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Alice Friedemann, Barbara Demick: Nothing to Envy. Ordinary Lives in North Korea, Collapse of Industrial Civilization, Cuba, Ecological Overshoot, Energy Descent, Financial Elite, Gross Inequality, Inverted Totalitarianism, North Korea, Peak Oil, The Elite 1%, unwashed public
Empires take what they want, first through diplomatic and economic pressure, then through the use of jackals and mercenaries, and finally with the shock and awe of military might dressed up with the appropriate propagandistic slogans of rescuing a resource-cursed country from its now out-of-favor dictator. ‘Regime change’ has become an acceptable TV euphemism for overthrowing governments. However, when those foreign oil taps start to run dry, important environmental regulations in the homeland get reinterpreted and scaled back in order to open up resources that once were thought of as undesirable. The elite systematically cannibalize their own societies while at the same time extracting massive profits by shredding the social safety net, criminalizing poverty and dissent, stripping away environmental protection, and gutting scientific research. In order to protect their ability to loot the commons, the elite circle believe it is more advantageous to keep the masses ignorant about the true extent of the planetary crisis their policies have created. If science gets in the way of “progress”, then it is summarily dismissed by outright denial, defunding, and deletion from public records as Apneaman points out:
…the gutting of Environment Canada by the Harper gang was an effective strategy in silencing scientists whose research was causing “sufficient embarrassment”. It was not violent, but they are just getting started. Then there are the non violent environmental protesters who are being sent to prison. Could you imagine that 20 years ago? Just getting started. As the benign dog points out, when the dollar hegemony slips even further it won’t be just the government and the rich looking to silence the critics. Does anyone one here really think people like the neo-cons are going to give up the reserve currency status without a fight?
For those countries who are located down low on the totem pole of energy wealth such as North Korea, the coffers of the State are filled by criminal activity of a more mundane variety such as drug smuggling and currency counterfeiting:
North Koreans began to produce meth in “big state-run labs.” The Los Angeles Times reports that narcotics investigators said the North Korean government controlled the production of meth and opium, as well as other drugs, in the 1990s in order to bring in “hard currency” for Kim Jong Il, the late North Korean leader. The government was engaging in the drug trade in order to save and improve its economic state as a nation. I do not by any means agree with the actions North Korean government chose to take. Instead of tending to its people’s health issues, it chose to spread life-threatening drugs throughout the world. In such a heavily government-dependent political system, the people have no hope to turn to a government official and ask for help. Individuals and families turned to the drug in times of desperation, leading to many North Koreans becoming fervent methamphetamine addicts. This situation is devastating and should not be overlooked. According to CNN, a majority — two-thirds to be exact — of the North Korean population has used methamphetamines. It is reportedly accessible in restaurants and has “become the drug of choice of high-ranking officials and the police.” http://www.centralfloridafuture.com/opinion/north-korea-s-meth-addiction-could-spell-disaster-for-us-1.2853884#.U0jHJyhRY20
It is no secret that North Korean diplomats and embassies are self-financing. In fact, they are profit earning and they must remit funds back to Pyongyang. While this means that DPRK diplomatic relations are not a drain on the treasury, as is typically the case with other countries, it does mean that the DPRK’s official representatives are more likely to make headlines for their business dealings rather than political statements. http://www.nkeconwatch.com/2009/11/22/dprk-diplos-arrested-for-smuggling-again/
Liu had been convicted of conspiracy and fraud involving millions of dollars made not by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing but by counterfeiting presses in a foreign country, presumably North Korea. The quality of these “supernote” forgeries is so high that he’d managed to pass enormous quantities through the electronic detection devices with which every Vegas slot machine is supposed to be equipped. The prosecutor was asking the judge to give him close to 25 years, and in the end Liu would receive more than 12. Liu’s crimes threatened not only the integrity of America’s currency but the very fabric of international peace. They were part of a vast criminal enterprise believed to be controlled by the North Korean state, set up and used to finance its nuclear-weapons and ballistic-missile programs. All of this, intelligence analysts say, is coordinated by a secret agency inside the North Korean government controlled directly by “the Dear Leader,” Kim Jong Il, himself. The agency is known as Office 39. (Given the opacity of anything inside North Korea, experts differ on whether “Office” should be “Bureau” or even “Room”—and they also suspect that the number itself may change.) http://www.vanityfair.com/politics/features/2009/09/office-39-200909
Cuba and North Korea are two interesting examples of countries that are both energy poor but also very different on the sociopolitical spectrum. Cuba appears to be closer to an ideal model for how energy descent should be handled, and North Korea is a much more frightening view of how things are run by a tiny, coddled elite. What follows is a review by Alice Friedemann of “Nothing to Envy. Ordinary lives in North Korea” written by Barbara Demick…
North Korea and Cuba were the first countries to lose oil, the lifeblood of civilization. Since we will all share that fate, it’s interesting to see what happened, though keep in mind that how severe the consequences are will depend on the carrying capacity of the region you’re in, how much civil order can be maintained, and the effectiveness of the leaders in power (i.e. see “Lessons Learned from How Cuba Survived Peak Oil” that compares California to Cuba).
There are enormous differences between the fates of Cuba and North Korea. Cuba had many advantages — a benign climate with year-round rainfall where three crops a year could be grown, a culture of helping one another out, and Castro prevented middlemen and speculators from charging astronomical amounts for food. For a detailed understanding of what happened in Cuba read this Oxfam analysis.
North Korea couldn’t be more opposite – a cold mountainous nation with only 15% of its land arable, and dictators so crazy and cruel they’re almost unmatched in history. North Korea might be the only nation with more prisoners per capita than America. There are many kinds of prisons, from detention centers to hard-labor camps, to gulags where your children, cousins, brothers, sisters, and parents would also be sent to for a crime you committed for generations to come. About 1% of the population– 200,000 people –permanently work in labor camps. The threat of these prisons has made it impossible for organized resistance to happen.
It’s hard to escape, and if you do, then your relatives end up in labor camps. Other nations aren’t keen on refugees – South Korea fears a collapse of North Korea and being overrun by 23 million people seeking food and shelter, and China has their own problems with 1.2 billion poor people.
The consequences of peak energy in North Korea are worse than what’s likely to happen initially in America, though some regions of the United States are likely to suffer more than others. On the other hand, when times get hard, group-oriented cultures that depend on a large network of people tend to do better than highly individualist cultures, which is as you can learn more about in Dmitry Orlov’s Post-Soviet Lessons for a Post-American Century.
The only good aspect I could find about North Korea was that the women there are less repressed than in the past. A century ago Korean women were so completely covered in clothing that the Taliban would find no faults. In one village north of Pyongyang women wore 7 foot long, 5 feet broad and 3 feet deep wicker hat constructions that kept women hidden from head to toe. Perhaps even more than Muslim women, Korean women were imprisoned in family compounds and could only leave at special times when the streets were cleared of men. One historian said that Korean women were “very rigidly secluded, perhaps more absolutely than women of any other nation”.
After the Korean War ended, North Korea lost most of its infrastructure and 70% of its housing. It was amazing that Kim Il-sung managed to create a Spartan economy where most were sheltered and clothed, had electricity, and few were illiterate. Grain and other foods were distributed as well. In autumn each family got about 150 pounds of cabbage per person to make kimchi, which was stored in tall earthen jars buried in the garden so they would stay cold but not freeze and hidden from thieves.
North Korea became utterly dependent on the kindness of other countries for oil, food, fertilizer, vehicles, and so on.
What happens when the oil stops flowing?
In the early 1990s North Korea suffered a double blow at a time when they were $10 billion in debt. China wanted cash up front for fuel and food while at the same time the Soviet Union demanded the much higher price of what oil was selling for on world markets.
The nation spun into a crash. Without oil and raw materials the factories shut down. With no exports, there was no money to buy fuel and food with. Electric plants shut, irrigation systems stopped running, and coal couldn’t be mined. The results were:
- Power stations and the electric grid rusted beyond fixing
- The lights went out.
- Running water stopped so most went to a public pump to get water
- Electric trams operated infrequently
- People climbed utility poles to steal pieces of copper wire to barter for food
- There were few motor vehicles
- And few tractors, farming was done with oxen dragging plows
Hunger struck, which made people too exhausted to work long at the few factories and farms that were still surviving.
Oil is liquid muscle. One barrel of crude oil (42-gallons) has 1,700 kilowatts of energy. It would take a fit human adult laboring more than 10 years to equal one barrel of oil.
Perhaps this is why many nations have had no choice but to rely on muscle power after an economic crash or during a war, which means putting many people to work on farms. After the energy crisis, North Koreans over 11 were sent out to the country to plant rice, haul soil, spray pesticides, and weed. This was called “volunteer work”. Now that they couldn’t afford to buy fertilizer, every family was expected to provide a human bucketful of excrement to a warehouse miles away. The bucket was exchanged for a chit that could be traded for food.
Like Mao’s crazy schemes, North Korea’s dictators lurched from one mad idea to another — one day it was goat breeding, the next ostrich farms, or switching from rice to potatoes.
Food staples were grown on collective farms, and the state took the harvest and redistributed it. The farmers weren’t given enough to survive on, so they slacked on their collective fields to grow food to survive on, making the food crisis even worse. In the end, it was people in cities with no land to grow their own food on who ended up starving first. Every year, rationed amounts of food went down.
People were told the United States was at fault, and propaganda campaigns encouraged Koreans to think of themselves as tough, and that enduring hunger without complaint was a patriotic duty, and kept everyone’s hopes up by promising bumper crops in the coming harvest. The Koreans deceived themselves like the German Jews in the 1930s, and told themselves it couldn’t get any worse, things would get better. But they didn’t.
Worse yet, instead of spending money on agriculture, the defense budget sucked up a quarter of the GNP. One million men out of 23 million people were kept in arms – the 4th largest military in the world.
The only place to get food became the illegal black market, where prices were terribly high, sometimes 250 times higher than what the state used to sell food for.
Natural disasters made harvests even worse – in 1994 and 1995 Korea was struck with an extremely cold winter and torrential rains in the summer that destroyed the homes of 500,000 people and rice crops for 5.2 million people.
People began picking weeds and wild grasses to stretch out meals, as well as leaves, husks, stems, and the cobs of corn. Children can’t digest food this rough and could end up in a hospital, where doctors advised the rough material be ground up fine and cooked a long time. It wasn’t long before malnutrition led to increasing numbers of people with pellagra and other diseases. Hospitals soon ran out drugs and other supplies.
Who died?
The rest of the article is at:
http://energyskeptic.com/2014/book-review-of-nothing-to-envy-ordinary-lives-in-north-korea/
Just discovered this website tonight. Well worth your time to read…
Mark Ames vs Amy Goodman and Glenn Greenwald on USAID
http://ohtarzie.wordpress.com/2014/04/11/mark-ames-vs-glenn-greenwald-and-amy-goodman-on-usaid/
From the about section of the site called The Rancid Honeytrap:
“I write mostly political stuff here. My main interest is in the self-subjugation of Americans to control by a predatory oligarchy, a capitulation which has no peer in the developed world. Within that realm, I am most interested in the intellectual policing and obstructionism at the margins by public liberals and lefts.”
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Mike,
Thanks for pointing out this site. I’ve just been swept up in what issues it focuses on for a couple of hours now.
An actual place that questions Amy Goodman, Glen Greenwald Noam Chomsky and others. Especially enjoyed how the death/suicide/murder of Aaron Swartz It’s a great complement to COIC.
I enjoy that the blogger is interacting with the commentators throughout. I wonder if he has to delete any postings or the discourse is always this sane and respectful.
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A few important points about Korea.
Korea was an independent nation when invaded by Japan between 1905 and 1910 (the Japanese having beaten the Russians and established Japan as the premier industrial power in the region), and the Japanese brutally put down all Korean resistance. Korean women were subjected to all sorts of abuse, leading to the Koreans learning very quickly to make their young women look as ugly as possible and keep them out of sight as much as possible – a very different interpretation from that given.
Nevertheless, the Japanese managed to acquire thousands (tens of thousands?) of young Korean woman to serve as sex-slaves for the Japanese army, which progressively subjugated much of Asia through the 1930s and early 1940s. The failure of the Japanese government to acknowledge this and its refusal to pay any compensation remains a thorn in the side of Korean-Japanese relations to this day. But as is the case with all such matters, the Japanese know that if they prevaricate long enough the surviving women will all die and the problem will ‘disappear’.
During the closing months of WW2 the Korean people looked forward to finally being free of imperialism and started to set up their own government, which had a socialist leaning. A socialist government did not suit the Americans at all, and they quickly rushed troops to Korea to destabilise the newly elected government and install a hard-line capitalist puppet regime, and also used ‘conquered’ Japanese troops as oppressors of the Korean people (very much as happened in Italy and Greece in the closing months of the European sector of WW2, where the British and Americans used German troops to repress the local populaces and prevent them setting up socialist governments.) .
The Koreans rallied to the flag and very nearly pushed the American forces into the sea, American air power saving the day at the last minute.
The US then manipulated the UN into starting a war to impose capitalism on the entire country, dragging the usual suspects -Britain, Australia, NZ, Canada etc. into the foray. As the Korean forces position deteriorated under the onslaught of western advanced weaponry, the Chinese and Russians got dragged into the foray, resulting in a stalemate. The Koreans refused to accept a divided nation and refused to come to any settlement. So Korea remains a war zone, with few actual hostilities most of the time, but a deep-seated mistrust of both Japan and the US amongst most Korean people.
(All very much like Vietnam, of course.)
Since North Korea does not operate a Rothschild-controlled banking system, and does not allow global corporations free reign to do whatever they want, it very much suits the US government to label North Korea a rogue state and tell Americans they are about to be targeted by long-range Korean missiles. The one thing Korea has in its favour is small arsenal of nuclear weapons, Otherwise it would have met the same fate as Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya etc.
As George Carlin told us so many times: “It’s all bullshit, folks. And it’s bad for you.” And: “Never believe a word the government tells you.”
I]m sure it is quite true that there has been oppression of the Korean people living north of the ‘demilitarised zone. All totalitarian regimes repress. However, it suits the western powers that be to exaggerate the abuses of the people by the totalitarian dictators, and to exaggerate the threat they pose to the rest of the world.
What is interesting about Korea north of the border is how clean and tidy the urban regions are compared to most other parts of the world these days. Not cluttered with gaudy corporate advertising and discarded fast food wrappers, it almost looks appealing.
The matter of the oil crisis bear further discussion. As many of us of us know, the US was whittling away at the USSR for decades, pouring money and weapons into Afghanistan via Obama bin Laden-Al Qaida connection, and other activities to bring down the Soviet regime so that western oil companies could get their hands on the giant Russian oil and gas fields. Gorbachev naively trusted American reassurances and before long the USSR had fallen apart, allowing looters and speculators to make a killing, and at the same time knocking back Russian oil extraction considerably, resulting in lack of subsidised oil to nations previously friendly to the USSR.
North Korea found itself not only hit by a sudden increase in the cost of oil to run tractors and a much diminished supply, but also a series of environmental catastrophes which almost wiped out several harvests, leading to severe undernourishment and starvation.
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Concerning Korean comfort women and Japan…
…it should be pointed out that in the Korean history of women’s enforced sexual labor, imperial Japan was not the first foreign nation to take advantage of its superior political power position in the exploitation of Korean women’s sexual labor. More than 700 years ago, when the Koryo Dynasty (918-1392) on the Korean peninsula came under the Mongols’ domination at the end of a thirty-year warfare (during which about half of a million women and children were taken by the Mongolian army), the Korean state was forced to round up young females and send them as kongnyo (literally, “tribute women”) to the Mongols of the Yuan dynasty (1271-1368) for over eighty years. The tribute women were the Mongol’s version of the comfort women. The Chinese demand for Korean kongnyo did not stop with the demise of both Koryo and Yuan dynasties. The state of Choson Dynasty (1392-1910) continued to recruit and offer kongnyo to China’s Ming dynasty (1368-1662) until around 1521.
In the seventeenth century, when the Manchus vanquished Ming and came to power, the Korean nation suffered two Manchu invasions in 1627 and 1636, and hundreds of thousands of Koreans were forcibly taken to China. When some of the captured women returned home, they were regarded as defiled women and rejected even by their families. Many of the returnee women hanged themselves, and it is said that their corpses littered the streets. The term hwanhyangnyo (literally, a home-coming woman, referring to the returnee women from China) degenerated into hwanyangnyon (a promiscuous woman, or a slut), to be despised and ill-treated.
