Cross posted from PrayforCalamity
by
TDoS
—
The blue sky almost gleamed in the morning light. An electric sapphire firmament hanging low over the green grass. Cold water moving fast through the creeks whose banks were widened by the unseasonable flow. A spring day by the look and feel of it. In reality, it was Christmas Eve in the year of a super El Nino. We were winding along country roads on our way north to visit my mother who lives on the outskirts of Chicago. Every time I return to that cast iron city so bathed in smoke and fog I can only feel satisfied with my choice to never again reside there.
In honor of a friend who died this past summer, I met up with a man I have known since high school and we, along with his girlfriend, went to see the new Star Wars film. Our deceased mutual friend was a great fan of the original trilogy, and it seemed a fitting way to center getting together while we were both back home. Of course, the flip side of such an outing is having to enmesh oneself with the throngs of other movie goers, and to submit oneself to the barrage of cultural pap, heavy with subtext and clues to the greater cultural malaise that is a Hollywood movie viewing experience.
Before the film, there are of course several coming attractions for other movies which by and large all seemed to express the same handful of palpitating urges that must be metastisizing just beneath the skin of the general public’s artfully crafted facade of contentedness. With the exception of a children’s cartoon, every film we were shown a trailer for was about the grand destruction of society in one form or another. Most of these couched their plot lines in the superhero milieu. Batman and Superman will be fighting Doomsday while the X-Men will be fighting the Apocalypse. Captain America was in there somewhere too, punching, kicking, and I can’t remember what. Some other films, the names of which escape me, also focused on massive catastrophe of some kind, but the protagonists were unexpected heroes who were trained to be better, faster, stronger by military mentors. It was hard to not come away with the feeling that a large contingent of this society is seething beneath their complacent smiles, waiting for the day when the skylines of the cities are aglow with flame, when the rules are no longer enforceable, when the millions of other human beings who are constantly interfering with their lives are wiped out in a clean flash of light, and the scattered remnants – themselves included – get to run around with guns shooting anyone else who happens to be in the way.
A better psychoanalyst than myself could likely un-stitch the many tangled threads of collective conscious that seem to be on display in such a venue, but the negative space was clear. Not present were any films about people cooperating to solve problems. Not present were even simple stories about people living normal lives, albeit beset by uncommon struggles, but at least content with modern western existence. A movie without a firefight or some kind of glorious combat was glaringly absent. Interestingly, the superhero plot points often seemed to revolve around internal conflict within the ranks. Is this a representation of the collective unconscious? Are we all gearing up for a fight against all enemies, foreign and domestic?
—
Apparently it rained at the North Pole in recent days. Tornadoes ripped through Texas during the holiday break while floods ravaged England. The El Nino event that has been supercharged by climate change is indeed wreaking its share of havoc. Larger, continuing ecological calamities like tree die offs around the globe and oceanic extinctions which are glaring and happening almost in slow motion prompt some people to ask, “Why are humans so inept when it comes to responding to environmental crises?” It is a reasonable enough question on it’s surface, but I am skeptical whenever all humans are lumped into a group and then laid on the couch to be analyzed. Are humans inept? Or are other forces preventing otherwise well intentioned and intelligent humans from addressing such crises? It isn’t as if no humans care about the living planet. Many are willing to lay down their lives to protect a stretch of forest, a river, or a species. Around the world, being an environmental activist is quite dangerous, and not because of some ineptitude, but because other humans who stand to gain from the conversion of the living world into dead materials for capitalism’s factories hire out the execution of humans who would get in their way.
Capitalism, and indeed, industrial civilization must be insulated from those have no been so disconnected, so alienated from nature or so humiliated and shamed by their powerlessness that they might strike back at their abusers rather than identifying with them.
No, it is not that humans are inept at solving ecological crisis. It is that we are prevented from doing so by people with power. Unpacking this further, we must acknowledge what classes we as individuals reside within, and what power we do and do not possess. I cannot with the stroke of a pen prevent a dam from being constructed, or order the deconstruction of one that already exists. I cannot stand before a board of directors and tell them to cease particular business practices, let alone to close up shop permanently. Not without being summarily accosted and dragged out of the room, anyway.
