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Canfield Ocean, Capitalism, Chemical Pollution, CO2 Emissions, Extinction of Man, Geoengineering, Greenhouse Extinction, Greenhouse Gases, Hydrogen Sulfide (H2S), Industrial Civilization, Jevons Paradox, Keeling Curve, Lee R. Kump, Machine Fetishism, Mass Die Off, Mass Extinctions, Misanthropocene, Peter D. Ward, Ron Cobb, Under a Green Sky: Global Warming - the Mass Extinctions of the Past - and What They Can Tell Us About Our Future
Where is the “Misanthropocene” right now in relation to past extinction events? The chart below tells the tale. Notice that our current rise in GHG’s is essentially instantaneous in relation to past warmings which took place over thousands of years. As far as scientists can tell, the current warming from industrial civilization is the most rapid in geologic time. Ice core and marine sediment data in the paleoclimatology archive have revealed brief periods of rapid warming and there is no reason to believe modern man is immune to such catastrophic and abrupt climate events. In fact, we know that the Arctic is already warming twice as fast as anywhere else on the planet. Earth sensitivity to climate change is now thought to be possibly double that of previous estimates. An entirely different planet can result from just a slight change in temperature:
We’re about halfway towards the same CO2 levels as the Paleocene Thermal Extinction, but our speed of trajectory surpasses even that of the Permian Extinction:
In 2005, Lee R. Kump and fellow scientists published a paper describing what would become known as the Kump hypothesis, implicating hydrogen sulfide (H2S) as the primary culprit in past mass extinctions. According to OSHA, “a level of H2S gas at or above 100 ppm is immediately dangerous to life and health.” Prior to Kump’s study, the working theory had been that some sort of singular, cataclysmic event such as an asteroid strike was to blame for all mass die-offs, but Kump and colleagues proposed that a global warming-induced asphyxiation via hydrogen sulfide gas(H2S) was to blame for snuffing out life under the sea, on the land, and in the air. In past mass extinctions, volcanic eruptions and thawing methane hydrates created greenhouse-gas warmings that culminated in the release of poisonous gas from oxygen-depleted oceans. Humans with their fossil fuel-eating machines are unwittingly producing the same conditions today. The Kump hypothesis (elevated CO2 with lowering O2 levels) is now regarded as the most plausible explanation for the majority of mass extinctions in earth’s history:
Excerpt from Lights Out: How It All Ends
In the short term as both poles completely melt away and the Equator-to-Pole temperature gradient declines, the hydrologic cycle and storms will intensify, jet streams will be altered, global air circulation and ocean currents will be rearranged (especially in northern latitudes), and sea levels will rise. While some local winds will slow down, other areas may actually increase due to local temperature gradients becoming more influential than global ones. New research has indicated early warning signs of a collapse in ocean circulation. When that happens, the oceans ultimately turn into stagnant, anoxic pools belching deadly hydrogen sulfide into the atmosphere.
As others have noted, our energy, transport and building infrastructure was not constructed to withstand a mutated planet blindly molded by over seven billion humans. For example, think of all those massive wind farms rendered useless by alterations in local wind patterns, hydro-power shut down due to devastating droughts, solar farms destroyed by large hail storms, etc.
Many are under the delusion that we’ll be able to turn this process around with “green energy” while ignoring that such technologies are derivatives of fossil fuel or that increased efficiencies will lower our carbon footprint while ignoring Jevons paradox. Countless other self-reinforcing feedbacks loops driving our socioeconomic system come into play as well such as rampant overpopulation (Overpopulation key driver of climate change, mass extinction), chemical pollution (“Every year, up to 400 million tonnes are produced and a thousand new substances concocted“), and capitalism’s inherent growth dynamics:
The monstrous capitalism we see today is the result of capitalism’s inherent growth dynamics. To give one modern-day example, the solar energy industry/movement began with the conception of local, i.e. decentralized, and roof-top solar electricity generation for local consumption. Today we see projects like Desertec (huge solar power plants in the Sahara that would supply 15% of Europe’s total electricity needs) and competition between European and Chinese solar panel producers for larger chunks of the world market. – Link
The destructive trend has been inexorably cumulative:
…the central trend is verifiable: mass die-offs are on the rise, increasing by one event per year for the last 70 years.
“While this might not seem like much, one additional mass mortality event per year over 70 years translates into a considerable increase in the number of these events being reported each year,” explained co-author Adam Siepielski, a biologist at the University of San Diego. “Going from one event to 70 each year is a substantial increase, especially given the increased magnitudes of mass mortality events for some of these organisms.” – Link
If we shed our anthropocentric blinders, the harsh reality is that nothing of substance is being done to prevent our own extinction, and after looking back at humanity’s track record for slowing down this beast of globalized industrial civilization even one iota, any sane and rational person would have to conclude that there are forces at work well beyond the control of any one group of people, any state, or even any one country. Humans have the dubious honor of being the earth’s first sentient beings to have thoroughly documented their own demise while arguing with each other over whose fault it is. And the longer the Keeling Curve stretches skyward, the greater the odds that we will pull the trigger on a geoengineering scheme to slow down the inevitable:
Do these experts—the top scholars and scientists researching the subject in the world—think we will see geoengineering in our lifetime?
“Let’s see it for ten years,” the emcee said. A few scientists cautiously raised their hands. Twenty and 30 years saw some more converts. When he called out “fifty years,” more than half the room had their hands up.
That, according to the experts, is a 50-50 shot that someone is going to try, this century, to engineer the Earth’s climate. To hack the planet. – Link
Techno-capitalist carbon man’s fetish with high-tech gadgetry has already gotten the best of him. Just look at us glued to our iphones, tv’s, internet, and sundry other social media tools. We’re addicted to and dependent on our technology, and the idea of pulling the power plug on this way of life is unthinkable, not to mention fatal, for those raised within its confines.
“In Earth’s history we see climate changes over time, and we know that some of these climate changes were associated with enormous biological destruction. How could we believe that the same sort of experience moving into the modern-day wouldn’t do the same thing?” ~ Dr. Peter D. Ward
Surely we do not have to go back into the geological record to search for examples of mass extinctions? There are numerous collapses of civilisations and societies in the recent millennia to serve as valid examples.
I shudder to even listen to my own self talk that says “I can’t see this total collapse happening” when I read the blogs and the literature and intuitively know that it is. The writing has been on the wall and even in mainstream newspapers for long enough but it is as if even I am in denial or a form of self delusion. So am I any better than those who just ignore it and keep on with their consumptive lifestyles? My wife and I have made adjustments to our lives, although we were never excessive consumers, rather the opposite. I would have expected to be more concerned for my children and grandchildren, however, they aren’t interested in hearing about it, being too concerned with today and tomorrow with responses like “what can we do about it anyway?” This probably reflects the way most people react, or at least until something makes them sit up and really take notice.
I have almost finished reading Time’s Up!: An Uncivilized Solution to a Global Crisis by Keith Farnish. A good primer for those with any misconceptions on where we are at presently and are heading. Sadly, his suggestions on what we can do about it doesn’t offer any bright ideas. So, “we’re pretty well stuffed” as I don’t see humanity grasping the gravity of the situation en masse until it is too late, which may already have been and gone.
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Belize’s Famous ‘Blue Hole’ Reveals Clues to the Maya’s Demise
“The ancient Mayan civilization collapsed due to a century-long drought, new research suggests.”…
Water’s role in the rise and fall of the Roman Empire
…Their virtual water network indicates that the Romans’ ability to link the different environments of the Mediterranean through trade allowed their civilisation to thrive. “If grain yields were low in a certain region, they could import grain from a different part of the Mediterranean that experienced a surplus. That made them highly resilient to short-term climate variability,” says Dermody.
But the Romans’ innovative water-management practices may also have contributed to their downfall. With trade and irrigation ensuring a stable food supply to cities, populations grew and urbanisation intensified. With more mouths to feed in urban centres, the Romans became even more dependent on trade whilst at the same time the Empire was pushed closer to the limits of their easily accessible food resources. In the long term, these factors eroded their resilience to poor grain yields arising from climate variability.
“We’re confronted with a very similar scenario today. Virtual water trade has enabled rapid population growth and urbanisation since the beginning of the industrial revolution. However, as we move closer to the limits of the planet’s resources, our vulnerability to poor yields arising from climate change increases,” concludes Dermody.
Fast forward to today, but the difference is that it is global in scale, not regional:
The State of the California Drought: Still Very Bad
The current status of the drought – some key indicators.
Soil Moisture: One key indicator of the severity of the current drought is a standard measure of soil moisture conditions, called the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI). This index is used to prepare the drought maps published at the US Drought Monitor. As the most recent version shows, the entire state of California is still in severe drought, despite the December rains
Precipitation: And what did those rains actually do? Not much. As Figures 5 and 6 show, precipitation to date for Northern California is barely at average; and for Southern California it is already below average. Not a great start.
Reservoir Storage: Even worse, we are starting the water year with critically dry reservoirs. Figure 7 shows the current status of California’s major reservoirs, all of which are remain well below normal even with the storms last month.
Snowpack: Finally, one of the most important measures is how much snow is stored in the mountains. This snow provides water that is used throughout the rest of the year. And as Figure 8 shows, three and a half months into the 2015 water year, California’s snowpack is far below normal. This is very bad.