The painful prejudice and ostracization that Korean returnee women suffered more than three centuries ago still resonate deeply in the psychological fear of social stigmatization that comfort women survivors have experienced in their postwar lives in contemporary Korean society. To understand the centuries-old pattern of societal rejection of survivors of forced sexual labor, we need to consider the systemic binary division of women according to normative functions of their sexuality in the history of Korean patriarchy. The majority of women, who were socialized to be obedient wives and selflessly devoted mothers, was taught to regard virginity to be more precious than life itself, while a small number of women was trained to entertain men professionally, offering bodily services for sexual recreation.
From the social structural perspective of Korean history, state institutions in charge of women’s public sexual labor and commercial sexual service strategically exploited lower-class females’ sexuality for heterosexual men’s entertainment and sexual recreation.
https://muse.jhu.edu/login?auth=0&type=summary&url=/journals/journal_of_womens_history/v015/15.4soh.html
The point is that women in Korea prior to Japan were oppressed and traditionally treated as inferior to men.
Concerning Korea immediately following WWII…
Chapter 5 of Killing Hope: US Military and CIA Interventions Since World War II (Common Courage Press, 1995)
…The war, and a brutal one it was indeed, was fought ostensibly in defense of the Syngman Rhee regime. Outside of books published by various South Korean governments, it is rather difficult to find a kind word for the man the United States brought back to Korea in 1945 after decades of exile in America during the Japanese occupation of his country. Flown into Korea in one of MacArthur’s airplanes, Rhee was soon maneuvered into a position of prominence and authority by the US Army Military Government in Korea (USAMGIK). In the process, American officials had to suppress a provisional government, the Korean People’s Republic, that was the outgrowth of a number of regional governing committees set up by prominent Koreans and which had already begun to carry out administrative tasks, such as food distribution and keeping order. The KPR’s offer of its services to the arriving Americans was dismissed out of hand.
Despite its communist-sounding name, the KPR included a number of conservatives; indeed, Rhee himself had been given the leading position of chairman. Rhee and the other conservatives, most of whom were still abroad when chosen, perhaps did not welcome the honor because the KPR, on balance, was probably too leftist for their tastes, as it was for the higher echelons of the USAMGIK. But after 35 years under the Japanese, any group or government set up to undo the effects of colonialism had to have a revolutionary tinge to it. It was the conservatives in Korea who had collaborated with the Japanese; leftists and other nationalists who had struggled against them; the make-up of the KPR necessarily reflected this, and it was reportedly more popular than any other political grouping. {19}
Whatever the political leanings or intentions of the KPR, by denying it any “authority, status or form”, {20} the USAMGIK was regulating Korean political life as if the country were a defeated enemy and not a friendly state liberated from a common foe and with a right to independence and self-determination.
The significance of shunting aside the KPR went beyond this. John Gunther, hardly a radical, summed up the situation this way: “So the first-and best-chance for building a united Korea was tossed away”. {21} And Alfred Crofts, a member of the American military government at the time, has written that “A potential unifying agency became thus one of the fifty-four splinter groups in South Korean political life”. {22}
Syngman Rhee would be Washington’s man: eminently pro-American, strongly anti-Communist, sufficiently controllable. His regime was one in which landlords, collaborators, the wealthy, and other conservative elements readily found a home. Crofts has pointed out that “Before the American landings, a political Right, associated in popular thought with colonial rule, could not exist; but shortly afterward we were to foster at least three conservative factions”. {23}
Committed to establishing free enterprise, the USAMGIK sold off vast amounts of confiscated Japanese property, homes, businesses, industrial raw materials and other valuables. Those who could most afford to purchase these assets were collaborators who had grown rich under the Japanese, and other profiteers. “With half the wealth of the nation ‘up for grabs’, demoralization was rapid”. {24}
While the Russians did a thorough house-cleaning of Koreans in the North who had collaborated with the Japanese, the American military government in the South allowed many collaborators, and at first even the Japanese themselves, to retain positions of administration and authority, much to the consternation of those Koreans who had fought against the Japanese occupation of their country. To some extent, these people may have been retained in office because they were the most experienced at keeping the country running. Another reason has been suggested: to prevent the Korean People’s Republic from assuming a measure of power. {25}
And while the North soon implemented widespread and effective land reform and at least formal equality for women, the Rhee regime remained hostile to these ideals. Two years later, it enacted a land reform measure, but this applied only to former Japanese property. A 1949 law to cover other holdings was not enforced at all, and the abuse of land tenants continued in both old and new forms. {26}
Public resentment against the US/Rhee administration was aroused because of these policies as well as because of the suppression of the KPR and some very questionable elections. So reluctant was Rhee to allow an honest election, that by early 1950 he had become enough of an embarrassment to the United States for Washington officials to threaten to cut off aid if he failed to do so and also improve the state of civil liberties. Apparently because of this pressure, the elections held on May 30 were fair enough to allow “moderate” elements to participate, and, as mentioned earlier, the Rhee government was decisively repudiated. {27}
The resentment was manifested in the form of frequent rebellions, including some guerrilla warfare in the hills, from 1946 to the beginning of the war, and even during the war. The rebellions were dismissed by the government as “communist-inspired” and repressed accordingly, but, as John Gunther observed, “It can be safely said that in the eyes of Hodge [the commander of US forces in Korea] and Rhee, particularly at the beginning, almost any Korean not an extreme rightist was a communist and potential traitor”. {28}
General Hodge evidently permitted US troops to take part in the repression. Mark Gayn, a correspondent in Korea for the Chicago Sun, wrote that American soldiers “fired on crowds, conducted mass arrests, combed the hills for suspects, and organized posses of Korean rightists, constabulary and police for mass raids”. {29} Gayn related that one of Hodge’s political advisers assured him (Gayn) that Rhee was not a fascist: “He is two centuries before fascism – a pure Bourbon”. {30}
Describing the government’s anti-guerrilla campaign in 1948, pro-Western political scientist John Kie-Chiang Oh of Marquette University has written: “In these campaigns, the civil liberties of countless persons were often ignored. Frequently, hapless villagers, suspected of aiding the guerrillas, were summarily executed.” {31} A year later, when a committee of the National Assembly launched an investigation of collaborators, Rhee had his police raid the Assembly: 22 people were arrested, of whom sixteen were later found to have suffered either broken ribs, skull injuries or broken eardrums. {32}
At the time of the outbreak of war in June 1950, there were an estimated 14,000 political prisoners in South Korean jails. {33}
Even during the height of the war, in February 1951, reported Professor Oh, there was the “Koch’ang Incident”, again involving suspicion of aiding guerrillas, “in which about six hundred men and women, young and old, were herded into a narrow valley and mowed down with machine guns by a South Korean army unit”. {34}…
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Thanks for this article Mike (and the link to another good one at the top): the historical situation may be slightly different (according to Kevin), but the gist of the situation remains clear – the cannibalization of the environment and the economy to keep the elite enjoying life while everyone else suffers and dies (apparently voluntarily – since we go along with this shit)!
On a related note, over at seemorerocks this morning there are a lot of articles concerning the global economic shifts happening now. These will only accelerate the demise of the petro-dollar and result in the desperate US having to “do something” which won’t be effective or helpful.
i’ll comment more later. Just one for now (from Desdemona Despair):
http://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/foodpricesindex/en/
World Food Situation
FAO Food Price Index
The FAO Food Price Index is a measure of the monthly change in international prices of a basket of food commodities. It consists of the average of five commodity group price indices, weighted with the average export shares of each of the groups for 2002-2004.
FAO Food Price Index rose sharply for a second consecutive month
The FAO Food Price Index averaged 212.8 points in March 2014, up 4.8 points, or 2.3 percent, from February and the highest level since May 2013. Last month’s increase was largely driven by unfavourable weather conditions affecting some crops and geopolitical tensions in the Black Sea region. Overall, except for the FAO Dairy Price Index, which fell for the first time in four months, all the other commodity price indices registered gains, with sugar and cereals increasing the most.
[read the breakdown]
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ok, one more
http://theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com/2014/04/12/pacific-ring-of-fire-becoming-increasingly-more-active/
Pacific Ring of Fire becoming increasingly more active
April 2014 – GEOLOGY – The season of hyper seismicity which I warned would unfold across the globe from March 15 to April 12 continues in earnest with a dazzling display of increased seismic events erupting along the peripheral boundaries of the Pacific Plate in the Ring of Fire. This latest burst of seismic activity reflects dramatic, intense changes occurring deep within the interior of the planet as gradient pressures become increasingly more erratic. Powerful churning forces generated from gradient fluctuations, which boil magma, awaken dormant volcanoes, perturb dormant fault systems, and incinerate massive slabs of rock continue to build deep below the planet’s surface. The increased risks from some of these cataclysmic forces are seen in the latest round of large tremors striking the globe which are occurring at depths greater than what is normally observed with most recent large earthquakes. Chile’s 8.2 earthquake occurred at a depth of 20 km, and the 7.7 magnitude earthquake which followed erupted much deeper at a depth of 31 km. The 7.1 magnitude earthquake which struck Papua New Guinea on April 11 occurred at a depth of 50 km and the 6.6 which struck Nicaragua on the same day was recorded at a depth of 138 km.
Subduction zone earthquakes have a tendency to occur at greater depths than other earthquakes, so are we just seeing more of them? The USGS even recorded a faint 2.5 magnitude earthquake 38km NNW of Ester, Alaska on April 11 at a depth of more than 99 km below the surface. Similarly, on April 11, a 4.1 magnitude earthquake struck 49km E of Farkhar, Afghanistan at more than 203 km underground and a 4.1 magnitude earthquake struck 173km NE of Lambasa, Fiji that was more than 452 km underground. Why are even such small tremors occurring now so deep underground? These forces will continue to unsettle the broken patchwork of tectonic plates which make up Earth’s lithosphere and that consequently will foster more geological activity across the planet – particularly in subduction zones where huge slabs of rock are being violently pressed down under the weight of another. Stress in building on the Pacific Plate, as a series of powerful earthquakes ripple back and forth along the peripheral plate boundary- from Chile to Papua New Guinea back to Nicaragua. People living in high-risk seismic hazard zones should remain alert for the potential occurrence of large-scale seismic events.
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Thank you xraymike for all you do and are. I feel you are a kindred spirit. Here’s what I mean — When I was I Hawaii in the sixties, a friend and I were sitting talking, when apropos of nothing in particular he said, “Mike, you are the kind of guy who is going to keep digging into the truth, no matter whose mind it blows, including your own.” I didn’t need to think to respond, “You are right.” He had nailed the deepest theme running through my life, with all the disturbing implications it had for me. I was in love with something that would not let me go, and guaranteed I would be wrestling with it and trying to understand it for the rest of my life. I was hooked on the quest for truth, whatever the consequences. And so it has continued to be…. I salute your unflinching gaze into the dark depths of reality, and join hands with your similarly committed fellow commenter’s in our search into the depths of our impossible problems, and our seeking for correspondingly impossible solutions.
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HORRORS OF NORTH KOREA: Desperate North Korean women vulnerable to human traffickers
3-23-2014
A 21-year-old North Korean woman was given a choice in 1998: defect to China and face a life of sex slavery or remain in her homeland and risk starving to death.
The woman’s father had died of malnutrition, so she accepted the defection offer from an elderly broker in a market.
Food shortages remain in North Korea, but the low status of women in the country is a problem more deeply ingrained. According to a U.N. report, this low social status is one reason why North Korean women have become easy targets of human traffickers.
The woman said she was aware she would be sold to a Chinese man, but at least she would be alive.
After defecting, she married a Chinese man of Korean descent in Heilongjiang province in northeastern China. In his community alone, about 10 North Korean defectors were living as wives of Chinese men.
A broker had raped and impregnated one of the women. She was later forced to have an abortion at the house that had bought her.
Many women will risk public execution in their determination to leave North Korea, where Confucianism is strong, the system of patriarchy remains, and the status of women is low. The human traffickers make a lucrative living by exploiting the women’s desperation.
A female defector in her 50s, who is currently living in Tokyo, said, “My broker threatened me, saying, ‘Even if you escape in China, you cannot communicate (with Chinese people).’”
Four years after she was sold in China, the woman’s daughter, who had earlier defected to the country, “bought back” her mother for 2,000 yuan (about 33,000 yen, or $323). That transaction enabled the woman to flee to Japan.
In North Korea, people are not allowed to relocate. Families often depend on women as the bread-winners, and it is said that most of the people engaged in black market businesses are women.
Yet, many North Korean women say they are victims of domestic abuse, and that their husbands order them to do family chores, take care of their parents and procure food. The women generally have a low impression about marriage, according to defectors.
North Korea’s former leader, Kim Jong Il, made known his thoughts on a woman’s place in society, saying that families will collapse if “female birds chirp.” Among his instructions to women were that they wear skirts.
Lee Ji Young, a 37-year-old North Korean woman who had defected and married an ethnic Korean man in China, was arrested by Chinese authorities five years ago. She was deported to North Korea, where she was given a five-year sentence of hard labor for re-education purposes.
In prison, Lee met other women with similar experiences.
One of them was sold in China and prohibited from leaving the house until she became pregnant at the age of 18, according to Lee. Two months after giving birth, the young woman was deported to North Korea where she was beaten with a scourge. Her physical health deteriorated.
Lee also heard that North Korean authorities forced another woman to have an abortion because she had been impregnated in China. She died during the procedure.
Lee was released from prison after her sentence was reduced. She again defected from North Korea and is now living in South Korea.
Although she still suffers from aftereffects of the abuse of prison life, Lee is trying to think positive.
“I want to work for the improvement of human rights of women in North Korea if North Korea and South Korea become unified,” she said.
(This article is part of a series based on interviews of 60 North Korean defectors by The Asahi Shimbun and The Dong-A Ilbo of South Korea.)
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This truth quest resembles the classic description of what it is to seriously work on a zen koan. It’s like trying to swallow a red hot iron ball and having it stuck in your throat — you can’t get it down, and you can’t spit it out…
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We can find truth in history and make projections about the future based on current conditions, but we cannot be completely certain as to make assertions that humans will become 100% extinct anytime soon. Just as Garrett admitted in his talk, something is missing in his projections and he really doesn’t know what. We can only live and learn and as far as industrial civilization is concerned, we’re all just bystanders making observations.
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There is no certainty. There are probabilities, but they are not certainties. The modern discovery of this frees us from so any authorities, dogmas, suppositions taken as facts. It launches us on the adventure of endless discovery…. There is truth, but not certainty. Of that I am almost certain! lol
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The lengthy and increasingly profound meditation that this site invokes involves dangers for the wayfarer that increase with the depth and openness with which one enters into it. It were best to be aware of this, and develop some supports and refuges from the process as needed. Remember Icarus on his ill fated flight. Daedalus succeeded in slaying the Minotaur in its deep cavern, and survived by following the thread attached to the daylight world. (Maybe a hint about the silver cord that connects the astral traveler back to his body?) At any rate one should be awake to the dangers inherent in dwelling at length on the deeper mysteries of our cosmic destiny. Depression and despair are obvious and undesirable outcomes. There are others I won’t go into – drugs, delusions, cultic activities…. Caveat emptor.
Be safe (as possible) in your explorations. Know when to take a time out, or a longer vacation from these collapsarian concerns.
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Thanks for the eloquent reminder. I’m off to the mountains of Sedona for some meditation.
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True. Reminders really are helpful and appreciated. Despair is always lurking and probing.
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I came across this: “hopelessness does not mean despair, but simply a loss of interest in manufacturing further expectations.”
The Heart of the Buddha, by Chôgam Trungpa
(I have not read the book, but I might.)
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‘will almost certainly’ is one of the most useful phrases in the English language, and is a far better phrase than the ubiquitous ‘could’, which covers probability in the range 0.0000001% to about 50%. I could by a lottery ticket and win a million dollars but the probability is so low I won’t bother to buy a ticket.
On the other hand I am willing to bet my house that the average CO2 content of the atmosphere will be higher next year than this year. The probability of that not being true is so low it equates to zero. Under such circumstance I am willing to say the CO2 content of the atmosphere will be higher next year, and than in 2015 humanity will be in a somewhat worse predicament than this year.
. .
.
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I have never understood the effort arguing and/or worrying about NTE. There are horrors on the way that are biblical. This is unavoidable and the only questions are, how fast? and who first? People are already dieing here in rich fat North America. We have been documenting and discussing this here for some time. When a formerly employed working person kills themselves because they have not been able to get another job in the last 5 years, that person is a victim of a dieing society. People are being poisoned at an ever increasing rate to try and keep the system going. There is too much to list. Every measure of a healthy society is decreasing. Every measure of a sick society is increasing. Does anyone have any good news?
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Ideas for future posts. I’ll start up again in a few days.