There are people with such power though. Certainly, there are. It is just a rare thing indeed for them to exercise it as such, but they absolutely exist. They are keenly aware of the system that they serve and how much wealth their service to this system has personally provided them with. Any inklings as to the dangers generated by their use of power that may have penetrated their thinking are likely exterminated by denial. Denial is really, really easy when everyone around you is washed in it as well. In towers of glass they laugh at our concerns, they berate us, and they devour the latest scraps of million dollar lies about how everything is just fine, how the Earth is here to be plundered, about the supremacy of man, about our right, our divine destiny really, to dominate the living world. Their great wealth proves it.
And forests fall. The oceans are trawled. A pipeline is laid.
—
Often we are fed a narrative that we as the general public can “vote with our dollars,” and send economic signals to the benevolent corporations of the world by purchasing only the most ethical of goods. This notion is folly for many reasons which have been largely addressed by myself and others. But I would like to take some space to dismantle the idea even further.
First, if we accept that this premise is true, we must also accept inversions of the premise. For instance, if buying ethical product A makes one innocent of ethical harms, then we are implicitly accepting that purchasing unethical product B renders one guilty of an ethical violation themselves. Why?
This thinking generates a line of reasoning in which the consumer of a product generated by unethical means is the reason the unethical means were used. Their purchase demanded such a production process. Can you see what is glaringly absent here? For one, there is no timeline. The product existed before it was purchased. The specific harm has already been executed. But even more startlingly absent from such an analysis is any agency on the part of the producer whatsoever. We are told, by those with power and money, that if people buy a thing, that the producers can only respond in one way, and that is, to continue to produce their product in like fashion. Hence, riding in a car is the reason for Arctic drilling.
But where is the agency of the board of directors of the oil company? Could they not receive the money from their previous gasoline production, and decide that their production process is dangerous to the health of the global ecology, and not continue to seek new petroleum sources? Are they robots? Do they have no minds, no consciences? Why is the underclass the sole bearer of responsibility in this equation? Very obviously, if an oil company decided to sell their assets, pay their employees dividends and to close down operations, there would be less oil and gas available for consumption. As the producer, they have far greater agency than mere purchasers.
Basically, the whole notion of supply and demand as described by capitalism’s apologists is one sided. The general public bears the responsibility to act ethically, to make sacrifices, to go through their day and to abstain from sending any price signals to the powerful, whether wittingly or not, that might stimulate another round of ecologically destructive behavior on the part of a multinational corporation. Price signals of course, cannot be resisted by businessmen. They are victims, really, of our rapacious purchasing of their wares. We are forcing their hands.
—
A lack of agency over our lives culminates in humiliation. We by and large feel like beings of free will, and then we make a commute we hate to a job we despise to take commands from a boss we loathe. A face on television tells us we are one of the lucky ones to get to do so. This is humiliation. It s submission to a system that degrades our dignity by converting us into automatons of misery. Our potential as autonomous actors is diminished at nearly every conceivable opportunity to reduce risk and to generate consistency. Subject to mass society and capitalism we are only slightly above necessary as the fleshy avatar of a more important notation in a ledger. We exist as nodes in a network of capital flow, and if somehow we could be eliminated, we would be. Indeed, many are.
We are dancing bears, faces painted and dolled up in lace. The master holds a whip and a gun, so we dare not strike for fear of being killed. Eventually, the master doesn’t even carry the pistol any more because we have it internalized. He knows we would not dare attack him, and the insult is doubled. We look to the other caged animals around us and think, “If only we rose up as one, surely the master could not kill us all. If only we could combine our strength and in numbers find courage. Even if we were to die in such a struggle, we at last would be free. In our final glorious moments we would be complete, we would not exist in submission, humiliation, domestication.”
But the other animals are scared. They have been whipped. Some have come to defend the master. We don’t even know who we can trust. And it has been such a long time since we have lived beyond the cage. The wild intimidates us now. Can we even survive out there anymore? Can we even exist without the scraps the master feeds us? Then one day we see a tiger attack a crowd of onlookers. She has snapped. She rages beautifully for one perfectly flawed moment before a bullet quiets her. If only she had said something. If only we had acted together. If only we had turned our claws and fangs in the right direction. If only it was the master now lying in a pool of blood.
