas-fueled generators, which depend on a steady stream of fuel that can be crimped when demand for heating spikes or pipelines are shut.
Flexible Coal
“The challenge, especially in the Northeast, is the lack of gas pipeline infrastructure that would reliably supply new generation facilities with gas,” said Ed Hirs, a lecturer on energy economics at the University of Houston. Hirs said he sees pressure being put on the U.S. environmental regulators by industry and lawmakers to keep some coal plants operating longer for the sake of grid reliability.
“Coal’s not going away,” Mike Loreman, head of U.S. coal origination at Mercuria Energy Trading SA, said in Austin, Texas, on Feb. 19. “This winter has shown the potential for coal to flex.”
In New England and New York, gas now provides more than 50 percent of electricity generated in the region, above the national average and up from about 30 percent more than a decade ago. The region has suffered through two consecutive winters of soaring prices and constrained supplies.
“Coal should have died four times already, but coal is very effective,” said Michael Webber, deputy director of the energy institute at the University of Texas at Austin. Despite the pollution problems it brings, the fossil fuel will continue to be part of the country’s energy mix, he said.
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(NaturalNews) A top scientist and “risk engineering” expert is now publicly warning that GMOs pose a dire, genuine threat to the continuation of life on Earth. Nassim Taleb, author of The Black Swan and Fooled by Randomness, says that GMOs have the potential to cause “an irreversible termination of life at some scale, which could be the planet.”
His full explanation is presented in this public paper which describes how even a small risk per crop species can still result in global ecocide if pursued with abandon. As Taleb explains, “The risk of ruin is not sustainable, like a resource that gets
depleted in the long term (even in the short term). By the ruin theorems, if you incur a tiny probability of ruin, as a “one-off” risk, survive it, then repeat the exposure, you will eventually
go bust with probability 1.” (Where “probability 1” means a 100% chance.)
Learn more: http://www.naturalnews.com/044261_GMOs_ecocide_environmental_collapse.html#ixzz2vkX5x05V
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Why would any sane person trust NaturalNews for information? I thought visitors here were trying to be bullshit free, painful as it is.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NaturalNews
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Agree with you on NaturalNews. Any further posts from that site will be deleted as well.
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3-11-2014
Science Confirms: The Fed Was Clueless About The Financial Crisis
When the financial crisis was bearing down on us like a speeding Mack truck in 2008, policymakers at the Federal Reserve — our first responders in such an emergency — were snoozing comfortably in the middle of the road.
That was pretty obvious from reading the recently released transcripts of the Fed’s 2008 policy meetings, when the Fed was constantly playing catch-up with unfolding events. But now science has confirmed it in a new academic paper titled “Why the Federal Reserve Failed to See the Financial Crisis of 2008,” authored by sociologists at the University of California-Berkeley.
“[T]hey had surprisingly little recognition that there was a serious financial crisis brewing as late as December 2007,” wrote the authors, who studied transcripts of Fed meetings. “This lack of awareness was a function of the inability of the [Fed policymaking committee] to connect the unfolding events into a narrative reflecting the links between the housing market, the subprime mortgage market, and the financial instruments being used to package the mortgages into securities.
“[T]he fact that the group of experts whose job it is to make sense of the direction of the economy were more or less blinded by their assumptions about how reality works, is a sobering result,” they added.
There were a couple of cultural problems that hindered the Fed’s ability to keep an eye on the global economy, according to the paper.
For one thing, the Fed’s policy committee is made up almost entirely of economists who study the world one piece of data at a time, cranking each piece into models that they think will magically predict how the economy is going to perform. They are unable to look beyond the data to see how seemingly disparate pieces of evidence might fit together into a bigger picture. They are also dependent on economic models, which failed in many ways ahead of the crisis, both at the Fed and on Wall Street.
“The relevant markets were not a product of the relevant models; to the contrary, there was a complete disjuncture between market and model, each seemingly operating according to its own logic,” the authors wrote.
The Fed also could have used a few people willing to stake out extreme positions at their meetings. Too often, policymakers dismissed worst-case scenarios and stuck to conventional wisdom to avoid looking like a “loose cannon,” in the paper’s words. The collapse of the financial system was unthinkable, so nobody thought about it, or at least nobody admitted to thinking about it.
