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6th Mass Extinction, Antarctic Ice Melt, Anthropogenic Climate Change, Arctic Sea Ice Melt, Capitalism, Climate Change Denial, CO2 Emissions, Collapse of Industrial Civilization, Economic Hitman, Environmental Collapse, Intensified Hydrologic Cycle, Mangled Jet Stream, Noam Chomsky, Sea Level Rise, Sustainability, Techno-Fix, The Unsustainability of Mega-Cities, Warren Buffett
In a civilization gone mad with delusions of grandeur, we’re left with tatters of human sociability held together by rancid mythologies.
Despite human fossil fuel burning recently reported to be “flat”, CO2 levels have been on a tear for the last six months, reaching new worrying levels which have some wondering whether permafrost melt may be contributing to the unusually high spike if no decline happens soon. The giant holes in Siberia serve as an ominous sign. Considering that the current El Niño is contributing only 10% to what we are now seeing, runaway global warming may be accelerating worldwide. But don’t worry, Warren Buffett says climate change is no more of a problem than the Y2K bug and will be profitable through increased premiums and inflation.
Ever dire studies continue to reaffirm worst case scenarios, making clear to anyone paying attention that Earth in the next century will be unrecognizable from its current state. Basic planetary geography and atmospheric conditions will be altered through warming oceans and rising sea levels which are now increasing faster than at any time in the past 2800 years. On average, sea levels were between 50 and 82 feet higher the last time CO2 levels were at 400ppm. Glaciologist Jason Box expects ice melt from the West Antarctic to become the biggest contributor to sea level rise in the coming decades due to a feedback loop not in the climate models. CO2 levels have been increasing around 3ppm per year, a twentyfold increase since pre-industrial times when the highest recorded increase was 0.15 ppm per year. We’ve long since passed the tipping point of melting Arctic summer sea ice; 300-350 ppm of CO2 was the threshold for many parts of the climate. These changes are irreversible on a timescale of human civilizations. Even if all human industrial activity magically ceased today, the footprint man has already left will be felt for eons.
In our warming world, the hydrologic cycle is changing and creating extreme weather; crop-destroying droughts and floods are becoming more frequent. The Jet Stream is transforming into something different, becoming wavier with higher ridges and troughs prone to stagnating in the same region. As global temperatures rise over time, hotter air will be trapped under these layers of high pressure from a mangled Jet Stream, cooking everything to death. Rising winter temperatures are beginning to destroy the “winter chill” needed for many fruit and nut trees to properly blossom and produce maximally. Climate change is also disrupting flower pollination and pushing fish toward the North/South poles, robbing poorer countries at the equator of crucial food resources. In a new study, marine scientists are surprised to find a disturbing trend in the increasing numbers of a specific type of phytoplankton, coccolithophores, which have been “typically more abundant during Earth’s warm interglacial and high CO2 periods.”
Homo sapiens have only been on the planet for the equivalent of a few seconds in geologic time but have managed to overwhelm and foul up all of earth’s natural processes and interdependencies, leaving a distinct layer in the sedimentary record. There is nothing modern humans do that is truly sustainable. Here are a few glaring examples:
- Techno-fixes are built into the IPCC’s projections for maintaining a habitable planet for humans.
- Money megacities spend for adapting to climate change is linked more to protecting valuable capital than vulnerable people (Capitalism is doing an outstanding job of converting the planet into dead dollars.)
- Nuclear Power: “Even if there were no issues like meltdown or waste proliferation, the cost and time for planning, permitting, and constructing nuclear plants is prohibitive. The Arctic ice will already be gone.
- Japan prime minister: We came within a “paper-thin margin” of nuclear disaster and the evacuation of 50 million people in 2011
- Germany’s carbon dioxide emissions increased by an estimated 10 million tonnes from 2014 to 2015, in a blow to the country’s claims to climate leadership.
- New study published in the journal Environmental Pollution shows that urban soil can emit up to 72% as much CO2 as fossil fuels burned within a city and at a rate of up to twice that of rural soils.
- 90% of Indigenous in Brazil’s Amazon Suffer Mercury Poisoning: A new study shows that water and food sources for 19 Indigenous communities have been massively affected by illegal mining.
- Satellite images suggest tropical forests from the Amazon to the Philippines are disappearing at a far more rapid pace than previously thought, a University of Maryland team of forest researchers say.
- African elephants ‘killed faster than they are being born’
- Desertification in China is a major problem for Beijing, as the country’s deserts are growing, threatening environmental, economic, and political stability.