We have a lot of masters. We are made pitiful by clerks as well as clocks. We are degraded not just politicians and police but by abstractions and imaginary lines. We so badly need to forge time and space to be quiet, to meditate, to speak softly about just who we think we are. Technology interrupts. The buzzing of other people’s demands seeps in through the cracks to find us, to distract us, to constantly hurry us up, to tire us out, to intoxicate us, to leave us slumped over and worn.
So we go to the movies and watch civilization collapse. We envy those who get to rebuild, if only on the screen. If we keep buying such stories, they will keep selling them. And we will surely never live them.
Our human history is a long slow-motion atrocity. Is it any wonder that we have contrived so many ways to live in denial of our failure? The truth about ourselves is devastating to experience.
Those who have somehow found a way to awaken to our common nightmare, have a need and a duty to tell that story. There will never be a way beyond all this suffering that does not begin with that truth telling.
There are further steps to be taken if we are to create a world worth sharing in. But without a full awakening to the darkness that we have become there is no way out of it.
So working to fully let go of our own mechanisms of denial, and sharing our painful discoveries is essential but very difficult work. Part of that work is to find ways to make our truth more effective in awakening others. A thankless and seemingly impossible task – but what else is there in the time left to us?
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There are many issues raised here. The final one, to find one’s way, one’s own agency and voice, awakening while, somehow, awakening others is the crucial personal and social task. It is hard (I’ve been actively engaged in the effort for years) to engage others, never mind marry them to the “cause” when the cinematic dramatization of linked and ongoing disasters consumes energy in our depicting and leaves little time, personal or social space to fashion something to be for, something to do to strengthen the fiber of an alternative to apocalypse. The theoretic and now physically evident ecology of collapse is cloaked in social timidity and lack of exercise (it’s not polite to be a volunteer Cassandra or to volunteer Pollyanna’s guiles). The “facts” are there for the taking. The attitudes clothing defeat and disaster are enmeshed in our cultural malaise and distraction. “To pursue a life of excellence” (Guy McPherson) is a place to start. How to share that effectively, if realized a bit now and then, is more than a hat trick. Creative work and service are indicated and should be on the educational agenda. At 87 years here there is not much else in the time left… so to celebrate life, art and science and knowing what one can is my “what else”. Peace.
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Yesterday I saw on line a book about the world we are messing up. In it was a comment by Jean Baudrillard”;
“Prophesying catastrophe is incredibly banal.
The more original move is to assume it has already happened”
To which I say Yes!
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I have said similar things. An indigenous friend of mine basically said collapse happened ten thousand year ago.
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I have a lot of time for the indigenous folk & their belief systems (for lack of a better phrase). They have the knowledge that this death culture has undermined & which has turned us into clone zombies.
I find it so frustrating in being able to see the whole thing as some sort of holistic catastrophe & not being able to do a thing about it other than try to be open about the situation to those around me who are basically indifferent or hostile to anything you say.
It becomes a personal situation where really one has no agency over.
I’m beginning to wonder if the indigenous heart that dwells in us all comes to the surface from our DNA & it becomes a random selection of folk who “see/feel” this absolute monster before us?
Evolution works slowly but this whole world is so mutated who knows how things play out…………………………………….
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Ap once suggested I vent vet my diatribes at reddit/collapse about a year or so ago, so I signed up as BeezleyBillyBub and compiled the Collapse Data Cheat Sheet. Said a lot of nasty shit in that name. Was banned from posting, the account was dormant but undeleted.
Joined up again as RJC22558, said a few Mr. McMeat things and bam, I was gone, deleted, never to have existed. lol. felt alive again. Facts and figures danced in my head. Thanks for the fun.
Being an egomaniacal oxymoronical uber-narcissist, I began to suspect something was off here. I think that fundraising use of fake optimism combined with the “victim/perpetrator” narrative towards socialism only serves to divide humanity politically at a time we have to unite to fight our bitter nature.
During COP21, James Hansen spoke of his private tax dividend plan as the most efficient way possible to unite humanity in the cause of survival. Again the greens run with the mindless anti-nuclear stand without saying anything about eating meat. Nuclear power is not a menu item you get to have a say about. Nuclear power will not go away and magically clean itself up. There is good nuclear power and there is bad nuclear power. Without nuclear power for a steady base load supply, there will be no renewable green nirvana. Eating meat will destroy the earth before we can complete a 100% energy transition. There is no way 7 billion people will stop eating meat and wasting food out of the goodness of their hearts unless we carbon tax livestock.