The paper’s authors made some helpful suggestions: The Fed (and the U.S. presidents who appoint Fed governors) could bring on board some policymakers who are not classically trained economists. It could use some people who might be more willing to rock the Fed’s cozy boat.
But the authors are not optimistic, ending their paper on this bleak note:
“Not surprisingly, since the events of 2008, nothing has changed on the FOMC. The next time such a complex unraveling begins to occur, one can expect the same result.”
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And they’ll say “Nobody saw it coming”………again.
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Not to mention all the core economic principles that are wrong, nicely summarized in the post Nate Hagens: What if the Future is Real?
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BP and Shell are not going to be pleased if oil prices are lowered: they need current pricing to maintain profitability and justify deep-water drilling and extraction from tar sands etc. And low oil prices will kill US fracking ‘overnight’.
I suppose ‘the fools on the hill’ need to keep up the pretence they know what they are doing, just like the bunch of idiots in control around here.
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3-10-14
BP Plc (BP), once the Pentagon’s top fuel supplier, is now the biggest loser among U.S. government vendors.
A combination of no big contracts awarded and promised military work withdrawn left BP with a net loss of $654 million in federal contracts in the year that ended Sept. 30, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That compared with $2.51 billion in awards in fiscal 2012.
“I have never heard of a contractor falling in anything remotely like the distance from plus $2 billion to minus $600 million,” said Charles Tiefer, a University of Baltimore law professor and former member of the U.S. Commission on Wartime Contracting…
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-03-10/bp-is-biggest-loser-among-u-s-government-contractors.html
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No dent in confidence despite failure:
http://www.stuff.co.nz/taranaki-daily-news/news/9821753/Anadarko-pulls-plug-on-NZ-drilling
Oil and gas prospectors remain confident in the wealth beneath Taranaki waters despite Anadarko pulling out of New Zealand after an unsuccessful drilling campaign.
The Texan oil giant’s $300 million drilling campaign is just days away from ending and though analysis of the wells has not yet been completed, its search for oil and gas in the Taranaki and Canterbury Basins looks like a flop.
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http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/11/california-trucking-live-salmon-ocean-drought
California considers trucking live salmon to the ocean due to drought
Wildlife officials weigh plan to transport fish from state’s biggest hatchery to sea rather than risk mass deaths during migration
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Fascism on the rise in Australia:
http://robinwestenra.blogspot.co.nz/2014/03/crushing-dissent.html
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http://enenews.com/scientists-raise-alarm-radioactive-metal-from-fukushima-detected-in-pacific-northwest-concern-about-long-term-impact-on-humans-west-coast-ecosystem-indicates-continuing-contamination-cross
Just In* Scientists Raise Alarm: “Radioactive metal from Fukushima” detected in Pacific Northwest — Concern for impact on humans, west coast ecosystems — Continuing contamination crossing ocean, not going away soon — “A surprise… This is an international issue… Gov’t should be doing something”
Just like “accepting” climate change – too late now. Congress stayin’ up all night talkin’ about it now that it’s decades too late to avert catastrophe just shows how out of touch they are and how long it will actually take to do anything at all, besides talk.
It’s a welcome change, yes, but they aren’t going to change their stance on foreign policy, the military, the Fed or corporations, so they won’t do anything of any consequence (in time to do any good). Better than declaring yet another war though, for sure.
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If you are looking for a time line of our imminent demise this 417 page extremely detailed in depth report by the Australian Government published in 2009 is a real eye opener. If you want to get right to it, read the executive summary and the conclusion. Even more worrying the report was pulled from the bitre.gov.au website within days of publication although it was clearly a very expensive and comprehensive report. It is available though. Here is one link http://www.manicore.com/fichiers/Australian_Govt_Oil_supply_trends.pdf
They are very specific about what year things are going to start going pear shaped. So what aren’t they telling us?