- The environment is now being destroyed by corporations in the name of green growth. Sham greenwashing projects are created, funded, and enforced by the IMF and World Bank.
- Unknown continental-scale process is dumping phosphorus into streams and lakes across the U.S.
- According to a new study, efforts to curtail world temps will almost surely fail: “A person living today uses about four times as much energy as a person did in the early 1900s.”
- Greenpeace says China increasing coal-fired capacity: “There is a very rapid and accelerating net increase in coal-fired generating capacity”
- UN envoy warns of environmental activist murder ‘epidemic’
- Remember this headline from 2013?: Arctic methane release could cost economy $60 trillion -study. Our response was to go on a fracking binge which increased our methane emissions by some 30%.
- While the resource intensity of GDP may be falling (less resources needed to produce 1$ worth of goods/services), the absolute decoupling of resource use, emissions, pollution, etc from GDP growth is the only thing that matters and that is not happening. If the world’s population continues to grow as projected and current lifestyles do not change, global resource consumption will increase anywhere from 2 to 5 times by 2050. It defies logic that a continually growing economy would be able to reduce its resource intensity down to near-zero to achieve a sustainable ecological footprint.
- According to recent research, even if we converted 100% of farmland to reforestation projects it would only lower temperatures 0.45C by the end of the century. Converting half of global farmland to reforestation would result in just a 0.25C drop. Other recent studies have come to the same conclusion:
No amount of reafforestation or growing of new trees will ultimately off-set continuing CO2 emissions due to environmental constraints on plant growth and the large amounts of remaining fossil fuel reserves,” Mackey says. “Unfortunately there is no option but to cut fossil fuel emissions deeply as about a third of the CO2 stays in the atmosphere for 2 to 20 millennia.
Relying on machines for answers to the existential problems of a species run amok with planet-destroying tools and weaponry is rather ironic and tragic. We’re locked-up inside a complexity trap of our own making. The human propensity for tool-building coupled with our discovery of fossil fuels has created a set of living arrangements in which we are now enslaved to those machines and tools. The globalized capitalist economy externalizes its destruction and atrocities, keeping the masses in a state of ignorance and denial. Our corporate overlords are not conscientious citizens, but mindless organizations whose sole purpose is to grow profits no matter the external damage done to society and the environment. Between the economic oil hitmen who ensure that profits flow smoothly and GOP politicians who openly espouse their science illiteracy, a hospitable climate for future humans seems remote. Hopeful delusions have given way to the stark reality of our predicament as scholars like Noam Chomsky who originally started his career fighting for a modicum of social justice have now set the bar at just the chance of human survival. Despite the best efforts of scientists, environmentalists, and activists, the wealthy countries most able to do something won’t “get it” until famine, disease, and war come to their country. All is being left for the almighty ‘free market’ to sort out at the same time that climate change, a conflict multiplier, ramps up.
The sixth mass extinction gathers steam and climate inertia works to catch up to the catastrophic ecological collapse already baked-in. All the while, modern man engages in the spectacle of tribal politics(building walls, exuding military strength, recapturing past glories of their nation) and presidential candidates discuss the size of their penis.
For those who come to understand modern man’s predicament, it can either be the ultimate mind fuck or an epiphany that helps a person appreciate the fragility of life, the urgency of living in the here and now, and the grand cosmic joke of a global, hi-tech civilization that arose from the burning of ancient fossil remains only to have those fumes become a deadly curse, extinguishing any trace of our lofty accomplishments…
The fossil record, Plotnick points out, is much more durable than any human record.
“As humanity has evolved, our methods of recording information have become ever more ephemeral,” he said. “Clay tablets last longer than books. And who today can read an 8-inch floppy?” he shrugged. “If we put everything on electronic media, will those records exist in a million years? The fossils will.”
– Link
The only result of Paris COP21 is speaking about so a great problem and giving some knowledge of it. The big default is speaking only about climate change, that’s only a consequence, not the cause of disaster. The real first problem is the monster population growth (80-90 million more every year! and a present total of over 7 billion) and economic growth, that’s a terrible pathology of the Earth.
In COP21: No speaking about this, no, but the note that we can’t touch economic growth!! And then: fixing a too-late limit to temperature-growth and not to greenhouse gas emission is a nonsense. If we want really reach some result, we must stop immediately any extraction and burning of fossil fuels and strongly limit transport and traffic of any kind.
What the beginning of any speech should be? Mankind experiment called “industrial civilization”, which aims to the indefinite growth of matter, has completely failed. Our task is to manage for an exit-transient traumatic as less as possible. But so was not…
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You got it right in one, Mike.
