Tags
Billion Dollar Natural Disasters, Climate Breakdown, Collapse of Industrial Civilization, Disaster Capitalism, Donald J. Trump, Ecological Overshoot, Elon Musk, Fascist Dystopia, Financial Elite, Geoengineering, Greenwashing, Hydroclimate Whiplash, Kleptocracy, LA Fires, MegaFires, Munich Re, Oligarchy, Palisades Fire, Paris Climate Pact, Peter Kalmus, Pyrocene, Shell Oil Company, Techno-Fix, Technocapitalism, Technosphere, Unsustainable, William E. Rees
“Mars would be more habitable than this place right now so it’s crazy. There’s absolutely nothing,” said Shaun, a resident of the Palisades Bowl community.
In a world undergoing hydroclimate whiplash, the latest apocalyptic catastrophe has now befallen one of the richest cities in the world in the richest nation on Earth. Warm 100 mile per hour winds have spawned walls of fire reaching more than 100 feet in height within the city of Los Angeles, obliterating entire neighborhoods for as far as the eye can see and blanketing the city with a pall of toxic substances. A reporter who was there at the time said those hurricane force winds made it impossible for him to walk, as he was forced to take shelter in an abandoned car. A fire chief for the city said he had never seen a fire storm of such strength and magnitude in his entire multidecadal career. Experts are quoted as saying a firewall from a ten lane highway would not have stopped the Palisades inferno, with winds carrying embers miles ahead of the fire. As of today, warnings have been issued again for the imminent return of those ominous Santa Ana winds. The dryness levels of air, soil, and vegetation in California have been “literally off the chart.” The ongoing LA fires will likely become the costliest natural disaster in US history and help create a record-breaking year for property loss from extreme disasters. As this Pyrocene Age continues to gather force, a climate change-denying US President, who promises to erase any sort of facade about caring for the environment or curbing GHG emissions, has been sworn in again for another round of kleptocracy. Pseudo president-elect Musk, who believes that the primary threat to civilization is a dwindling human population, will have his own office in the White House complex.
Underpopulation concerns and EA(Effective Altruism) are particularly popular among wealthy white men like Musk, perhaps because they justify the push for infinite growth — more people, more wealth, more space exploration, and a continuation of the business-as-usual that favors the rich.
Peter Kalmus, a climate scientist who saw the writing on the wall and left his home in California after observing the increase in heatwaves and its effect on the local environment in recent years, had this to say a few days ago:
“…no place is actually safe. These kinds of impacts of these floods and fires and heat waves and storms, I think of them sort of like popcorn happening around the whole planet. You can’t know exactly where any one of these events is going to happen, but they’re starting to come at a higher frequency, sort of like when the popcorn really starts to get going and they’re starting to pop harder. It drives me kind of bonkers when people say this, especially when climate scientists who should know better say like, this is the new normal, for example. It is not. We are on a rising escalator towards higher planetary temperatures and all of the more frequent and severe impacts that come with that, which is really, frankly, terrifying.”
We could say that the ‘new normal’ is No New Normal for millennia, which is how long it will take Earth’s systems to stabilize after the Anthropocene Epoch has ended. Why did modern humans discount the future so much? If you ask scientist William Rees, he will say it is because humans, like any other organism, will expand and use any tool available to us to consume all available resources until environmental constraints impede us. And this innate biological urge is bolstered by today’s religion of Capitalism which started in the 16th century and today emphasizes infinite economic growth and profit. With fantasies of geoengineering techno-fixes, modern humans have literally externalized the entire cost of destroying the planet’s habitability for humans or any other large or small vertebrate and invertebrate that has evolved to live within the Holocene Epoch. Talk about a behavioral blind spot! The collective failure of modern Homo sapien to grasp the complexities of our environmental impacts and deal with them to any significant degree is our fatal flaw. We are proving our collective intelligence to be not much better than yeast in a wine vat. It’s far easier to imagine a cataclysmic reckoning from ecological overshoot that wipes out Earth’s human population rather than any radical and cooperative effort by nationstates to abandon our fossil-fueled economy and religion of Technocapitalism. Our ever-expanding Technosphere now outweighs all life on Earth and can be considered a parasitic threat as it accumulates ever more nonbiodegradable waste in the biosphere. With the current President-elect having amassed a cabinet of uber-wealthy far exceeding that of any other in American history, you should not expect the habitability of the planet to be a topic of discussion or even a fleeting thought in their $kull. In fact, the first order of business was to withdraw from the Paris Climate Pact. The death drive is alive and well in the human psyche; it will be full throttle into the abyss of the Anthropocene extinction.