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Something to watch over the coming months, since the melt of 2014 is commencing from a very low ice cover (which is past maximum extent):
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/
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Hmm…
But Marx was like a brilliant doctor in the early days of medicine. He could recognise the nature of the disease, although he had no idea how to go about curing it. He got fixated on some moves that might have looked plausible in the 1840s but which don’t offer much guidance today. At this point in history, we should all be Marxists in the sense of agreeing with his diagnosis of our troubles. But we need to go out and find the cures that will really work.
http://www.philosophersmail.com/110314-capitalism-marxism.php
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Posted this comment on Scribbler’s squishy world of techno-utopianism and progressive hopium while at the same time recording the BLOW-BY-BLOW horrors of climate change. I’m expecting it to be deleted:
in response to this comment… Is this the same James (aka Human Cancer Man) that posts on this site?:
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The methane factor and CO2 equivalent values Scribbler adheres to are way too low, of course.
I am still trying to get to the bottom of this and tried to call Paul Beckwith without success. (If anyone in Canada is following this discussion, please jump aboard and ring Paul.)
Wiki confirms the factor is 72 x CO2 over a 20-year time frame, which is the minimum if we are discussing a methane time bomb.
72 x 1.8ppm = 130ppm CO2 equivalent. Add that to the near 400ppm CO2 we have right now and we have 530ppm before we consider anything else.
And since that 72 figure is an average over 20 years for a factor which declines to 1, it does mean over a shorter time frame the factor must be a lot higher…… maybe around 300.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methane
‘The newest IPCC study determined that methane in the Earth’s atmosphere is an important greenhouse gas with a global warming potential of 34 compared to CO2 over a 100-year period (although accepted figures probably represent an underestimate[54][55]). This means that a methane emission will have 34 times the effect on temperature of a carbon dioxide emission of the same mass over the following 100 years. And methane has 33 times the effect when accounted for aerosol interactions.[56]
Methane has a large effect for a brief period (a net lifetime of 8.4 years in the atmosphere), whereas carbon dioxide has a small effect for a long period (over 100 years). Because of this difference in effect and time period, the global warming potential of methane over a 20-year time period is 72.’
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Not 300. Can’t be 300. See, if we start with
– x72-over-20-years figure,
– (roughly, nowadays) 10 years for methane half-life time,
– a billion-tons “pulse” of methane (say, release of some large methane reservoir in the Arctic, for example),
— then it’s obvious that
– after 10 years after emission, 50% of the methane from the pulse will remain in the athmosphere,
– after 20 years – only 25% of it will still remain in the athmosphere,
– therefore “average amount” during this 20 years period would be (very roughly integrating) something close to 58%,
– thus 58% would cause said x72 “power” of the methane amount,
– therefore short-term – like, 1-year, (and also, “instant”) methane greenhouse effect would be 100*72/58 = x124.
124 is DEFINITELY not 300.
I’m glad i can provide at least those good news, too! 🙂
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I spoke with Paul Beckwith half an hour ago and he mentioned he had seen the figure of 250 x CO2 for the relative warming factor of methane but could not recall the precise context.
So, yes, the instantaneous warming potential may not be 300. Only 250. Don’t you feel better now!
One slight flaw in the pulse argument is that a pulse of methane is unlikely to be a unique event and is very likely to be followed by further pulses, maintaining a very elevated level of CH4 in the atmosphere and thereby negating the decay curve. Or even worse, the rate of release of semi-sequestered methane far outpaces the oxidation processes and there is an increase in methane level in the atmosphere.
Damn. Isn’t that what we are already witnessing?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atmospheric_methane
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With all the respect to Paul, still, please show him my logic presented in the previous comment. I can’t see a mistake in it.
The alternate way to it i also can present, and it’s this simple logic: since nearly half of any given methane emission disintegrates in the athmosphere in about 10 years (and therefore average amount during 10 years would be close to 75% of the original amount), and since greenhouse effect is linearly proportional to amount of the gas in the athmosphere, – very short-term CO2 equivalent of methane (like, 1-year, or, 1-day) can’t be any higher than some 100 * 100% / 75% = 133% of the 10-year equivalent. And we know that 10-year equivalent of methane is nearly x100 of CO2 greenhouse effect. Therefore, x100 * 133% = x133. This is close to what i calculated above (x124), but DEFINITELY not close to either x300 or x250 you spoke about.