Hans in South America promises me he’ll post the peak oil articles soon.
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Finally did hear some birds yesterday, so we probably won’t all die this year. Yay!
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popular myth has it that we are all going to be nice to each other as oil goes into severe depletion and non-existence
This article illustrates exactly what will happen.
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Apneaman asks: ‘Does anyone have any good news?’
Mike is still running this site and is still putting a lot of thought and energy into it..
I have not been shot or run over.
I had a good crop of almonds tis season, so pollinators are still plentiful around here.
The North Island drought has broken (though it probably would have been better in the long run if the drought had continued because only severe drought seems to be the only thing that will quickly bring down industrialied agricultural system.).
Matters are coming to a head with respect to the European gas situation and US dollar hegemony and arbitrage.
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Devastating Bat-Killing Disease Spreads From Eastern U.S. to Midwest States
http://ecowatch.com/2014/04/12/bat-killing-disease-spreads-to-midwest/?utm_content=bufferc4437&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
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If I was a bookie making a line on civ collapse, I would first have to define what would constitute a winning bet. That would depend on naming a point in time and precise data independently available that spelled collapse. Let’s say 30 years from today at least half of the number humans alive on earth today are dead. We could stipulate UN statistics or some independent source. We could make book on lesser or greater numbers of deaths, and also on various deadlines for that to happen.
If you were seriously tasked to do this, how would you make your estimates? Not easy eh? How far off do you think your estimates would be? Would an exercise like this give you a feel for where you lie on a pessimism/optimism scale? Would it perhaps put you in touch with whatever degree of uncertainty hovers over this whole collapse scenario? Do you hesitate to venture such estimates? Why? Are you really clear what collapse means to you? The NTE folks have a very precise definition: human extinction. Only the timeline is in question for them.
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The Baltic Dry Index is considered a proxy for globalised economic activity . When it keeps falling and never shows any sign of recovery we can say the game is over economically.
Small groups of people in favourable locations may maintain well-above-average living standards for quite a while after most die of starvation/disease/heat exhaustion etc. Collapse comes one person at a time, one family at a time, one district at a time.one region at a time.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-04-11/shipbuilding-orders-evaporate-baltic-dry-collapses
Shipbuilding Orders Evaporate As Baltic Dry Collapses
Tyler Durden’s pictureSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 04/11/2014 21:14 -0400
The silence is deafening still about the ongoing collapse in the Baltic Dry Index among mainstream media types (as it just might challenge the hope/hype that growth is coming back). At the dismal level of 1002, BDIY is at 8-month lows and has fallen 14 days in a row… but now it is having a real world impact. As Sea News reports, Korean shipping companies are failing to place orders for large vessels and anxiety over the future is forcing some local companies to dispose of their assets despite the relatively low shipbuilding costs as of late.
The Baltic Dry is down 14 days in a row at $1002 – its lowest in 8 months (and worst start to a year on record)
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NTE is the only thing that stops the tax man:
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Between forest fires and a protracted drought, some 111,938 acres of land have been destroyed in Colombia’s eastern plains during the last five months, reported national media.
Acute water shortages have also killed more than 10% of all the animals in the eastern state of Casanare, according to the Autonomous Regional Corporation of Orinoquia (Corporinoquia)…
… Though rain did arrive in the region last week, signaling the end of the dry season, the rainfall will not be sufficient to alleviate the environmental disaster for some time, experts say. Should the bodies of the many as-of-yet-uncollected dead animals littered throughout the countryside go unattended, moreover, a slew of water contamination and pollution issues could compound the lingering effects of the drought…
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Chong-Ae Yu. “The Rise and Demise of Industrial Agriculture in North Korea.” The Mario Einaudi Center for International Studies, Working Paper Series Paper No. 08-05, October 2005
Existing literature on North Korea’s food crisis in the 1990s captured important details on what standing factors devastated the country’s agriculture, but Yu’s working paper contributes greater historical depth to the research by pointing out long-term structural causes.
Her thesis maintains that North Korea’s food crisis stem from the unsustainability of modern industrial agriculture – something that the entire world pursued in the past two centuries with increased vigor following the Green Revolution. In particular, Yu argues that industrial and technological intervention increased the need for synthetic and petroleum-based inputs which produced “dangerous levels of physical and environmental externalities.”
On the surface this analysis does not appear to be too dissimilar from conventional explanations; however, Yu divides standing literature into three categories and highlights their flaws:
1. General economic decline argument
Forwarded by Nicholas Eberstadt, Marcus Noland and others, this argument underscores the importance of the shift in international power relations prior to North Korea’s famine. The key argument is that the loss of Pyongyang’s patrons such as the Soviet Union and China led to the collapse of the agricultural sector because petroleum-based inputs necessary for high-yield production could not be easily sourced without subsidies and easy credit from communist superpowers. The key implication in this argument is that North Korea was not and cannot be free from the constraints of the global economy.
However, Yu notes that this argument presupposes that if the needed inputs were provided, a recovery would have been made despite degradation in soil fertility and other environmental factors
2. Organizational and institutional argument
Usually accompanying the general economic decline argument, the inherent deficiencies of the socialist collective farming system are emphasized when looking at North Korea. The argument that socialist (and Juche) farming method is politically motivated and not scientifically supported is also frequently countered by North Korean scholars who claim that Juche agriculture is based on scientific reasoning.
Yu’s objection to this argument rests on the fact that the entire industrial agricultural system is insolvent, regardless of the political or scientific motivation that led to the specific method. Indeed, if private ownership is the solution, as many followers of this argument suggest, Yu asks how this explains decades of success in North Korea prior to the famine. Between 1960 and 1980, the centralized agricultural system successfully increased cereal yield from slightly over 3 million tons to over 7 million tons, reaching the all time high of 8 million tons in 1984. Given this history, the method itself could not be the singular causal factor of the food crisis.
3. Environmental argument
Usually a secondary explanation, many have attributed natural disasters to North Korea’s food crisis in the 1990s. In particular, NGOs and the UN forwarded this narrative to justify humanitarian assistance starting in September 1995. Woo-Cumings (her paper summarized here) made an exceptionally powerful case for how natural disasters affected fragile economies – “famine in North Korea was part and parcel of a global ecological disaster, happening with greater frequency as the result of global warming.”
However, while natural disasters constituted a significant contributing variable, they do not explain why the agricultural sector was fragile in North Korea. Therefore, while providing a secondary explanation, the environmental argument cannot alone be a causal variable.
Yu synthesizes of all these variables in her thesis, concluding that the nature of North Korea’s shift to modern industrial agriculture, as part of the world-wide modernization project, was inherently unsustainable.
…
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Why NTE
Global warming alone has the clout;
Add in stuff we keep learning about,
And you’ve got NTE
(Though I’ve been known to be
Often wrong, but never in doubt).
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I don’t agree with Gail’s climate change analysis but there’s a nice depiction of the looming energy cliff at the link, with 2016 looking rather grim.
http://ourfiniteworld.com/2014/04/11/oil-limits-and-climate-change-how-they-fit-together/
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I “love” this site as I’m learning things I should have years ago. Now add the complexity of the Korean situation to that list. Not surprised.
I’ve just watched the DVD of the Untold History of the United States. It had few surprises to me (Russia’s losses in WWII, our broken agreements with Russia and Henry Wallace). For those (and there are many) unfamiliar with much of US History during the last half of the 20th century I’d recommend watching with an open mind.
What’s distressing is that neither Kusnick and Stone make no mention of how Climate Change or/and Peak Oil will impactthe future. It’s all centered on people and politics. Wishful thinking or denial on their parts.
To Gail’s piece:
“Climate change is certainly not the whole problem, but it may still play a significant role.”
I rolled my eyes when I came to this closing sentence of the piece. It’s pure Gail, much like the mind of many numbers driven people I’ve met. I don’t know how she manages to make a statement like “it may still play”, but hey if anyone here feels I’m overreacting feel free to pile on.
I’m not sure that Gail (and others like Nicole Foss) really get Climate Change. (Then again I came away from the McPherson/Beckwith evening aware that Paul who is one of the “good guys” and yet even his responses to the situation seem driven more by desperation (which he has not directly acknowledged) than by objectivity of what we can do).It seems to me that Gail is more comfortable with models and theories, but isn’t factoring in that the actual unfolding situation has surprised all those who were modelling and theorizing these last 20 years.
I think what gets lost in the noise is what I consider the most stark section Guy’s Climate Summary. This is reassessment section of the essay. It’s just a short, concise list where he reports on the conclusions these agencies have come to over a short span of time. It’s stunning to me that the data they’ve looked at has so rapidly changed these conclusions. That it’s gone from projecting we’ll be at 2C above base line by 2100 to reporting we’ll be at 6C above baseline by 2050 seems monumental yet I don’t believe any of those criticizing Guy ever bring this section up.
Why don’t people/journalists/bloggers stop avoiding talking about this particular piece of information? They could “easily” question and verify these projections, only they ignore them. Obviously the researchers are not just pulling these numbers out of their butts. I guess it’s best to ignore or avoid any information that we find uncomfortable to deal with.
I watched that first episode of the Showtime series posted here and came away with mostly negative thoughts (To be honest I’m aware that I’m not sure if anything we do at this point could please me at this point. It also could be that it’s so late in the game and I get it at the deepest core that we won’t/wouldn’t do what is necessary to really demonstrate our stated love for our children, grandchildren and the earth).
The only positive I came away with from the series was that there was a global look (not the first) at the situation. Climate Chaos is coming to your neighborhood or one near you soon. For the majority it seems to work in one of two ways. One is as long as it’s not happening to you it’s not happening and your really not THAT concerned. The other is that when it happens to you, you want someone to come and take care of the situation for you so your life can return to “normal.” It’s not that I want to think that these binary responses are our only choices, it’s that this what I’m hearing and seeing unfold before me from the masses.
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PMB, thanks for your impressions. I didn’t watch, and probably won’t ever watch, the Showtime thing. Re. binary responses, I think you are right in terms of assessment of human thought processes, but I would be careful to call them “choices”. (I’m on a crusade against protagonism, as you may have gathered.) Responses is a good term, though. I liked your recent comments on some earlier threads; hope you are doing well.
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Hi Lidia,
I’ve been reading the thread on NBL you started. It’s taking me a while to understand much of what’s being talked about there.
Choices/Responses. It’s a difficult dilemma I find myself in concerning these words and my life in the last year. I see others as making responses while i make bad choices. I wonder if B9K9 is the one making “good” choices. I don’t want/desire to be last man standing.
Watching Guy’s recent video (I’ll post a comment on NBL later) at the Sudbury libraryin Canada was a very painful experience. I “saw”/heard two people have severe meltdowns in that event. I don’t think they responded to the message viscerally. It made me realize how most/majority/huge amount of people haven’t even begun the journey I’ve been on for decades. I come to understand Daniel Drumwright’s thoughts more and more. Your life is at risk if you take people’s HOPE away.
I should have put the word “choices” in quotes. I didn’t want to use the responses twice in the sentence and grabbed for the low hanging fruit. In recent weeks I’ve felt more and more separate from the world around. I can’t seem to choose to be part of the crowd, even the left leaning hypocritical crowd. Guess it’s the Holden Caulfield syndrome.
Mike has a link up top of this thread to a great site where someone actually dares to question the journalistic liberal left. It’s been a worthwhile read.
Knowing what I’ve read of your sharing on NBL and here I don’t believe you’re missing anything never watching the Showtime program.
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To my mind it’s just too bad that people weren’t having breakdowns 25 or even 15 years ago when it might have really mattered, when I was busing my ass in America to wake anyone up. All I did was piss them off. Despite the traumatic effects, I have to hand it to McPherson for taking it to the wall and finally waking a few people up, and reaching the few people who’s eyes and ears are open.
Looking down my American FB feed, I see my friend belligerently jetting off to Vegas, Naomi Wolff and Medea Benjamin returning by plane from some important “activism” in far flung areas of the world. I see people in my old neighborhood shopping for new autos, my upstate NY friend “having” to drive to make a living. My mum and family just returned from an extended stay at Disney world. Locally, here in the 3rd world where I am, over 130 persons died on the road in a long holiday weekend. Students in my school are jetting off to a long holiday in Singapore. The business manager of my local newspaper crows about people buying more cars – “More Jobs!” She might as well be publishing “Mass Death!” or “Total Catastrophe” instead. It’s not going to stop. It’s like watching hard core addicts commit a mass Jonestown event on colossal historic scales. I try to be like HL Mencken, and just look on in amusement. But anymore it is like being strapped down with eyes wired open like in Clockwork Orange and being forced to watch a genocidal snuff film.
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All (may I call you All),
That last sentence of yours. Horrific. Yet also horrifically funny. Brought a smile to my face and a hearty laugh out of my belly. Why? Because it completely captured how I feel. This is a horror to watch and it’s a horror to have to endure those around who are clueless and so I come away wondering what the F is wrong with me.
Went back to helping the woman we farmed with over the last 4 summers the last few weeks. Even that’s not really helping. Her son-in-law was there in the morning and just went on and on about their recent trip to Disney World. I stood there paralyzed not knowing what am I supposed to say to this. It’s like watching someone be tortured in front of you while you are helplessly bound and you can do nothing.
We blew through 400ppm, fires in Siberia already, an El Nino waiting to erupt with all that heat absorbed into the ocean. I can only wonder what role an ice free Arctic can play.
Yet, the message is clear. We still have time to turn the ship around. It’s sinking faster than ever and we’re still pretending there will be a future for our children. Go out my children and be fruitful and multiply. Multiply your asses off.
It’s the Korea piece that started this post that has haunted me all week.
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Mike: great article (Rise and Demise) – it truly underscores the fragility of the global economic (and therefore political) and environmental systems while illustrating in microcosm what is happening globally (the sinkhole of collapse hasn’t reached everyone yet, but it’s on the way).
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Having been born into an expanding cancer, I sometimes wonder to whom I owe an allegiance. The natural world is there to kill you if, for whatever reason, your traits are inadequate. Inside the cancer there is some protection, there are rules and regulations, taxes, limits on behavior and so on, whose purpose is to maximize growth, to reduce friction in the metabolic milieu. So far, the cancer can devour enough fossil fuels and natural resources to continue growing, protect those that would fare poorly in unadulterated nature and generally keep people occupied. The cancer won’t grow forever and will damage the body irretrievably before it dies. I suppose the best thing to help mankind survive is to not help mankind survive (technologically). But we did, and the cancer, swollen with half-baked apes, coddled by their energy slaves, must now begin a long and punctuated process of toxic disintegration.Those wanting to return to the former arrangement in nature will find that the cancer has laid claim to everything on the planet and that the only place for humans is in association with the tumorous growths. It’s not easy living in a technological Jesus cancer, but perhaps one day people will come to their senses and …………..Nah.
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the depravity of collapse will mirror what we have seen humans do to each other in the past. the US is a good case study. since the oil shocks of the 70’s US politics has been all about the oil, we have an entire generation which has grown up in a shrinking economy, and cannibalization is the norm.
multi-national corps. ship jobs overseas, the population responds by cannibalizing each other, murder, rape, you name it, we got it.
these are the behaviors a predatory system teaches its populace, monkey see, monkey do, it’s called social conditioning.
never mind that 60 % of what is labeled made in china is produced by subsidiaries of american corps, it still costs money and burns fuel to transport this crap around the planet.
that’s what we have, fuel being burned to enrich the few.
back to the point, the competitive paradigm has been truly learned by the volk here in amerika, many are armed, and it’s not just the rednecks; in the inner city among the lower classes you are considered stupid if you don’t have a gun.
but it’s not just the beatings and shootings, it’s the economic pressure of losing a job,
the total lack of any meaningful social safety net, the quiet despair of trying to live on $9/hour.
what we have going on is a quiet collapse, and it’s ugly. maybe in places such as NZ the disorder bearing down upon us can be limited, i don’t think that will be the case in a big brawling country like the USA.
the best a person can do is try to get away, and that is near impossible when every inch of land is either privately or publicly owned. the simple fact is that govt. is breaking down, not doing its job.
all the ugliness we have been seeing will only get a million times worse when collapse accelerates, maybe that is what it will take for the human race to learn its lesson. now whether we will have a planet still capable of supporting life? that does seem to be the question.
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Up until the last year I would have agreed that places like New Zealand, Australia and Canada were places where places to head for. Only watching the way these countries have radically changed over the last year has led me to believe that everyplace is now on the fast track to self destruction.