California Drought Isn’t Farmers’ Only Worry: It Hasn’t Been Cold Enough, Either
…Crops like prunes, apricots and almonds in his fields need a deep sleep in cold weather before they start to produce a nut. They need chilling hours between 45 and 32 degrees.
But the pleasant weather lately has meant fewer chilling hours this winter. The fewer the hours, the weaker the tree…
Off-Season Drought Makes 93 Brazilian Cities Cut Off Water
…Ninety-three cities are now officially rationing water – the same amount as last year. But now the measure affects not only the small towns, but also midsize cities, including those outside of the semiarid region.
In total, 3.9 million people are affected.
In São Paulo, now going through its worst drought in 84 years, rationing has not been declared, but water pressure has been reduced at night.
This week, a water-bill surcharge was approved for those who increase consumption…
…According to the Ministry of National Integration, 907 municipalities are in an emergency or disaster situation because of the drought.
Even when rationing has not officially been declared, shortages are routine…
Drought Takes Hold as Amazon’s ‘Flying Rivers’ Dry Up
SÃO PAULO − The unprecedented drought now affecting São Paulo, South America’s giant metropolis, is believed to be caused by the absence of the “flying rivers” − the vapor clouds from the Amazon that normally bring rain to the center and south of Brazil.
Some Brazilian scientists say the absence of rain that has dried up rivers and reservoirs in central and southeast Brazil is not just a quirk of nature, but a change brought about by a combination of the continuing deforestation of the Amazon and global warming…
Edit: concerning the Roman Empire… Fall of Roman Empire linked to wild shifts in climate
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California has no future and the hopium by many who should know better, over a modest amount of rain, was pathetic. As bad as everything has gotten in the U.S. Brazil has to be the leading basket case of major countries. I really think they are going to have serious irreversible trouble come the dry season.
http://grist.org/news/brazils-new-science-minister-is-a-climate-denier/
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The first thing washed away when it rains is peoples’ memory of the drought.
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Brazil’s Raizen suspends cane mill for two years amid drought
Raizen, the biggest sugar and ethanol producer in Brazil, said on Thursday it will stop production at its Bom Retiro mill in southeastern Brazil for two years because severe drought had caused a shortage of cane…
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The insertion of the Roman example is not commensurate with the rest, which refers to drought. Second, I don’t understand what they mean by ‘virtual water networks.’ The networks were real. Third, it wasn’t innovative. The Mediterranean (the Romans called it ‘mare nostrum’/our sea – I like the modern wording whose etymology means ‘sea in the middle of the earth’, but suggests mediation) had a binding influence on the region since the first martime trade was established in 3500 BC. Transport was more efficient and cheaper over water than over land until the invention of the macadam road, the coach and the railroad around 1750. I suspect it will become the choice method again.
A plantation slavery system on large estates, which the Romans inherited from the Carthaginians, was largely responsible. There were never enough slaves (biological reproductive limits require other means of procurement). This meant a continual need for expansion to acquire more slaves and booty. As Tainter chronicles, this expansion eventually ceased.
The agricultural system was also grossly inefficient. There was a general tendency for overseers (usually freed slaves) who managed the estates in lieu of the absent landlords, to fix annual production at the lower threshold commensurate with a poor harvest due to adverse weather. This meant that even in good weather, yields would be on par with poor seasons. Even yields was a way to insure they kept their jobs.
Initially, grain production also occurred in the core of the civilization. It transferred to the peripheral provinces and the core adopted pottery, metal production (which accounted for a lot of deforestation), wool and olive oil, which they used to trade for the grain. Eventually places like Gaul produced these at a lower cost and the Empire was reduced to paying for supplies with specie. This also added further need for military conquest to bring that specie back. In the end, the cost of defending borders proved too costly, specie was devalued, taxation became onerous, hyperinflation kicked in, mercenaries were hired, and the common folk welcomed the iinvading barbarian hordes.
I wouldn’t blame water.
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I should have added that the ebb and flow of the Roman Empire, along with its downfall, aligned with shifts in the climate, according to tree ring research:
Fall of Roman Empire linked to wild shifts in climate
…When [lead researcher] Büntgen showed the data to historians and archaeologists, they pointed out remarkable consistencies with what we know of past societies. At times of social stability and prosperity, like the rise of the Roman Empire between 300 B.C.E. and 200 C.E., Europe experienced warm, wet summers ideal for agriculture. Similar conditions accompanied the peak years of medieval Europe between 1000 C.E. and 1200 C.E.
The study also showed that climate and catastrophe often line up. In the 3rd century C.E., for example, extended droughts matched the timing of barbarian invasions and political turmoil. Around 1300 C.E., on the other hand, a cold snap combined with wetter summers coincides with widespread famines and plague that wiped out nearly half of Europe’s population by 1347…
One could safely say all civilizations are at the mercy of their environment.
Thanks for the interesting history on the Roman Empire.
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They might have been able to ‘weather’ it had they been in a growth phase. It was another problem in a whole heap of them. We’re seeing similar situations now with mounting volatile weather adding to maintenance costs. Any one of these converging problems could be the feather breaking the camel’s back.
Maybe one day I’ll write a little post on the contingencies of climate and geography on the birth of civilization, particularly after the last ice age.
As always, I enjoy your site.
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Would be pleased to have you post essays here.
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Yes, very interesting!
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Pingback: Deskpoet Twitter Tweet: We’re not going to destroy everything; everything… | Deskpoet's observations
Pingback from http://www.blckdgrd.com/:
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Well I’m in agreement with both you and Graham as my previous comments state. Having read Farnish’s book long ago I agree with Graham’s assessment that it really doesn’t offer any bright ideas. I am just finishing up David Collings’ “Stolen Future, Brokern Present” and I agree with his suggestions regarding what we should do. However, the reality is that it is highly unlikely that any of the Super-Bowl (Bread and Circuses) citizens of the USA have any interest in implementing any of them if it would cause them to have to give up their addictions.
Here’s a quote from Morris Berman’s “Dark Ages America.”
“It is for this reason when I read for example, Hendrick Hertzberg insisting that the animating vision of our foreign policy should not be pax americana but a world of law and consent, that I wonder whom he thinks he is talking to. It’s a little like Robert Putnam, declaring, at the end of “Bowling Alone,” that “we must revive community.” Gosh, let’s get right on that; and while we’re at it, let’s reverse the earth’s gravitational field as well….What it would take now to pull back from the edge, let alone reverse course, requires a grace, a flexibility and an imagination that I suspect we simply don’t possess.”
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Funny that you should mention NYC in your post as an email came through this morning regarding NYC. And you thought old Scribblehead had it bad.
Hey, it’s Party Time, denial is alive and well here in the big apple. There will be dancing in the streets as that water comes ever closer to gobbling up our infrastructure. Note that beneath positive attitude within this announcement is no real list of what we need to do. I would sure love this group to address the issue of population. Imagine an evening where vasectomies and tube tying were the topics de jeur.
Read the following at the risk of your own sanity or if you are heavily medicated via drugs (prescription of course) or alcohol. I am not endorsing any of it. It might be that Pamela Boyce Simms (that is Simms with a double mm of course) is a follower of “The Secret” and is a believer that New Yorker’s (through the magic of science) will transform into a water breathing undersea dweller a la Prince Namor, the Sub-Mariner who is Prince of Atlantis.
Let’s Get the Party Started!
NYC Transition Neighborhoods
Resilience Info-share
January 21, 2015, 6:30 – 9:30 PM
Celebrate Your Borough & Neighborhood Culture
International Cuisine Tasting (Bring a dish from your neighborhood)
(BYOE – Bring Your Own Everything meal [utensils, plate, napkin and cup])
What: NYC Transition Neighborhoods Info-share Party
Be part of the NYC neighborhood-specific resilience building conversation:
Fun, food from around the world and purposeful conversation.
Learn about Neighborhood Resilience Asset Mapping & Gap Analysis.
Where: 15th Street Quaker Meetinghouse
15 Rutherford Place (between 2nd and 3rd Aves), NY NY, 10003
Who: Dan Miner, Janet Soderberg and NYC Transition Hub Members
Pamela Boyce Simms, Certified Transition Trainer, Transition US,
and Convener, Mid-Atlantic Transition Hub (MATH)
RSVP: Let us know you’re coming and the dish you’ll bring: transition.nyc.hub@gmail.com
New Yorkers from 20 neighborhoods have already expressed interest in starting a local project, so you’re likely to meet a neighbor at this event. Bring a dish to share that celebrates NYC’s international cuisine, and your own reusable utensils, plate, napkin and cup. Also bring images of your neighborhood to post.
Learn more at http://www.transitionnyc.org.
Contact NYC Transition Hub at transition.nyc.hub@gmail.com.
Transition is a community organizing response to climate change, resource depletion and financial instability. There are 1,100+ Transition groups in 44 countries and over 150 initiatives in the US. It starts with a series of small group meetings in which neighbors go through chapters of a Field Guide. They strengthen their sense of place, build relationships, promote local food, and map their neighborhood’s current state of resiliency.
NYC Transition Neighborhoods Initiatives brings friends and neighbors together to discover and map “resilience assets” that are hidden in plain sight, right in our neighborhoods! A thought provoking Transition Neighborhood Field Guide leads participants on a practical and enlightening neighborhood resilience-building adventure that deepens and celebrates neighborhood culture. Let’s get the party started!