Brian
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Pingback: The Stark Realities of Baked-In Catastrophes | Collapse of Industrial Civilization – Enjeux énergies et environnement
Reblogged this on synthetic zero.
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“In a civilization gone mad with delusions of grandeur, we’re left with tatters of human sociability held together by rancid mythologies.”
Yes. We are insane. To realize that is the foundation and the key to recovering our sanity. But we are all in denial and refuse to recognize our insanity, even if it is staring us in the face. The important thing to realize about denial of this type is that it is almost entirely unconscious. Which is to say that the person in denial does not do so as a conscious strategy, but is truly unaware of the denial that is making it impossible for them to see the reality of their/our perilous situation.
As long as this unfortunate state of denial persists, the chances of our taking effective actions to save ourselves is near zero. We are blind to the dangerous situation unfolding around us. From ancient Greece and before wise individuals understood that the intoxication or spell of hubris or false pride had the effect of blinding us to reality. How to awaken folks from this toxic delusional state becomes the sine qua non if we would save our world and ourselves.
Usually some sort of shock is required to awaken those deep in the trance of denial. Various methods have been tried to shake sleepers from their dreamlike state. Two problems with this methodology present themselves relative to our present situation. Most systems meant to facilitate awakening (often called spiritual paths) depend on some degree of consent from those to be shocked in order to be effective. Shocks either from nature or other humans that are received without the consent of the one hit by them, are not often useful to any kind of sustained awakening. The second problem is one of scale; the number of people who need to be shocked into wakefulness is vast. Although not every member of society needs to awake in order for the society to initiate deep change, still a considerable number would seem to be necessary.
What we are left with in my opinion is finding a solution to this problem of a mass change in consciousness. Other solutions do not get to the root of our difficulties, which is that we are insane, or entranced if you prefer. For insane people to come up with valid answers to our crisis is totally unlikely. So we are stuck with a very knotty problem if we wish to survive. I see no other way but to join together in a creative effort to solve it. Like a Manhattan Project of the Mind eh? If that all seems crazy and impossible to you, look at the insane situation we are facing….
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The culture change and reduction in energy consumption that would have to take place would be too radical to be tolerated. It would mean a complete reconfiguration of global modes of production and consumption which would not be compatible with the capitalist profit-based system. This is why you always have climate change deniers saying it’s all a socialist conspiracy. I don’t see wealthy country’s giving up their lifestyle’s for the survival of Third World countries. Instead, we deliver “democracy” with bombs and then launch wars on terror.
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Those awakening to the real mess we are all in here on Earth are thrust into a really ironic situation. After all the effort and pain we went through to finally become open and clear about our desperate situation on Earth, we might think we have some reward coming for being so brave and devoted to truth etc. And we are presented with our reward. We are misunderstood and often ostracized by those we seek to share our hard-won knowledge with. The truth we found tells us on the one hand that we are honor bound to try to help fix the situation, but on the other hand there is not a prayer in hell we can do anything about it. Not even a “have a nice day” for all our trouble. It turns out the reward for facing the truth is more suffering, not less. So much for Buddha’s end of all suffering!
We understand better now Hamlet’s cry, “The time is out of joint; oh cursed spite that I was born to set it right!”
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“As you advance in social hierarchy, the percentage of smart people does not increase.” ~ McKenna’s Law
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It should be understood that any chance of our turning somehow from our fatal course is only the longest of long shots. And yet there is no absolute certainty about anything for us ignorant beings in this still profoundly mysterious universe. If some of us entertain hopeful scenarios, I hope the more rock hard doomers would manifest a little intellectual humility, and grant us a teeny space to dream. After all, if we are on a no exit journey to near term extinction, perhaps it is easier for some of us to bear the ride with a cat on our lap, or some hopeful tokens however uncertain their ultimate value. This does not immediately put us in the same category of NTE deniers – we just hang on to some wee exceptional clauses, just in case….
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By all means, if it tickles your fancy dream away. I do, for the sake of my health and sanity.
A quail is laying eggs in my backyard. The sunset this evening will be spectacular. Then at night I might hear the coyotes howl. I’m looking for a twisted acacia tree to plant on the side of my home. These are the things that bring me a bit of joy. But humans… they are a lost cause and there’s no shame in acknowledging that.
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I like your reply xraymike. We are pretty much on the same page, same book anyway. Sometimes I think having different mental compartments is a problem, but other times I appreciate how it allows me to take time off from serious matters, and just be involved in living in the beauty of the forest where my little home is. It wouldn’t be hard to go bat shit crazy if I obsessed over this end times stuff constantly.