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I used to think we were different in Canada, but it is obvious now that we were only able to build a decent society because we have the second largest land mass chock full of almost every natural resource, yet only have 35 million people. Also are main customer lives right next door and is the richest. Now that there is less to go around, under this fucked upped system, we too are getting desperate and mean. We still have farther to fall than most places, but I suspect that the difference will be made up in short order. Most Canadians have no idea how vulnerable they are. Because Canada weathered the 2008 crash better that anyone, and major spin from the ministry of propaganda, there is a false sense of security here. I don’t wish to belittle the decency of many Canadians, but If Afghanistan had our natural resources I doubt they would have ended up with the Taliban.
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4-13-2014

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From the article above.
“The government has said it’s optimistic that emissions intensity — the amount of gases emitted per barrel from the oilsands — is falling year over year.”
From my brain.
Apneaman said he is optimistic that Zoe Saldana will fall madly in love with him on the same day he wins the lottery.
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Let me guess; the pledge is to reduce emissions from 100kg CO2 per tonne to 80kg per tonne because driving off a cliff at 80km per hour is so much better than driving off a cliff at 100km per hour.
Presumably the CO2 generated when the oil is burned wont be counted as part of Canada’s emissions profile because it will be burned the other side of the border. And presumably any emissions generated in the production of thinning agents won’t count either because those emissions are also the other side of the border.
.
.
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The most important factors that distinguishes NZ from other ‘bolt holes’ are that it is surrounded by relatively cool water and most of the land mass is less than 100km from either the Tasman Sea or the South Pacific/Great Southern Ocean.
Where I am located day temperatures rarely fall outside the range 6C to 26C and night temperatures rarely fall outside the range -2C to 22C, Inland the temperature extremes are greater, and further south generally lower etc.
The entire current population compares to that of a large city elsewhere in the world, and is concentrated in three regions -north and east of Te Kuiti,, southwest of Napier,. and around Christchurch..
I am not inviting hordes of collapse refuges. But I strongly suspect they will come anyway -well, those with enough bits of paper or computer digits, assuming bits of paper of computer digits will be tradable for transport in the future. Otherwise it will be those with luxury yachts who will make it here. People with suspicious minds could be forgiven for thinking that is ‘the plan’, judging by the way all the best bolt holes are being bought up by global elites with luxury yachts.
Pity the peasants, wherever they live.
.
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Overwhelmed Italy rescues 4,000 refugees in 48 hours
http://news.linktv.org/latest/overwhelmed-italy-rescues-4000-refugees-in-48-hours
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Also there is a lot of rough water between NZ and any other significant land mass,
That did not deter the Polynesians or the British, though it did slow them down.
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Ahh, lifestyles of the snobbish and opulent…
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Concerning her latest blog post, Alice writes:
The insatiable greed of Capitalist banks and other institutions in America dooms us to one of the hardest crashes of any nation as energy resources decline. The rampant fraud in all of our institutions comes at a time when the political system needs to be reinvented towards a steady-state, sharing one. It’s probably too late, but any success at all towards staying under the depletion curve by restricting immigration and women to one child would lessen social chaos and suffering in the future. So far we’ve been staying under the net energy curve by pushing over half of Americans into such desperate poverty they can’t afford to drive as much, or at all, and live with less food, heating, air-conditioning, and other goods. How is a nation of individualistic, obese, out-of-shape and unhealthy people going to shift from fossil fuel power to muscle power in less than a decade?
Credit Card Fraud
http://energyskeptic.com/2014/credit-card-fraud/
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“It’s probably too late, but any success at all towards staying under the depletion curve by restricting immigration and women to one child would lessen social chaos and suffering in the future”
I’d say more than probably. After reading the Asimov talk he gave in 1973 which Alice provided to Gail Asimov got population and resource limits only sadly he was so off the mark regarding the future especially concerning having babies that it would be comical if it wasn’t so tragic.
Like you’d ever see us restricting woman to one child or that they’d volunteer to have their tubes tied and their husband have vasectomies. Having children has become much like everything else in the US today, a competition. Whoever has the most wins.
I see no end in sight. Do you?
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4-13-2014

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4-13-2014

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Pawel Kuczynski sums up the predicament of industrial civilization’s energy needs and AGW:

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On the last post Tom said:
Mike: i’m respectfully asking that you please re-instate ulvfugl from banishment. Besides being a bit hard to take at times, he has offered many interesting and thought-provoking links and opinions, and I’m sure he contributed to the posts here. You can remove him again if needed, but permanent shunning for one difference of opinion seems a little harsh. It’s your call, but maybe a “three strikes and you’re out” for good rule could be implemented. Yours is one of the best blogs on the net and he is a good ally. Thanks for your consideration.
OK. I have removed him from moderation.
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thank you, Mike
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Tom. You are a true statesman.
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I see it more in terms of Mike and forgiveness, respect . . . walking the talk.
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…READ THE REST.
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I se the US industrial-military complex has a new toy,
‘…angular shape that officials say will allow it to be confused for a small fishing boat on radars;’
‘It’s the first US ship to use electric propulsion and produces enough power to one day support the futuristic electromagnetic rail gun, which will be tested at sea in 2016.’
Does anybody believe this shit anymore?
(I hope they remembered to order an extra-long extension lead.).
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-navy-christens-huge-3-billion-destroyer-ship-uss-zumwalt-that-appears-as-a-fishing-boat-on-enemy-radar-9257304.html
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Didn’t someone say something about military mis-adventures and expenditures breaking empires?
The original bid was 1.4 billion, but now were up to 7 billion. At least that’s whats on the books. Also, it’s power is still generated by diesel. Woe to the half starving Somalian fisherman/pirates.
http://www.businessinsider.com/uss-zumwalt-2014-4
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Greece is suffering and now Europe is beginning to melt down too under World Bank and IMF conditions of austerity (which only make matters worse socially).
http://utopiathecollapse.com/2014/04/13/meltdown-anti-austerity-protest-in-italy-turns-violent-unemployment-hits-13-highest-in-37-years/
Meltdown: Anti-austerity protest in Italy turns violent – unemployment hits 13% – highest in 37 years
April 2014 – ITALY – An anti-austerity protest in Italy has turned violent as demonstrators clashed with police in the capital Rome. Police fired tear gas and made a number of arrests in attempts to bring the crowd under control on Saturday as clashes with the police left several people injured, according to medics and an AFP news agency photographer. Protesters threw eggs and oranges at government buildings before turning on police, as officers tried to disperse the crowd by surging towards the group and blasting them with tear gas, leaving many protesters fleeing down side streets. According to the interior ministry, six people were taken into custody, and one protester was seriously hurt after a firecracker apparently exploded prematurely in his hand. Made up of workers, students and anti-austerity campaigners, the demonstration, which was against high housing costs and unemployment attracted 15,000 according to protest organizers. Taking aim at 39-year-old Prime Minister Matteo Renzi and his plans to reform labour rules, protesters were angry over plans to make it easier for companies to hire and fire employees. Al Jazeera’s Claudio Lavanga, reporting from Rome, said some of the protesters were angry over issues the Renzi government inherited from previous governments, but many opposed his labour market reforms.
“So far Italians seem cautiously optimistic about Renzi’s proposed tax cuts, but two months in the job, he has faced the anger of those who oppose his drive for reforms,” he said. Federico Bicerni, the youth head of the Italian Marxist Leninist Party told the Reuters news agency: “They are reducing democracy. Renzi’s labour reforms will worsen the situation for workers without job security, hitting young people when they are already struggling. The rage of the people in the squares today is justified.” Renzi, who came to power in February, has put forward an ambitious economic reform program which will see public spending reduced by $6.2bn dollars. With the country’s unemployment rate reaching a record 13 percent in February, he says reforms are a “precondition for economic recovery.” Speaking last week, Renzi said the changes were needed as “there are those who have taken much, too much over the years, and it is time they give some back.” –Al Jazeera
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Full film is here…
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“Here we go . . . ”
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-04-13/ukraine-mobilizes-military-gives-ultimatum-russia-slams-escalation-criminal-yanukovi
If Russia’s intention was to give Ukraine enough “escalation” rope with which to hang itself once again, it may have succeeded when a little over an hour ago acting president Oleksander Turchinov said in a televized address that Ukraine has mobilized its armed forces to launch a “full-scale anti-terrorist operation” against pro-Russian separatists.
Furthermore, knowing the only real escalation Kiev can engage in is in the war of words department, Ukraine set an 0600 GMT Monday deadline for pro-Russian separatists to give up their weapons and leave buildings they have occupied in the east of the country, a presidential decree said.
It is unclear if this would be the catalyst to launch the military operation, but should Kiev indeed bring in the army it is certainly clear that Russia will respond in kind.
Elsewhere in the world:
http://www.radionz.co.nz/news/national/241553/nz-'not-playing-part'-in-helping-climate
NZ ‘not playing part’ in helping climate
One of the authors of a new report on climate change, which shows greenhouse gases have risen to record levels, says New Zealand is not doing its share.
The latest report from the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has found global emissions have grown far faster between 2000 and 2010 than in the previous 30 years and attempts to rein them in are failing.
Figures from the Ministry for the Environment show New Zealand’s greenhouse gas emissions rose by 25 percent between 1990 and 2012.
Massey University Professor Ralph Sims, who helped write the report’s transport chapter, told Radio New Zealand’s Morning Report programme the situation is fixable, but New Zealand is not playing its part.
“We’ve got a small token gesture to reduce our emissions by 5 percent by 2020, other countries in the world are reducing the 10, 20, 30 percent by 2020,” he says.
“No policies in New Zealand are encouraging anybody to reduce emissions.”
Associate Professor James Renwick, a climate scientist from Victoria University, believes the Government’s targets for reducing emissions are high, but says it is unclear how it will meet them.
“We would need some serious investment and some serious policy signals around moving away from fossil fuels and investing in clean energy technologies and as far as I can see that just isn’t happening,” he says.
Professor Renwick says with this country’s wealth of renewable energy sources, New Zealand has the opportunity to be a world leader in becoming carbon neutral.
Green Party MP Kennedy Graham says the Government is not doing enough to combat climate change.
He told Morning Report the UN statistics since 1990 show both New Zealand’s net emissions and gross emissions have soared and are predicted to increase “massively” up until 2030 or 2040.
Minister pushes world deal
Minister for Climate Change Issues Tim Groser says the report proves a global agreement is vital.
He says New Zealand is on the right track in pressing for a binding international agreement on emissions beyond 2020.
Mr Groser says the agreement should be flexible, catering for countries’ individual circumstances and allowing them to play to their strengths.
He also praises the agricultural sector, which is often blamed for its large contribution to greenhouse gases.
Mr Groser says the value of agriculture is up by 48 percent since 1990, while emissions only went up by 12 percent.
The IPCC report found without additional efforts the world is on course for a global temperature increase of 3.7 – 4.8 degrees by 2100.
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Minister for Climate Change Issues Tim Groser was recently described to me by a councillor as a prat.
prat: an incompetent or stupid person (Oxford dictionary).
Tim Grosser is far worse than a prat. Maniacal saboteur would be a good start.
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Kate Macdowell – “The human race is abusively present.”
Ashes to ashes. Dust to dust. That was the initial thought running through my mind, when I first came across Kate MacDowell’s work.
There is a certain disquietude about her white porcelain figures. They leave us pondering. They leave us in an omnipresence of death.
MacDowell’s monochrome sculptures are aesthetically pleasing and the craftsmanship is awe-inspiring. Still, the pretty surface of these little images of fatality sends me a horrifying message of the abuse of nature. Our abuse.
Even in these delicate representations of death, the human race is violently present.
It’s captivating, almost poetical, that the representation of such a fragile moment as death is made of an equally brittle material.
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Shocking data on the deforestation in North Korea…
Reforesting North Korea
The Korea Herald
Publication Date : 21-03-2014
Looking northward from South Korea’s observatories along the Demilitarized Zone, you will see North Korean mountains almost bare. It is said that many defectors who fled the North on boats felt relieved to know that they had entered South Korean waters upon seeing coastal hills with dense forests.
As of the end of 2008, North Korea had lost nearly one-third of its forests, according to UN estimates. Among the 180 countries surveyed by a UK-based risk consulting company in 2011, it had the third-highest deforestation rate behind only Nigeria and Indonesia.
In the latest alarm over the rapid deforestation in the communist state, data released this week by Global Forest Watch showed that North Korea destroyed a total area of forest about 18 times the size of Manhattan between 2000 and 2013. The North saw 160,515 hectares of forest disappear over the cited period, while creating just 13,680 hectares of forest between 2000 and 2012, according to the figures from the online forest monitoring and alert system run by the Washington-based World Resources Institute.
North Korea’s deforestation has become rampant, with people indiscriminately felling trees for firewood and turning forests into terraced farmland to grow crops.
The severe deforestation is cited as one of the major reasons for the devastating floods that have hit the North in recent years. Furthermore, it could lead to problems with the forest ecosystem on the Korean Peninsula and the environment in Northeast Asia.
Thus, it is natural that calls for efforts toward reforesting the North have been mounting in the South. There is a growing sense of urgency on the need to take concrete steps as the perception spreads that further delay in undertaking the project will raise costs and amplify adverse impacts on the environment. Based on current conditions, it will take about 32 trillion won ($29 billion) to plant 4.9 billion trees needed to reforest the North, according to estimates by the Korea Forest Service, a government agency in Seoul…
…
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South Korea was heralded as a nation that had done wonders to preserve its forests.
What was never mentioned was that South Korean companies had avoided cutting down trees in Korea by utterly devastating other parts of the world, especially impoverished Asian nations and Pacific Island nations.
So desperate was South Korea for timber is was even prepared to pay the market price for timber from NZ, Canada etc..
One of the most interesting aspects of the Asian crisis of 1997 was that (apart from the idiot-saboteur Finance Minister Winston Peters saying the crisis would have ‘no effect on NZ’) the bottom fell out of the NZ paper-cardboard recycling sector because practically everything was going to South Korea, and SK had ‘no money’.
Koreans I met in the early 2000s were still reeling from IMF intervention and almost turned pale at the mention of the IMF.
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Now that South Korea is back in favour with the IMF (having been nicely plundered)and has now money (access to phony digits):
‘A South Korean company has bought 1000 hectares of land in the Waihopai Valley, expanding its Marlborough forestry holdings to almost 4000ha.
Information from the Overseas Investment Office (OIO), the government agency that oversees the sale of land to foreigners, shows the South Korean company was given consent to buy just over 1000 hectares of land in Benhopai, Waihopai Valley Rd in January.
The price was confidential.
OIO documents showed SCFNZ Ltd, which is owned by South Korean company Sunchang Corporation, planned to harvest and replant the land to ensure a steady supply of timber.
“The overseas investment will allow Sunchang Corporation to secure a portion of the logs it requires from its own forests which will enable it to control the quality of those logs.” ……
http://www.stuff.co.nz/marlborough-express/news/8429030/S-Koreans-buy-land-in-Waihopai-Valley
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North Korea, not being a favoured member of the international looter-and-polluters club, generally has to make do with chopping down trees within its own borders to process into unsustainable infrastructure (and perhaps fake military hardware).
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I’m having a special sale on mirrors. Buy one,get one free. I’m sure everyone has a friend that could use the free one.
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Now that Britain is leading Europe in the ‘recovery’ stakes…..
‘Millions of families are in such a perilous financial state that they are just one pay cheque away from losing their home, research shows.
Nearly four million families who pay rent or a mortgage have so few savings that it would take only a month’s missed salary to lose their home, YouGov polling for Shelter reveals. Of these, 2.4 million have no savings whatsoever and would not be able to survive a full month.’
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/shrinking-savings-put-millions-at-risk-of-repossession-9257847.html
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A profound thought from Orlov:
Consider the possibilities.
•If you prepare for collapse and it doesn’t happen, then you look a tiny bit foolish.
• If you don’t prepare for collapse and collapse does happen, then you look a tiny bit dead.
Now, which would you prefer to be, foolish or dead?
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“The elite systematically cannibalize their own societies while at the same time extracting massive profits by shredding the social safety net, criminalizing poverty and dissent, stripping away environmental protection, and gutting scientific research. In order to protect their ability to loot the commons, the elite circle believe it is more advantageous to keep the masses ignorant about the true extent of the planetary crisis their policies have created. If science gets in the way of ‘progress’, then it is summarily dismissed by outright denial, defunding, and deletion from public records”…
—which is what the present Government of Australia is intent upon. Regime change may be on the horizon.
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Regime Change in what direction and by whom, that is the question. At some point the dam in the developed world will break. Just so ya’s know, given the Ozzies and Kiwis I know, my bet is Regime Change towards Nihilist Super Fascism until it becomes murderously obvious that that route is for moronically genocidally suicidal.