You’ve got to love the title of this 2024 report from Munich Re, the largest reinsurer in the world…
Climate change is showing its claws: The world is getting hotter, resulting in severe hurricanes, thunderstorms and floods
Climate change is taking the gloves off
Hardly any other year has made the consequences of global warming so clear: with annual average temperatures reaching around 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels for the first time, 2024 will surpass the previous record from 2023. This makes the past eleven years the warmest since the beginning of systematic record-keeping.
The impact of man-made climate change on weather disasters has been proven many times over by research: in many regions, severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall are becoming more frequent and more extreme. Although tropical cyclones are not generally increasing in number, the proportion of extreme cyclones is growing. They, in turn, are rapidly intensifying and bringing extreme precipitation with them.
This was the case for Helene and Milton, where World Weather Attribution studies have shown that both hurricanes were significantly more severe and brought much more extreme rainfall than in a hypothetical world without climate change. For the flash floods in the Valencia region, another study found that climate change made an event with this rainfall intensity twice as likely to occur.
And in the case of the flooding in Brazil, a study came to the conclusion that weather conditions such as those seen this year have become twice as likely due to climate change; as a result, they are becoming more frequent…
*Note that their report does not include heatwaves and droughts.
Here is the most current chart showing the upward trajectory of billion dollar weather disasters for the US, from 1980 through 2024:.
Considering we have now gone full Oligarch, you may never see a chart like this again or you may simply be brainwashed into discarding it as fake news. The politicization of our multi-pronged crisis or polycrisis will further fracture the average citizen’s ability to cope with societal breakdown. Some already believe nothing can be trusted in a world of AI and deep fake technology. Will anything convince people of this existential threat, as they continue flocking to the most vulnerable places??? Some of the younger generation are making a conscious choice:
My own daughter, a recent college graduate, told me she’d decided to stay in Chicago not just because of relatively affordable housing, but because it is “a cold climate near a large body of fresh water”. Such are the dystopian calculations of a generation born into a warming world.
Let’s not mince words; we are returning the planet to the climate volatility characteristic of the Pleistocene Epoch when agriculture was impossible, but we are doing it with fire rather than ice. There is no analog in geologic time for such a Fire Age, other than the similarity with prior mass extinctions wherein the chemical makeup of the atmosphere and oceans was altered through volcanism, albeit at a much slower rate and longer expanse of time. The Permian-Triassic extinction event, considered to be the fastest extinction in our geologic past, played out over 60,000 years. We can already see that the unpredictable hydroclimate whiplash we have set in motion from our fire-catalyzed climate upheaval will eventually make any attempts at large-scale agriculture impossible to sustain. An accelerated water cycle is already locked into the world’s climate system and now irreversible. A new study shows these wild swings between heavy precipitation and severe drought have increased substantially worldwide since the 1950s:
Using a metric of ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, global-averaged subseasonal (3-month) and interannual (12-month) whiplash have increased by 31–66% and 8–31%, respectively, since the mid-twentieth century. Further increases are anticipated with ongoing warming, including subseasonal increases of 113% and interannual increases of 52% over land areas with 3 °C of warming.
Sea level rise, the loss of pollinators and the mutilation of the tree of life, expansion of agricultural pests and pathogens, and the degradation of soil, among other factors will also be at play, causing havoc with agriculture. Those words from a 1989 internal and confidential memo by Shell Oil Company are proving prophetic:
“…The potential refugee problem in GLOBAL MERCANTILISM could be unprecedented. Africans would push into Europe, Chinese into the Soviet Union, Latins into the United States, Indonesians into Australia. Boundaries would count for little – overwhelmed by the numbers. Conflicts would abound. Civilisation could prove a fragile thing.”