Eating meat is the #1 cause of up to 50% of all GHG emissions when you add up production & consumption. McDonalds drive-thru anyone?
Eating meat is the #1 cause of water demand exceeding supply by 40% in 15 years with 2 billion people extremely short of water in 15 years.
Eating meat is the #1 cause for a 90% decline of soil within the next 60 years. If we do not stop eating meat, we will have to grow 100% more food per year within 50 years. We will need 12 million acres of new soil every year for 30 years if we don’t stop eating meat, but eating meat is the #1 cause of losing 24 million acres of soil every year due to loss and degradation.
Eating meat is the #1 cause for 80% of vertebrate species extinctions on land, air and sea.
Eating meat is the #1 cause of rainforest deforestation. Go ahead, ask any tree.
The “Cowspiracy” video, now on Netflix, says not eating meat will reduce emissions faster than anything else.
Vaclav Smil says comprehensive world energy efficiency regulations can reduce emissions up to 40% in 10 – 20 years, but we refuse to do it.
James Hansen’s carbon tax dividends would incentivise efficiency regulation worldwide. This would be especially true if we were to denominate carbon taxes in a new worldwide e-currency to facilitate smooth regulatory harmonization across the planet.
Michael Mann says we are on track to “lock-in” a 2°C temperature rise in just 3 years which would then arrive no later than 2036. Now, I just as content as the next guy to fuck the dog and greet the end, but I just don’t see how I can take another ten years of this Socialist David vs. Capitalist Goliath shit. If the world doesn’t stop it, I will blow my brains out. Right now! I’ve got a finger pointed at my head!
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I put away my knives and went veggie two weeks ago. Now it’s up to a few billion of the rest of you to follow suit.
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congrats, I think after we are gone the trees and grass will become sentient and the grass will try to tell the trees of the legendary cereal killer of old called, a cow. The trees will scoff at them and remind the grass that while mass extinction is for heifers, diamonds are forever.
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What are you wearing your feet?
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nothing good, not much is good or bad, that’s the point, I wear rubber and plastic, which is not better than leather, we can only mitigate and adapt to our energy and resource uses gradually, but intentionally, minus the judgemental political juxtaposition of socialism vs. capitalism. we are mired in a morality play, frozen in a battle scene of good vs. evil, while entertaining, it is counterproductive without the other half, who wonder how we live just as we wonder how they do.
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Someone used my screen name above. Actually I have been struggling to quit meat eating for a long time. Addiction is a core problem at the root of many of our catastrophic problems. We are addicted to a false image of ourselves and our deluded “way of life”. We are in denial of reality, preferring to live in dreams. The work of letting go of our conditionings is long and difficult, but I am continuing my efforts to uproot the habits of a lifetime. At 87 years, it is now apparent that I will never become completely “clear” – but every bit of free consciousness is precious.
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Vandan Shiva says small farms are 25% of the land growing 75% of the food. Who cares if she is absolutely right, I know under certain parameters she very likely is.
To summerize:
Shiva + Anderson + Hansen + Smil = Hope
Bernie Sanders + Bill McKibben + Naomi Klein = Idiocracy
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in olden days cows shit on the ground, we picked it up mixed with wood chips, wood ash, leaves and urine to fertilize our gardens. Contented cows were named Bessie or Daisy. Now we send them off to bovine gulags so horrible that Russian Jews blush in embarrassment.
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I guess cruelty doesn’t matter if you don’t have to see it or think about it. But quitting eating dead animals has somehow caused the immense karma stored in my nervous system to relax it’s pressure just a little bit. I always knew about the abusive nature of factory farming – I just didn’t want to think about it. Disengaging from the tentacles of industrial civ can be a long, painful, imperfect process….
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Yeah, but be careful about climbing up on pedastals. Consumer choices are not changing bad situations. Burning down a factory farm is far more likely to end factory farming than not buying meat. We wont win using price signals as our weapons. The system has domination at its core, and reusable shoppjng bags and fair trade coffee isnt going to bring it all down.