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http://www.latimes.com/science/sciencenow/la-sci-sn-bird-flu-five-mutations-20140410,0,6818032.story
Deadly H5N1 bird flu needs just 5 mutations to spread easily in people
It’s a flu virus so deadly that scientists once halted research on the disease because governments feared it might be used by terrorists to stage a biological attack.
Yet despite the fact that the H5N1 avian influenza has killed 60% of the 650 humans known to be infected since it was identified in Hong Kong 17 years ago, the “bird flu” virus has yet to evolve a means of spreading easily among people.
Now Dutch researchers have found that the virus needs only five favorable gene mutations to become transmissible through coughing or sneezing, like regular flu viruses.
World health officials have long feared that the H5N1 virus will someday evolve a knack for airborne transmission, setting off a devastating pandemic. While the new study suggests the mutations needed are relatively few, it remains unclear whether they’re likely to happen outside the laboratory.
“This certainly does not mean that H5N1 is now more likely to cause a pandemic,” said Ron Fouchier, a virologist at Erasmus University Medical Center in Rotterdam, Netherlands, and coauthor of the study published Thursday in the journal Cell. “But it does mean that we should not exclude the possibility that it might happen.”
[read the animal testing on ferrets to determine these findings]
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http://dutchsinse.tatoott1009.com/4142014-air-force-base-creates-storm-nws-censors-the-feeds/
4/14/2014 — Air Force Base CREATES storm — NWS CENSORS the feeds
A “storm” was developed using the Cannon Air Force base NEXRAD RADAR.
The storm return was censored off of almost every feed. Luckily, they missed this RADAR feed from NIU.edu (quite by accident I would suppose).
The National Weather Service (NWS) did a fairly good job of censoring the other feeds… Unfortunately, within 30 minutes of going public with the stream, THEY CUT THE NIU FEED !
Epic fail, since I had already recorded a video, not to mention…. as the feed was cut, I was recording !
What were we witnessing?
A storm created via a frequency pulse from the NEXRAD RADAR.
The pulse was obviously censored off the regular public feeds (as shown in the video above) , however this particular feed from NIU, is not maintained directly by the NWS.
Although, the feed is ultimately controlled by the NWS data streaming service for the NEXRAD RADARs. The NIU stream showed the resulting storm output from the event at Cannon Air Force base.
We’ve seen this happen before. A single RADAR pulse / “HAARP ring” produce a storm real time.
Each time, a large storm resulted instantly from the pulse. A few examples of previous frequency induced storms are below.
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On-going earthquakes all over the world:
http://theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com/2014/04/14/third-earthquake-strikes-nicaragua-in-less-than-a-week-fears-rampant-of-big-one/
Third earthquake strikes Nicaragua in less than a week: fears rampant of ‘big one’
April 2014 – NICARAGUA – A third earthquake in less than a week struck Nicaragua early on Monday morning, shaking buildings in the capital, Managua, though there were no immediate reports of damage. An official at Nicaragua’s seismological authority said the quake magnitude was 5.6, but its shallow depth had imparted a greater impact. The US Geological Survey (USGS) said the quake struck some 6 km (4 miles) northwest of Managua at a depth of 14 km. The USGS initially registered the quake at magnitude 5.1. Emergency services in Managua were checking for signs of impact, but did not immediately report any damage. Earthquakes also struck Nicaragua on Thursday and Friday last week. The latter, of magnitude 6.6, was felt as far away as El Salvador and Costa Rica. –Times of India
A 5.1-magnitude earthquake shook Nicaragua on Sunday night, the third quake to hit the Central American nation within a week. Seven homes collapsed but there have so far been no reports of any casualties. Officials said the quakes could be an indication that the geological fault line which runs underneath the capital, Managua, has been re-activated. Movement in the Estadia fault caused the 1972 quake which killed at least 5,000 people and devastated Managua. Nicaragua was struck by another two earthquakes on Thursday and Friday last week, raising fears a bigger quake may hit “within days.”
The president said there had been reports of injuries, but did not give further details. Angelica Munoz of Ineter, the Nicaraguan state body which monitors tremors, said there had been nine aftershocks following Sunday’s quake. She said one of the aftershocks had originated in the fault line which caused the 1972 earthquake, in which large parts of Managua’s city centre were destroyed and two thirds of its one million residents displaced. – BBC
and, those poor people in flood-devastated Solomon Is. now have an earthquake on top of the flooding aftermath:
http://theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com/2014/04/13/powerful-7-5-magnitude-earthquake-strikes-the-solomon-islands-second-large-earthquake-in-24-hours/
Powerful 7.5 magnitude earthquake strikes the Solomon Islands: second large earthquake in 24 hours
April 2014 – SOLOMON ISLANDS – A powerful magnitude 7.5 earthquake struck near the Solomon Islands on Sunday morning, triggering a tsunami warning that was later cancelled, according to U.S. government agencies, and there were no immediate reports of damage. The quake was centered 100 km (60 miles) south of Kira Kira on the island of Makira at a depth of 35 km ( 21.7 miles), according to the U.S. Geological Survey. The quake was originally recorded as a 7.7 was later revised down by the USGS. “So far we have received no reports of damage,” said Constable Taylor Fugo from Kira Kira police. “The people responded very well to the (tsunami) warning. They all went up the hills and have been watching and waiting for advice.” A tsunami warning for the Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea and Vanuatu was cancelled after only very small tsunami wave activity, just a couple of centimetres, had been measured at two reading stations near the epicentre, the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center said. It is the second powerful quake to strike the region in 24 hours. On April 12, a 7.6 magnitude earthquake struck the same region.
An earlier tsunami watch for Fiji, Australia, Indonesia and nearby areas was cancelled after the earthquake was revised down from its original magnitude of 8.3.A series of aftershocks followed the quake, the strongest a magnitude 5.9, hit the region shortly afterwards, the USGS said. The Solomon Islands straddles the so-called “Pacific Ring of Fire,” a highly seismically active zone where different plates on the earth’s crust meet and create a large number of earthquakes and volcanoes. A powerful 8.0 magnitude quake in 2013 in a similar area generated a local tsunami that killed at least five people. –Malaysian Digest
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A new record-high increase in weekly year-on-year CO2 in the atmosphere, I believe: 3.5ppm , As previously discussed, weekly figures can vary considerably, but when we get increases in changes, however erratic, we know we are in deep trouble (I’m going for understatement this time.)
April 6 – 12 2014 401.17 ppm (last week)
April 6 – 12 2013 397.67 ppm
CO2 usually peaks in May.
I suppose that now we have passed ‘the critical threshold of 400ppm’ several times the mainstream media won’t bother reporting CO2 levels.
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…..’the drying out of the rainforest threatens to ignite the tree-filled habitat – with its rich biodiversity – and convert it almost overnight into barren desert
‘
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/fires-could-turn-amazon-rainforest-into-a-desert-as-human-activity-and-climate-change-threaten-lungs-of-the-world-says-study-9259741.html
The Amazon rainforest is becoming increasingly vulnerable to catastrophic forest fires due to a combination of droughts, climate change and human activities such as deforestation, farming and habitat fragmentation, a major study has concluded.
One of the last great wildernesses on earth – known as the lungs of the world – is balancing dangerously close to a “tipping point” where forest fires will become so commonplace and extensive that they will change much of the landscape forever, scientists said.
Although fires have always occurred in Amazonia, they have been largely controlled by the natural humidity of the region. Now, however, the drying out of the rainforest threatens to ignite the tree-filled habitat – with its rich biodiversity – and convert it almost overnight into barren desert, they warned.
For the first time, scientists have shown in experiments on the ground how extreme, dry weather combined with the effects of human activities can create a tinderbox environment where intensely damaging forest fires can spread easily, killing trees that have taken hundreds of years to grow.
The study, carried out on three large experimental plots of rainforest monitored by satellite, showed that droughts abruptly increased the risk of intense forest fires compared to non-drought years, and this effect can be exacerbated significantly in areas influenced by human activities.
“These results provide, to our knowledge, the first experimental evidence of the link among extreme weather events, widespread and high-intensity fires and associated abrupt changes in forest structure, dynamics and composition,” said the scientists from the US and Brazil.
“This mechanism of rapid forest degradation could operate over a larger geographical area, such as the ‘arc of deforestation’, where droughts, forest fragmentation and forest fires are already common,” they said in a study published in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
The researchers monitored the three 50-hectare plots of Amazon rainforest over an eight-year period. During this time they subjected two of the plots to controlled fires, either on an annual or a three-year basis, and left the third plot untouched as a control for comparison.
They found that while the rainforest did not burn very much in years with normal rainfall, it burned intensively and extensively in drought years, which are expected to increase in both frequency and severity due to climate change causing shorter, more intense rainy seasons and longer dry seasons.
Trees in the tropical rainforests, unlike more temperate woodlands, are not naturally immune to forest fires and are easily killed by flames. The study found that this vulnerability caused a collapse of the overhead canopy cover and an invasion of the forest by more flammable vegetation from the inhabited forest edges, causing a cascade of events that increased the chances of an irreversible “tipping point” triggered by fire.
“Agricultural development has created smaller forest fragments, which exposes forest edges to the hotter dryer conditions in the surrounding landscape and makes them vulnerable to escaped fires,” said Marcia Macedo of the Woods Hole Research Centre in Falmouth, Massachusetts.
“These fragmented forests are more likely to be invaded by flammable grasses, which further increase the likelihood and intensity of future fires,” Dr Macedo said.
The researchers emphasised that most computer models of how the Amazon will respond to climate change do not take into account the true scale of the threat posed by forest fires, which is a serious flaw in the assessment of what could happen over the coming decades of warmer global temperatures.
“This study shows that fires are already degrading large areas of forests in southern Amazonia and highlights the need to include interactions between extreme weather events and fire when attempting to predict the future of Amazonian forests under a changing climate,” said Paulo Brando of the Instituto de Pesquisa Ambiental da Amazonia in Belem, Brazil, and lead author of the study.
Over the past 10 years, the Amazon has experienced several unusual droughts. In 2005, a drought occurred over a wide area that was calculated to be a one-in-100-year event, however, an even more extensive drought occurred in 2010.
On both occasions, scientists believe the Amazon went from being a net absorber of carbon dioxide to a net producer. In 2005, for instance, researchers calculated that it turned from being a net absorber of about 2 billion tonnes of CO2 to a net producer of as much as 5bn tonnes of CO2 – almost as high as the 5.4bn tonnes emitted annually by the US.
However, in the drought of 2010 was far larger, causing the massive Rio Negro river – the biggest tributary of the Amazon – to fall to its lowest level since record began more than a century ago. On this occasion, the forest expelled some 8 billion tonnes net of CO2, scientists said.
A more regional drought in 2007, which mainly affected southeast Amazonia, caused a significant increase in forest fires in the area, which burned about 10 times more forest than in typical years – an area equivalent to a million soccer fields.
The scientists believe that the findings show that the response of the Amazon to rising global temperatures and the increased risk of severe drought years can be unpredictable and “non-linear” because of a sudden breach of an irreversible tipping point.
“None of the models used to evaluate future Amazon forest health include fire, so most predictions grossly underestimate the amount of tree death and overestimate overall forest health,” said Michael Coe, another Woods Hole researcher and member of the joint US-Brazil team.
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Mike Ruppert had had enough of this world and got his ticket out.
.http://robinwestenra.blogspot.co.nz/2014/04/todayi-received-from-carolyn-baker-sad.html
IN MEMORIAM MICHAEL C. RUPPERT, February 3, 1951–April 13, 2014.
Sunday night following Mike’s Lifeboat Hour radio show, he was found dead of a self-inflicted gunshot wound. This was not a “fake” suicide. It was very well planned by Mike who gave us few clues but elaborate instructions for how to proceed without him. His wishes were to be cremated, and as of this moment, there are no plans for a memorial service. However, I will be taking his show this coming Sunday night, April 20, and the entire show will be an In Memoriam show for Mike with opportunities for listeners to call in.
It was my privilege to have known Mike for 14 years, to have worked with him, to have been mentored by him, and to have supported him in some of his darkest hours, including the more recent ones. I am posting this announcement with the blessing of his partner Jesse Re and his landlord, Jack Martin.
Thank you Mike for all of the truth you courageously exposed and for the legacy of truth-telling you left us. Goodbye my friend. Your memory will live in hour hearts forever.
I have no more details to share than I am posting here. We should have much more information by Sunday night
Carolyn Baker
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Carolyn Baker creeps me out. I see her work as instrumental in the de-motivation and dis-arming of privileged, bubble-fied Americans who are massively complicit and responsible for the world’s collective nightmare. She sounds way too much like clergy to me.
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Kind of a shocker. Sorry to hear this news, but I suspect it will become somewhat commonplace. I find it curious, though, that Ruppert took an option not provided in Orlov’s silly framing. The obvious question, not entirely rhetorical, for all the preppers is this: why do you want to survive the bottleneck?
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Brutus,
As seems to be the case with you. You cut to the chase. I appreciate that.
And the question you ask is one I continue to ask and haven’t gotten any response or anyone to ask me if that is a goal of mine.
When the DGR people speak of bringing it all down. I’m all for it. I’m ready for what the outcome of that will be. I inquire if they’ve followed the logic of what happens pretty rapidly (no water, no food, no energy) and if they are ready for what that entails. Again no real response to that other than I’m a real fatalist. Yet, what would be the outcome of such an act? I’m open to hearing options and not saying I’d follow any of them if I see them as being wacky.
I’m still mulling over Beckworth’s interview with McPherson. I’ve been trying to figure out how do we get all those gas trucks filled with chemicals around the world running 24/7 spraying the constant stream to allow us to keep the planet cool.
Hey we’re over 400ppm now for a few weeks. We’ve crossed the threshold. So we’re probably above the 480e ppm point.
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If you apply appropriate forcing factors you find we are above 700ppm equivalent.
Nobody in mainstream is going to admit that because doing so would undermine the official stance of fixing the ‘problem’ via geo-engineering.
Many years ago there was a standoff in NZ with respect to visits by US warships (long before the Key government implemented the policy of do almost anything you like to us), When asked whether the vessel in question carried nuclear weapons as well as being nuclear powered, the US government adopted a policy of neither confirming nor denying……….national security and all that.. . . .
http://www.nzhistory.net.nz/politics/nuclear-free-new-zealand/ship-visits
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https://robertscribbler.wordpress.com/2014/04/14/world-food-security-slides-into-red-zone-as-fao-index-jumps-to-213-russian-special-forces-continue-to-destabilize-breadbasket-ukraine-and-climate-change-induced-extreme-weather-ravages-croplands/
World Food Security Slides into Red Zone as FAO Index Jumps to 213, Russian Special Forces Continue to Destabilize Breadbasket Ukraine, and Climate-Change Induced Extreme Weather Ravages Croplands
Feeling impacts from a broad range of stresses including widespread heat and drought from the US West, to South America, to Australia and Southeast Asia, the ongoing Russian invasion and destabilization of breadbasket Ukraine, and the growing threat of a strong El Nino emerging in the Pacific, world food prices made another significant jump during March of 2014.
According to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), global food index prices surged from a value of 208 in February to 212.8 in March. The 4.8 point increase from February to March followed on the heels of a 5.5 point increase between January and February.
Values above 210 are considered to result in enough stress to ignite conflict as an increasing number of regions begin to see scarcity from lack of ability to purchase or produce food. For the time being, these prices remain below the 2011 high water mark of 229 which was linked to a broad eruption of conflict and food riots from Libya to Egypt to Syria and throughout a smattering of other impoverished or vulnerable regions in Asia and around the globe.
But with the world climate situation worsening, with chances for a strong El Nino emerging later this year increasing, and with global conflict over dwindling and endangered stores of food-related wealth and resources intensifying, there remains a substantial risk that global food prices will continue to see strong upward pressure throughout 2014, pushing and maintaining levels high enough to continue to ignite instability, unrest and, in some cases, open warfare.
[read the rest, which concludes]
Global Problem: Though the above list provides examples of where global food supply is most threatened by extreme weather related to climate change and/or a related set of conflicts over resources, it is important to note that the current food, resource, and climate crisis is now global in nature. Droughts and severe weather have left almost no region untouched and now result in substantial damage to crops at least once a year in even the most tranquil locations. Instances of ongoing and systemic drought are now common throughout various areas not mentioned above including: Australia, China, South America, Central America, The Middle East, Africa, India, and sections of Russia and Europe. So though blows to important “bread baskets” provide the most impact to overall food price and availability, a general state of agricultural disruption due to increasingly extreme climates blanketing the globe result in a far more challenging than usual base-line for food producers and consumers everywhere.