Coming in March:
NYC Transition Neighborhoods Spring Equinox Training, March 20-22
* * * * * * * * * * *
Packed House at the Transition
Neighborhoods Workshop
We made many new acquaintances at Friends Meeting House on Nov. 17. Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, and the Bronx were well represented, as was Nassau County, Westchester, Jersey City and Philadelphia.
As Pamela Boyce Simms explained, development of the Transition Neighborhoods NYC guidebook is well underway. Its Prequel – available at http://www.transitionnyc.org – describes how to create a list of neighbors to invite to a series of meetings. In each one, neighbors will use chapters of the guidebook to map their community, looking at aspects of its operation such as food, energy, water, and transportation. The goal is to proactively redesign urban communities so they’re much less reliant on fossil fuels and much more resilient, with an improved quality of life.
Neighbors will analyze how sustainable and resilient their neighborhood is and where the gaps are, envision it as optimally resilient, and brainstorm what actions they can take to make that vision a reality. Each chapter will have resources available in that community.
Attendees split up into groups by borough, and then by neighborhood, identifying resources for organizing – such as block associations, sports groups, coop boards, community boards, CSAs, school groups and mother’s groups, as well as popular stores or restaurants.
Follow up meetings are already planned for some especially enthusiastic neighborhoods. Look for an invitation to a Facebook page. We’ll report back with new developments and best practices to keep you inspired and energized.
Coming up in January will be a party at Friends Meeting House for a new year of Transitioning! “Let’s Get the Party Started,” the first chapter of the NYC guidebook, will help you catalyze a transition initiative in your own neighborhood. We’ll start the year with our own party, which will include an international buffet of foods from your communities. The date will be coming soon.
Please stay in touch. If you have any questions on how to move forward in your community, contact the NYC Transition Hub at transition.nyc.hub@gmail.com
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Transition Neighborhoods Workshop
Monday, Nov. 17, 7 – 9 PM
Neighborhood organizing for resilient green cities
Friends Meeting House, 15 Rutherford Place
15th Street between 2nd & 3rd Avenues, NY, NY 10003
No charge to attend, donate what you wish.
Two days after the Climate March in September, the beta launch of Transition Neighborhoods took place in NYC. Riding the crest of a wave of climate change activism, many New Yorkers came to explore how to keep the momentum going. 19 attendees, almost half of the 45 people in the room, expressed an interest in initiating a Transition project in their neighborhood. Transition is a global community organizing response to climate change, resource depletion and financial instability.
There are 1,100 plus Transition groups in 44 countries with 16 national hubs that have emerged to serve these groups. In the U.S. 151 Transition initiatives have formed with 100 more in formation. It’s time for New York City to tap into the power, creativity, and collective genius of this global grassroots network.
It starts with a series of small group meetings in which friends and neighbors go through chapters of a guidebook. They strengthen their sense of place and neighborhood culture while building relationships, promoting local food, and mapping their neighborhood’s current state of resiliency. The Transition Neighborhoods Prequel shows how to coalesce a group of friends and neighbors, and get a resilience initiative up and running in your community. In this highly interactive workshop, we’ll walk through the Prequel using small group scenarios and role playing, and explore the first chapters of the guidebook. We’ll work through NYC-specific challenges, with lots of time for questions and answers. Facilitated by Pamela Boyce Simms, Lead Trainer, Transition US and the Mid-Atlantic Transition Hub.
http://www.transitionnyc.org Contact NYC Transition Hub at transition.nyc.hub@gmail.com
FREE TRANSITION TELESEMINAR: Join the conversation on November 6th at 2:00 when the Mid-Atlantic Transition Hub (MATH) and panelists respond to the Simplicity Institute’s excellent critique of the Transition movement. This is a great, interactive way to learn about many aspects of the Transition movement.
REGISTER: http://bit.ly/1rHDDJJ
More information: http://bit.ly/1wT9UBZ
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Transition Neighborhoods
Launched in NYC
The People’s Climate March on September 21 brought over 300,000 people out in NYC, with thousands of supporting events around the world. Mayor de Blasio and the NYC Council announced a new platform of city actions to reduce fossil fuel use. We honor both events as being necessary parts of the great turning now underway, but see the urgent need for a third approach, something quite new.
Now that the March is over, what are the steps that you can take personally to move NYC away from fossil fuels?
On September 23, Pamela Boyce Simms, the lead trainer of the Mid-Atlantic Transition Hub, and convener of Transition activists in a seven-state region, spoke to a crowd at the Friends Meeting House on 15th Street near Union Square.
Transition, she explained, is a community level response to climate change, resource depletion and financial instability. It’s a way of creating people-to-people connections among neighbors that starts with a series of structured discussions. After its creation in Kinsale, Ireland in 2006, the award-winning method has been successfully refined in hundreds of initiatives in the United Kingdom, and used in thousands of other community projects worldwide.
Pamela walked attendees through the steps leading up to Transition Neighborhood program. Start by building a list of community contacts, and inviting them to a chat at a local coffee shop. See who’s game for the series of twelve meetings, using a guidebook that explores aspects of our urban lifestyles – food, water, waste, energy, transportation, communications, money. Group members review good practices in each area, dissolving the silos that can easily separate different focuses, and support each other in implementing action steps. When the sessions are complete, members have developed and deepened the personal connections that are the foundation of personal resilience. If they wish they can take on new projects, and proceed deeper into the Transition process. Contact us to find others who want to bring Transition to your neighborhood!
http://www.transitionnyc.org
Contact NYC Transition Hub at transition.nyc.hub@gmail.com.
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PMB, I’ve been to a couple of TT events. They nibble around the edges. They would be necessary, if not sufficient, in a purely power-down situation.
I view them as a kind of wake: a way to be together and feel better even though the body’s in the front room.
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Lidia, Lidia, Lidia
You make me laugh, our humor is so much on the same wavelength.
It’s almost always a pleasure to read your thoughts and read about your experiences. Your interaction with the local permaculture farmer, your support of your mom in her last days, the frustrations with your religious obsessed sister. Others may consider them anecdotal tales, but they are the stuff of life, the real day to day interactions of our experiences, our real experiences, not the virtual stuff of sitting at a keyboard all too often (me included), These are the stories that are so interesting and important to our lives, but I find them especially necessary to mine. We’ve been on similar and parallel journeys and knowing you’re out there helps to make me feel a little less loony and lonely when I’m interacting with people.
Yes, TT nibble, nibble, nibble, but never really get to the core. They don’t really want to. I went to a few of their events and sat through an awful lot of them at a NOFA-MA conference a few summers ago. I really felt that I had to be hosed down afterwards as all the phony, mind altering, sunny, positive outlook made me ill. It was similar to the Pachama weekend I once did. I really want to know how these people will survive when things really start getting tough for them. Will those frozen smiles start to drop into a frown?
Necessary, but not sufficient as it unfolds.
If only they were as much joy in their gatherings as there is at an actual wake. If the TT people would actually drink to excess there might be some real open and honest self disclosure, some deep feelings expressed, and some soulful singing. Only I don’t think Rob Hopkins had a chapter on that for his book.
They are in the back room while the body is in the front.
TT are so similar to the permies especially those in Northeast group. I get a kick when some of them go around cavilling about Geoff Lawton’s latest offspring. They act as if having a another child brought into the world is a good thing, as if this offspring is theirs.
If i thought the news had been getting bad over the last decade, I’m amazed at how rapid the situation seems to escalating as if someone poured excelerant on the situation and it’s just going up in a burst of white hot flame.
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Can’t resist saying something as I see the reference of the NOFA conference.
And as a native New Englander who spent 20 years homesteading and commercial organic farming I attended my fair share of NOFA conferences, New Hampshire, Maine and Massachusetts. And I would confirm there isn’t much room there for radical thinkers questioning capitalism or the “system” in general. Besides the fact that the homesteading life and organic farming business offers a rather abysmal life (not that I wouldn’t choose it over working in a factory), the transition town consciousness or lifeboat communities (discussions) would only be relevant if they included those who don’t own land or property. And more specifically people who didn’t necessarily want to go along with, say, the status quo of even those people talking about transition town stuff.
In my experience these so-called transition town, lifeboat people and even Permaculture people as the (propertied people/class) will make serfs and slaves out of those landless peasants/old hippies just as quick as any libertarian or conservative. In fact, they probably are libertarians or conservatives. And I only say that to generate thought, because I don’t necessarily disagree with some libertarian or conservative philosophic points of view. But in the final analysis, unless one is about providing land (to use not to own) to everyone who wants it, who needs it, then one is solidly on the right not the left.
Because I wasn’t happy with my alternative life in New England, it wasn’t all that hard to leave. Ended up in Florida for a while and now I’m in rural Arkansas. As is the case for many in the radical left (Emma Goldman, Michael Rubert and others) the older you get the more dicey and desperate one’s circumstances become. In my opinion the radical left position is only sustainable by some sort of large-scale communal living. But that never happens because the radical left can’t agree on what that would look like. In my opinion that’s a great tragedy.
Mainstream people might adopt a much simpler lifestyle if there was some incentive. In other words, a simpler life offering a better life, which I believe it could. But if the radical left can’t create that example, and so create an incentive; well, how is it going to happen?