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I am not interested in being on a pedestal. Consumer choices do change bad situations. Ask coffee growers in Colombia. Burning down a factory farm has a violent dominator culture mentality at it’s core, and will not result in ending factory farming. It would be more likely to lead to a vicious counter-assault by those protecting those institutions, and long jail terms for those ecoterrorists responsible. The use of violence to establish peace has a long and consistently unsuccessful history.
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I disagree entirely.
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We’re not looking to establish peace.
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I try to keep as much animinity as possible know these sites are monitored by the very people Mike mentions for any threat to there power. Having said that my thoughts are as follows. We are all born with someone’s hands in our pockets, and we smile because we want our fleeting little space and we don’t know how to hit back. I don’t like. It is time to start hitting back.
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If you don’t want peace, and you are only interested in “hitting back” – then you are just another part of our problem.
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Youre just making a lot of sweeping generalizations that arent helpful. There is nothing specific about “wanting peace.” What kind of peace? Plenty of dictatorial regimes have peace in their nations. Its not the peace of equal access and equal power. Its the peace of subjugation and subordination. The peace of fear.
I would say what we want is first and foremost, a healthy and thriving ecology not dominated by civilized man.
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“When the power of love overcomes the love of power the world will know peace.” ~ Jimi Hendrix
That’s what I mean by peace. It’s an inner state that gives rise to an outer condition. Without it the ecology will never be safe and balanced. War is the end state of a dominator system. The same system that is destroying humans from within themselves and destroying their capacity to love, is killing all life on our precious planet.
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Jimi Hendrix died knowing nothing about climate disruption. There is the real physical world and there is a dream world of how things could be. The predicament of a world reaching the limits of physical resources and climate disruption, ocean acidification, etc. will have(and are already having) real effects on the lives of people, and conflicts over diminishing food, water, access to areas not affected by rising seas, etc, are inevitable. The millions of climate refugees won’t be interested in group hugs and Jimi Hendrix quotes. Physics is not affected by the inner state of humans.
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Modern ideals and virtues of human rights, social justice issues, and the rise of a middle class have all been aberrations of a civilization built atop a surfeit of energy. With that energy ebbing and environmental costs rising, we’ll see more overt authoritarianism, more forked tongue rabble-rousing, and the general disintegration of social niceties.
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Definitely.
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Yep definitely true. Rather than feeling the need to hit back I would rather be called cave painter and be back in time 20,000 years ago. The only way I can get there is by imagination. Just imagine walking through Wall Mart hunting and gathering wearing a loin cloth and carrying a spear. The zombies would go berserk. There are many ways of hitting back.
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Some powerful writing in this book review.https://socialecologies.wordpress.com/2015/12/30/isabelle-stengers-in-catastrophic-times/
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Thanks for that link David. I re-blogged the post on my blog.
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Not to worry Mike, people who participated as youths in the Battle In Seattle (either physically or emotionally) way back in the 90s like to drink and reminisce the glory of their good ol’ days. Civil disobedience is not the answer. If meat costs too much, we won’t buy it. Not hard to understand. Too simple to do. We CAN solve our problems. We choose not to.
Satyajit Das explains the productivity trap where my bullshit powers have peaked in productivity and each new artifice of bullshit is constructed by pulling forward my mental resources from a diminishing future leaving me nothing to work with in my old age.
Rees explains that electricity comprises only 18% of our total energy use and that by 2030 we will have doubled our renewable energy production from 3% of total energy use up to 6% of total energy use.
https://citizenactionmonitor.wordpress.com/2015/12/27/renewable-energy-hope-or-hype/
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The second video on this website is incredibly important as an analytical breakdown of solutions based answers for a reduced ecological footprint. I have absolute faith that we will not engage these solutions.
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whoops, actual site
https://citizenactionmonitor.wordpress.com/2015/12/27/renewable-energy-hope-or-hype/
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With the love dying within our hearts, we look out and see a world empty of love. We are dying from a disease we do not understand. We grasp for answers in the dimensions of dry logic and unyielding matter, and find none that avail. In our despair we curse God and Love and Truth and each other. At least we can do that….
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Sometimes love implies fighting. Id kill and die for my daughter.
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Of course. Sometimes it is necessary to show your love by killing someone who threatens another’s life, not just your flesh and blood kin – anyone. Ignorance with regard to real love is widespread in a culture mostly dedicated to various forms of unlove.