Since 1990, global CO2 emissions have increased by more than 60% and they continue their inexorable rise with 2024 marking the highest rate of increase since record-keeping began in 1958, driven by record wildfires:
“These latest results further confirm that we are moving into uncharted territory faster than ever as the rise continues to accelerate,” says Prof Ralph Keeling, who leads the measurement programme at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in the US.
Modern industrial civilization is entrapped in a Death Spiral characterized by denial, distrust, dogmatic thinking, flawed decision making, myopic single-minded focus on one ‘solution’, and self-reinforcing dysfunctional behavior. This has lead to a monumental gap between the elite and the masses, rise of authoritarianism, and rampant resource waste and depletion. We deny our way of life is unsustainable and carry on as if we are separate and superior to the environment that gave birth to us and which sustains us. We live and compete within a socioeconomic system which pits neighbor against neighbor and atomizes communities and families, dehumanizing individuals as consumers. Corporate media feeds us scripted narratives to manage and control the information we receive, thus creating an age of paranoia and distrust. Our political leaders are puppets of big-monied corporate interests which prioritize economic growth and profit over environmental and social concern. The fate of humanity rests in the hands of leaders who hide behind greenwashing and promise nothing more than delusional techno-fixes for growing existential threats. Are we not in the final stages of catabolic capitalism where society itself gets consumed and profit is extracted from scarcity, disaster, conflict, and crisis?
Interestingly, a new report says global GDP could be halved in the next half century with more than 4 billion deaths by mid century due to climate change:
…Sandy Trust, the lead author of the report, said there was no realistic plan in place to avoid this scenario.
He said economic predictions, which estimate that damages from global heating would be as low as 2% of global economic production for a 3C rise in global average surface temperature, were inaccurate and were blinding political leaders to the risks of their policies.
The climate risk assessments being used by financial institutions, politicians and civil servants to assess the economic effects of global heating were wrong, the report said, because they ignored the expected severe effects of climate change such as tipping points, sea temperature rises, migration and conflict as a result of global heating…
…If these risks were taken into account the world faced an increasing risk of “planetary insolvency”, where the Earth’s systems were so degraded that humans could no longer receive enough of the critical services they relied on to support societies and economies.
The decline in global human population this century will not be a smooth bell curve, but a precipitous vertical drop. How could there be any other outcome when we have deluded ourselves into thinking that living in megacities of concrete and steel, driving 3,000 pound exoskeletons over asphalt roads, and eating steaks exported from Brazil are all part of a natural and sustainable way of life?!? The apocalyptic hellscapes we see in places like Gaza and Syria are coming to all of the civilized world one day and very soon.



Pingback: Modern Civilization is Proving to be a Very Fragile Thing – The Free
If only the whole world would and could read this. A fabulous piece of factual writing, although quite foreboding. We seem to follow dystopian leaders over the cliff every…single…time. Though I suspect just part of the long cycle of nature’s evolution and renewal until the sun’s dying makes it final for one tiny speck in the universe.
LikeLiked by 1 person
I think I say the same thing every time you post, but the posts are far enough apart that its OK.
Brilliant as usual.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Thanks for working to bring this information together. I always look forward to your posts. By the time enough people really understand what is happening it will be too late. Of course, I think is is already too late; so, I should have said, much, much, much too late.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Note from Darbikrash (lives in California) who wrote some classic essays for this blog in the distant past…
Hi Mike,
Great to hear from you-another great post. I’ve managed to stay away from combustible sources so I’m OK.
I’ve been watching the Netflix series, American Primeval, a western historical drama showcasing the odd intersection of manifest destiny, the Mormon religion, and Native American culture in the 19th century. It is a fascinating take on this explosive combination of forces, and it reminds me that at our very core the white American has always been, and always will be an extremely violent, brutal, and destructive culture. When mixed with the ethos of the industrial revolution and the birth of capitalist exploitation, the resulting noxious brew is not surprisingly- not only capable of planet killing carnage- but very likely to try (and succeed).