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i was a teen in the back to the land movement of the 70s, i was also the slave, i dug huge gardens and cut wood all day long for my grandparents and got paid two sesame seed cookies per day, good thing i loved them. in the upcoming post-peak world. somebody’s gotta do the work. lol

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Will alternative energy save capitalism? (or ourselves)
Every time I publish a diary like this one (“Promoting an Effective Discussion: Capitalism Causes Climate Change,” 8/3/14), I get responses from patrons of alternative energy. Solar panels and wind farms will save the Earth, the world-society, and the capitalist system, from the prophesies of doom accompanying abrupt climate change, they imply.
Now, to be fair, I have no problem with the idea of saving the Earth or the world-society. And I’m certainly not against the proliferation of solar panels and wind farms. But I don’t think that “alternative energy” will save the Earth while leaving the capitalist system intact. Rather, capitalism will come to a terminal crisis at some point, and “alternative energy” will not save it. Or maybe capitalism will continue to a point such as to put the habitability of planet Earth into question, as Paul Prew suggested. And then there’s the option I laid out in last Sunday’s diary:
Here are the reasons why I think as I do:
…
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None of them give a shit about the Earth. It is the system that provides them their privileged lives they want to save. Derrick Jensen was right that people will defend to the death the system that brings them everything. If some violent radicals tried to take down the grid/internet the big city latte liberals and inbred tea-baggers will unite in their calls for blood. Guys like George Clooney can make slick corporate/political bashing movies like Syriana, but when push comes to shove he’s just another BAU “Je Suis Charlie”. Like most Liberals he just wants the system to be a little kinder, so he feels better.
A de-industrialized life is like the apocalypse; your brain won’t let you believe it could happen. The hopium, from all quarters, has gotten so ridiculous that it’s self mocking.
http://money.cnn.com/2015/01/13/news/economy/american-dream-coming-back/index.html
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I’m afraid you’re right on the money.
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Reblogged this on Joe's Notepad.
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Another great piece of writing xraymike. Dead on the money. Thanks for sharing.
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Thanks CM!
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On the Supersonic Track to Extinction
http://robinwestenra.blogspot.ca/2015/01/near-term-human-extinction.html
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Seems like every week there is another Whoops! we underestimated the last study, study. I think at the root of all these underestimates lies an old assumption that major earth changes cannot happen on a human time scales. At the root of that is anthropocentrism.
Correcting estimates of sea level rise
The acceleration in global sea level from the 20th century to the last two decades has been significantly larger than scientists previously thought, according to a new Harvard study.
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/01/150114140517.htm
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While anthropocentrism is certainly a big deal, I think it’s more normalcy bias that leads to these assumptions. I’ve been studying these things since 2007 and life for me has not materially changed in any important way, except I can’t get the same variety of seafood. Living in houses, cubicles, labs, cars.. our senses are attenuated.
BTW, lots of good comments lately, Apneaman..!!
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Hi Lidia. Thanks:)
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Systems crucial to stability of planet compromised
https://www.mcgill.ca/newsroom/channels/news/systems-crucial-stability-planet-compromised-241121
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Important paper. Thanks for posting. Something of a confirmation for what many here intuitively knew.
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Published: January 15, 2015
Planetary dashboard shows “Great Acceleration” in human activity since 1950
“Human activity, predominantly the global economic system, is now the prime driver of change in the Earth System (the sum of our planet’s interacting physical, chemical, biological and human processes), according to a set of 24 global indicators, or “planetary dashboard”, published in the journal Anthropocene Review (16 January 2015).”
http://www.igbp.net/news/pressreleases/pressreleases/planetarydashboardshowsgreataccelerationinhumanactivitysince1950.5.950c2fa1495db7081eb42.html
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Another great link.
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Renewable resources reach their limits
Can the world continue expanding its use of renewable resources at an increasing rate? Most likely not. Using a data set of over 25 resources researchers at the Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ), Yale University and Michigan State University demonstrate that several key resources have recently passed, at around the same time, their “peak-rate year” — the maximum increase year. A potential implication is that as substitution becomes arduous, global society’s expanding needs will be harder to fill.
http://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=33456
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That should put the break on overpopulation. We’ll start producing synthetic meat.
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Misanthropocene? I haven’t had this much of a belly chuckle for while. thanx.
Apneamann and X-Ray Mike are the Laural & Hardy of black comedy.
good work today boys. Like I always say, I’m not misantropic, some of my best friends are people.
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i was born in 1958, at the same time every chart in the universe went exponential.
i wish the planetary dashboard was heads up for everyone. awesome.
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just in case you missed it.
http://underminers.org/
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Oxygen: A Four Billion Year History (published 2014) by Donald E. Canfield
Excerpt from DannyReviews:
…Canfield begins with an overview of the Earth, with the presence of water, the thermal balance, and the latter’s connection with the carbon cycle. He goes on to consider life before oxygen, looking at the workings of sulfur- and iron-based ecosystems driven by sources of chemical energy.
A key event was the evolution of oxygenic photosynthesis, where Canfield goes into some biochemical detail, looking at chlorophylls, reaction centres, the oxygen-evolving complex, and rubisco. A separate chapter covers the higher level ecology and physiology of cyanobacteria: microbial mats, adaptations for different light regimes, specialised cells for nitrogen fixation, and so forth.
What controls atmospheric oxygen? Over the long-term, this is intimately tied up with the carbon cycle: the burial of organic carbon and pyrite releases oxygen to the atmosphere and their uplift and then weathering and oxidation remove it.
How far back cyanobacteria and the biological production of oxygen can be dated hinges on analysis of carbon isotope ratios and attempts to find fossil evidence or other biomarkers. There is also geological evidence for early oxygen levels from sulfur isotope fractions and molybdenum concentrations.
Despite some “whiffs” of oxygen, there seems to have been considerable delay, perhaps waiting for “the mantle to quiet”, between the first cyanobacteria and the Great Oxidation Event (GOE). “The geologic record demonstrates that around 2.3 billion years ago the oxygen content of Earth’s atmosphere increased dramatically.”
Following that, the focus is on Canfield’s own idea (the “Canfield Ocean”) that “the GOE likely increased the flux of sulfate to the oceans through the oxidative weathering of sulfides on land, thus enhancing rates of sulfate reduction to hydrogen sulfide in the ocean. … dissolved iron was removed from the oceans by reaction with sulfide … the deep oceans remained anoxic”.
The Neoproterozoic saw the rise of animals, which has an uncertain relationship with oxygen levels. It is possible that “motile animals evolved into an environment that was already ‘permissible’ for some time before their appearance” or alternatively that “animals themselves engineered the conditions of environmental change”.
The final chapter on the Phanerozoic (the last five hundred million years) explains how rates of organic carbon and pyrite sulfur burial have been measured and used to model oxygen concentrations. The notable feature of the latter is “the large positive oxygen excursion seen during the Carboniferous and Permian Periods”, driven by coal deposits and ended by a shift to the deposition of sandy red beds containing iron oxides…
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Theory on origin of animals challenged: Earliest animal life may have required little oxygen
…A little over half a billion years ago, the first forms of complex life – animals – evolved on Earth. Billions of years before that life had only consisted of simple single-celled life forms. The emergence of animals coincided with a significant rise in atmospheric oxygen, and therefore it seemed obvious to link the two events and conclude that the increased oxygen levels had led to the evolution of animals.
“But nobody has ever tested how much oxygen animals need – at least not to my knowledge. Therefore we decided to find out”, says Daniel Mills.
The living animals that most closely resemble the first animals on Earth are sea sponges. The species Halichondria panicea lives only a few meters from the University of Southern Denmark’s Marine Biological Research Centre in Kerteminde, and it was here that Daniel Mills fished out individuals for his research.
“When we placed the sponges in our lab, they continued to breathe and grow even when the oxygen levels reached 0.5 per cent of present day atmospheric levels”, says Daniel Mills.
This is lower than the oxygen levels we thought were necessary for animal life.
The big question now is: If low oxygen levels did not prevent animals from evolving – then what did? Why did life consist of only primitive single-celled bacteria and amoebae for billions of years before everything suddenly exploded and complex life arose?
“There must have been other ecological and evolutionary mechanisms at play. Maybe life remained microbial for so long because it took a while to develop the biological machinery required to construct an animal. Perhaps the ancient Earth lacked animals because complex, many-celled bodies are simply hard to evolve”, says Daniel Mills.
His colleagues from the Nordic Center for Earth Evolution have previously shown that oxygen levels have actually risen dramatically at least one time before complex life evolved. Although plenty of oxygen thus became available it did not lead to the development of complex life…
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São Paulo officials finally come clean about the severity of the drought and their covert water rationing by manipulating water pressure.
Excerpt… [translated from Portuguese]:
Basic Sanitation Company (Sabesp), in charge of supply for most of the megalopolis of 12 million inhabitants[São Paulo] and part the of State, admitted for the first time Wednesday that less water has been coming to households (the pressure has fallen) and that the situation is critical, predicting that it will worsen…
…The authorities never hitherto recognized the decreased water pressure in São Paulo, which, in practice, resulted in leaving thousands without water for hours. Kelman not only finally made the acknowledgement this week, it also announced that it is probable that the time of this pressure reduction is expanding, so more people will soon be without water longer. “We must be prepared for the worst,” he said.
The worst is determined by the rains, but it is feared that the Cantareira System, a series of dams that supplies the city and 67 municipalities in the region, will become completely dry. So far, this covert rationing was justified as “maintenance work”. But in fact, this reduction in pressure (and flow) affects many households, more than 1,200 districts in 37 different cities in the state, including the capital.