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Lyrics to Jack Straw, written by Bob Weir and Robert Hunter & performed by the Grateful Dead
We can share the women, we can share the wine
We can share what we got of yours ’cause we done shared all of mine
Keep on rollin’, just a mile to go
Keep on rollin’ my old buddy, you’re movin’ much too slow
I just jumped the watchman, right outside the fence
Took his rings, four bucks in change, ain’t that heaven sent?
Hurts my ears to listen, Shannon, burns my eyes to see
Cut down a man in cold blood, Shannon, might as well been me
We used to play for silver, now we play for life
And one’s for sport one’s for blood at the point of a knife
And now the die is shaken, now the die must fall
There ain’t a winner in the game, he don’t go home with all
Not with all
Leavin’ Texas, fourth day of July
Sun so hot, the clouds so low, the eagles filled the sky
Catch the Detroit lightnin’ out of Sante Fe
The Great Northern out of Cheyenne, from sea to shining sea
Gotta go to Tulsa, first train we can ride
Gotta settle one old score, one small point of pride
There ain’t a place a man can hide, Shannon will keep him from the sun
Ain’t a bed can give us rest now, you keep us on the run
Jack Straw from Wichita cut his buddy down
And dug for him a shallow grave and laid his body down
Half a mile from Tucson, by the morning light
One man gone and another to go
My old buddy you’re moving much too slow
We can share the women, we can share the wine
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[audio src="http://media.blubrry.com/extraenvironmentalist/p/www.xepodcast.com/extraenvironmentalist/96kbps/076-energyslaves-96kbps.mp3" /]
ExtraEnvironmentalist interview with Canadian journalist Andrew Nikiforuk, author of “The Energy of Slaves: Oil and the New Servitude”
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“The latest authoritative document, produced by 1,250 international scientists and approved by nearly 200 governments, argued that climate change can be avoided if we move fast to decarbonise the global economy, without having to sacrifice living standards energy.”/
And so it continues. The falsehoods. The myths. The deceit. We can have it all without any reason for concern (for our children or grandchildren). We won’t have to sacrifice anything. We can continue to live the way we always have and still save the planet. And I’ll bet you the public will eat this up like a Chocolate Sundae with extra whipped cream, nuts, and a cherry on top (organic, right).
We just have to move fast to decarbonise the global economy. Well how does one decarbonise without sacrificing anything. I’m stumped. Perhaps one of you can figure out this riddle and you’ll make a fortune. Move fast. Decarbonise (is this a new word?) Change nothing. Sounds familiar. Hey, the answers been right in front of us all this time. And it’s right on TV. (Ever see those “As seen on TV” signs in stores).
We just have to come up with something like those weight loss products. You don’t have to change a thing about your life. Just pop a pill, or sprinkle some powder on your food and those pounds and pounds of fat will just melt away. You don’t even have to do any exercise. I’ve always wondered where does the fat that melts away wind up. The same place as our e-waste. China or another dimension.
The above quote played an important part of the presentation I attended last night. 80 people present. Only 1 asked a question of any substance. The rest couldn’t wait to get home and pour themselves a glass of well aged port so they wouldn’t have to think about the horror story Gordon Chaplin, author of Full Fathom Five / shared for 50 minutes regarding what’s happened to sea life in the Bahamas since 1950.
Instead as the alcohol probably streamed down their throats they could focus on the “hope” Gordon ended the presentation. His closing suggestions assures the continuation of where we are currently doing, that we do nothing different. Gordon was profuse in his accolades to the esteemed body of wisdom, “the IPPC, the award winning scientific panel, that says there is still time to act.” All he asked of the audience was that they do one thing, contact their representatives and encourage them to get some policies in place. I’m still trying to figure out what would this set of “policies” would address.
I’ll share the content of the talk later, only I’m still processing what is was like to see images of what once there and is now not. Shifting baselines and if you are young and have never seen what the world once looked like than you are satisfied what you have today. After all as Wyoming has mandated we don’t want to address the issue of Climate Change in our schools and make our children feel any guilt at what they may be causing with their addictions to those wonders of technology, the iPhone, etc, etc.
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The inability of most people to distinguish between technology and energy sources is mindboggling.
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Kevin,
Correct and to the point.
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http://www.climatenewsnetwork.net/2014/04/greenlands-icecap-loses-stability/
Greenland’s icecap loses stability
Greenland is losing ice from part of its territory at an accelerating rate, suggesting that the edges of the entire ice cap may be unstable.
[read how it’s now 4 times as fast as it was in 1997]
______
http://attempter.wordpress.com/2014/04/13/rootworms-and-gmos/
Rootworms and GMOs
[begins]
A recent paper in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences summarizes the spread of rootworm resistance to Bt poisons generated by GMOs. Two of the three commercial Bt traits against rootworm are widely ineffective. The problem is so severe that even a corporatist organization like the NAS feels compelled to discuss it.
This product failure, or to put it another way the triumphant counteroffensive of the rootworms, has been documented for many years now. It happened quickly following the commercialization of the first anti-rootworm GMO products in 2003.
The product genre is in response to an artificial problem, generated completely by the GMO regime itself. In a rational crop rotation and pest management system, as largely prevailed prior to the advent of GMOs in the mid 1990s, rootworm was seldom more than a nuisance to maize farmers. This pest only started becoming a serious problem when farmers were exhorted by Monsanto and the US government to grow corn every year. The Roundup Ready trait and the poison trait vs. the corn borer were alleged to enable this. The fact that it encouraged rootworm infestation, since now their larvae would find new corn to feed on the next year (which is what crop rotation is supposed to prevent, so that the pest can never become well-established), was an intentionally generated problem which Monsanto then answered with its rootworm-resistant poison trait.
Monsanto’s plan was not only to supply this artificially generated demand, but to use this demand as leverage for its “expanded trait penetration” strategy to force stacked products containing the anti-rootworm trait upon farmers who didn’t need it. In the face of a massive farmer outcry and whatever danger there was from the largely illusory Justice Department antitrust investigation, Monsanto backpedaled on this, and today there are plenty of Double Pro varieties without the anti-rootworm trait available. But these are still triple-stacks containing two anti-borer poisons, since borers have been waging their own victorious war against poison-based agriculture, and it’s a fact that the GMO regime can do nothing but try to fight the long defeat as slowly as possible.
The standard treadmill dynamic for both anti-weed and anti-insect GMOs quickly set in with anti-rootworm crops, as rootworms quickly developed resistance to the poison crops which pretended to suppress them. Now this new paper documents how quickly cross-resistance developed between two of the three anti-rootworm traits available. The first anti-rootworm Bt poison was Monsanto’s CryBb1 (“cry” means the crystalline form of the Bt toxin). This was the poison produced by the cells of the original M863 product in 2003, and it remains Monsanto’s anti-rootworm trait to this day. So much for innovation.
Rootworms developed resistance to this toxin, and then more quickly developed resistance to Syngenta’s modified Cry3A which is contained in its MIR604 product line, including the new Duracade line which contains a synthetic combo of Cry3A and an old anti-borer toxin. The paper finds that the Syngenta poison is similar enough to Monsanto’s that rootworms resistant to the latter were likely to also be resistant to the former, and that this is the likely reason for the accelerating resistance. Again, there’s the level of “innovation” among these geniuses. Sounds like such products as Monsanto’s Triple Pro and Syngenta’s Viptera wouldn’t be such good bets if you have a rootworm problem.
[and continues, (Kevin, you’ll like this part)]
This is the same losing arms race as has already been occurring with the corn borer and with Roundup-resistant weeds. As the example of rootworm demonstrates, each new target for the GMO technology more quickly develops resistance to the product genre, just as this target does so more quickly for each new generation of the technological line.
This also gives the lie to the whole notion of “refugia”, which are stands of non-Bt corn which the EPA and similar regulators in other countries require poison crop growers to set aside. The idea is supposed to be that the non-Bt stand provides a “refuge” for insects without a propensity to resistance to survive and interbreed with the naturally resistant ones who have survived feeding on the Bt crop. Their offspring will be less likely to inherit the resistance trait, and therefore the overall conversion of the pest population to a resistant variety is supposed to be delayed.
As we see, the theoretical setting aside of refuges has done little to halt the march of Bt-resistant rootworms. Of course, such refuges were more of a political scam in the first place, since the EPA nor regulators in other countries have been vigilant about enforcing them, nor were they supposed to be. The idea of the refugia, as a way for regulators and corporations to reassure skeptics that the product will work, has always had more significance then their real world application.
This is proven by the fact that, in the same way that regulatory allowed herbicide levels in water and food is set not according to public health or any other scientific measure, but simply reflects whatever level will result from the amount of herbicides corporations need to sell and farmers need to spray, so the refugia percentages aren’t set according to any scientific measure, but at the lowest politically justifiable level.
[and concludes]
The fact is that in addition to all their other proven and likely dangers, GMOs were always guaranteed to generate insect and weed resistance against themselves. They were always guaranteed to lead to nothing but an ever-escalating arms race, with the GMO products having to incorporate more and more endemic and sprayed poisons to be even the slightest bit effective. The products would have to become more and more expensive and be ever more poisonous to humans, livestock, and the environment. And the end result of this is guaranteed to be massive crop destruction and the wholesale abandonment of farmland to intractable weeds, as has already been happening in Georgia and elsewhere.
As I described above, much of this was premeditated as a form of planned obsolescence, and as a way of generating new demand, where it came to anti-rootworm crops as such.
Perhaps most of the cadres involved simply refuse to think about the inevitable end of this Tower of Babel, taking solace in the flat-earth fundamentalist mantra, “technology will think of something”. As we can see, it’s been working so well so far. Those who do think about it are simply psychopaths who expect to enjoy their own profits and power before the inevitable end. On Wall Street this way of looking at it is called IBGYBG – “I’ll be gone, you’ll be gone”, so therefore let’s continue perpetrating these finance cons, constructing these pyramid schemes, blowing up this bubble, since by the time it all blows up we’ll have taken our fat bonuses and run. Individual cartel executives and investors must think the same way.
That’s part of why humanity cannot “coexist” with GMOs. That’s part of why our only option is total abolition. Nothing short of that can stave off the many modes of inevitable failure hardwired into an agricultural regime based on GMOs and poisons. As this example demonstrates well, we cannot rely on “regulators”, let alone the corporations themselves, to act in a way which makes any other course possible. It’s proactive abolition along with the affirmative building of the Community Food and Food Sovereignty movement, or else it’s a very dark future.
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Yeah, the illusions of the idle rich. Spent a couple of summers out in the Hamptons as a young man. One straight house (my closeted days) and one full of queers and in neither case did I fit in.
After the event last night I was reminded that these people really believe that money will fix each and every problem they create. Think Bhopal. People have no idea what pots and pots of money can do in wide wonderful world. Money so protects their offspring from any of reality.
And if there’s anyone who wants to catch a glimpse go to your local library and take out the series, “Royal Pains.” It’s kind of like the flip side of the “Walking Dead.” Really it’s almost the same premise only the monsters all look pretty, but act more like villains than the zombies do.
What goes on in the world of the financially rich would blow most people’s minds. It’s really not fantasy. Imagine someone who invented the paper clip now has grandchildren and great grandchildren still living off the money coming in from that invention. Living in homes located all over the world. Paper Clips and local farmers trying to grow food beyond organic (as the label is complete BS today) can’t make ends meet.
As Earl Butts said, “Grow or get out.” And the guy went to his grave not regretting a single thing he did.
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Today being tax day here in the U.S. I thought i’d post something relevant
(oh my goodness, what’s happened to Tom, suddenly trying to be relevant?):
http://www.latimes.com/business/money/la-fi-mo-companies-wealthy-avoid-income-taxes-report-20140415,0,2516313.story#ixzz2yyCGfKM9
Average American foots the bill when firms sidestep taxes, report says
The average American would have to fork over an extra $1,259 in state and federal income taxes this year to make up for the revenue lost because of offshore tax havens used by corporations and wealthy individuals, according to a new report.
U.S. companies will use offshore tax havens to avoid paying an estimated $110 billion in taxes this year, according to the analysis by the U.S. Public Interest Research Group. Wealthy people will circumvent about $74 billion in taxes.
The report underscores the controversial issue of major companies using elaborate maneuvers to sidestep taxes, often by stowing income in overseas subsidiaries set up primarily for tax purposes. In some cases, critics say, enormously profitable companies pay no income taxes.
“Average taxpayers and small-business owners foot the bill for offshore tax dodging,” said Dan Smith, PIRG tax and budget advocate. “Every dollar in taxes companies avoid by booking profits to shell companies in tax havens must be balanced by cuts to public programs, higher taxes for the rest of us or more debt.”
[read it]
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here’s a song, then I gotta go (I know: “it’s about time!”)
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On the Question Everything blog, George Mobus has reached a consensus with Joseph Tainter and Charlie Hall that collapse is a certainty. Mike Ruppert makes a quick exit from existence and Dmitri Orlov says it time to find another place to live. Guy McPherson says that NTE is just around the corner. Every small town in American is gifted an armored military vehicle while Homeland Security buys billions of rounds of ammo and the NSA snoops on everything, including each other. Do you think we’re going to see the petrodollar rejected, a new monetary regime based on gold introduced and then there will be smooth sailing as before? Not a chance in hell. The middle classes will inherit the worthless and obsolete infrastructure, including their energy hog homes, just as soon as they’ve spent their last productive years paying the mortgages. Watch for promises of economic recovery and new energy technologies from now until forever while the elite pick the pockets of the soon to be starving corralled populace. In the end the big bonus boys and girls will find sanctuary while everyone else gets the hard scrabble life under the watchful eye of martial law and a drone filled sky. And don’t forget, today is tax day, you get to pay for it all.
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Nice rant James. I agree things are looking bleaker every day. Yesterday it was 80, tonight it’s going down to 27. There isn’t going to be any saving of anyone once the collapse hits hard (and continues getting worse from there on out). The police in every town live there among neighbors – everyone knows them. When things turn to complete chaos – no food or water, weather event, whatever – we’re all in the same boat. There’s no place to hide for a meaningful amount of time once the ability to grow food vanishes.
The survivors will have to live in an ever-diminishing world that won’t support plant life or sea life, and they’ll be inhaling radioactive toxic particulates mixed with methane and hydrogen sulfide with every breath. Things will be bursting into flames and/or complete chaos will ensue – think of the Watts Riots involving everyone, including the police and military. Law and order will vanish like the fantasy that “democracy” became. Even if it starts off cooperatively, i’m afraid it degenerates quite quickly when up against the survival instinct. All that ammo distributed into every town and city in the U.S. won’t be enough and sooner or later they’ll run out but there will be millions of crazed zombies still running around in search of food, shelter, habitat, a respite from the continuing degradation, running from people with murder and lust in their eyes, or wide-eyed fear and complete panic able and willing to do anything.
It will be a constant grinding down – through, on top of all the climate change problems, loss of food and shelter, law and order, medicine, water shortages, no electricity, burst pipes of all kinds in a ruined infrastructure, raging fires, dead bodies everywhere with no one cleaning them up, rampant disease – so that no one has the kind of energy to keep up with the demands of survival when the ecological system is shutting down for very long. In other words any survivors will only be prolonging the inevitable.
Throughout human history we continually display through our hubris the idea that we control everything when the exact opposite is actually the case. Whether individually or collectively – we’re just deluding ourselves and have lived in fantasy-land for too long to remember how it was in the beginning of our history and how it is supposed to be. By the time we learned about the limits to grow it was already too late to stop the on-going overpopulation of the carrying capacity of the planet or to reverse all the effects of our pollution. We were a doomed species from the start it seems.
_______________
I argued that very point with Mobus in his comments section and gave up on his childish grasping at some sort of super-sapience to come and save the day for humanity – extending our run as a species (for what, a “second chance”?). Far be it for me to educate a systems scientist with a bias. i’m glad he finally owned up to the truth of the situation – it’s a bitter pill to swallow and believe me I want to be wrong about the predicament we’re in. The continuing evidence to the contrary is what wakes most of us up sooner or later.
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Mobus is an engineer. Engineers think they can engineer things. One of the main groups who suffer from occupational protagonism.
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Pak’n’Save, a locally-owned supermarket which has its own kitchen, has just put up the price of roast meals, from $10 for two to $12 for two.
The ‘ignorant masses’ will start to get the picture soon.
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I thought about the last sentence. I’ve been thinking about prior comments you made about hoping for the drought to continue so that food disappears from the shelves ad then people will get it.
After reading the above review about how Koreans reacted to their own food insecurity.
My opinion is that the “ignorant masses” will never get it.
We should agree as to what “it” is they will get.