But I also have a department that likes to keep up with our wild descent into greater madness, and I do appreciate your skillful job in keeping us up on the progress of the doomsday clock….
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It’s unlikely we survive. However I hold out hope for at least abandoning this corrosive deadening system before the climate collapses. This hope is based mostly out of a sentimental desire to personally believe the human spirit is more kind than filled with avarice.
I expect to be disappointed, but hope nonetheless.
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Pingback from PeakOil.com:

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Pingback from HowToSaveTheWorld:
Dave Pollard gives high praise to TD0S and quotes from his essays.
And…
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Outstanding blog, XRM. This entry is amazingly well-documented and I greatly appreciate all the links for further exploration. I’m soon to embark on my third consecutive summer escape from Austin, Texas, to the Pacific NW, and I’ve been giving a lot of thought to moving up yonder. Missoula, Boise, and Moscow-Pullman are the most likely targets. I’d be right pleased to be able to visit with you if I make it to your part of the world. I presume you can see my email address based on the fact that I need to leave it in order to post this, so if you’re open to discussing the vague possibility that we could meet then please holler in my direction. I’ve done some stays at farms via the WWOOFing scene, so I’m also open to a work-stay type of arrangement if you are at all involved in such things.
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Pingbacks from Reddit:
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Reblogged this on flying cuttlefish picayune and commented:
It is getting past the tipping point … but go back to sleep … and for God’s sake, don’t utter the word “conservation”!
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Reblogged and pingbacks galore. It’s a god damned Doomer love fest!
And BAU for the rest.
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You were never under the delusion that anything good would come of this, were you?
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Junk Food Is Bad For Plants, Too
How a steady diet of fertilizers has turned crops into couch potatoes.
http://nautil.us/issue/34/adaptation/junk-food-is-bad-for-plants-too
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Pingback from Carolyn Baker:
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I have become starkly clear that we no longer have a set of interlocking problems-to-be-solved. Rather we live within a predicament, which, by definition, is insoluble. My inner guidance tells me that the “Crunch”, TEOTWAWKI, or the Long Emergency, call it what you will, will occur sometime during 2017.
Side-by-side, I take comfort and action in this saying attributed to the French Existentialists: “Though all doors are marked No Exit, leap upon your steed and ride forth with a banner marked ‘Engaged!'”
In my view, this is the most exciting … and most dangerous … time in the history of our world. Further, each of us, all of us, chose to come to this planet at this time both to observe and to participate in the end of an era.
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Seems like we have entered the pit and the pendulum moment as the cryosphere apparently will break down as human temperature forcing proceeds apace.
One could imagine a quick sloughing off of hydrocarbon civilization, leaving a radiological and chlorinated hydrocarbon signature in the sedimentary layers.
Long then may live the dinosaurs (birds) and plants and animals.
I hope for the surviving species.
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Pingback: No planet for optimists: Coastal flooding may come sooner than we fear « Systemic Disorder
Pingback from Surviving Capitalism:

Cute editing…¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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xraymike79,
Great to see you back in the saddle again, fulfilling your duty as a very good citizen.
Warning is a civic duty required by the law (The 1.14% vs. The 100%).
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What do you guys think about Paul Beckwith’s idea?
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Climate chemotherapy would seem to be a last-gasp effort to save a dying civilization. Scientists say our warming of the planet is the equivalent of continually setting of four Hiroshima explosions every second. Countering that effect with actual subterranean nuke detonations would be the next logical reaction by an idiot savant techno-ape.
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“What do you guys think about Paul Beckwith’s idea?”
I understand his panic.
However, it is ignorant of the cause of the problem, therefore seeking to treat the effect rather than the cause.
Think justice.
We are deliberately being murdered (Oil-Qaeda & MOMCOM Conspire To Commit Depraved-Heart Murder – 5).
Oil-Qaeda needs to be imprisoned or executed and all of their assets used to fund clean energy endeavors.
Our lack of a future is no accident, it is deliberate depraved heart murder.
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I don’t know why people are so pessimistic.
In a hundred years time there will still be a few people of the human race following a hunter gathering or fossil energy free agrarian way of life. So what? Did North American indigenous people miss seeing the great barrier reef or the elephant? No, you can’t miss what you don’t know existed so neither will our descendants. Would they have classed themselves as unhappy? No, happiness is relative, our descendants will be just as happy as us. Will the Earth have any long term ill effects from our industrial age? No, in 10,000 years, which is merely a eye blink in geological time, any ill effects will be erased.