On the main street of Avenida Ipiranga in the city center, some administrations of neighboring communities reported water restrictions. “We informed all the inhabitants that water rationing made by Sabesp is from 6pm to 7am”…
http://internacional.elpais.com/internacional/2015/01/16/actualidad/1421373273_360461.html
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Covert and selective.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-12-22/tale-of-two-car-washes-shows-brazil-poor-hurt-in-drought-cities.html
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A Brazilian tells me, “They always do that shit, and they make you pay the full monthly bill too.”
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Sao Paulo: City’s main reservoir could run dry in March
http://www.laprensasa.com/309_america-in-english/2880998_sao-paulo-city-s-main-reservoir-could-run-dry-in-march.html
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What “Graham said: January 15, 2015 at 3:39 am”
The Earth is not the problem. It is the victim. In all extinctions.
Our general knowledge does not include the dynamics for why this is.
Have you noticed that Oil-Qaeda is trying to blame its murder of current civilization on its mother?
Remember, justice is a two-way street … punishment of some sort for the perpetrator, solice of some sort for the victim.
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Well done again Mike. A useful chart. Comparing our current situation to past extinction events is more valid than comparison to past collapses of civilisations. As everyone here knows, we are currently in an extinction event. Caused by us. Previous collapses of civilisations were not world-wide events, and were not accompanied by planet-wide extinction events.
Peter Ward’s ‘Under a Green Sky’ is the book to read re Canfield oceans. Delightful bedtime reading. Guaranteed to cause nightmares.
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Video just out shows how, despite growth during some years, we’re progressively losing mature, thicker ice to new thin ice in the Arctic.
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Question from Michael Champion 12 days ago:
What are your thoughts on permaculture? It seems to be a viable solution for humanity to attempt to save itself and the planet, but not civilization. Permaculture is a system of gardening that mimics nature instead of using unsustainable modern agriculture. It’s a useful means of producing one’s own food instead of being reliant on consumer culture.
Also, as a youth myself with little ability to just start buying plants, I’ve come to wonder what are the best means of convincing adults and siblings of the extreme danger of the current reality in the least amount of time. So far I’ve done a poor job, essentially being too afraid of seeming insane and being subsequently shut out of the realm of reason in the minds of my family. What are the best ways to convince a tired old man who works 5-6 days a week of impending doom from civilization? There’s not much time left, and I doubt I’ll survive on my own. I hope humanity can survive, but being an activist won’t help much if I have no food.
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lose your fear of appearing insane, my whole family thinks i’m nuts, i wear my craziness as a badge of honor, but i still got enough food to support them if need be.
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I cannot keep people from using my work to support their own misdirected conspiracy theories, i.e. Chemtrails and Depopulation conspiracy theories. The only geoengineering that has been going on is mankind’s unintentional alteration of the planet’s biochemistry through our burning of fossil fuels.
I do not endorse this view:
Pingback: Climate Engineering, Pushing Life Past The Point Of No Return | The Liberty Beacon
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Geo-engineering and zero-point energy will lead us happily into the future, until our final breaths are taken inside the extinction chamber. Very noble of them to call for geo-engineering, but fully impractical at this point, as is any other conceivable action. Most of the coastal cities will be under water, but long before that our monoculture farming will fail and, and, and…………. When awakened in the morning even the most primitive man could hope for a better day, but how will modern man react when he finds the better days have all been spent and all that remains is not only economic deterioration, but a climatic pummeling so severe that it cannot be imagined. Man is like the extinct dodo bird and for the same reason destined to join it in the fossil record. Just as the rather sudden appearance of the invasive predator species, man, gave no preparation for co-evolution, so too does man’s technical ability outstrip the embedded, evolutionarily immobile portions of his own brain. So goes the dodo within, exterminated by the relatively sudden mutations that resulted in our technical “advances.”
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The Liberty Beacon
Anytime I hear an American use the word “Liberty”…it’s a dead give away.
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POLL: Tea Party Members Really, Really Don’t Trust Scientists
“60% of traditional Republicans trust scientists on the environment, versus only 28% of tea partiers.”
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These are the same inbred mouth breathing knuckle draggers that want the government to get it’s damn hands off Medicare and every other social program. Won’t be long before they start demanding the reading of goat entrails to help decide foreign policy. Has anyone else noticed that as the global dumbing down continues apace, the slogans are becoming shorter and simpler ? Je Sui Charlie. HOPE, CHANGE. Soon most words will be replaced by grunts and a handful of tribal symbols; like an apple or swastika.
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“The more he talked of his honor, the faster we counted our spoons..”
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Pingback: WHAT IS CIVILISATION? | The Rise and Fall of the Human Empire
David Fridley, from Berkeley National Lab and the Post-Carbon Institute is very authoritative on green energy, but fails big time comparing thorium to fusion.
http://www.ecoshock.info/2015/01/green-dreams-future-or-fantasy.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+EcoshockNews+%28Ecoshock+News%29
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Reblogged this on Living As If Others Really Mattered and commented:
All other concerns become background after this:”Human rights”, “Animal rights”, “Terrorism”, “Exploitation”, “Oppression” all lose their meaning. There are no “solutions”, only choices to live ethically whatever time we have left…
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Evidently you haven’t heard of Peter Popoff’s “Miracle Spring Water”, zero point energy or QE4. You’re right, there aren’t any solutions to our boutique problems and there never were. Our rapine, predatory behaviors are built-in as is our tendency to believe in and trust those that seem most successful amongst us, even though most of them are psychopaths. Sheeps led to slaughter. Even within a permaculture commune the same old behaviors exist. To live with political monkeys is to live with deceit, backstabbing, one-upmanship, ruthless competition, religious insanity and just enough cooperation to guard against even worse forces coming from an equally insane competing tribe. The solution never arrives, just endless contention for limited resources amongst cellular formations whose mish-mash of characteristics need only earn a grade “C” within the school of red in tooth and claw. Any efforts to lead a finer, more moral and reflective life is overwhelmed by a wild dopamine melee, a planetary king-of-the-hill contest, an unprecedented bonfire into which all organic matter, dead or alive, must be thrown.
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Pingback: On the Supersonic Track to Extinction | Cyrano's Journal
Third dead volume will supply São Paulo in attempt to prevent the collapse of water supply
[Translated from Portuguese]
Third dead volume will supply São Paulo
The use of a third dimension of the dead volume of the Cantareira System, which is being prepared by the government of Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB) to try to prevent the collapse of supply in Greater Sao Paulo, will compel the Basic Sanitation Company of the State of Sao Paulo (Sabesp) to also pump water for the interior of the city, something never before imagined by managers and specialists in water resources. The measure still needs approval of the regulatory bodies.
With the withdrawal of up to 41 billion liters scheduled for Atibainha Dam in Nazaré Paulista, the reservoir level will be below the threshold tunnel through which the water is released to the Atibaia River, responsible for supplying 95% of the population of Campinas, 90 kilometers from the capital. Thus, no water will come out of the reservoir by gravity, only by pumping, as has been Sabesp’s procedure since May to supply the Greater São Paulo.
Called bottom-discharge, this tunnel is 1 meter wide by 1.10 in height and is 17 meters deep in relation to the edge of the dam, the equivalent to a building of six stories. According to professor of hydrology Antonio Carlos Zuffo (UNICAMP), this third dead volume “is the rock bottom” of the reservoir. In spite of this, he explains, the water must be of a quality similar to that already removed today from the second dimension of dead volume…
http://noticias.uol.com.br/ultimas-noticias/agencia-estado/2015/01/18/3-volume-morto-vai-abastecer-interior.htm
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Brazil power rates may jump 60% on drought, subsidies
Drought reduces cheaper hydro power, forcing use of expensive thermal plants burning natural gas, diesel fuel, biomass and other fuels.
http://www.stabroeknews.com/2015/news/regional/01/17/brazil-power-rates-may-jump-60-pct-drought-subsidies-source/ …
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Somewhere around 75% of electricity in BC is generated by hydroelectric. Most people think it comes from the wall.
Glaciers, BC Hydro’s Melting ‘Batteries’
http://thetyee.ca/News/2012/02/06/Glacier-Hydro/
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Comments from Dark Futurology:
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Pingback from http://www.powerswitch.org.uk:
http://www.powerswitch.org.uk/forum/viewtopic.php?t=25354
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Click to go to animation link:
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An increasing number of states are having a hard time maintaining social cohesion. Of all the institutions, governments have the most weapons of pressure (the law, capacity to mobilize media, distribution of benefits). The law relies on force, media is used to create the mythological nation state, along with national ceremonies, public education, and military recruitment, while benefits depend on taxes, which depend on surplus, which ultimately depend on energy. I see acts of terrorism as a growing subsection of society disconnected from the larger body. During the last two centuries governments engaged in extending enfranchisement and expanding public education (closely related), implementing worker protection, expanding health and social services, which served to mitigate income vagaries in the capitalist life cycle; this was the Liberal agenda that could be summed up with ‘liberty, equality, and fraternity.” Liberals like Chris Hedges and John Ralston Saul decry its failing as the reason why we’re in a time of troubles. I consider it a normal event in the decline of energy returns. Liberalism was only ever a temporary expedient, regardless the utopian aspirations of some.
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Mike, David Pope has a great cartoon which is relevant to the discussion in the last thread, mainly. I think you will find it worth posting for others here. I have difficulty posting links with this. Go to canberratimes.com, then to the cartoon gallery of David Pope. All of Pope’s cartoons are good, but a lot refer more to the Australian political situation, but not this one.