I don’t think they’ll ever get the picture of connect the dots. They’ll never educate themselves about the situation and always, always pick the wrong path.
Oh, of course they’ll get that feeling of being hungry. That frustration of seeing their food purchases grow less and less while they keep handing over more and more of those worthless pieces of paper.
I went out yesterday and ran into one of the handy men who are employed by the coop I live in. Roberto comes from Cuban, he was one of the raft people who arrived in 1997.
He loves America. Thinks its the land of milk and honey. Cuba. He spits on it.
We had a brief talk, no more than 10 – 15 minutes. That’s pretty much all I can bare before having to choke on the bile and vomit coming up on me.
You see Roberto wants to buy a house. It’s a great investment. He wants to leave something for his son. Of course it doesn’t occur to this macho freak or this imbecile that perhaps he ought to be leaving his son a planet on which he can survive.
I say none of the thoughts rapidly passing through my neurons.
I persevered, although why is beyond me, other than I am a masochist, and talked about the fact that there are 7 million houses on the market due to the mortgage fraud leading to the 2008 crash. Hey, things are better than ever he said.
I actually took a daring step and said that we’re not out of the woods yet and that China holds so much of the debt on this country that we’re all debt slaves.
Then, and hold on to your hat, about the level of intelligence for he masses or for life on this planet, Donald Trump says that’s a load of crap. That the debt means nothing because we have all this real estate worth billions, trillions. My head literally exploded and I just stood stunned.
Yep, this poor schnook, or is I who is the putz, thinks Trump walks on water. That what he says is true and honest. That Trump knows best and why, because Trump is a success, he’s got lots and lots of money. Of course this poor boob has no clue that Trump inherited his wealth, he’s part of the .01% and the handy man will never been in that league, but he can dream.
You think he’d ever let you pull out the main line of heroin he’s got flowing into his veins.
Imagine what I had to shove down to listen to this drivel.
Then imagine as I get to realize this is the common man. This is the future. These creatures breeding and breeding and breeding like bacteria in a dish. They’ll keep humping an humping until each and every one of us is crushed against the side of the petri dish and with nothing left to eat they’ll start to die or eat each other, but in the end there will be the last man standing and it will probably be B9K9, the lucky dog him.
We’ll not stop, not till we’ve taken it all down with us, and for most they’ll never look in the mirror or do any self reflection. For the rest of us who are aware and want this to be different it doesn’t matter because in the end it’s the ones doing the damage that will take us along with them.
Ruppert had the right idea. Why stay and see more after working so hard (for what every reason drove him) to see it deteriorate day by day. I only feel sad that after living such a violent life he had to go out in violence and not have the right and opportunity to go out in peace and quiet. We have the technology to upload our brains to a network (hey Michio KaKa) and yet we haven’t got the technology to allow people to go out in a dignified manner. BS.
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One the previous ‘Let’s get critical thread’ Gail, Lidia and Mike continued the conversation concerning the possibility of human life persisting on Antarctica or Greenland far into the future. I have only now made time to read the rest of that thread.
I had already pointed out that there is very little soil on either of those land masses and that light levels are extremely low, so photosynthesis rates would be very low even if temperatures were relatively high.
Mike suggested that humans might survive as Inuit had done, on a diet of fish, marine mammals and seaweed.
I must admit 10 or 15 years ago I saw that as a possibility. However, since then I have come to realise that the rate of acidification of the oceans is such that the oceans are unlikely to support life as we know it very much longer.
The Jeremy Jackson Ocean Apocalypse video highlights that very point.
Two or three years ago the matter of turtles surviving previous high-CO2 extinction events came up with Martin Hansen, and at the time I postulated that as ocean temperatures rose the past absorption of CO2 decreased to the point that, at high temperatures the oceans started to release CO2, thereby reducing or nullifying the ocean acidification factor (but exacerbating the warming factor). Hence, in the past oceans may not have become excessively acidic.
Of course the desequestration of sequestered carbon by industrial activity has put so much CO2 into the atmosphere and oceans at such a high rate in recent times that comparisons with previous mass extinction events become almost meaningless. natural processes have been utterly overwhelmed by emissions.
Whether humans could survive on a diet of jellyfish or other organisms that can stand primordial conditions of high temperature and high acidification is debatable but not beyond the realms of possibility.
An important consideration is that jellyfish have to eat something, otherwise they die off. At the moment they eat small fish. But what if there are no fish, as ‘Ocean Apocalypse’ indicates is very likely to be the case in a few decades?
Another aspect frequently overlooked is that Inuit living in northern regions today are kept alive by aircraft flying supplies of food to them. On the rare occasions when Inuit do go hunting, they use snowmobiles, aluminium boats with outboard motors, and high-velocity rifles, and often return with little compared to a few decades ago, or nothing.
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I tend to agree with the way you’ve projected out the situation.
I think Jackson is the closest to get it and then he pops out that Hopium pill.
Yet, he comes away from making these presentation having to get drunk because talking about this topic so depresses and distresses him.
I wish there were a more updated version of the talk. The last one was at the Naval Academy which was filmed in January 2013.
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http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/sars-research-lab-loses-2000-tubes-killer-virus-1444924
Sars Research Lab Loses 2,000 Tubes of Killer Virus
The Pasteur Institute in Paris reported it lost 2,349 tubes containing Sars virus [pic]
A prestigious research institute in France said it had lost thousands of tubes of samples of the deadly Sars coronavirus.
A routine inventory check at Paris’ Pasteur Institute revealed that 2,349 tubes containing fragments of the virus responsible for the deaths of 774 people in 2002 were missing, the centre named after French chemist Louis Pasteur said.
The institute was quick to reassure the public and said that the contents of the missing vials had no infectious potential. They contained only part of the virus and had no ability to spread.
“Independent experts referred by health authorities have qualified such potential as ‘non-existing’ according to the available evidence and literature on the survival of the Sars virus,” the institute said.
In 2002 more than 8,000 people were infected by a pandemic of Sars – severe acute respiratory syndrome. The virus spread from China through Hong Kong and on to other countries before it was eventually brought under control.
It is not clear how the tubes disappeared from one of the institute’s safest laboratories. Management were made aware of the loss in January, Le Monde newspaper reported.
For weeks, staff at the institute tried to find the missing vials, general director Christian Bréchot said.
“We’ve looked for those boxes [containing the tubes] everywhere,” Bréchot explained.
“We went thought the lists of all the people who have worked here in the past year and a half, including trainees. We have scrutinised their profile to check if there was any conflict.”
Bréchot said that foul play was “highly improbable” but had not been ruled out.
The tubes were stored in a high-security laboratory dedicated to research into highly infective viruses.
Access to the lab is limited to a restricted number of personnel, who have to go through a disinfection process before they can leave.
Bréchot suggested that the tubes, which were moved from one freezer to another in March 2013, might have been destroyed by a member of staff who forgot to record the procedure.
Sars is an airborne virus, which spreads in a similar way to flu and the common cold.
The Agency for the Safety of Health Products has opened an investigation into the missing tubes.
________
These type of instances always suggest nefarious underpinnings to me. I hope i’m wrong.
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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/education/educationnews/10767878/Infants-unable-to-use-toy-building-blocks-due-to-iPad-addiction.html
Infants ‘unable to use toy building blocks’ due to iPad addiction
The Association of Teachers and Lecturers warn that rising numbers of children are unable to perform simple tasks such as using building blocks because of overexposure to iPads
Rising numbers of infants lack the motor skills needed to play with building blocks because of an “addiction” to tablet computers and smartphones, according to teachers.
Many children aged just three or four can “swipe a screen” but have little or no dexterity in their fingers after spending hours glued to iPads, it was claimed.
Members of the Association of Teachers and Lecturers also warned how some older children were unable to complete traditional pen and paper exams because their memory had been eroded by overexposure to screen-based technology.
[read the article]
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Immensely sad, this. Like so many of our fully anticipated yet unanticipated consequences, I’ve been warning for years now about the live experiment we are running with screens and memory devices introduced too early and without balancing offline skills. Nicholas Carr addresses this in his book The Shallows. I always recommend to parent to avoid exposing their kids to screens for as long as possible. But no matter; they’re ubiquitous and thus unavoidable, right? I don’t own any tablets or readers and far prefer a printed book/magazine to online access. Blogs are the only information source not duplicated in a better format.
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I laughed at this comment.
Yes, we start them too early. Almost from the moment they come out of the birth canal.
I truly feel as the woman Annie, the art teacher from England, who decided to end her life at Dignitis in a peaceful and loving way. One reason was they she felt similarly to you and myself regarding technology. I use as little as possible (hey, here I am on the net on a computer at home).
Whenever I’m on public transportation though I’m an anachronism. All around me are people on screens while there I am holding a real live physical book. Most look at me oddly if they raise their heads up at all from their texting fury or their bobbing heads.
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The human mind preferentially entertains future scenarios, if they exist at all, that are on the rosy and optimistic side of the ledger. Why? Because belief in a bright future or that good things await in the future are capable of releasing pleasureful biochemicals in the brain. So no matter how many times you turn the lights out with doom and gloom scenarios, the healthy individual will simply flip the switch back to a future scenario that places them in a techno-utopia, agrarian utopia, heavenly utopia. This is why people play the lottery (because they’re going to win), invest their money with scoundrels (because they’re trustworthy and a big pay-off awaits), or go to church daily or weekly (because the most fabulous reality imaginable is just beyond death. There is no end to optimism bias, it is supported by long evolved brain biochemistry.
The fact that Ruppert is gone, Orlov is turning his attention to a language project, Mobus is again concentrating on his preference for engineering intelligence, the Oil Drum is shut down, only proves that the Cassandra message, good for eliciting temporary horror film adrenaline spikes, is quickly turned off in favor of future scenarios that release soothing and rewarding dopamine and serotonin.
William Catton, having published “Overshoot, The Ecological Basis of Revolutionary Change”, a book which should have been purchased by everyone and read like the most holy Bible, could not match one hours worth of Harry Potter fiction sales. Why? Because it’s a turn-off and people naturally seek pleasure in what they do and in what they think. People will maintain their positive outlooks until the ship breaks in half and sinks beneath the waves and only then, when they’re treading water, will they think, “There must be land…..there, just beyond the horizon.”
Although it seems that technology is adaptive, allowing us to overcome numerous limitations, we fail to appreciate that the limitations were what guaranteed our long-term survival.
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James,
As far as I’m concerned you’ve scored a perfect hit on the target.
Every time I think someone gets the picture I’m utterly flabbergasted that the next time we see each other it’s as if that epiphany never occurred. It’s kind like a combination of Invasion of the Body Snatchers and Groundhog Day.
It’s absolutely maddening to me. It’s the boiling frog in the pot syndrome. This is why we’ll never make the changes we need to because we don’t really believe what’s happening. NTE is merely a side issue that distracts It’s what people reject from McPherson’s presentations.
Whether NTE will occur in 40 years or not doesn’t concern me. Merely considering the way we treat each other is of primary importance and that’s not very nicely. Why don’t people consider that the major agencies have changed their projections of temperature increase to occur during the 21st century over the course of the last seven years. They’ve raised the expected increase and vastly shortened the time frame this will occur within.
We don’t understand nature and I saw continued evidence of that the other night at the presentation of the death of the Ocean in the Bahamas since 1950. People are so disconnected they can’t grasp the enormity of what’s happening and can’t do anything as their minds reject the situation. They must retreat to Happy Land as fast as possible.
Even the author, Gordon Chaplin, who has a locally raised cattle farm in upstate NY and has created a coop got so many points wrong in his talk. This guy was raised by Charles G. Chaplin (not the actor), but a famed ichthyologist of the Philadelphia Academy of Science who was instrumental in exploring and writing about the Bahama’s ocean life.
In his opening to the talk Gordon alluded to the fact that the US has become energy independent due to vast amounts of gas we are extracting. Not a very auspicious beginning from my POV and only one point out of three that he made. One referred our ability to clone. The third I forgot. He was clear that we’ve paid a high price to enjoy the benefits of these gifts.
Gordon Chaplin spoke about the five year expedition he was recently part of (to celebrate the 50th anniversary of his father’s work) which focused on returning to the area his father worked in and he grew up in during the late 40’s/early 50s. This was the Grand Bahama Island. It was devoid of people then (today it is the location of a behemoth of a resort known as Atlantis). A natural place of diversity and beauty. Abundant sea life of great diversity. Vibrant colors. A virtual Garden of Eden. Coral for miles around.
We got to see what this location looked like as Gordon showed home movies taken during his adolescence there. You could see it before your eyes. While we watched he spoke of what was there today. It’s a vast area of death. The coral is dead covered by algae. He described the barrenness of the area. It’s despicable that this occurred only since 1950. We are the destroyer.
Sadly, Gordon was not as well informed as I was and so I didn’t correct some pretty stark pieces of misinformation he relayed to the audience. One thing was that he kept referring to the our current situation as Global Warming. Another was that he had no idea of what was happening in the Arctic and the melting of the ice and so was clueless why that will have an impact on sea life. He didn’t understand or seem to know where all the heat has been going and why an El Nino now will probably be even more disastrous than one that occurred in 1997.
The only point I bought up during Q&A was that once the Arctic goes water temperature will increase by 79 degrees, the amount of energy once being absorbed by the ice. The ocean will heat up considerable without the ice to act as a cooling agent. I actually suggested they all conduct an example using a pot of water filled with some ice, put a thermometer in it and put it on a slow, low heat and watch what happens the second all the ice is melted. Do it with your children and grandchildren I said.
I will say that when I mentioned that the ocean will heat up to such a degree once the ice is gone there was an audible gasp from the entire room. This from about 80 whites (well they all looked like me) who were from well “educated” backgrounds and are considered successful according to our standards.
At the end a single person came up to me to ask me where did I go to school and what degree did I have that enabled me to understand the situation. Well, it was like watching a balloon deflate. As soon as I said I was studying this on my own and self educating his face contorted, froze, his eyes glazed over and his body lurched back.
For a fraction of a second before answering him I considered telling him a story about my background. I have no problem lying to people as they seem to love hearing lies instead of truth. I could have told him I had numerous advance degrees from so and so school and that I teach at such and such a place. I guarantee that in the majority of cases the person I’m talking to will accept my lie on face value and go away feeling more satisfied than this guy did.
Although I didn’t plan it I was reading the latest version of Guy’s Climate Summary and the recent Truthout piece by Dahr Jamil earlier that night. Just on a whim I went up to Chaplin after the event and handed him those articles merely saying I thought he might find them interesting and then left.
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I was in the Bahamas vacationing as a kid around 1968 on New Providence and the water was so clear, beautiful fish, really nice place. But over time the cancer tends to become dense with infill development taking all the small natural areas that could act as a buffer against despoilment. It just keeps spreading, eating, poisoning while population grows ever larger. I suppose that even as it heats up, the ocean will always be warmer in the winter and cooler in the summer than the continental land masses. The rising seas and storm surges weigh against the sea breeze and potentially paradisaical islands can quickly succumb to overpopulation and exploitation (Haiti). The men of letters are not what they should be, always too busy looking for grants, meeting their teaching requirements, hobnobbing with administration officials, I doubt they have much time to think and if they did, they would likely guard their income stream and career goals above all else (Guy McPherson is an exception.)
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Quite the outpouring there. PMB sez: As soon as I said I was studying this on my own and self educating his face contorted, froze, his eyes glazed over and his body lurched back. For a fraction of a second before answering him I considered telling him a story about my background. I have no problem lying to people as they seem to love hearing lies instead of truth.
That’s an instructive bit. But I don’t know that in the end it would matter, since people ignore experts with (supposed) proper credentials anyway. And many of those properly credentialed people are idiots themselves, so one must always rely on one’s own functioning synapses (use ’em if ya gots ’em, which is becoming harder than ever to train) in judging the truth of things.
A while back, I gave a speech called “The Death of Expertise” arguing that appeals to authority have no functional value anymore. No one believed me, of course, which is a funny bit of irony.
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Yes, I’m aware it would change nothing in the end. Yes, I am aware that we do ignore the “experts” and that many, many, many (probably most) “experts” are idiots.
It’s more about how I’ve been functioning in the world these days. How I navigate just being around people. It’s more about my own stuff.
I always prefer the truth, it’s so much more interesting. Only I find we all struggle with self-disclosure. We want to be close or claim so, yet we can’t seem to bear allowing others to know us. I’m not a fantasist that things that returning to small tribes or communities made us all angels and compassionate.
It’s like we’re all living in a never-ending 12-step program. “Take what you want and leave the rest.”
It does seem that the more of us there are. The more of us live in these huge cities where hiding and avoiding is easy the less we know each other and could trust each other.