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The only solution would be to institute a species wide permanent pharmacological lobotomy on the limbic system that was heredity. Dumb down the reward pathways by orders of magnitude. The religion of infinite growth is based on infinite desire.
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http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-01-10/something-just-snapped-fx-markets-rand-crashes-most-lehman-yen-surges-1-year-highs
Ready for a new week ?
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Of clerks, clocks, and cliques.
We are never free, unless
By choice, overthrow
To be, or not to be,…..
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R.I.P. David Bowie(1947-2016):

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15 years to water shortages for 40% of humans.
all humanity has 60 years worth of soil with big ag biz ways.
18% of total world energy use is electricity.
3% of total world energy use is renewable energy up from 1% 20 years ago.
6% of total world energy use by 2030.at current estimates
Without de-growth and massive energy demand destruction,
renewable energy will not succeed due to infrastructure demands and resource shortages.
Eating meat is toxic to life on earth and still willfully underestimated because we let money own us instead of us it. Eating meat will destroy our water and soil before we can effect a 100% renewable energy transfer.
After economic collapse, there will be a new world currency, but a government-corporate one instead of a private citizen one based on Hansen’s 100% private dividends.
I live alone in the woods of Canada but I know they’re coming, it’s only when.
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“We so badly need to forge time and space to be quiet, to meditate, to speak softly about just who we think we are.”
OOOF. That is sooo choice. I’ve somehow managed to do that for some time now, create a device/people distraction free zone where I practice Kundalini and meditation for about 2 hours a day. It is essential to sanity maintenance. I recently had a friend ask me “why are you so quiet?” I just smiled and said I wasn’t. It really is unfortunate how intolerant we’ve become of silence, stillness, contemplation, “boredom”. I think it has had alot to do with our progression throughout the industrial civilizations “growth” from seeing beyond the material, identification and peaceful coexistence with with All to an obsession with busyness, surface sense pleasures, violence and generalized sociopathy.
“Boredom is not a problem to be solved. It’s the last privilege of a free mind” -Gayatri Devi
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The Top 10 Things You Need To Know !!!
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1) You don’t actually need to know ten things.
2) You know when you see cities at night from the space station? They’re pretty much everywhere. They represent only 18% of humanity’s total energy use. Dark energy is not in outer space, it’s in our mines, our cement kilns, our infrastructure.
3) This is all you need to know:
https://www.reddit.com/r/collapse/comments/40rwqw/studies_predict_collapse_in_15_years_well_before/
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My latest reddit/collapse account has been inexplicably and permanently banned. I must be doing something right, or wrong, as the case may be. Yet, oddly enough, it appears I can still edit my last post. I will paste here what I wrote there. Maybe someone can explain reddit to me as I fucking hate reading instructions.
TITLE:
Studies Predict Collapse in 15 Years Well Before Humanity Will Ever Transition Into Renewable Energy.
BODY TEXT:
We Cannot Have Growth AND Green Energy, This Is A Lie
—————————————————————
Contrary to what you are repeatedly told, civilization will collapse long before we can effect a 100% renewable energy transition as short-term water, food and energy shortages ignite the collapse of civilization.
NASA Study Concludes When Civilization Will End
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http://mic.com/articles/85541/nasa-study-concludes-when-civilization-will-end-and-it-s-not-looking-good-for-us#.BdVb1hpmI
Ignore The Perfect Storm Of Collapse At Your Peril
——————————————————-
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/earth-insight/2014/mar/14/nasa-civilisation-irreversible-collapse-study-scientists
There Is No Such Thing As Sustainable Economic Growth
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http://www.thenation.com/article/coming-instant-planetary-emergency/
U.K. Predicts U.S.A. Headed For Water Shortages
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Click to access perfect-storm-paper.pdf
M.I.T. Predicts World Economic Collapse In 15 Years
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http://www.popsci.com/science/article/2012-04/new-research-tracks-40-year-old-prediction-world-economy-will-collapse-2030
Lloyd’s Of London Predicts End Of Civilization In 25 Years
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http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/society-will-collapse-by-2040-due-to-catastrophic-food-shortages-says-foreign-officefunded-study-10336406.html
William Rees Explains De-Growth And Renewable Energy
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Jennie Moore: Why Not Eating Meat Is The Best Action You Can Do
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Vaclav Smil Explains Real World Energy Transitions
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What It Means
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After 20 years of trying, solar and wind power only produce 3% of total world energy demand. This is up from 1% in 1992. Wind and solar power are projected to supply 6% of total world energy demand by 2030. That’s not nearly enough. While many studies suggest sooner, those are paid for by investors talking their book. Listen to the scientists, not the mass web media.