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Great cartoon…sums it up nicely!
http://www.canberratimes.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/david-pope-20141123-1t3j0.html
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Why the modern world is bad for your brain
…there’s a fly in the ointment. Although we think we’re doing several things at once, multitasking, this is a powerful and diabolical illusion. Earl Miller, a neuroscientist at MIT and one of the world experts on divided attention, says that our brains are “not wired to multitask well… When people think they’re multitasking, they’re actually just switching from one task to another very rapidly. And every time they do, there’s a cognitive cost in doing so.” So we’re not actually keeping a lot of balls in the air like an expert juggler; we’re more like a bad amateur plate spinner, frantically switching from one task to another, ignoring the one that is not right in front of us but worried it will come crashing down any minute. Even though we think we’re getting a lot done, ironically, multitasking makes us demonstrably less efficient.
Multitasking has been found to increase the production of the stress hormone cortisol as well as the fight-or-flight hormone adrenaline, which can overstimulate your brain and cause mental fog or scrambled thinking. Multitasking creates a dopamine-addiction feedback loop, effectively rewarding the brain for losing focus and for constantly searching for external stimulation. To make matters worse, the prefrontal cortex has a novelty bias, meaning that its attention can be easily hijacked by something new – the proverbial shiny objects we use to entice infants, puppies, and kittens. The irony here for those of us who are trying to focus amid competing activities is clear: the very brain region we need to rely on for staying on task is easily distracted. We answer the phone, look up something on the internet, check our email, send an SMS, and each of these things tweaks the novelty- seeking, reward-seeking centres of the brain, causing a burst of endogenous opioids (no wonder it feels so good!), all to the detriment of our staying on task. It is the ultimate empty-caloried brain candy. Instead of reaping the big rewards that come from sustained, focused effort, we instead reap empty rewards from completing a thousand little sugar-coated tasks…
…Just having the opportunity to multitask is detrimental to cognitive performance. Glenn Wilson, former visiting professor of psychology at Gresham College, London, calls itinfo-mania…
…Russ Poldrack, a neuroscientist at Stanford, found that learning information while multitasking causes the new information to go to the wrong part of the brain. If students study and watch TV at the same time, for example, the information from their schoolwork goes into the striatum, a region specialised for storing new procedures and skills, not facts and ideas. Without the distraction of TV, the information goes into the hippocampus, where it is organised and categorised in a variety of ways, making it easier to retrieve. MIT’s Earl Miller adds, “People can’t do [multitasking] very well, and when they say they can, they’re deluding themselves.” And it turns out the brain is very good at this deluding business…
…Then there are the metabolic costs that I wrote about earlier. Asking the brain to shift attention from one activity to another causes the prefrontal cortex and striatum to burn up oxygenated glucose, the same fuel they need to stay on task. And the kind of rapid, continual shifting we do with multitasking causes the brain to burn through fuel so quickly that we feel exhausted and disoriented after even a short time. We’ve literally depleted the nutrients in our brain. This leads to compromises in both cognitive and physical performance. Among other things, repeated task switching leads to anxiety, which raises levels of the stress hormone cortisol in the brain, which in turn can lead to aggressive and impulsive behaviour. By contrast, staying on task is controlled by the anterior cingulate and the striatum, and once we engage the central executive mode, staying in that state uses less energy than multitasking and actually reduces the brain’s need for glucose…
…Each time we dispatch an email in one way or another, we feel a sense of accomplishment, and our brain gets a dollop of reward hormones telling us we accomplished something. Each time we check a Twitter feed or Facebook update, we encounter something novel and feel more connected socially (in a kind of weird, impersonal cyber way) and get another dollop of reward hormones. But remember, it is the dumb, novelty-seeking portion of the brain driving the limbic system that induces this feeling of pleasure, not the planning, scheduling, higher-level thought centres in the prefrontal cortex. Make no mistake: email-, Facebook- and Twitter-checking constitute a neural addiction.
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that’s why i’m a unitasker, but even this stresses me
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Two weeks ago the young guy who mans the Ronnybrook Diary spot at the Union Square Market in NYC insisted that multitasking was good for us as it helps postpone dementia.
I was unitasking. Taking out the bottles from my cloth bag to return when he was rushing me to decided what I wanted. I actually find it soothing to focus on the task of taking the bottles out one at a time and didn’t want to have to add making a decision to my focus.
There was no one else waiting in line so I didn’t see what was the rush and told him I can’t multitask any more whereby he informed me that by multitasking I’ll put off dementia.
Actually dementia doesn’t sound so bad if it would keep me from having to be aware of what the hell is going on and how it all interconnects. I should be so lucky going down the road.
In any case i just didn’t have the stamina to argue with the youngster and held my ground and after placing the last bottle on the table I asked for a bottle of heavy cream and one of half and half.
I think I may print off this article, put it in an envelope and give it to him next week. I may, then again I may not.
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Good excuse to just let your lawn go…
…Dr Chuanhui Gu of Appalachian State University in the US says that once the energy expended by mowing, fertiliser use and watering are taken into account, lawns actually produce more greenhouse gases than they soak up.
In a paper for the Journal of Environmental Management, he and his co-authors said they had found that a hectare of lawn in Nashville, Tennessee, produced greenhouse gases equivalent to 697 to 2,443kg of carbon dioxide a year. The higher figure is equivalent to a flight more than halfway around the world.
Dr Gu said the findings would vary based on the local climate, but the general message would apply to most areas. Nashville gets about the same amount of rain as Glasgow and temperatures range from 30C in summer to below freezing in winter.
“Climate change emissions from urban lawns and gardens are often kind of neglected by people, even scientists,” he said. “We found that the urban turf grass system actually contributes to global warming. It’s a lot. It’s about two-thirds of the carbon emissions from agricultural fields [of the same area].” This contradicts previous beliefs that urban lawns generally absorb more carbon dioxide than they produce and are therefore good for the planet…
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Hey Mike. One problem is municipal zoning laws might not permit you to just let it go. Conditioned neighbors will also complain, making you feel like you’re in the Twilight Zone. Pick up David Jacke’s book on permaculture or Toby Hemingway’s and turn your lawn into a beautifully diverse garden. The monocultured front lawn sums up this world system’s drive for uniformity. They say nature abhors a vacuum? Having just one species on a vast tract of land is also a vacuum. It’s safe to assume that whatever is permitted in this system is adverse toward the environment.
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i cut grass in a trailer park in canada.
everyday i sit on a zero-turn and watch as i mow down frogs and bees. it sickens me.
i fucking hate my job and the people i work for who dock their huge boats there
they swim in salt-water pools right next to a lake with an empty beach.
in canada, hockey is a religion and a tim horton’s coffee and donut are sacraments.
i could quit my job, lose my home and wife, but hey, wtf.
i am one of billions, today i’m gonna get drunk and toast the end.
will we fail? yep. should we give up? nope. i can’t help myself.
greens vs. nuclear power
oilsands co-opts thorium energy
molten salt reactors within 5 years?
An unbiased look at Molten Salt Reactors
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How do we face the future?
I would get drunk also, but would rather get stoned. I quit pot six mos ago and still crave it, but illegal pot is really bad for the environment and who knows what toxins are in it. Is it legal anywhere in Canada? My state has a state representative that is trying to legalize medical pot and believe it or not is a Republican. But if your state is mostly one party, there will be some moderates.
BTW, how is Canadian healthcare? Do ya’ll have “Socialized Healthcare”? It has to be better than “For Profit Healthcare”, or “Disease Management Care”. I would rather go to a witch doctor than the idiots that call themselves MDs. God I dread getting old.
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https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=9Lfb8mlIe9I A link to Bertrand Russell’s, “In Praise of Idleness”.
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Published in 2008, an excerpt from Earth: The Biography

by Iain Stewart and John Lynch
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The history of this world system has been class conflict seeking to extend rights (c.f. privileges) and freedoms (temporary expedients) to a larger fraction of the populace. Now that the pie is shrinking, class conflict probably eschews traditional ways of redress within the system and descends into naked violence outside of it. Radicals born out of the 1848 revolution (the third of the conservative/liberal trifecta) were at one time co-opted and held internal debates between two forms of protest – violence seeking to supplant the power structure and peaceful protest using existing insitutions to reform them. I suspect we’ll see more of the former as time wears on.
It seems anybody who is anybody has a new book out that makes certain protestations and yet the system continues to chug right along. If there were an omnipotent agent out there, I’d ask to be spared another affluent baby boomer book, if only to break up the monotony.
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Interesting story here:
Argentine prosecutor found dead just hours before he was to show evidence of cover-up in Iran terror attack in return for favorable oil deals.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/southamerica/argentina/11354521/Argentine-prosecutor-who-accused-Cristina-Kirchner-over-1994-bombings-found-dead.html
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Looks like another (not) positive feed back. Overwhelming. If only someone would make a list, so we could keep count.
/////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Study: Melting Glaciers Have Big Carbon Impact
Released: 16-Jan-2015 4:00 PM EST
“This research makes it clear that glaciers represent a substantial reservoir of organic carbon,”
http://www.newswise.com/articles/study-melting-glaciers-have-big-carbon-impact
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“Power blackouts rolled through São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro and at least eight other Brazilian states on Monday, stoking fears that the nation’s severe drought has entered a damaging new phase.”
http://www.wsj.com/articles/blackouts-roll-through-large-swath-of-brazil-1421709716
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Mistakes were made, but not by me.