The more I learn: sociocracy, conflict resolution, honing my listening and hearing skills, learning to observe, etc, etc, the less I can bear this planet.
Synapses that’s the word I was struggling for a while back. Firing on all synapses. Sadly, I must say I find most people have allowed them to atrophy to the point of no amount of work able to restore them to some kind of functionality.
That’s an intriguing presentation you gave. I wonder if there was a train of squish and fluid from the brain’s leaking out of the heads of people stumbling out of the room.
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I hope my remarks were not interpreted as presumptuous advice or telling you things you clearly already know. You need none of that from the likes of me. Besides, the very last thing on my mind is to do the creepy Caroline Baker thing and position myself as a doomer psychiatrist, though I probably would prescribe alcohol. BTW, are you the same fellow as Pig.Man.Bear (shortened to PMB)? I have the impression you’re older and wiser whereas he is younger and figuring things out (quickly).
Repeated exhortations to get to know one’s neighbors are decidedly mixed messages. As you suggest, most of our incentives point the opposite direction, and feigned sociability smacks of venal self-interest (including nothing less than survival). If I allowed myself the full range of my own emotions, my anger and repulsion at the ineptitude, stupidity, ignorance, and inanity of most of my acquaintances would overtake me. Instead, I chalk it up to the entire race and settle on resigned misanthropy. Hiding is a rather sane response.
I’m hiding in plain sight, though. Some years ago, out of frustration and because it’s interesting, I became a sort of low-grade public intellectual, not that anyone recognizes that sort of personality without the marketing machine and books/programs on offer to validate it. My odd finding is that a subsection of people of a certain age (Boomers, mostly) crave real intellectual stimulation and honesty, which falls off rapidly as one goes toward Gen X and Y age groups. So I participate in a lot of online discussion and give periodic speeches. I’m currently at work on another speech to be presented next month, which like previous outings borrows heavily from everywhere. I can’t reveal much while behind the modest shield of my assumed online name. More hiding, I suppose.
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I didn’t take them as presumptuous at all. I enjoy your posts here and on your own blog. I can’t say I agree with everything you share, but I’ll defend your right to write it. I’ve learned quite a bit from reading the thoughts you do share.
Actually I’ve been trying to still work on a response from a number of threads back where the s— hit fan with P Getty. You wrote some responses that were very helpful to me. It allowed me to process and put some things in perspective.
I’m not Pig Guy. The initials stand for my name. I’ve had my 15 minutes of fame over the past 11 years. A major setback in multiple areas 18 months ago just destroyed me. I am now hiding until ready to check out. All my attempts to change the path I seem to have been heading on have ended in utter failure and disaster. I no longer have the courage to fail any longer. I don’t have Guy’s option to travel around leaving the difficult situation of his home.
At some point, probably once I’ve put all loose ends in order I’ll reveal who I am, as it will make no difference then. It does take quite a while to put everything in place.
I’m saddened by the death of Ruppert as I knew him personally. He ate in my home and we broke bread together a couple of times. We weren’t friends. I just wish he could have out in a more peaceful way as his life seemed to be full of chaos, confusion, conflict, etc. etc. He was a part of every relationship he was in.
I had a friend who decided to take his life two years ago next month. He was active in Peak Oil. We hadn’t seen each other in a while. He seemed to have gotten all he wanted (wife, child), etc. His family were good “Catholics” so the funeral was dramatic performance worthy of Off-Broadway. He wasn’t the first person I knew, but all the people I knew who did make this decision took their lives violently
I hope this comment doesn’t upset people. As I’ve posted on NBL death has been a close part of my life (and I’m sure others in varying degrees) since I was four. It was never death I feared it was dying the painful and horrible way those around me went. I react when others make silly statements like “I’ll hang around and see the end of the movie.” They have no clue what they are talking about. Come back to me after about the sixth death after dealing with a slow wasting away of about six months. You’ll be so tired and worn out and the future won’t be full of possibilities that it seemed to me when I was younger.
I just listened to the Gary Null interview with McPherson. I’m trying to contain myself. Listening to Null’s voice always makes me feel like I need a bath afterwards. It’s very soft, controlling and seductive. If I hadn’t run one of the Local Elections for Pacifica all these faceless voices and names wouldn’t have ;become fleshed out people with the same set of personality issues as the rest of us, perhaps more so because of all the money and power they have amassed.
There are real heroes. I just think they are the unsung ones who are probably right there next to you appearing bland and trite. I actually think of myself as one as odd as that might sound. We’re not all Oprah and don’t want to be.
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I hope no one will take it amiss if I say that I am heartened and encouraged that some of our posters are being so open and revealing about their thoughts and feelings around the collapse/NTE reality. I include in this discussions of suicidal thoughts and real life occurrences of that. My long association with the AA process has taught me that no subject should be held unmentionable in a group using deep mutual and self-honesty as a way to deal with the agonizing realities, inner and outer that some of us are facing. I have not found that sharing our deepest fears and depressions, including thoughts of suicide has had any but a healing effect on those involved. To do so actually works to make such outcomes less likely. That individuals find that they can share this stuff on this site, I think speaks very well for what goes on here.
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Once a year NPDC goes through a so-called public consultation process in which residents of the district are invited to submit thoughts and suggestions to the council for the council to consider in their so-called planning.
It has become increasingly clear to anyone who gets involved in this process that the people who do the so-called planning are totally out of their depth and incapable of generating any kind of meaningful plan, and that they take no notice of anything that challenges business-as-usual based on aspirations that were polled a decade ago, so year after year this district, along with every other, has been subjected to utter nonsense.as a plan.
Fortunately not all councillors are brain dead, and I met with two this afternoon and discussed this year’s folly’s, having delivered two documents of rather critical material over the past couple of days to the council offices.
In one document I have pointed out that whereas 7 years ago I was warning of the coming collapse and attempting to get rational policies implements, that is no longer the case; the window of opportunity for action has now closed; the deadline for action is now in the past. As I aid to one Kevin-friendly councillor this afternoon, the main reason for doing this stuff now is so that the incompetence is on public record, as opposed to there being no record if I did not challenge the nonsense.
It is no longer a case of trying to persuade the captain the slow down or to alter course; we have hit the iceberg and the Titanic is sinking fast. It would nevertheless, be helpful if council officers could divert their attention from tomorrow’s breakfast menu and what tunes the orchestra should play towards launching lifeboats.
In the other document I have presented to-date revelations with respect to the culture of black and sacrifice zone which I believe Taranaki is in the process of becoming.. Thanks to those on this site who contributed thoughts on the matter and to James for the link to aggression of sports teams study.
Of course, the entire planet will eventually become a sacrifice zone as we slide down the energy cliff and environmental meltdown takes it toll……. another point I have made to NPDC.
More on this stuff a bit later.
s
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mike k.: your observation is one of the reasons this site is special.
Kevin: do what you can while you can with the authorities – but when the time comes, do for you & yours (hopefully a community of like-minded people).
http://theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com/2014/04/16/west-africa-ebola-confirmed-in-outbreak-is-new-strain/
West Africa Ebola confirmed in outbreak is new strain
April 2014 – AFRICA – The Ebola virus in western Africa is a novel strain that probably evolved locally and circulated for months before the outbreak became apparent, researchers said. The index case is probably a 2-year-old child from Guinea’s Guéckédou prefecture who died Dec. 6, 2013 — several months before the outbreak was recognized in March, according to Stephan Günther, MD, of the Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine in Hamburg, Germany, and colleagues. The findings come from an early epidemiological “look-back” and genetic examination of virus samples from 15 patients, Günther and colleagues reported online in the New England Journal of Medicine. The report comes as the World Health Organization is reporting that the outbreak now includes 202 suspected or confirmed cases — 168 in Guinea, 28 in Liberia, and six in Mali. There have been 121 deaths. Meanwhile, the health ministry in Guinea was optimistic that the worst is over. A spokesman told reporters the rate of new cases has slowed dramatically in Guinea and the outbreak is nearly under control. Reuters news agency quoted spokesman Rafi Diallo as saying: “The number of new cases has fallen rapidly” and the most recent cases are people who are not sick but are being monitored because they had been in contact with those who had fallen ill. “Once we no longer have any new cases … we can say that it is totally under control,” Diallo was quoted as saying. Günther and colleagues studied samples from 15 patients and concluded the virus affecting them is a novel version of ebolavirus, which has five species: Zaire ebolavirus (or EBOV), Sudan ebolavirus, Bundibugyo ebolavirus, Reston ebolavirus, and Tai Forest ebolavirus. The first three have caused major outbreaks in Africa, while the Tai Forest species has been responsible for a single human case, and the Reston species, which circulates in the Philippines, affects nonhuman primates but not people.
The version in the current outbreak is 97% identical to strains from the Democratic Republic of Congo and Gabon, but is a separate grouping with the EBOV clade, Günther and colleagues found. It probably evolved recently in parallel with the strains from other countries and was not introduced into Guinea from them, they concluded. “It is possible that EBOV has circulated undetected in this region for some time,” they wrote, and its emergence “highlights the risk of EBOV outbreaks in the whole West African subregion.” To try to get a handle on that emergence, the researchers reviewed hospital documentation and interviewed affected families, patients, and inhabitants of villages in which cases occurred. What appears to be the first case — at the “current state of the epidemiologic investigation” — was the 2-year-old, who lived in Meliandou in Guéckédou prefecture, the researchers wrote. Several members of her family also became ill and died, as did several contacts from other villages. Importantly, a healthcare worker who treated family members appears to have been the key player in spreading the virus beyond the local region. The worker became ill, went to hospital in the neighboring Macenta prefecture, and died there. From there, family members carried the virus back to other parts of Guéckédou and other contacts spread the virus to Nzérékoré and Kissidougou prefectures. The virus was apparently transmitted for months before the outbreak became evident, the researchers argued — a length of exposure that “allowed many transmission chains and thus increased the number of cases. –Med Page Today
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This one’s a long, but interesting read. i’ll just quote the beginning (I don’t know when this article was published, maybe 2010):
http://projects.washingtonpost.com/top-secret-america/articles/a-hidden-world-growing-beyond-control/
A hidden world, growing beyond control
The top-secret world the government created in response to the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, has become so large, so unwieldy and so secretive that no one knows how much money it costs, how many people it employs, how many programs exist within it or exactly how many agencies do the same work.
These are some of the findings of a two-year investigation by The Washington Post that discovered what amounts to an alternative geography of the United States, a Top Secret America hidden from public view and lacking in thorough oversight. After nine years of unprecedented spending and growth, the result is that the system put in place to keep the United States safe is so massive that its effectiveness is impossible to determine.
The investigation’s other findings include:
* Some 1,271 government organizations and 1,931 private companies work on programs related to counterterrorism, homeland security and intelligence in about 10,000 locations across the United States.
* An estimated 854,000 people, nearly 1.5 times as many people as live in Washington, D.C., hold top-secret security clearances.
* In Washington and the surrounding area, 33 building complexes for top-secret intelligence work are under construction or have been built since September 2001. Together they occupy the equivalent of almost three Pentagons or 22 U.S. Capitol buildings – about 17 million square feet of space.
* Many security and intelligence agencies do the same work, creating redundancy and waste. For example, 51 federal organizations and military commands, operating in 15 U.S. cities, track the flow of money to and from terrorist networks.
* Analysts who make sense of documents and conversations obtained by foreign and domestic spying share their judgment by publishing 50,000 intelligence reports each year – a volume so large that many are routinely ignored.
[read the rest]
I want to add to that something from one of the commenters here published today (the latest in a running series):
http://blogdredd.blogspot.com/2014/04/american-feudalism-10.html
American Feudalism – 10
The graphic to the left, from National Priorities Project, says a lot. [see pic]
There has been a surge in military spending for wars since circa 2000, leading to a doubling of military expenditures.
Excluding classified (secret) budget amounts, the known military spending is still the largest single expenditure in the U.S. budget, which, as has been pointed out in this series already, is the dark-ages foundation of feudalism –a militaristic economic structure that eventually enslaves the citizenry (see e.g. American Feudalism – 6).
Historical scholarship confirms this generally unknown reality of history: Warfare was endemic in the feudal period, but feudalism did not cause warfare;
warfare caused feudalism.
…
Feudalism was the medieval model of government predating the birth of the modern nation-state. Feudal society is a military hierarchy in which a ruler or lord offers mounted fighters a fief (medieval beneficium), a unit of land to control in exchange for a military service. The individual who accepted this land became a vassal, and the man who granted the land become known as his liege or his lord. The deal was often sealed by swearing oaths on the Bible or on the relics of saints.
…
Before a lord could grant land (a fief) to someone, he had to make that person a vassal. This was done at a formal and symbolic ceremony called a commendation ceremony, which was composed of the two-part act of homage and oath of fealty. During homage, the lord and vassal entered into a contract in which the vassal promised to fight for the lord at his command, whilst the lord agreed to protect the vassal from external forces.
…
Feudalism was a political system which was dominant in Europe during the Middle Ages. First used in the 1600s, the term refers to a hierarchy of reciprocal military and legal obligations among the nobility. In simplified terms, a lesser noble (the vassal) would pledge his loyalty (fealty) to a higher noble (the lord) in exchange for land (a fief). In return, the vassal gave military service to the lord. As armies were expensive to raise and maintain, a lord was able to distribute the cost (in men and money) among his vassals.
…
Feudalism was based on the exchange of land for military service. King William the Conqueror used the concept of feudalism to reward his Norman supporters for their help in the conquest of England. Life lived under the Medieval Feudal System, or Feudalism, demanded that everyone owed allegiance to the King and their immediate superior.
…
The feudal society was constructed for one reason: security. The nobles wanted the security of maintaining control over their far-reaching kingdoms, so they were forced to delegate power to local control. The peasants wanted security from marauders and barbarians from neighboring lands. They also wanted security from invading armies. And thus the development of the feudal system and the fief structure was almost inevitable. However, all this came at the great expense of the common man. He gave up many freedoms for his security. The question we ask you is: Was it worth it?
(American Feudalism). It is not worth it to destroy the fabric of a nation along with its constitutional democracy, which is what we have been warned of for over 200 years:
“Of all the enemies to public liberty war is, perhaps, the most to be dreaded, because it comprises and develops the germ of every other.
War is the parent of armies; from these proceed debts and taxes; and armies, and debts, and taxes are the known instruments for bringing the many under the domination of the few. In war, too, the discretionary power of the Executive is extended; its influence in dealing out offices, honors, and emoluments is multiplied: and all the means of seducing the minds, are added to those of subduing the force, of the people.
The same malignant aspect in republicanism may be traced in the inequality of fortunes, and the opportunities of fraud, growing out of a state of war, and in the degeneracy of manners and of morals, engendered by both.
No nation could preserve its freedom in the midst of continual warfare.
Those truths are well established.”(ibid). We are told the opposite by the doublespeak media, that is, we are told that we must have continual warfare to preserve freedom.
The previous post in this series is here.
(James Madison, “Political Observations,” April 20, 1795, in Letters and Other Writings of James Madison, Volume IV, page 491, emphasis added – is where the quoted material is from, on his first posting in this series).
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The conclusions or characterizations offered in the two linked and quoted articles are hardly revelations. Maybe the authors believe they have uncovered something novel, but like so many other developments in the last 15 years, casual observers with even modest historical knowledge already came to these conclusions years ago.
Yes, Virginia, the U.S. is a security state. It has been from the outset of the Cold War some 65 years ago and really intensified with the first nondomestic (i.e., not a U.S. citizen) attack on U.S. soil 13 years ago. The effort and expense consumed by this orientation toward the world is one of many things now destroying us. The comparison to feudalism is interesting but not very accurate. Power, financial, and information networks operate somewhat differently in the age of globalism. The same is true of comparisons to the collapse of the Roman Empire: instructive yet divergent.
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http://www.truth-out.org/news/item/23115-who-goes-to-jail-matt-taibbi-on-american-injustice-gap-from-wall-street-to-main-street
Who Goes to Jail? Matt Taibbi on American Injustice Gap From Wall Street to Main Street [about 40 minute interview on Democracy Now]
Award-winning journalist Matt Taibbi is out with an explosive new book that asks why the vast majority of white-collar criminals have avoided prison since the financial crisis began, while an unequal justice system imprisons the poor and people of color on a mass scale. In The Divide: American Injustice in the Age of the Wealth Gap, Taibbi explores how the Depression-level income gap between the wealthy and the poor is mirrored by a “justice” gap in who is targeted for prosecution and imprisonment. “It is much more grotesque to consider the non-enforcement of white-collar criminals when you do consider how incredibly aggressive law enforcement is with regard to everybody else,” Taibbi says.
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