A 100% renewable energy transition will take generations to effect and will cost many trillions of dollars. North America will require massive infrastructure construction of a national or multi-regional smart grid that will take decades to build and cost trillions all by itself. The storage requirements for a nation-wide electrical storage system include hundreds of millions of tons of batteries for many more trillions.
Do not forget that it takes 10X the amount of renewable power to shut down just 1 fossil power plant. So if electricity is only 18% of world power demand, you can see we got a massive over-whelming problem. The remaining 92% of world energy demand will take at least 4X the amount of renewable power to displace it. That’s a lot of renewable power. These figures do not include additional infrastructure requirements. Solar and wind power products have a life-cycle of some 30 years, meaning every 30 years we have to do it all over again.
Without massive energy demand destruction worldwide, renewable energy is unsustainable.
In 3 years we will “lock in” the feared 2 degree temperature rise by 2036 with BAU.
In 15 years 40% of humanity will be short of water with BAU.
In 25 years civilization will end says Lloyds of London and the British Foreign Office.
In 30 years we won’t have enough fossil fuel for a 100% renewable energy transition.
In 60 years humanity will not have enough soil to grow food says Scientific American.
Nobody Wants To Hear This
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1) Renewable energy is unsustainable without massive energy demand destruction.
2) Eating meat will destroy our soil and water before we can effect a 100% renewable energy transition.
3) We have no comprehensive, viable, realistic plan to survive this century. We cannot reduce emissions AND have economic growth as you are constantly told.
4) You are being lied to in a very big way, things can go to hell even faster than that because over the next year the pulse of heat from the oceans will initialize a planetary state jump into a new heat energy balance. Arctic methane will heat up the arctic jet stream further to wreak more worldwide havoc for crops. Most of our mega-cities and coastal croplands lie in sacrifice zones where most of the storm and flood damage are due to happen. Think rice paddies in low-land Asia where up to 50% of rice croplands are threatened and where 50% of humanity depend on rice to live.
5) Mega-cities are expected to burst at the seams very quickly as the world’s young flee to them. By 2050 80% of humanity will be in cities where 75% of the infra-structure they require does not even exist. And we don’t even bother to fix the infrastructure we got now. Putting trillions of dollars worth of flimsy renewable energy infrastructure in places like Dhaka Bangladesh or Miami Florida is a massive misallocation of resources in the new age of Super-Typhoons and Extreme Hurricanes. Renewable energy cannot be brought back on-line after storm damage as quickly as centralized power.
Please feel free to comment, My latest reddit account has been permanently suspended again. This is my third account suspension in as many months. Most regular readers know who I am. Thanks for your attention in this matter.
Sincerely,
Robert Callaghan
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I would like to thank the many commenters over at reddit/collapse who offered many and varied ways for me to kill myself especially since a close relative recently shot himself in the head. They’re special. Real special.
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update: only banned 7 days from reddit/collapse posts.
after communing with the vast intellect of my bellybutton lint, I think I’ve stumbled upon a working text version of short ‘n sweet: free use policy.
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Survival is based on low-emissions energy and our survival is not like perusing an energy menu of options we like or dislike.
REALITY
It takes 1 ton of coal to make 6 solar panels.
Electricity production is only 18% of total world energy use.
82% of total world energy use is not electrical generation.
After 20 years, solar-wind energy production is up from 1% to 3% of total world energy use.
Solar-wind power are projected to provide 6% of total energy use by 2030.
It takes 10X as much solar-wind energy to close 1 fossil fuel power plant.
It will take 10 X 18% of total world energy use to close all fossil power plants.
And, it will take 4 X 82% of the remaining for a 100% wind-solar energy transition.
These figures do not include massive electrical storage and grid infrastructure.
Such infrastructure is hundreds of millions of tons of materials taking decades and additional trillions of dollars.
Solar-wind systems last 30 years meaning we will always have to do it all over the world again 50% sooner than fossil sources.