If i am mistaken somewhere, then please show me where and how. I just think we can’t afford to be significantly mistaken in simple matters, if we are to have any hope to find out what’s what, right?
I hope i am being of help.
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Fucking amazing. The people responsible should spend the rest of their lives in prison.
Bank of England Drops a Bombshell on Parliament: It Shredded Its Crisis Era Records
http://wallstreetonparade.com/2014/03/bank-of-england-drops-a-bombshell-on-parliament-it-shredded-its-crisis-era-records/
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Originally aired on BBC2 in 1992, ‘Operation Gladio’ reveals ‘Gladio’, the secret state-sponsored terror network operating in Europe.
This BBC series is about a far-right secret army, operated by the CIA and MI6 through NATO, which killed hundreds of innocent Europeans and attempted to blame the deaths on Baader Meinhof, Red Brigades and other left wing groups. Known as ‘stay-behinds’ these armies were given access to military equipment which was supposed to be used for sabotage after a Soviet invasion. Instead it was used in massacres across mainland Europe as part of a CIA Strategy of Tension. Gladio killing sprees in Belgium and Italy were carried out for the purpose of frightening the national political classes into adopting U.S. policies.
http://www.informationliberation.com/?id=16921
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Conspiracy theory.
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I don’t think so. There’s plenty of information on Wiki for me to think otherwise:
Whilst the existence of a “stay-behind” organization such as Gladio was disputed, prior to its confirmation by Giulio Andreotti,[citation needed] with some skeptics describing it as aconspiracy theory, several high-ranking politicians in NATO countries have made statements appearing to confirm the existence of something like it:
As noted above, the US has now acknowledged the existence of Operation Gladio.[citation needed]
And this article:
Gladio: A Conspiracy So Large, It’s Time You Learned About It
I like this quote from the comments section:
“…individuals in societies with systematically malfunctioning or skewed institutions of knowledge – say, individuals who live in an authoritarian regime lacking a free press – may have good reason to distrust all or most of the official denials they hear.”
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You expect me to take YOUR word as authority on that, Getty, when you are so clueless about everything else ? A few months back you’d have said that the idea that NSA was reading everyone’s private emails and watching them through the cameras on their laptops was CT, wouldn’t you.
One of the main reasons we get NTE is because America is full of ‘useful idiots’ and you’re a prime example, imo.
Gladio A has been investigated by all kinds of independent people with no particular axe to grind, and confirmed, and now we have Gladio B.
http://operation-gladio.net/fr/tags/gladio-b
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I’ve known about Gladio for many, many years, when it was considered a conspiracy theory. What is considered a conspiracy theory now has been investigated by thousands of scientists, engineers, architects, etc. Just sayin’.
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We wanted to do this by providing work opportunities to our community on the edge (many of us are close to uncontractable for various reasons: too young and unexperienced, too old, too minority, too anti-authoritarian, too inclined towards being self-taught rather than academic achievers…). And not just any work opportunities: meaningful ones, cutting-edge, high-risk, potentially world-changing, one-step-removed-from crazy work opportunities. We want to be the skunkworks of the global society, the Foreign Legion of social innovation, the people that have little to lose, and so can afford to go to the ugliest places and take on the scariest work.
http://www.cottica.net/2014/03/08/the-business-corporation-as-a-symbiont-to-a-community-edgeryders-crosses-a-watershed/
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I have just spoken with Paul Beckwith* at the University of Ottawa. He is in broad agreement with what I have said with regard to methane and will investigate further.
* Current research interests
•Abrupt climate change (system analysis)
•Arctic sea-ice behaviour
•Methane and carbon dioxide concentrations
•System feedbacks
•Regional geoengineering
•Climate change education and presentations
•Social media climate change advocacy
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Excellent. Can we post something from him here?