“Energy Minister Eduardo Braga blamed the outage on a failure in transmission equipment. “If it wasn´t for the equipment failure, there wouldn´t have been loss of energy,” Brazilian media quoted Mr. Braga as saying.
Going to be hearing plenty of self exoneration from the managerial class as the great unraveling continues.
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My wife who is Brazilian keeps telling me that the heat(50ºC ?) in Rio de Janeiro is hotter than she has ever seen when she lived there. Maybe I haven’t looked hard enough, but I don’t see any coverage of anomalous heat waves there except this:
http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/inpictures/2015/01/heatwave-rio-201511993454915570.html
and this:
[Translated from Portuguese]
Memes on the heat in Rio coming from social networks
The Heat is not giving respite to Rio this summer. The beginning of the year has already registered thermal sensations of up to 50°C in Rio. But even through these real hard times, netizens remain humorous. Memes on the subject became the rage and spread through social networks.
According to Climate Time, Thursday (Jan 15th) will be no different. The predicted maximum is 37. The reason for the high temperatures is the permanence of a mass of dry air over the state. There is not sign of rain in the coming days…
http://www.mancheteonline.com.br/memes-sobre-o-calor-no-rio-tomam-conta-das-redes-sociais/
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The following was emailed to me today from Geoff Chia:
…here is something I recently emailed to past members of my group which you are welcome to post on your “collapse of industrial civilisation” website:
Dear former D3SJers,
Below is my article “advice for sustainability activists in 2015”. Feel free to forward this email to everyone ad infinitum. After writing my article, I discovered this interview with Thomas Lewis, a journalist with many decades experience investigating and reporting environmental issues, who came to the same conclusion:
https://soundcloud.com/doomstead-diner/collapse-cafe-thomas-lewis
Here is a podcast by financial guru Richard Martin http://thewakeupcall.podbean.com/e/spreading-fear-or-providing-information-122214/
He sounds the alarm about the fraudulent and precarious nature of the global financial system. In particular he explains the bogus nature of the shale oil derivatives and associated junk bonds (collapse of which may well trigger the next, more catastrophic GFC). He is an expert in financial matters but unfortunately does not understand peak oil.
You may need to read the following a few times to fully comprehend the various machinations taking place today:
Current low oil prices are a result of demand destruction (slowing of growth in China + recession/depression everywhere else in the world), combined with the Saudis insanely continuing to pump their oil at full throttle (they are well down the slope past peak oil, but they still have the largest reserves in the world). Such Saudi behaviour defies logic in a rational market, but the political motives are clear (which the Saudis devised in conjunction with John Kerry in September last year) http://www.counterpunch.org/2014/12/16/the-oil-coup/
Predatory low oil pricing is now decimating the Iranian and Russian economies* and could even cause them to crash, an outcome greatly desired by the US who so far have been singularly impotent in forcing either regime to toe the US line. As for the Sunni Saudis, they regard Shia Iran as their heretical enemy and Russia as a godless Satan. This strategy, if drawn out, will also cause collateral damage to the US shale oil industry, however that was doomed anyway from the start. http://www.theguardian.com/business/economics-blog/2014/nov/09/us-iran-russia-oil-prices-shale In the short term, Bakken/Eagle Ford will continue pumping like crazy, even if no profit is made, as they are riding on the momentum from old investments (which will never see a long term return**). They need to maintain the illusion of ongoing viability, despite their lousy EROEI, to prop up their share prices and recruit more suckers investors. Furthermore Obama, as directed by his masters (the usual bunch of bankers) has now removed legal protection of public savings from oil derivative fraud (akin to the US government previously repealing Glass-Steagall) which means that if the oil derivatives collapse, the “too big to fail” banks will once again be bailed out by public funds obtained from taxes on the dying middle class and more quantitative easing (AKA printing funny money). Savings accounts will not be safe. Anyone else, everywhere else, who has been stupid enough to invest in the US share market (perhaps your superannuation fund managers?) can kiss their investments goodbye.
What would you do if you were Russian or Iranian? Grit your teeth and ride things out till the oil price inevitably rises again and you can once more make a profit, then trade your oil in currency other than the US dollar (or use barter arrangements eg X barrels of oil for Y number of Chinese solar PV panels). Elimination of the greenback petrodollar is guaranteed to cause the collapse of the US economy. If Iran and Russia are however blocked in their attempts to recover from their own economic collapse and escape the petrodollar, they can always resort to the “continuation of policy by other means” to paraphrase von Clausewitz. If my country is imploding and the Saudis are to blame, I may as well lob a missile into Riyadh, as I have nothing to lose. And so the great game continues.
Meanwhile the dumb sheeple are blissfully pumping cheap oil at the bowsers to fill their monstrous SUVs but have no clue as to what is going on. What was Mr T’s famous catchphrase again?
Brand New Year, same old dirty tricks. Hope you have a happy one anyway.
Regards
Geoff Chia
*Iranian and Russian breakeven oil production costs are substantially higher than Saudi costs. Low oil prices cause the Iran and Russia economies to bleed money. Saudis can even price their oil below Saudi production costs for a while, due to their huge financial reserves.
**big players such as Shell and Sumitomo were well aware of the bogus accounting of shale oil returns, which is why they pulled out. Other players were captured by hubris and irrational exuberance akin to tulip mania. Money flooded into shale oil junk bonds as a result of the US Reserve Bank’s ZIRP, but the chickens will be coming to home to roost soon.
ADVICE FOR SUSTAINABILITY ACTIVISTS IN 2015
RATIONALE
ACTIONS YOU NEED TO TAKE NOW (IF NOT YESTERDAY) :
Geoffrey Chia, January 2015
Footnotes:
Geoffrey Chia is a Cardiologist/Physician based in Brisbane, Australia, who convened the group “Doctors and Scientists for Sustainability and Social Justice” from 2006 to 2013
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excellent advice, i live deep in the woods, and won’t trust anybody cept family.
be warned: keep food storage simple and cheap, it is the first thing to become unmanageable and budget busting.
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i suspect the saudis are doing this because they know the gig is up, and the end is near, so maintaining market share at all costs pays for their own grandiose “survival”.
damn the torpedoes, full steam ahead.
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Get started now if you’re privileged enough. Permaculture has a learning curve and a lot of hard work – more work than you can possibly imagine. Also consider composting your feces. Composting is essential. I also recommend collecting a resource library of books you can consult, including on root cellaring.
You can’t safeguard against the climate, but you can pick a spot in the country that isn’t likely to turn into a desert. Also consider drought tolerant plants with taproots, companion planting, and alternative perennials that you can eat.
I’m not sure it matters if you choose a place beyond the reach of one tank of gas. Desperate hordes can always walk (but it can’t hurt!)
I’ve also read some good advice on Orlov’s blog by a guest poster.
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” People steeped in superstition eg belief in God, gods or ghosts must be excluded”, oh well, there’s nobody in my neck of the woods that could form a sane sustainable community. My husband and I have no children because I didn’t want to be part of the overpopulation problem. We would have to import some sane folks to come live on our land, but the reason we moved so far out was to get away from loud, nosey neighbors.
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Chia head needs to do more homework. NZ is run by a fascist bankster.
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I’ll be damned.
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Lol.
I went to a “As Seen On TV” store a few years back to try and get an Obama Chia head for a Christmas gift exchange game my mom insists we play every year They had none. After inquiring why not?, the nice manager lady said they were ordered to take them off the shelf from the head office. I guess corporate were worried Obama might be offended or others might be offended for him.
The Toll Of 5 Years Of Drone Strikes: 2,400 Dead
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/01/23/obama-drone-program-anniversary_n_4654825.html
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Reality-based evidence on why capitalist industrial civ will never get a handle on CO2 emissions:
How the 1% fly to Davos
Look to the skies this week in Switzerland and you’ll see the heavens are cluttered with private jets.
Roughly 1,700 private flights are expected over the course of the week, which is twice as many as normal, according to WINGX Advance, a tracking firm. Traffic is expected to rise 5% compared to last year’s event.
Private jet companies have warned clients to plan ahead, as securing spots for landing, take-off and parking can become a logistical nightmare.
“Because last year was so busy, private jet customers know … that they have to book in advance,” said Adam Twidell, CEO of the online jet booking company, PrivateFly. His firm helped clients secure about 20 flights for the event, which starts Wednesday.
Demand for helicopters also skyrockets during Davos.
On average, the Zurich airport handles five helicopter flights per day. But when the Davos event was on last year, helicopter traffic surged to 54 flights on a single busy day.
Nearly 200 helicopter flights went through the Zurich airport during the last Davos event. Those helicopters carried 500 passengers, which is mind-boggling considering the event only hosts 2,500 attendees.
Private jet company NetJets forecasts that it will operate about 80 flights in and out of the region over the week, up 4% compared to last year.
Meanwhile, another private jet company, VistaJet, expects bookings for Davos travel will roughly double compared to last year, up to about 20 flights.
VistaJet charges between $10,000 and $15,000 per hour to use its planes. Founder Thomas Flohr said customers that book a long-haul journey to Davos can get a helicopter ride for free.
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1-16-2015
Uh oh. Brazil’s deforestation increased by 467% in October [2014]. And Brazil’s cabinet now includes a “chainsaw queen” and a climate denier
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if that chainsaw queen is female, then that’s the sexiest death image i can imagine.
if that chainsaw queen is male, then that’s the damn scariest image i can imagine.