We have to stop carbon emissions at source within current infrastructure constraints at all costs period, exclamation mark. Then we will all have to learn to grow food because…
We will lock-in 2 degree temperature rise in 3 years for 2036 with BAU.
In 15 years 40% of humanity will be short of water with BAU.
In 25 years civilization will end says Lloyds of London and the British Foreign Office.
In 60 years humanity will not have enough soil to grow food says Scientific American.
In 30 years we won’t have enough fossil fuel for a 100% renewable energy transition.
Without massive energy demand destruction renewable energy is unsustainable.
Animal agriculture will destroy our soil and water long before we can effect a 100% intermittent energy transition.
Without using Hansen’s tax dividends to carbon tax meat consumption out of the market earth will die.
Instead of moving aspirational targets every 5 years, we have to move now, or forever be not remembered as the least greatest generation.
We cannot let governments get control of carbon markets like how Sanders, Klein and McKibben want government to get 60% of your carbon tax money. This is direct opposition to Hansen’s plan and immoral. I strongly believe it should be in a new world e-currency directly deposited to your phone.
We have to close down ranches to reconstruct wildlife corridors, we can’t let ranchers take over conservation areas and kill off life.
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Reality acting as Nemesis will force us to eat the vast karmic debt we have created by stealing everything we could get our hands on, and dedicating it to a vast celebration of our own stupidity. The taste will be very bitter; billions will die, and the rest will long for death.
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We have created a vast loveless, abusive culture that everyone born is inducted into and becomes part of. This monstrous nightmare that we are conditioned to believe is normal is now in the process of destroying life on this planet. We might have created a sort of paradise here, but instead have brought forth a hellish dance of death and suffering. Those not yet fully affected play a major role in insuring the eventual destruction of all of us. Realizing our real situation and seeking ways to save ourselves is the only course that gives any dignity and meaning to the life of an individual caught in these tragic circumstances. One who curses humankind and walks away from them and their plight, in order to attempt a separate peace, is still part of the problem, and another guarantee that we will never find a way out.
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If we could stop killing for control of oil long enough to get off it, things might not be so bad.
Wow, my comments stayed up on scribblers site for as long as 20 minutes.
Thanks for your indulgence Mike, too bad I’m too poor to pay for it.
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All true. Greed and stupidly are at root, and tho greedy and the stupid are always with us, at least until they manage to destroy themselves. The other day, 1600 people had to be rescued from flooding from a thunderstorm in France, entirely predictable, yet more fierce than expected. This hotter, colder, wetter, drier, and windier planet shall scrub itself clean of folly.
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Aug 3 The essential dream of mankind is a socialist utopia of peace, equality, and Love for All. To awaken this aim and make it the guiding purpose of our lives is the one thing necessary. We must become impervious to all the slanders and lies claiming that this ideal world is either impossible or actually evil.
Aug 7 The ultimate lesson evolving intelligence must learn is unconditional love for everything without exception. Failure to learn and practice this love in all circumstances will result in systemic dysfunction and extinction of such species.
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The worst among us have seized power over society. Mass murderers, torturers, insanely greedy persons are controlling our human destiny, and destroying our world. Removing these ultimately evil people from their positions of power over us all is the one thing necessary if we are to continue our existence on Earth. This is by far our highest priority. If we fail to accomplish this, then our fate is sealed.
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The work which culture undertakes is to override and squash the inner voice seeking truth in it’s subjects. Culture strives to make the individual obedient to it’s dictates and viewpoints. The military voice of culture works to silence the voice of conscience in recruits that whispers, “it is wrong to kill other humans, to be a murderer”. Culture says we must follows the ways of the Elders who have gone before. Culture is deeply conservative. To give birth to the Authentic Self is a revolutionary process of challenging and going outside of one’s culture. The struggle of the young against the old is a basic evolutionary dynamic.
Freeing one’s mind from the groupthink soup one lives in from birth is a long and difficult process which is never really completed, but must be constantly renewed and maintained for one’s lifetime. Intelligence, luck, persistence, many helpers, agility in avoiding the oppressors, and many factors need to come together to allow a measure of success in this crucial venture necessary for becoming a real, free, authentic human being. I speak from 87 years of often painful experience – it ain’t been easy! And it still isn’t……….
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