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http://robinwestenra.blogspot.co.nz/2014/03/paul-beckwith.html
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Abrupt climate change: yep, it’s worth to dig in how it’ll be. If i may suggest some of most interesting and important subjects, then it would be researching
– details about how and when thermal inertia functions,
– about relatively short-term (scale of few decades) ocean mixing (because that’s main “reservoir” for accumulating heat to end up in, changes in this process affect surface warming process dramatically),
– both immediate, but most importantly, delayed effects of implementing technologies like the one described by this US patent ( http://patft.uspto.gov/netacgi/nph-Parser?Sect1=PTO1&Sect2=HITOFF&d=PALL&p=1&u=%2Fnetahtml%2FPTO%2Fsrchnum.htm&r=1&f=G&l=50&s1=5003186.PN.&OS=PN/5003186&RS=PN/5003186 ), as well as current state of affairs on this subject. Like, not everything said here ( http://www.kipnews.org/2011/08/10/chemtrails-produced-by-aviation-fuel-laced-with-trimethylaluminum/ ) is true, but some of it definitely is,
– similarly, both immediate, but most importantly, delayed effects of ongoing increase of athmospheric soot and other aerosols content, caused by rapid industrialization (mainly in Asia);
– short-term effects of removing substantial part of “aerosol cover”, example of which is somewhat briefly discussed here ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_detailpage&v=p8RyNSzQDaU#t=1937 ) – as well as longer-term effects of removing aerosols from the athmosphere (quite few of which are mentioned in the same documentary),
– projected PDSI change worldwide (don’t mind dates; mind corresponding surface temperature change, which is what projected DPSI change is actually based upon), works of prof. Dai are a good place to start about this ( for example, http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/adai/papers/Dai-drought_WIRES2010.pdf – page 59, figure 11, picture (f) is what world is likely to be in terms of drought once average surface temperature goes to some +3 degree C above pre-industrial; and to put it into context, keep in mind that great dust bowl in USA (in 1930s) had PDSI averaging to some -2…-2.5, peaking very briefly and in few locations at some -5 or so).
Please be very, very careful about social media advocacy, though. I believe society at large can’t actually change laws of physics – no matter how hard they try, – and therefore, can’t change the fact that world population needs quite substantial part of presently-consumed resources. May be it’s only some 15% of current consumption, globally, which would be some 6-7% or even less of current consumption per-capita in “developed” countries – but still, this part is what will continue to be consumed no matter any social response. Few times more on top of that will also continue to be consumed due to realities of infrastructure, economic systems, and increasing pressure from deteriorating environment. In this situation, i doubt public opinion could become a game-changer, and i also can see lots of negative (damaging, dangerous, troubling) response which masses of ordinary people would demonstrate. In my opinion, this complex matter – Earth climate, – which has a potential to show much more devastation and trouble than any nuclear incidents at nuclear power station(s) could ever show, – is a matter to be handled by specialists, first and foremost intelligent and very well educated ones. Not to mention possible response in-force from powers-that-be, – which probably can be crushing.
Good luck!
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Another Trader Commits Suicide, Brings Total Recent Banker Deaths To 10
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-03-13/another-trader-commits-suicide?mc_cid=441c904be2&mc_eid=f0754ee742
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http://thepiratebay.se/torrent/4639417/Burn_Up__TV_mini-series_-_BBC_$July_2008$
‘It boils down to a choice. Either the oil-based economy goes to hell and makes the crash of 1929 seem like a slow Friday, or everything goes to hell and life on Earth ceases to exist.’
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Ain’t that simple. If oil-based economy goes to hell, then so do billions of people. Because currently oil-based transportation is the ONLY known method to maintain currently present levels of transportation (this includes air, sea and much of land-based travel and cargo ferry). Remove oil, and most of world’s transportation, – as well as most of world’s agriculture machinery, too – comes to a halt.
Consequence of this will be billions of people who have nothing to eat, and little other goods available to them. This will lead to death of billions of people, of course, but will also lead to much conflict.
Those people who will find themselves being in regions which can provide food and other goods to local populations without a need for any long-range transportation nor without a need for much agriculture machinery (which are relatively few regions) – will definitely be attacked by neighbours who were not so lucky. Hungry people with assault rifles do not tend to sit on their butt and die peacefully, you know.
End result is quite likely to be “everything goes to hell”. Differences between this and the 2nd option (going to hell as a result of doing business-as-usual as long as at all possible) – are several, but the two i’ll mention are those:
– keeping oil economy as long as possible will definitely result in “worse” hell once everything goes to hell – since the world will be in yet worse shape than now;
– keeping oil aconomy as long as possible will provide a noticeable delay before everything goes to hell, and this delay may be used (at least by some few people / groups / companies / regions) to prepare for the time when everything goes to hell, possibly resulting in better regional survival for those few groups / societies which will aim to make through the imminent thermal maximum.