The ideology of manifest destiny is far from dead, as is evident from the current proposals for imperialist land grabs and nativist aspirations. With Capital now fully ascendant we can expect the next four years to be violent and regressive on several fronts.
I read our current state of affairs as a veritable coup by the forces of Capital, the environment (and climate) are on the list of victims, but by no means the only casualties. The line of billionaires in Trump’s list of appointees (as you point out) should tell us everything we need to know about what has happened and what to expect next. Capital is front and center, they are tired of paying for indirect access and have now been afforded direct access to the levers of power- in fact they are now the de facto rulers. The tendency of the rate of profit to fall has been predicted for quite some time now, and it has in fact been happening- much to the alarm of Capital. Drastic measures are needed if Capital is to remain a viable force in the 21st century- the current trajectory is nearing the limit of global failure. To be sure, we will see the emergence of oligarchs, but the real play is to reverse the falling global rate of profit to keep the merry go round spinning-climate be damned.
Equilibrium can only be restored by imperialist land grabs, (look out Greenland) and brutal, regressive actions against labor, forcibly restoring Capital to a place of tyranny where it may once again count on a reliable, permanent underclass ready for unchallenged exploitation.
Best,
dk
LikeLiked by 1 person
“$kull”, simple & yet brilliant!
“Climate change is taking the gloves off“, No need to buy tickets to the death match Friday. Some of us already know who the winner is.
Do you want the good news or the bad news first? Wait! Stop! There is no good news.
LikeLike
you got to be seriously delusional to think NTHE won’t happen. It 100% will happen. Anyone saying otherwise is a moron or a liar.
LikeLike
“The times they are a changing” But the media is still in denial about the LA fires saying it is not climate change, has happened before and will happen again.
LikeLiked by 1 person
https://www.tuftsdaily.com/article/2025/01/california-wildfires-and-the-medias-blindspot
LikeLike
post on this website, in case if CoIC goes offline.
https://theendofindustrialcivilization.blogspot.com/?m=1
LikeLiked by 1 person
Seriously, most people are total morons. They actually believe technology will “fix” the world’s problems. They don’t realize the stuff they teach people in schools is just rubbish. What exactly do they “teach” people in schools? Just a whole bunch of bs. What exactly does our education system provide? It just produces dumbed-down slaves for the corporate-capitalist system to exploit. Duh.
I have not heard a single logical or coherent argument those idiots churn out. “Technology will fix the world’s problems”….blah, blah, blah. They keep on believing that NTHE won’t happen. They keep on believing in the technological progress myth. They keep on watching that shitty bs on television. They keep on buying those shitty consumer products. I look forward to NTHE destroying their sorry asses. They fucking deserve it. Those fucking sheeple deserve NTHE.
LikeLike
I’m just waiting to watch the entitled realize that they & their loved ones are on the NTHE list. All the deniers’ weeping & gnashing of teeth will be a great punchline.
LikeLike
I edited the story. It’s now 2,370 words. I think I’m done.
LikeLike
Just read your post again & I still have a sad.
How did xraymike get his handle? He can see beyond the surface.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Pingback: The Bulletin: January 23-29, 2024 – Olduvai.ca
Pingback: The Bulletin: May 29-June 4, 2025 – Olduvai.ca
I agree with everything the above article tells us except the bit where scientist William Rees places the blame on all of humanity for the mess we’re in. Many premodern human societies followed ways of life and thinking which inflicted far less damage on the biosphere. It is on that part of humanity which inherited the legacy of Homer and Abraham that most of the blame should be placed. Industrial giants like China today cannot be blamed, because they originally never wanted to adopt the modern industrial narrative. The very idea of trading in the way of life you’ve always followed for one prescribed by foreign barbarians would have struck the premodern Chinese as beyond ludicrous. Then why did the Chinese eventually adopt the modern industrial narrative? Because if they didn’t it would then have been easy for those who did to trample on them, as the British barbarians did during the 19th Century. Moral of the story: give credit where credit is due.
But I guess there’s not much point anymore in playing the blame game at this late juncture. Let’s just take my rant as the letting off of a bit of personal steam — and enjoy as far as we can those last moments before the Titanic finally goes under. (Sigh.)
LikeLiked by 1 person