You just have to let go. Live in the moment because you cannot choose in what age you are born into. If you are feeling low about our predicament just pick up a flower and look at it. Isn’t it wonderful !
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Good thoughts Ed. I tried to stop the world so that I could get off. But it didn’t stop, so I have decided to try and enjoy the ride until it flips me off – like it does everybody in due time….
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It seems that many are using whatever coping mechanism is available to allow a free flow of dopamine and serotonin in their brains. Jesus and heaven work for human system death, why not Super Jesus and Super Heaven that can take in a whole planet to live happily in imaginary land forever and ever. I wonder how many other planets with their cancer ridden ecosystems will be there? As long as opioids are released in your brain, the details don’t really matter.
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It’s becoming more and more difficult to maintain optimism bias….
Humans are destroying the single largest living structure in the world that’s been around since the end of the last Ice Age: Comprehensive aerial survey reveals 93% of reefs that compose the Great Barrier Reef have been hit by coral bleaching caused by abnormally warm ocean temperatures
Evidence has been mounting that the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has been silencing its own bee scientists who have raised the alarm about the deadly impact that pesticides, particularly neonicotinoids, have on bees.
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http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-italy-oildrilling-idUKKCN0XE080
Here in Italy this morning many people are angry and disappointed cause the referendum didn’t reach the quorum. They are saying ” we need to lIve in a world without oil, we need to change !!!” twitting on their new iphones, while driving their new car , toward their offices heated by fossil fuels. LOL
PS. correct my mistakes, i know my english is terrible.
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Yep I agree, easy to say “we need to live in a world without fossil fuels, we need to change”. Unfortunately most people have no idea that what would mean. No cars, no flying on holiday and no food imported from far away.
On a practical note; while we transitioned to a no fossil fuel world, population reduction measures would have to be brought in so we could eventually feed ourselves. World wide enforcement measures would also have to be brought in to make sure every Nation adhered to it. Two pretty daunting tasks.
Name one political party who is advocating the outlaw of private vehicles and airplanes, introduce population reduction measures etc. Not one, not even the so called “Green party”. How many people would vote for such a party? Few.
However, and this is the most important point, the world WILL become fossil fuel free by the end of THIS century whether anyone likes it or not. We are setting ourselves up to make this transition as horrific as possible. It makes me feel very sorry for anyone being born today because they will be the ones who will suffer most.
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This is what they called “progress” ?
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In my corner of the planet, kids are rewarded not with blue ribbons for doing good but with rides in “Humbees”. St. Jude is letting sponsors sell $100 tickets for a mini-mansion few if any of the winners will need. Big trucks are racing off the sales lots. The Interstate highway is getting more lanes for toll customers. Park land is being cleared for ball fields. This is progress?
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Addiction is really a bitch to recover from – especially when you are addicted to damn near everything, as most of us modern folks are. Being in total denial doesn’t help either. The Amish try to live a simple lifestyle, but it ain’t easy.
It isn’t only individuals that die from addictions, the whole human culture is on the road to extinction, and unwilling to enter treatment….
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I’m surprised that no one has challenged me on my statement that all fossil fuels will be burnt by the end of this Century. After all, the vast majority of people believe that we have enough to last 100s of years at least. So here is my 1st order calculations for those who are interested.
Proven World reserves (2012): oil 1.3 x 10^12 barrels, gas 1.7 x 10^12 barrels of oil equivalent (boe), coal 4.3 x 10^12 boe (Total = 7.4 x 10^12 boe)
World energy consumption (2012) : 2.56 x 10^8 boe/day
Equals 79 years
(Assumptions 1) All our energy consumption is from fossil fuels and it remains constant over the years 2) no additional proven reserves are found 3) Net energy profit of extracting these fossil fuels remains constant)
So there you go. A very simplified calculation by keeping many variables at constant. We have 79 more years of fossil fuel left.
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Oh I forgot. Assumption 3) the World economy doesn’t collapse before we run out of fossil fuels. LOL
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If Guy McPherson is right there won’t be anyone around to burn anything after 2030 – we won’t be needed, Nature will be busy burning everything without us. Our contribution will be to have provided the conditions for the great planetary conflagration.
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I don’t know what these greens complaining about . They have free gas, they just need to go in to the river with an empty fuel tank and filled it up.
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In the beginning i thought it was a joke, it wasn’t…
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You are 9,520 times more likely to die from human extinction caused by fossil fuel pollution than by a terrorist (The 1.14% 1% vs. The 100% – 3).
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