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“If the Earth is going to move to a warmer state, 5 to 6 [degrees Celsius] warmer, with no ice caps, it will do so and that won’t be good for large mammals like us. People say the world is robust and that’s true, there will be life on Earth, but the Earth won’t be robust for us.
“Some people say we can adapt due to technology, but that’s a belief system, it’s not based on fact. There is no convincing evidence that a large mammal, with a core body temperature of 37 [degrees Celsius], will be able to evolve that quickly. Insects can, but humans can’t and that’s a problem.”
http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/01/humans-destorying-planet-earth
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The “shrubbification” of the planet:
California’s Forests: Where Have All the Big Trees Gone?
“California has lost half its big trees since the 1930s, according to a study to be published Tuesday in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences—and climate change seems to be a major factor.
The number of trees larger than two feet in diameter has declined by 50 percent on more than 46,000 square miles of California forests, the new study finds. No area was immune, from the foggy northern coast to the Sierra Nevada Mountains to the San Gabriels above Los Angeles. In the Sierra high country, the number of big trees has fallen by more than 55 percent; in parts of southern California the decline was nearly 75 percent…”
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This has to be good news. It will make it easier to clear the land & construct big box stores & strip malls & pave the the damn old nasty forest.
Yes, I’m considering psychiatric help.
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The Misanthropocene
The scientists who got together to detail the mass extinction crisis in 2012 were absolutely horrified to find out that once we get somewhere past 50% species destruction, then catastrophic cascading extinction collapse becomes irreversible and unstoppable, and that no one really knows where the ultimate final tipping point is, nor will we know until we are past the point of no return. Nothing is more productive while careening towards the end of life on earth as we know it, than to bicker about what to call it. Old egos never die, they just fade away.
While we race to that finish, take a peek at the Planetary Dashboard.
http://www.slideshare.net/fullscreen/IGBPSecretariat/great-acceleration-2015/1
In twenty years we will be in a post peak world with shortages in everything except violence. There will be extreme shortages in food, water, energy, minerals, peace and prosperity. We have never experienced anything like it since the Great Depression.
You heard of peak oil, we are now past peaks in the following:
cropland, eggs, fertilizer, fish caught, maize, meat, milk, oil palm, rice, soybeans, wheat and wood.. http://www.ufz.de/index.php?en=33456
This is why the President of the World Bank says we only have 5-10 years before we start fighting for food and water.
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/apr/03/climate-change-battle-food-head-world-bank
Some will say you can’t predict the future, bullshit. When you have $100 in your bank account and you spend $120 per day, when will the shit hit the fan? You don’t need to be a fucking genius to figure this shit out.
post script:
Hawaii’s solar batteries melt down in just two years.
http://www.technologyreview.com/news/534266/hawaiis-solar-push-strains-the-grid/
CHARTS: Giant gap between future lithium supply, demand.
http://www.mining.com/charts-chasm-between-future-lithium-supply-demand-28137/
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On cascading extinction:
Extreme weather such as hurricanes, torrential downpours and droughts will become more frequent in pace with global warming. Consequently, this increases the risk for species extinction, especially in bio diverse ecosystems such as coral reefs and tropical rainforests.
Human impact means that flora and fauna become extinct at a rate 100 times higher than normal. Climate change has been deemed as one of the main causes of species depletion.
A research team in theoretical biology at Linköping University in Sweden has, through the use of mathematical modelling and simulation, studied how the dynamics of different types of ecosystems may be affected by significant environment fluctuations.
Linda Kaneryd, doctoral student and lead author of a study recently published in the journal, Ecology and Evolution, says the results were surprising.
“Several previous studies of food web structures have suggested that species-rich ecosystems are often more robust than species-poor ecosystems. However at the onset of increased environmental fluctuations, such as extreme weather, we see that extreme species-rich ecosystems are the most vulnerable and this entails a greater risk for a so-called cascading extinction.”
In a rainforest or on coral reef there are a wide variety of species of primary producers such as green plants and algae. Since they are competitors, relatively few individuals of the same species exist, subjecting them to a greater risk of extinction should external conditions change. This could result in a depletion of food sources for a species of herbivores that, in turn, affects a predator at the top of the food chain. Biologists call this transformation a cascading extinction.
The opposite would apply to an ecosystem whereby few species exist in large numbers and animal species are adaptable generalists.
http://www.constantinealexander.net/2012/03/extreme-weather-threatens-rich-ecosystems.html
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The problem of trying to run industrial civ with “renewable” energy:
http://euanmearns.com/uk-hits-minus-13%CB%9Ac-and-wind-hits-zero-output/
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The problem is you can’t.
(c.f. Richard Heinberg)
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Peter Gleick and J. Carl Ganter: The 10 Most Important Water Stories in 2014
Tuesday, 20 January 2015
http://www.circleofblue.org/waternews/2015/commentary/peter-gleick-blog/peter-gleick-j-carl-ganter-10-important-water-stories-2014/
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It’s almost as if TPTB in Brazil are doing everything they can to bring on multiple interconnected disasters.
……………………………………………………………………
UPDATE 1-Brazil seeks additional $7.7 bln with first round of tax hikes
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/01/19/brazil-economy-taxes-idUSL1N0UY15020150119
In Brazil unrest resurfaces over bus fares, Olympic golf and police violence
As President Dilma Rousseff prepares even more budget cuts, Brazilians have no shortage of things to rail against
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/jan/19/brazil-rio-protests-bus-fares-olympic-golf-rousseff
UPDATE 2-Brazil orders rolling blackouts as demand spikes in record heat
http://in.reuters.com/article/2015/01/19/brazil-electricity-idINL1N0UY0W120150119
Critical Brazilian blogger shot to death
https://cpj.org/2014/12/critical-brazilian-blogger-shot-to-death.php
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Thanks for this. Brazil deserves a blog post from me.
I’m scheduled to go down there this summer, come hell or high water.
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Stay frosty.
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This is from 1999.
Sudden climate transitions during the Quaternary
Abstract
“The time span of the past few million years has been punctuated by many rapid climate transitions, most of them on time scales of centuries to decades or even less. The most detailed information is available for the Younger Dryas-to-Holocene stepwise change around 11,500 years ago, which seems to have occurred over a few decades. The speed of this change is probably representative of similar but less well-studied climate transitions during the last few hundred thousand years. These include sudden cold events (Heinrich events/stadials), warm events (Interstadials) and the beginning and ending of long warm phases, such as the Eemian interglacial. Detailed analysis of terrestrial and marine records of climate change will, however, be necessary before we can say confidently on what timescale these events occurred; they almost certainly did not take longer than a few centuries.
Various mechanisms, involving changes in ocean circulation, changes in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases or haze particles, and changes in snow and ice cover, have been invoked to explain these sudden regional and global transitions. We do not know whether such changes could occur in the near future as a result of human effects on climate. Phenomena such as the Younger Dryas and Heinrich events might only occur in a ‘glacial’ world with much larger ice sheets and more extensive sea ice cover. However, a major sudden cold event did probably occur under global climate conditions similar to those of the present, during the Eemian interglacial, around 122,000 years ago. Less intensive, but significant rapid climate changes also occurred during the present (Holocene) interglacial, with cold and dry phases occurring on a 1500-year cycle, and with climate transitions on a decade-to-century timescale. In the past few centuries, smaller transitions (such as the ending of the Little Ice Age at about 1650 AD) probably occurred over only a few decades at most. All the evidence indicates that most long-term climate change occurs in sudden jumps rather than incremental changes.”
http://www.esd.ornl.gov/projects/qen/transit.html
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I’m starting to get the impression that some of these people are just going through the motions………………………………..
Greenland ice: The warmer it gets the faster it melts
http://news.psu.edu/story/341384/2015/01/20/research/greenland-ice-warmer-it-gets-faster-it-melts
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Talk about blinders. NHL ice hockey wants to expand into Las Vegas. Yes, people really are that myopic and stupid.
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Interstellar Blinkers Trending Populism For Hillary’s Soft Side.
Why u shouldn’t dooby bloom n doom:
Big O alks oil walks climate
when big O says climate he means Green Energy
General Electric = GE = Green Energy
If you don’t say you’re 100% private carbon tax dividends, then ur again’ it.
ask Rockefeller funded Klein and McKibben
this is not rocket science
the only way to dismantle financial globalism is to tax carbon for 100% total private citizen dividends free of charge with no share for corporations and governments because they will eventually figure out how to get your money anyhow. This dividend should be in new world electronic currency that can be direct deposited to your account.
Then we have to use Thorium power to provide the base power clean energy needs to clean up its act. Green energy cannot do it alone period, exclamation mark. We can use the same tax principal to wipe out corporate food to complete a financial coup détat world wide. There is no green shangra la.
Greens Vs. Thorium
Tar Sands co-opts Thorium
Molten Salt Reactors in Five Years?
An unbiased look at Molten Salt Reactors
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Mighty Thorium – Here I come To Save The Day!
Producing condensed energy, by any means, is a for profit venture. None of them have anything to do with saving the biosphere. Energy was never our problem. The inability to use it responsibly is. Thorium is the latest techno-fix. How have all the others worked out?
Albert Bates
One Nuke, One Nation
http://peaksurfer.blogspot.ca/2015/01/one-nuke-one-nation.html
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