So you see, both ways have their cons and pros. It’s not “black and white” thing. Which one is “better” depends much on what exactly (at least some, intelligent and not greedy) people will manage to do during the time oil economy still functions.
It may seem that nothing of the kind is being done so far. But, it’s not exactly so.
Any large-scale projects of the kind – will definitely be made very low-profile, possibly top-secret (are already made? there are some signs, like things i know about mountain Yamantau, for example). This secrecy is required to protect what is being prepared from being teared down and away by the bulk of the population and mainstram powers-that-be, once the time of desperate need hits much of the general public. If the public does not know about few places which are prepared to go through the collapse – then public can’t ruin such places; otherwise there is no guarantee such places will avoid pillage and looting by overwhelmingly large crowds and/or military units, you see?
Yet, some small-scale projects of the kind – can instead rely on high mobility and agility instead, and thus some of them can define themselves in public quite freely. Example of such a project is this ( http://www.helpsurviveclimatechange.com/Content/Mission/DeusJuvat.aspx ) in terms of short-term survival, and in the same time, it correctly states required long-term goal as well – here ( http://www.helpsurviveclimatechange.com/Content/Mission/Overview.aspx ).
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‘Is there any hope in sight?’
Falling down the global net energy cliff 2016 to 2020?
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Gas Infrastructure Is Falling Apart in Cities Around the Country
An explosion in Harlem this morning that led to the collapse of two five-story buildings may have been caused by a gas leak. The New York Times reports that tenants smelled gas last night, but went to sleep when they couldn’t find the source and the smell dissipated. And a Con Edison spokesperson told the Times that a resident who lives near the affected buildings called the utility at 9:13 this morning—about 20 minutes before the explosion—to report a strong gas smell.
This may be a warning for New York City and other urban areas. A report out Tuesday from the Center for an Urban Future reveals that New York City’s infrastructure is extremely old. It may not be surprising, exactly, given that New York is known to have been densely populated for hundreds of years, but seeing it all laid out is still pretty stunning.
cont…
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20 minute interview with professor Nathan Phillips at Boston University.
From radio Ecoshock.
Nathan Phillips led a study in Washington D.C. and Boston on leaking natural gas lines.
[audio src="http://198.23.252.42/downloads/ES_NPhillips.mp3" /]
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N Carolina environment agency worked with Duke Energy on coal ash spills
• State agency staff discussed ‘how Duke wants to be sued’
• January 2012 case led to $5bn company paying $99,100 fine
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/13/north-carolina-environment-agency-duke-energy-coal-ash-spills
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NC DENR removes pages and reports on climate change from website!
Posted on March 13, 2014 by RockWalker Edit
ThinkProgress’ Emily Atkin wrote a story informing us that the North Carolina Department of Environment and Natural Resources has removed at least one page and several reports from their website concerning climate change. Apparently, the reports were old and no new reports have been produced anywhere that they could find! (I could have suggested that they start looking here, here, or here.)
From the article:
The agency’s Division of Air Quality spokesman Tom Mather told Climate Progress that the reports were simply removed because they were old — not because of the Department wants to downplay climate change. Mather did say, however, that climate change programs were not of great importance to the DENR because of a lack of federal regulation.
It is no secret that many environmentalists are growing skeptical of the motives of our current state administration when it comes to environmental awareness. Unsurprisingly then, people are wondering if this move has ulterior motives.
Also from the article:
DENR’s website change has raised questions on whether the removal of climate change information is a reflection of the current administration’s philosophy. Both McCrory and DENR Secretary John Skvarla have made no secret of their skepticism on climate change, despite the fact that 97 percent of scientists agree that man-made global warming is occurring (approximately the same percentage of scientists that agree on the age of the universe, or that cigarettes kill).
If you wish to contact NCDENR yourself and see if you can get copies of those reports or inquire as to their disappearance, following this Link will connect to you their contacts page, or you can try their toll-free number, (877) 623-6748.
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